[[Update 1: Corrects delinquent loan figure and date that market expected to bottom out]] The U.S. housing market will hit bottom this year and remain flat until 2014, when it will start to slowly recover, said Rick Sharga, an executive vice president with Carrington Mortgage Holdings. “We’re looking at a catfish recovery,” he told attendees at the Asian Real Estate Association of America conference in San Francisco Friday, saying the market will bump along the bottom for some time before starting to revive. More than a million foreclosure actions that should have taken place this year have not yet moved forward, and that delay pushes a resolution of the housing market’s problems into next year and beyond, he said, citing data from RealtyTrac, where Sharga served as a senior vice president until this week. “We can’t expect to see home price appreciation until we work through these distressed assets,” he said. Since 2005, there’s only been one quarter in which U.S. banks have sold more properties than they’ve taken back through foreclosure, leaving a huge overhang of real estate-owned assets that need to be cleared out. Banks hold about 800,000 REOs, and three-quarters of those are not listed for sale, said Sharga. Another 800,000 homes are in foreclosure and 3.5 million loans are delinquent. This “shadow inventory” will slow down a housing market recovery, he said, as monthly foreclosure numbers will remain elevated through 2012 and REO inventories will stay high through 2013. Even with the continuing distress in the housing market, the country is not likely to enter a double-dip recession, said Eugenio Aleman, a director and senior economist at Wells Fargo & Co (WFC). Although U.S. workers have suffered as the nation has lost 9 million jobs over a two-year period, the manufacturing and service sectors are expanding, he noted. “The rest of the economy is not booming, but it’s doing fine,” said Aleman. Wells Fargo is projecting that the U.S. economy will expand over the next few years, but at anemic rates: 1.6% this year, 1.4% in 2012 and 1.9% in 2013. “We are standing firm,” said Aleman of Wells Fargo’s economic forecast. “We are not going to go into a recession.” Write to Liz Enochs.
Housing market to hit bottom this year: former RealtyTrac exec
September 30, 2011, 5:23pm
Liz is a career journalist, and currently a senior editor with Charles Schwab. She joined HousingWire briefly in mid-2011 though early 2012.see full bio
Most Popular Articles
Foreclosures climb 21% in first half of 2026, pushed by higher stress in FHA, VA mortgages
U.S. foreclosure activity rose again in the first half of 2026, with 227,548 properties receiving filings, up 21% from the same period in 2025, according to ATTOM’s midyear foreclosure report.
Jul 16, 2026
-
We are not ready for the next housing downturn
Jul 21, 2026 -
Manhattan project contractor error eyed in conversion collapse
Jul 21, 2026 -
Senior housing wealth reaches record level in first quarter
Jul 21, 2026 -
Will Trump’s new Canadian tariffs add cost risk for builders?
Jul 21, 2026 -
Michigan’s Whitmer steps up, signs single-stair reform into law
Jul 22, 2026
Latest Articles
Coldwell Banker Warburg folds into Compass in New York
Coldwell Banker Warburg will operate as Warburg at Compass in New York, and Compass has not set a timeline for the transition.
-
Don’t fall for a fake foreclosure crisis
-
Deed theft remains a growing threat for seniors, Black homeowners
-
Berkshire completes Taylor Morrison deal valued at $8.5B enterprise value
-
NVR is land light by design, Q2 2026 reveals the strategy has limits
-
Equity Union expands into Nevada with first market outside California
Liz is a career journalist, and currently a senior editor with Charles Schwab. She joined HousingWire briefly in mid-2011 though early 2012.see full bio