[Expert commentary] Much of the commentary surrounding the Federal Reserve’s decision Wednesday to raise the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points has been about how this is likely to have a negative effect on home affordability. What if this isn’t true? In fact, here are three positive side effects to rising interest rates.
Some industry observers have been predicting the demise of this market since Blackstone, the largest purchaser of single-family rental homes, announced plans to slow down its acquisition volume earlier this year. But the data paints a very different picture.
The double whammy over the past few days of flat existing home sales and a disastrous drop in new home sales appears to have dimmed many analysts’ views of the housing market recovery. So is the housing recovery over?
The slowdown is partly due to the fact that there are fewer distressed assets available for purchase as foreclosure rates slow down. But it’s also partly due to the fact that there’s just not much inventory of any kind on the market.
What can we make of the seeming incongruity of indicators in the housing market as 2013 comes to a close? Mortgage applications recently hit a 13-year low. Existing home sales fell for the third consecutive month – and for the first time on a year-over-year basis in quite some time.
"If the CFPB intends to pursue discrimination caused by policies that have a discriminatory effect, it may want to start by looking a little more closely at the policies of its own," says Rick Sharga, executive vice president with Auction.com
A foreclosure moratorium is one of those suggestions that sounds like a good idea. And, for borrowers currently in foreclosure or seriously in default on their loans, a moratorium would provide a temporary reprieve.
Unfortunately, for the overwhelming majority of those borrowers, a moratorium would do nothing to change the ultimate outcome of the foreclosure process, it would simply be delaying the inevitable.
Build to rent allows investors to buy newly built homes and rent them out instead of selling them. Because the homes are new, investors are able to charge higher rent prices and tenants often stay in the home for longer periods of time. But the question remains: Why would builders move into the rental market during a time when homes are selling quickly and at higher prices than any time in the past decade?
Today the average student debt resulting from a four-year degree stands at $30,000. According to a report released by American Student Assistance in 2015, 71% of non-homeowners surveyed who carry student debt say the burden of monthly payments has kept them from purchasing a home. More than half of those say their student debt loads will likely prevent home ownership for another five years.
Currently, institutional investors control approximately 170,000 properties (a relatively small portion of the overall SFR space, which is dominated by smaller investors, and estimated to include 11 to 13 million properties). KBRA reports that 105,000 properties have been included in the 26 single-borrower deals done to date, which suggests there are somewhere north of 60,000 properties that could still be securitized.