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CoreLogic: Home price appreciation to finally slow down?

HPI increases by 6.2% in April

For the majority of the last two years, home prices increased around 5% year-over-year, with April 2016 not coming in much different.

Thanks to two key factors, this could finally start to change, according to the latest report from CoreLogic, a global property information, analytics and data-enabled services provider, home prices are up both year-over-year and month-over-month.

“Low mortgage rates and a lean for-sale inventory have resulted in solid home-price growth in most markets,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. “An expected gradual rise in interest rates and more homes offered for sale are expected to moderate appreciation in the coming year.”

Albeit the change isn’t likely to be too drastic given that the previous report doesn’t look too different, with home prices nationwide increasing year-over-year by 6.7% in March 2016 compared with March 2015.

April’s HPI report recorded that home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased year-over-year by 6.2% in April 2016 compared with April 2015.

On a monthly basis, HPI increased by 1.8% in April 2016 compared with March 2016. Looking ahead, the CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase by 5.3% on a year- over-year basis from April 2016 to April 2017, and on a month-over-month basis home prices are expected to increase 0.9% from April 2016 to May 2016.

CoreLogic noted that the forecast is a projection of home prices using its HPI and other economic variables. Values are derived from state-level forecasts by weighting indices according to the number of owner-occupied households for each state.

This chart shows HPI year-over-year since April 2012.  

Click to enlarge


(Source: CoreLogic)

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