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Logan Mohtashami on trends in forbearance exits

In this episode of HousingWire Daily, Logan Mohtashami discusses several hot topics in the housing market, including recent trends in forbearance exits and future homebuyer demand in the midst of inventory shortages.

How lenders can prepare for increasing regulatory pressures

As compliance becomes an increased focal point for mortgage lenders and investors, staying ahead of state and federal regulations can be the difference between a flourishing business and one mired in fines.

Mortgage

Mortgage applications remain steady amid continued economic stress

Purchase activity also saw its tenth straight week of year-over-year gains

After three weeks of increases, mortgage applications fell 0.8% last week as mortgage rates continued to sit near record lows, according to a report by the Mortgage Bankers Association.

The unadjusted purchase index also fell 1% last week but was up 21% compared to last year – marking ten straight weeks of year-over-year increases for purchase activity, according to the report.

Refinancings remained at year over year highs – increasing 0.4% from the previous week and 121% higher than the same week a year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity also increased to 65.1% of total applications from 64.8% the week prior.

“Mortgage rates remained near record lows for conventional loans last week, and refinances in the conventional sector continued to slightly increase. However, rates on FHA loans rose, leading to an almost 18% drop in FHA refinances,” Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s senior vice president and chief economist, said.

According to Fratantoni, homebuyers stepped back slightly this past week as reflected in a larger drop in purchase application volume for Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and United States Department of Agriculture loans.

“This trend, along with the fact that average loan sizes are increasing, indicate that prospective first-time buyers are being impacted more by the rising economic stress caused by the resurgence in COVID-19 cases, as well as the uncertainty on how the next round of government support will take shape,” Fratantoni said.

The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity jumped from 3% to 3.2% of total applications.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, also gained 1% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Here is a more detailed breakdown of this week’s mortgage application data:

  • The FHA’s share of mortgage apps fell to 9.6% from 10.8%.
  • The VA share of applications increased from 10.8% to 11.2%
  • The USDA share of total applications remained the same at 0.6%
  • The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($510,400 or less) remained the same at 3.2%
  • The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $510,400) increased from 3.51% to 3.52%
  • The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA increased from 3.13% to 3.27%
  • The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased from 2.71% to 2.76%
  • The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs increased from 2.89% to 3.08%

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