Dr. Cliff Rossi is senior vice president, chief economist, at Radian Group Inc. In this position, Rossi is responsible for research, forecasts and quantitative analysis and [financial] modeling of Radian’s mortgage insurance portfolio and the housing and mortgage markets.
Armed with an overall measure of housing market performance relative to long-term trend; an accompanying metric explaining whether that market is overheated or not; and importantly a way to attribute deviations in home prices precisely to selected market variables, market participants would be in a better position to take precautionary actions to limit their exposure in highly volatile markets.
The FHA finds itself in a delicate position of balancing public policy interests against actuarial soundness of its $1 trillion plus Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund. These twin policy goals at times run counter to each other, occasionally spilling over into the conventional-conforming market via FHA premium changes that create market distortions and adverse selection problems for the FHA.
Factors that affect the yield on 10-year Treasuries will over time be reflected in mortgage rates. Two of these are inflation and economic conditions. We have enjoyed a low inflation environment for a number of years but if we had a bout of higher inflation it would lead to higher rates as investors in bonds require additional compensation for a loss in buying power.
That lenders may be holding back a bit is not surprising as lessons from behavioral finance studies suggest that individuals tend to weight recent experience more than the past. Applied to the mortgage business and compounded by rising compliance costs, recent experience with heavy credit losses of the crisis could be dampening management enthusiasm for credit expansion in an otherwise expanding, albeit tepid economy.
[Subscribers only] Multigenerational living, where two or more adult generations live under the same roof, is becoming a growing trend in the U.S. Currently about 19% of Americans now live in a multigenerational household, the highest level since 1950. That amounts to about 60.6 million adults in 2014, up from 57 million adults in 2012. And homebuilders have taken notice, designing houses specifically catered to this segment.
Would-be homeowners are inundated with picture-perfect examples of new and remodeled homes brimming with upgrades. But in the real world, homebuilders and investors must calculate the rate of return on these sometimes fleeting trends, weighing what buyers want with what they can actually afford. This feature looks at which features buyers of different age demographics consider the most important, and what that means for sellers.
We’ve found that the handling and posting of payments during bankruptcy has been a widespread issue in our testing environment. Specifically, there is increased risk exposure in pre-and post-petition payment application and treatment, both inside and outside of the bankruptcy plan. Servicers and sub-servicers have created manual workflow workarounds to address the issue, however, it does open the servicer up to more exposure to calculation errors.