The latest economic and policy trends facing mortgage servicers

Join this webinar for an in-depth roundtable discussion on economic and policy trends impacting servicers as well as a look ahead at strategies servicers should employ in the next year.

2021 RealTrends Brokerage Compensation Report

For the study, RealTrends surveyed all the firms on the 2021 RealTrends 500 and Nation’s Best rankings, asking for annual compensation data for the 2020 calendar year.

Zillow analyst on whether home prices can keep climbing

Today’s episode of HousingWire Daily features an interview with Nicole Bachaud, as she discusses annual and monthly home price appreciation growth, rising inventory levels and rent prices.

Lenders, it’s time to consider offering non-QM products

The non-QM market is making a comeback following a pause in 2020. As lenders rush to implement, Angel Oak is helping them adopt these new lending products.


First-time buyer share and mortgage risk grow

AEI: Risk for freshman buyers hits series high

First-time buyers accounted for 57.9% of primary owner-occupied home purchase mortgages with a government guarantee, up from 56.8% and 57.4% respectively in April 2014 and 2013, according to the American Enterprise Institute's International Center on Housing Risk

The Combined FBMSI (which measures the share of first-time buyers for both government-guaranteed and private-sector mortgages) stood at an estimated 52.2%, up from 51.2% and 51.8% respectively in April 2014 and 2013.

The number of primary owner-occupied purchase mortgages going to first-time buyers over the 6-month period of November 2014-April 2015 totaled an estimated 577,000, up 8,5% from the 532,000 mortgages over the same 6-month period in 2013-2014.

The agency FBMRI stood at a series record of 15.28%, up 0.2 percentage point from the average over the prior three months and up 0.9 percentage point from a year earlier.

The agency FBMRI is nearly 6.5 percentage points higher than the mortgage risk index for repeat homebuyers.

The First-Time Buyer Mortgage Share and Mortgage Risk Indexes (FBMSI and FBMRI) are key housing market indicators based on monthly data for nearly all government-guaranteed home purchase loans, which greatly reduces the risk of sample error.

By relying on millions of loans, this approach stands in contrast to traditional first-time buyer surveys based on small samples of homebuyers or real estate agents.  

In April 2015, first-time buyers accounted for 57.9% of primary owner-occupied home purchase mortgages with a government guarantee, according to the Agency First-Time Buyer Mortgage Share Index. 

As shown in the chart below, the April share was roughly 1 percentage point above both the revised share of 57.0% for March and the April 2014 share of 56.8%. 

Although the first-time buyer share last month reached the highest level in its 25-month history, the series has displayed no clear trend apart from seasonal variation.  

Most Popular Articles

These are the hottest housing markets in America

A housing market report from RE/MAX found that 36 of 51 metro areas had double-digit year over year sale price increases in August. Boise led the way.

Sep 17, 2021 By

Latest Articles

Housing permits hold the key for economic expansion

Housing permits, for me, is one of the most important housing and economic data lines we have in America. As long as housing permits are moving upward, not only is housing doing ok but the economic expansion is moving along nicely post-1996. HW+ Premium Content.

Sep 21, 2021 By
3d rendering of a row of luxury townhouses along a street

Log In

Forgot Password?

Don't have an account? Please