Let’s dig a little deeper into the jobs situation. We expect the January report is going to be a startling one when it is released in early February. It will be the first time we will see the full results of the annual revisions of the benchmarks used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The revisions will show that there was a net job loss in the United States for the entire decade. We guess the net loss will be about 1 million. … Some of the details in the report show how severe things are. The unemployment rate for college graduates hit a new all-time high of 5%. The fact that 1 in 20 graduates cannot find a job means that the cost pressure from the higher-paid and better-educated element in the labor force has disappeared. Labor cost is about two-thirds of the impetus that triggers inflation. This is another reason why the Fed has plenty of time before it has to raise rates. Inflation is not a threat.
Jobs? Glass Half Full? Half Empty? Or Broken?
Most Popular Articles
Latest Articles
Labor market report is good news for mortgage rates
Friday’s jobs report came in as a miss of estimates and wage growth came in lower than expected, which is good news for mortgage rates.
-
Virginia Realtors: Zillow’s touring agreement may not be legal
-
Low inventory creates challenging conditions in North Carolina’s housing market
-
Tri-state area housing shortage could cost the region economically
-
Remote reverse mortgage counseling now permanently permitted in Massachusetts
-
NAR settlement terms slated to go into effect in mid-August