Top markets for affordable renovated housing inventory

Despite the rapidly deteriorating affordability, there is some hope for homebuyers in the form of renovated homes: properties that have been rehabbed into move-in ready condition after being purchased at auction.

HousingWire Magazine: December 2021/ January 2022

AS WE ENTER A NEW YEAR, let’s look at some of the events that we can look forward to in 2022. But what about what’s next for the housing industry?

Back to the Future of Mortgage Lending

This webinar will be a discussion on understanding what’s to come in the future of mortgage lending by analyzing past trends in the industry, evolving consumer behaviors and demographics of the industry’s production capacity.

Logan Mohtashami on Omicron and pending home sales

In this episode of HousingWire Daily, Logan Mohtashami discusses how the new COVID variant, Omicron, will impact inflation and whether or not it will send mortgage rates lower.

Real Estate

Pending home sales down again in September

Low inventory and seasonal decline to blame

After rising 8% in August, pending home sales dropped 2.3% in September, according to the National Association of Realtor’s pending home sales index report released on Thursday. The index dropped to 116.7 in September, which is 8% lower than a year ago.

An index level of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001.

“Contract transactions slowed a bit in September and are showing signs of a calmer home price trend, as the market is running comfortably ahead of pre-pandemic activity,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said in a statement. “It’s worth noting that there will be less inventory until the end of the year compared to the summer months, which happens nearly every year.”

Yun expects inventory levels to pick up again in 2022 and that buyers who have temporarily paused their search will return to the market in the new year. In addition, Yun believes that increasing rents and lack of rental inventory will drive even more potential buyers into the market.

“Rents have been mounting solidly of late, with falling rental vacancy rates,” Yun said in a statement. “This could lead to more renters seeking homeownership in order to avoid the rising inflation, so an increase in inventory will be welcomed.”


Top markets for affordable renovated housing inventory

Despite the rapidly deteriorating affordability, there is some hope for homebuyers in the form of renovated homes: properties that have been rehabbed into move-in ready condition after being purchased at foreclosure auction or bank-owned (REO) auction.

Presented by: Auction.com

While market activity is lower than a year ago, the pending home sales index is still up 7% than September 2019.

“September 2020 was in the midst of the surge in pent-up demand following initial pandemic impacts, so not as helpful a comparison,” Odeta Kushi, the deputy chief economist at First American, said in a statement. “Pending contracts are good early indicators of upcoming sales closings.”

By the end of 2021, the NAR expects home sales to have risen by 6.4%, but due to higher anticipated mortgage rates, the NAR predicts that sales will decline by 1.7% in 2022. As a result, Yun predicts that home prices will grow only 2.8% in 2022. This is a much lower increase than the 16% home sale price increase predicted by Goldman Sachs.

All four major U.S. regions saw declines on the pending home sales index. In the Northeast, pending home sales dropped 3.2% in September from August and 18.5% year-over-year. The Midwest dropped 3.5% month-over-month and 5.8% from a year ago. The South and the West saw 1.8% and 1.4% declines from August to September, respectively, and 5.8% and 7.2% yearly decreases, respectively.

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