Find out which four housing markets CoreLogic says are overvalued

Texas takes half the list

Market Condition Indicators designed by CoreLogic (CLGX) identified only four of the top 50 markets in the U.S. as currently overvalued, based on data through August 2014.

CoreLogic also found that despite national home price appreciation gains of 11% in 2013 and 6.5% this year, most markets are still recovering from the crisis.

Earlier this year, CoreLogic released Market Condition Indicators, which evaluate whether individual markets are undervalued, at value or overvalued based on a number of economic variables.

 The analysis expects most markets to continue to lag their long-term sustainable level through 2016.

Click image to enlarge

This first graphic looks at home prices nationwide and shows the population-weighted average of the gaps between home prices and their long-run sustainable level in the largest 50 markets.

CoreLogic notes that during the bubble years from 2005 to 2007, prices were more than 10% above the long-run sustainable levels. 

Home prices quickly fell more than 10% below the sustainable price during January 2011 and April 2013.

Subsequently, as home prices have continued to rise, the gap has narrowed to 6% below the long-run sustainable level in August 2014. CoreLogic forecasts the gap to shrink further to 3% by the end of 2016.

Click image to enlarge

This shows the four overvalued markets of the top 50 in CoreLogic’s list.

Topping the list are two metro areas in Texas—Austin and Houston—where an oil and gas boom has fueled job growth and population growth, pushing home prices well above their sustainable levels.

Home prices in these two markets are also well above their historical peak levels: 22.8% for Austin and 16.2% for Houston. The other two overvalued metros are Miami, Fla. and Washington, D.C. As home prices rose significantly since 2013, homes have become less affordable in these two markets, and, therefore, home prices less sustainable.

Most Popular Articles

Airbnb properties wouldn’t make a dent in housing market

While the real estate market has lots of challenges during the COVID-19 pandemic, a tsunami of houses being sold by Airbnb hosts who can’t pay their mortgages isn’t one of them. HW+ Premium Content

Jun 02, 2020 By

Latest Articles

[PULSE] Will servicers be able to flatten the curve in foreclosures?

In his third pulse piece in a three-part blog series, former CFPB Director Richard Cordray discusses the questionable future of nonbank servicers and the impact of mass foreclosures.

Jun 04, 2020 By
3d rendering of a row of luxury townhouses along a street

Log In

Forgot Password?

Don't have an account? Please