Items Tagged with 'trade war'

ARTICLES

  • Dueling polls on Fed's next move suggest the safe bet is a July rate cut

    Only 2 out of 46 economists in WSJ poll say the FOMC will act at next week's meeting
    Traders in futures markets are signaling a 22.5% probability of a Fed rate cut next week and an 86% chance of a cut at or before its July 30-31 meeting, according to CME Group. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal gave a different picture: About 0.5% said they expect a move next week and 40% pegged it to the July gathering. That makes July the safe bet, with perhaps language added to the FOMC’s June statement aimed at reassuring markets.
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  • Tariff wars: What do Walmart and Target prices have to do with the housing market?

    Bond investors who set mortgage rates keep a wary eye on inflation
    When a top executive at Walmart told Wall Street analysts last week that tariffs on Chinese goods would lead to higher prices for his customers, people who follow the housing and mortgage industry felt a sense of foreboding. Higher consumer prices lead to higher inflation, which leads to higher mortgage rates.
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  • U.S. economic growth may be casualty in trade war with China, Fannie Mae says in new forecast

    Mortgage rates will probably average 4.2%, higher than the 4.1% forecasted last month
    Fannie Mae, the largest mortgage financier, boosted its forecast for mortgage rates and lowered its prediction for GDP growth for the remaining quarters this year, citing the tariff war with China as a primary reason. GDP growth in the U.S. will probably be 1.7% for the current quarter, down from the 2.1% growth the mortgage giant predicted last month before negotiations over a trade pact with China veered off-course.
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  • Tariffs boost housing renovation costs after Zillow and others go all-in on iBuying

    Costlier supplies will shrink “razor thin” margins as iBuyers move into new markets
    The United States and China are locked in a tit-for-tat trade war that will boost the price of materials that go into home renovation and construction. The higher costs come as iBuyers such as Zillow, Opendoor and Offerpad are expanding into new markets with plans for fixing up and reselling homes. "In iBuying, it's razor-thin margins anyway, so any sort of ripple in the pond has the potential to disrupt," said Mike DelPrete, a real estate strategist.
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  • Trump calls for Fed to reduce interest rates amid trade war with China

    Says lower interest rates would bolster economy
    President Donald Trump took to Twitter on Tuesday morning to air his thoughts on the trade war with China, where he hinted at monetary actions from the Federal Reserve. Trump explained that China would most likely manipulate its interest rates to keep its economy going during the trade war, but said that if the U.S. did the same, it would be "game over."
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  • NAHB chief economist: Tariff tweets could be signaling pricier U.S. homes

    Higher construction costs would be passed on to homebuyers
    President Donald Trump’s tweets escalating the U.S.-China trade war weren’t just a threat to the stock markets and the agricultural sector. Housing could be affected as well. "Additional tariffs on a country like China, where we get many of our construction products, are an additional tax on homes," Robert Dietz, chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders, said in an interview.
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  • Economists: There's now a 25% chance of a recession in the next year

    Reuters poll shows growing concern over a future recession
    A new poll from Reuters shows that there's a 25% chance of a recession in the next 12 months. "There is a lot of uncertainty and there are some good reasons to forecast a slowdown in 2019 as compared to in 2018," Jim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, told Reuters.
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  • Experts: Wage growth could further rate hikes in 2019

    But one expert thinks 2018 will end on a jolly note
    In November, the unemployment rate held steady at 3.7% and wages rose slightly, leading some experts to predict the likelihood of continual rate hikes in 2019. Despite these concerns, one expert believes homebuyers will end the year on a jolly note.
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  • Home builders group: New tariffs on Chinese goods are a tax on housing

    New tariffs are slated to affect materials related to housing construction
    New tariffs against China could add $1 billion in costs to goods involved with housing construction. According to CNBC’s Realty Check, the NAHB estimates that of the 6,000 goods under the umbrella of the latest round of tariffs, roughly 600 products, representing $10 billion in goods, are related to the construction of new apartments and homes.
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  • Fed Chair Powell: GSE reform essential for U.S. economy

    Testifies before Senate on current state of economy
    Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave his semi-annual congressional testimony before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs. And while Powell didn’t provide many specific details, he stated his belief that it would be healthy for the economy to see GSE reform move forward.
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