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Archive for December, 2011

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

Across most of the country, home values are stuck in the doldrums, crimping consumer spending and leaving anxious owners in search of relief.

You’d think the situation would present an inviting opening for the Republican candidates vying to challenge President Obama, who has acknowledged his failure to solve the real estate problem as one of his major policy shortcomings.

Three years into the president’s term, the nation’s housing market remains a mess. Although some data shows some signs of improvement in recent months, one in four homes with mortgages is underwater and homeowners are struggling to cope with the loss of $7 trillion in home equity. Meanwhile, the National Association of Home Builders calls 2011 the worst in its 69-year history when it comes to construction of new homes.

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

The Federal Reserve is exempting a few savings and loan holding companies from having to file regulatory data required by the Dodd-Frank Act, while the remaining firms will be treated to a two-year phase-in period to help with compliance burdens.

After the Office of Thrift Supervision was abolished by Dodd-Frank, the Fed assumed oversight of S&Ls. The central bank said that data requested to ensure the firms are compliant with new mandates will not have to be submitted by March 31 as initially requested.

"The phase-in approach will take two years to implement and will begin with the March 31 reporting period, when savings associations are required to file the Financial Institutions Examination Council Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income," or call reports, the Fed said.

Savings and loan holding companies excluded from reporting by the end of the first quarter will have to submit the FR Y-9 series of reports and one of two-year annual reports (the FR Y-6 or FR Y-7), the Fed said.

However, in 2013, these same companies will have to submit all applicable regulatory reports with some variations depending on their size and complexity. The Fed also announced it would offer training and assistance to help these firms complete and submit regulatory reports.

"The board recognizes institutions' need for lead time to prepare for the new reporting requirements," the Fed said. "Thus, consistent with longstanding practice, SLHCs may provide reasonable estimates during the first reporting period."

Click here to access the full advisory and report.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

U.S. banks weathered huge storms in the past few years, but bigger risks lie ahead as benefits from releases on loan-loss reserves give way to a market environment where banks are forced to fight for new revenue and maintain profitability, Trepp said in its 2012 banking outlook report.

"Banks will earn less, putting 2012 a bit behind 2003 in terms of overall industry profitability," said the commercial real estate data analytics firm, which "does not expect 2012 to be a repeat of 2008, but there will be more disappointments than pleasant surprises in the new year."

Trepp said interest margins compressed in 2011, but the damage is mostly modest. Any benefit banks receive from loan-loss reserve releases, which are the difference between loss provisions and charge-offs, will be gone by the middle of the year and account for 5% to 10% of net income next year.

Banks will rush to try and pick up new revenue by rolling out new fees, requiring higher minimum balances on deposit accounts and providing more incentives for customers to use their credit cards, Trepp said.

The European debt crisis will be manageable for the most part, Trepp said, but a prolonged crisis could create problems at home through higher global spreads and general volatility that could hurt the banks by stifling overall economic activity.

Trepp did report some positive news, saying commercial real estate loan performance will improve somewhat in 2012, but tight lending guidelines and high delinquency rates will hold back a substantial recovery in the segment for at least another few years. In addition, charge-offs will persist as banks shed more problem assets next year.

Banks also will be dealing with a costly regulatory environment in 2012 as costs grow, reducing profitability. Still, Trepp said banks have had time to adjust and adapt their business models to new regulatory requirements.

Bank failures will come at a slower pace in 2012, but are still expected to continue through 2013. The pace of failures will decrease if the economy stabilizes, but could pick up if America falls back into recession.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

Consumer confidence jumped nearly 10 points to a December reading of 64.5, according to the The Conference Board survey.

The monthly index rose from 55.2 in November, marking the second month of increases after six months of declines.

The December consumer confidence reading is back at levels last seen in April when the index sat at 66, though considerably lower than the 100 score benchmarked in 1985.

Lynn Franco, director of the board's consumer research, said in a release that it's too soon to tell whether the index increase shows a shift in attitude or is just a rebound.

Consumers' assessment of current conditions, short-term outlook and the job market all improved in December.

About 16.6% of respondents said the current market is good, up from 13.9% in November. Those who said conditions are bad declined to 33.9% from 38%.

More consumers expected business conditions to improve over the next six months as well, increasing to 16.7% from 13.9%. That's compared to a decrease to 13.4% from 16.1% in those predicting economic decline.

Positive job outlook rose to 13.3% from 12.4%, while respondents in the negative declined to 20.2% from 23.8%.

The consumer confidence index is a random sample completed for the board by market research firm Nielsen. The cutoff date for survey results was Dec. 14.

Write to Andrew Scoggin.

Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

Home prices in October declined in 19 American cities, as the Standard & Poor's/Case Shiller home price index showed drops in both the 10-city and 20-city composites.

According to the latest S&P report, home prices declined 1.1% and 1.2% for the 10- and 20-city composite indexes.

"There was weakness in the monthly statistics, as 19 of the cities posted price declines in October over September," said David Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Indices. "Eleven of the cities and both composites fell by 1.0% or more during the month. And even though some of the annual rates are improving, 18 cities and both composites are still negative. Nationally, home prices are still below where they were a year ago. The 10-city composite is down 3.0% and the 20-City is down 3.4% compared to October 2010."

S&P said fourteen of 20 metropolitan statistical areas and both the 10 and 20-city composite indexes had improved annual returns up from September.

Miami experienced no change in annual returns in terms of pricing during the month of October, while Atlanta, Detroit, Las Vegas, Los Angeles and Minneapolis saw their annual rates worsen. Atlanta experienced the lowest annual pricing return, with prices down 11.7%.

"Atlanta and the Midwest are regions that really stand out in terms of recent relative weakness. Atlanta was down 5% over the month, after having fallen by 5.9% in September," the report said.  "It also has the weakest annual return, down 11.7%. Chicago, Cleveland Detroit and Minneapolis all posted monthly declines of 1.0% or more in October. These markets were some of the strongest during the spring/summer buying season. However, Detroit is the healthiest when viewed on an annual basis. It is up 2.5% versus October 2010."

The only metropolitan statistical area to record a positive monthly change was Phoenix, which saw home prices edge up 0.3% from September to October.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

The delinquency rate of single-family mortgages held by Freddie Mac edged up to 3.57% in November from 3.54% in October, the government-sponsored enterprise said.

The multifamily delinquency rate fell to 0.28% in November from 0.31% the prior month, and the GSE's total mortgage portfolio decreased at an annualized rate of 6.9% in November. A year ago, the single-family delinquency rate was 3.85% and the multifamily rate was about 0.34%.

Freddie completed 6,886 loan modifications during November, up from 6,571 a month earlier and 6,465 in September.

The single-family guarantee volume hit $27 billion in November, making up 71% of the mortgage giant's total portfolio. That compares to $24.1 billion in October.

In addition, the unpaid principal balance of Freddie's mortgage-related investment portfolio decreased by $5.8 billion in November.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Monday, December 26th, 2011

Backers of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau are urging the White House to use whatever means necessary to get a director in place, and argue that “extreme” Republican opposition has made such moves not only acceptable, but necessary.

A filibuster-proof bloc of GOP senators promised before a director was even nominated they would block any selection unless changes were made to the new agency’s structure. And they followed through with that promise earlier this month, halting the president’s nominee, Richard Cordray.

Monday, December 26th, 2011

For most Americans, Friday afternoons are filled with positive anticipation of the weekend. In Washington, it’s where government officials dump stories they want to bury. Good news gets dropped on Monday so bureaucrats can talk about it all week. When the Securities Exchange Commission chose a recent Friday to announce a lawsuit against six former Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac executives, it wasn’t because the Obama administration wanted to draw attention to the action.

The White House spent tremendous political capital passing the Dodd-Frank financial-regulation law and spared no opportunity to demonize Wall Street for its role in the financial crisis. They’ve blamed big banks, rating agencies, and the derivatives market, and the massive bill itself was sold as a way to prevent future crisis. But the White House narrative – and the bill itself – completely ignores the role of the two mortgage giants in the financial collapse.

Friday, December 23rd, 2011

New single-family home sales edged up 1.6% in November when compared to the previous month, a government report said Friday.

The Commerce Department said home sales hit an annual rate of 315,000 units, up from 310,000 in October and 287,000 in November 2010.

Meanwhile, the median sales price for a new home in November hovered at $214,000, while the average sales price hit $242,900.

The adjusted rate of new homes for sale at the end of November hit 158,000, creating a six-month supply of homes at the current rate.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Thursday, December 22nd, 2011

[Update 1: Bill signed into law]

Speaker of the House John Boehner, R-Ohio, said he reached a deal Thursday to end an impasse with Democrats over a two-month extension of the payroll tax cut.

The bill passed by unanimous consent in the House and Senate and was signed into law by President Obama on Friday.

The bill still includes a 10-basis-point increase in the guarantee fees charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The Congressional Budget Office said the increases would offset the cost of the tax cut by $35.7 billion through 2021.

Boehner, in a statement on his website, said he and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., agreed to the terms of the Senate version passed Saturday.

The Senate version, which passed 89-10, included a two-month extension of the payroll tax cut along with other benefits. The House earlier passed its own version of the bill with a one-year extension.

The tax cut expires Dec. 31.

Boehner, in the statement, said "a new bill will be approved by the House" that also includes language that allows businesses to use the same processes to process and withhold payroll taxation. He said he and Reid would ask both chambers to pass the bill by unanimous consent before Christmas.

The House and Senate will immediately appoint conferees to negotiate a long-term deal that includes a yearlong tax cut extension, Boehner said.

Senate Republicans largely disapproved of their House colleagues' refusal to pass the Senate version. In a statement earlier Thursday, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., said the House should pass the two-month extension.

Asked at a press conference if he regrets the political repercussions of the standoff, Boehner said, "doing the right thing for the right reasons is always the right thing to do."

"Sometimes it's hard to do the right thing. And sometimes, it's politically difficult to do the right thing," Boehner said. "It may not have been politically the smartest thing in the world but let me tell you what, I think our members waged a good fight. We were able to come to an agreement, we were able to fix what came out of the Senate."

Write to Andrew Scoggin.

Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.



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