Real estate investment trusts underperformed the broad stock markets indices in September, and analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods expect the macroeconomic fears caused by the sovereign debt crises in Europe to weigh down third-quarter results of many REITs. KBW said the overall economy “looms as a near-term concern for commercial real estate demand,” although REITs have ample access to capital, while the lodging and multifamily sectors “appear poised to post improving core growth in the near term” despite weak demand for suburban office space. Still the analysts “believe that given current valuations for suburban office REITs and the pricing of more ‘defensive’ names in other property sectors, it is reasonable to consider ‘renting’ rather than long-term owning some suburban REIT exposure.” “The focus for (third-quarter) earnings will likely be on the effect recent market turmoil, weak job markets and generally lackluster economy (are) impacting companies in terms of fundamentals, acquisition opportunities and pricing, and access to debt capital,” KBW said. The analysts expect quality and location will continue to outperform market averages, particularly in retail and office; “hence REIT portfolios, in general, are outpacing market average vacancies.” KBW expects acquisitions will drive external growth at many REITs in the near term, although tightened credit markets over the past two months slowed transaction activity that was higher earlier in the year. Write to Jason Philyaw. Follow him on Twitter: @jrphilyaw.
Jason Philyaw was a reporter with HousingWire through mid-2012.see full bio
Most Popular Articles
We are not ready for the next housing downturn
Pandemic-era forbearance and modifications relied on servicer liquidity supported by a refi boom and lower rates. If a downturn arrives amid inflation, policymakers may need new liquidity backstops to prevent servicer failures and borrower harm.
Jul 21, 2026
-
Manhattan project contractor error eyed in conversion collapse
Jul 21, 2026 -
Housing Market Spotlight: Lower-priced metros show greater resilience as demand softens
Jul 22, 2026 -
Michigan’s Whitmer steps up, signs single-stair reform into law
Jul 22, 2026 -
Mortgage rates hit yearly high as Iran conflict escalates
Jul 23, 2026 -
Why homebuilders aren’t building more homes
Jul 24, 2026
Latest Articles
Home sales are positive but higher rates slowing demand
Spreads were 1.94%, keeping rates below 7%, while purchase apps were up 0.2% yearly and pending sales held near flat.
-
Coldwell Banker Warburg folds into Compass in New York
-
Don’t fall for a fake foreclosure crisis
-
Deed theft remains a growing threat for seniors, Black homeowners
-
Berkshire completes Taylor Morrison deal valued at $8.5B enterprise value
-
NVR is land light by design, Q2 2026 reveals the strategy has limits
Jason Philyaw was a reporter with HousingWire through mid-2012.see full bio