First-time buyers accounted for 57.9% of primary owner-occupied home purchase mortgages with a government guarantee, up from 56.8% and 57.4% respectively in April 2014 and 2013, according to the American Enterprise Institute's International Center on Housing Risk.
The Combined FBMSI (which measures the share of first-time buyers for both government-guaranteed and private-sector mortgages) stood at an estimated 52.2%, up from 51.2% and 51.8% respectively in April 2014 and 2013.
The number of primary owner-occupied purchase mortgages going to first-time buyers over the 6-month period of November 2014-April 2015 totaled an estimated 577,000, up 8,5% from the 532,000 mortgages over the same 6-month period in 2013-2014.
The agency FBMRI stood at a series record of 15.28%, up 0.2 percentage point from the average over the prior three months and up 0.9 percentage point from a year earlier.
The agency FBMRI is nearly 6.5 percentage points higher than the mortgage risk index for repeat homebuyers.
The First-Time Buyer Mortgage Share and Mortgage Risk Indexes (FBMSI and FBMRI) are key housing market indicators based on monthly data for nearly all government-guaranteed home purchase loans, which greatly reduces the risk of sample error.
By relying on millions of loans, this approach stands in contrast to traditional first-time buyer surveys based on small samples of homebuyers or real estate agents.
In April 2015, first-time buyers accounted for 57.9% of primary owner-occupied home purchase mortgages with a government guarantee, according to the Agency First-Time Buyer Mortgage Share Index.
As shown in the chart below, the April share was roughly 1 percentage point above both the revised share of 57.0% for March and the April 2014 share of 56.8%.
Although the first-time buyer share last month reached the highest level in its 25-month history, the series has displayed no clear trend apart from seasonal variation.