Even though buyers in most markets can break even on a home purchase in less than two years, nearly half of renters in a newly released survey said their credit or finances keep them from buying a home.
Of renters surveyed by Zillow Group (Z), 16% said they can’t qualify for a home loan, 18% said they can’t afford taxes, maintenance and other costs associated with homeownership, and 13% said they don’t have enough savings for a down payment. About a quarter said they struggle to pay their rent.
According to the survey, 82% of renters are long-term renters, and 57% are long-term renters who have lived for a long time in the same home.
Just 14% of renters said they aren’t staying long enough in the same place to buy.
Zillow’s survey sheds light on why some renters are not buying homes, despite historically low interest rates, prices that remain below peak levels in many areas and rising rents. Mortgage math aside, 20% of renters said they simply prefer to rent.
“If the buy versus rent decision were about simple math, we’d likely have millions more homebuyers in the market, because the equation is tilted heavily in favor of buying,” said Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries. “But no matter what the numbers say, buying a home is a huge commitment. Every day, Americans make decisions to buy or rent based on any number of personal dynamics, including preference, flexibility needs, family factors and, yes, financial considerations. There is no right or wrong choice, and it’s important that America’s housing market maintains a number of affordable options for renters and buyers, no matter their preferences.”
Over the last year, as home-price appreciation has slowed down, the length of time it takes to break even on a home purchase grew slightly in most major metros. The breakeven analysis looks at how long it takes to come out ahead on a home purchase versus renting the same home, recouping the costs of buying, including taxes and maintenance.
Among the top 35 metro areas in the U.S., Dallas-Fort Worth had the lowest breakeven horizon, at 1.2 years. Indianapolis, Ind. and Detroit were next at 1.3 years. The highest breakeven horizons were in Los Angeles, at 5.1 years, Washington D.C. (4.2 years) and San Diego (3.8 years). That national average is 1.9 years.
Zillow's breakeven horizon incorporates all costs associated with buying and renting, including upfront payments, closing costs, anticipated monthly rent and mortgage payments, insurance, taxes, utilities, maintenance, and renovation costs. The horizon also factors in home equity growth, for buyers, and, for renters, income earned if they invested the same amount of money into an interest-bearing account. It also factors in historic and anticipated home value appreciation rates, rental prices and rental appreciation rates.