Some players in the financial industry look favorably upon new issuance of commercial mortgage-backed securities.
The CMBS market is currently benefiting from tightening spreads and a slowing loan default rate. Further, newly structured CMBS 2.0 differs from pre-bust deals in that there are more loans pooled and less perceived operational risk.
"With the dearth of capital in the space and banks really not lending in the space yet, the gap in spreads to us is very attractive," said James Camp, managing director of fixed income at Eagle Asset Management, regarding CMBS.
While U.S. equities were a model of volatility late last week, the CMBS market was unflappable, according to analytics firm Trepp. As U.S. stocks unraveled last Thursday, CMBS spreads moved only a hair wider. When stocks rebounded on Friday, the CMBS market, again, barely budged.
"I think CMBS is going to do better than people think," Camp said. "The new deals are coming well-structured relative to historic deals that have been through the wringer, so the new issue market actually appeals to us."
Camp said he likes the convexity, the measure of the bond to changes in interest rates, of CMBS 2.0.
CMBS issued in 2001 weathered two financial downturns, making them solid examples of what CMBS underwriting should look like in the future, a Fitch Ratings report said last week.
To counteract the fall in underwriting standards, Camp said Eagle Asset looks at property types such as multifamily that are diverse geographically and in type. The firm stays away from CMBS comprised of industrial, medical, office and retail loans.
"We don't do a lot of lumpy deals where there are single tenants or big anchor properties that can get in trouble," Camp said.
Delinquencies on commercial mortgage-backed securities declined for the fourth consecutive month in November, suggesting this segment of the market is holding up, according to Fitch Ratings.
New delinquencies in November hit $1.8 billion, but were offset by $2.2 billion in resolutions.
But half of all these new delinquencies were tied to office loans. When evaluating all CMBS loan types — office, retail, multifamily and hotel — the largest percent gain in delinquencies occurred in the office property space.
The delinquency rates for commercial mortgages held by banks and in CMBS fell slightly in the third quarter, while delinquencies for loans held by life insurance firms rose, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
"It's hard to paint a broad stroke of the whole asset class because it is deal-by-deal," Camp said. "We prefer the commercial side over the residential side as a general rule right now."
Write to Justin T. Hilley.
Follow him on Twitter @JustinHilley.
Congressional leaders want to use the government-sponsored enterprises as a gift card for the taxpayers.
Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., drafted legislation that looks to deposit the guarantee fees of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac directly into the coffers of the Treasury, in order to maintain the payroll tax cut.
It is akin to giving Bill Gates an update to Microsoft Silverlight for Christmas.
But the larger question is at what point will the continued and sustained slaps to the face of Fannie and Freddie stop?
Perhaps never. Casey clearly is joining the chorus of the thought machine that dictates the GSEs must be treated as pariahs.
But at what costs? Do we really need to take the money the GSEs earned for their services? It is not enough, in Casey's view that 10% of GSE revenue every quarter goes to the Treasury until everything is paid back.
And these slim pickings must then go into the single basket of the Treasury?
The problem is more than a little distressing. It is understandable to say that Fannie and Freddie need to be dealt with strongly. It's well established that the villagers are waving pitchforks and torches outside the gates of the GSEs.
It is very important the single largest investor in the GSEs, the American taxpayer, gets every single penny back. But let's put some perspective on this.
The national political milquetoast so far appears incapable of reaching a solution to the GSEs. So excuse me for the vote of no confidence here.
What's more, Congress is especially incapable of managing the nation's debts.
The sovereign rating is facing another downgrade due to the lack of a deficit reduction plan. This is a rating nearly independent of the GSEs and it is that directly impacts the operations of Fannie and Freddie, and now this legislation appears to say that we need to rob Peter to pay Paul.
Money paid into the Treasury can end up anywhere. There is no Federal Housing Finance Agency overseeing that operation. Further, the accountability the public enjoys today — the parading of CEOs in front of Congressional-appointed panels to talk about their pay — will be sucked into the Treasury along with the g-fees.
Fannie and Freddie are in conservatorship; they cannot fight back.
That doesn't mean we should sit back in silence and allow illogical ideas on mortgage finance to move forward.
Indeed, this is one piece of legislation that needs to be regifted.
Happy holidays.
Write to Jacob Gaffney.
Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.
Tags: Fannie Mae, FHFA, freddie mac, Treasury
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