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Archive for December, 2011

Thursday, December 15th, 2011

Real estate information provider DataQuick named Frank O’Neill Jr. chief appraiser.

O'Neill will set and direct policies for the San Diego-based company's appraisal department and maintain its valuation products.

Most recently, O'Neill served as senior vice president and chief appraiser for Sepso Appraisal Associates.

In his 26 years of experience in the industry, O’Neill has managed his own firm and served as vice president of zone relations and training for real estate database developer Zaio. He has more than 15 years experience as an appraisal instructor for the Appraisal Institute and an adjunct professor for the University of Connecticut.

“DataQuick and its customers will benefit greatly from not only Frank’s work experience, but also his extremely high level of engagement at the industry level through designations, certifications, board memberships and teaching history,” said Rich Kuegler, vice president, business development of DataQuick.

Write to Justin T. Hilley.

Follow him on Twitter @JustinHilley.

Thursday, December 15th, 2011

Mortgage rates in the U.S. hovered near record lows this past week, according to a new mortgage rate report from Freddie Mac.

The 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 3.94%, down from 3.99% a week earlier and 4.83% last year. The GSE says the 30-year, FRM is now in line with April 1971 levels.

The 15-year, FRM also fell back to 1991 levels with a rate of 3.21%, down from 3.27% a week earlier and 4.17% last year. In addition, the 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage set a new record low of 2.86%, down from 2.93% last year and 3.77% a year earlier.

The 1-year ARM fell back to January 1984 levels, with the rate hitting 2.81%, up from 2.80% last week and 3.35% a year earlier.

Bankrate made similar findings, concluding that mortgage rates are back to record lows. Rates have failed to maintain a rate above 6% since 2008.

Bankrate reported the 30-year, FRM fell to 4.19% from 4.24%, while the 15-year, FRM declined from 3.48% to 3.42%, and the 5/1 ARM grew to 3.21% from 3.18%.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Thursday, December 15th, 2011

U.S. homebuilders that survived four years of a down market could get a slight reprieve in 2012 as the economy gains some momentum, Fitch Ratings said Thursday.

Analysts predict modest improvements in construction activity next year along with a slowly expanding economy that should boost consumer confidence.

Cash flow for homebuilders remained mostly flat in 2011 and will likely be negative for most builders in 2012, Fitch said. Still, the ratings agency expects builders to enjoy moderately strong liquidity positions at the start of 2012.

Overall, how builders fare in 2012 will be dependent on individual factors such as the firm's customers, geographic region and products.

While the report is relatively optimistic, Fitch still sees homebuilders as having to compete with a growing foreclosure inventory. In addition, home prices are still expected to fall slightly.

The ratings firm believes spending among builders on land and development deals will remain flat or edge up slightly over 2011 levels.

Fitch is not the only one to release a more optimistic than expected report on U.S. homebuilders.

FBR on Monday said a declining unemployment rate and a move to less rigid lending standards will help homebuilders in 2012. The company even gave outperform ratings to builders Lennar Corp. (LEN: 22.28 +0.68%) and Standard Pacific Corp. (SPF: 3.93 +0.77%).

Still, some homebuilders face challenges ahead. A few months ago, another Fitch Ratings report predicted some builders still face negative rating actions as the economy slugs through a tepid recovery.

Robert Curran, managing director and lead homebuilding analyst for Fitch, said for the first time in a long time, housing "is not fulfilling its role as a key impetus to the early stages of an economic recovery."

Curran, at the time, said the pressures have already prompted Fitch to downgrade Beazer Homes USA [BZH]] KB Home (KB: 38.08 +3.06%) and PulteGroup (PHM: 7.79 -0.13%) in recent weeks.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Thursday, December 15th, 2011

Jobless claims in the United States fell 4.9% to a three-year low for the week ending Dec. 10, the Labor Department said Thursday.

The number of initial claims fell to 366,000 from the revised figure of 385,000 the previous week. The four-week moving avera decreased to 387,750 from the prior week's revised average of 394,250.

Meanwhile, the advanced seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.9% for the week ending Dec. 3, which remained unchanged.

Analysts with Capital Economics viewed the latest data as a sign of some positive developments.

"Today's first dump of data releases are, on balance, consistent with the U.S. economy not only shrugging off the downturns in Europe and China, but actually strengthening a little. The Empire State manufacturing index improved to a seven-month high of 9.5 in December, from 0.6, while initial jobless claims fell to a three-and-a-half-year low of 366,000 last week, from 385,000."

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Foreclosure filings in the United States edged lower in November, but the potential for a new foreclosure wave in early 2012 is possible, RealtyTrac said.

The foreclosure data firm says November foreclosure filings declined 3% from October and were down 14% from the year-ago period, with 224,394 postings on the books last month.

While the November numbers suggest improvements in clearing the inventory of distressed properties, RealtyTrac co-founder James Saccacio sees the potential for another wave of foreclosures in the first part of 2012.

"Despite a seasonal slowdown similar to what we’ve seen in each of the past four years, November’s numbers suggest a new set of incoming foreclosure waves, many of which may roll into the market as REOs or short sales sometime early next year," said James Saccacio, co-founder of RealtyTrac. He said the 14% decline is "the smallest annual decrease over the past 12 months, and some bellwether states such as California, Arizona and Massachusetts actually posted year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity in November."

Saccacio noted that scheduled foreclosure auctions hit a nine-month high in November. Activity in that segment is tied to an upswing in default notices, which began in August.

"Many of the new defaults that started the foreclosure process over the past few months are now being scheduled for public foreclosure auction," Saccacio added.

Nevada has the highest foreclosure rate in the United States, making it the top foreclosure state in terms of rate for the 59th straight month in a row. California, Arizona, Florida and Michigan also continue to see heavy doses of foreclosure activity.

Foreclosure filings were posted on 63,689 California properties last month, with the West Coast state representing 28% of all national foreclosure activity. California cities also account for nine of the top 10 metro areas when ranking cities by foreclosure rate. The only exception was Las Vegas, which ranked No. 6, with one in every 150 housing units with a foreclosure filing in November.

Michigan — another state hit by the foreclosure storm — had 13,777 foreclosure filings in November, a 14% decrease from October. Still, Michigan's monthly total is the third highest in the nation.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

American Home Mortgage Servicing Inc. will ensure borrowers have a single point of contact and other mortgage assistance based on a settlement agreement the servicer reached with Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine.

The state AG announced the settlement deal this week, ending a two-year investigation into mortgage servicing issues.

DeWine's office filed suit against AHMSI in 2009, claiming the firm violated consumer protection laws by not providing the appropriate level of assistance to borrowers who were reaching out for mortgage assistance.

As part of the agreement, AHMSI said it will give borrowers a SPOC when they complete a loan modification application. In addition, the firm will use a specific time line for loan modification requests, while also temporarily suspending foreclosures when a borrower completes a loan modification form.

It also will establish an internal review process for denied loan modifications.

In addition, AHMSI said it will no longer stipulate in loss mitigation agreements that borrowers have no right to file claims against lenders or any holders of the mortgage note.

AHMSI also agreed to work with federal and state programs that assist distressed homeowners.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Single-family originations will likely dip in 2012 because of fewer refinances, according to Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac.

The market will see a refinance burnout, Nothaft said, with a dwindling pool of eligible borrowers and higher mortgage rates by the second half of 2012.

Nothaft projects $1.3 trillion in single-family mortgage originations in 2011, compared to $1.14 trillion in 2012 and $1.07 trillion in 2013.

The Freddie Mac projections for 2012 come as a Pew Research Center study showed a record-low number of adults married in the U.S. About 51% of all adults were married as of 2010, down significantly from 72% in 1960.

The Pew study released Wednesday also found only 20% of adults ages 18 to 29 were married, a sharp decline from 1960's rate of 59%.

Typically, Nothaft said younger, newly married couples prefer to move out of their parents' houses and form their own households. Using U.S. Census Bureau data, Nothaft found an increase of 800,000 households dating back a year from mid-2011, making for a relatively weak growth rate.

The numbers of households averaged an increase per year of about 1.1 million dating back to 2000, according to the Census Bureau.

It's not known, the Pew report said, whether younger adults are abandoning or putting off marriage. It's also unclear if it's related to the economy, but Nothaft said it's likely the reason for fewer marriages and, therefore, households.

Nothaft said to expect more multifamily originations in 2012 due to refinance opportunities and high demand for rentals. About 1.4 million households moved into rental housing in the year prior to mid-2011, he said.

"It's because many households are reluctant at the current time to enter the purchase market," Nothaft said. "This will tend to be younger couples and couples that have been placed out of homeownership because of default and foreclosure."

In the past year, homeownership rates dropped to 21.9% for people younger than 25, and to 34.7% of 25-to-29-year-olds.

Burgeoning student loan debt might also restrict younger adults' entry into the housing market, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting. The firm said student loans debt now totals $865 million, or $25,000 a student.

"Student loans are going to be yet another hurdle for the housing market to overcome," consulting firm analyst Rick Palacios said.

On his outlook of general housing activity, Nothaft said the market will improve in 2012 but not to the point of a "full-fledged recovery."

Write to Andrew Scoggin.

Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

November short-sale transactions in Orlando increased 39.4% over last year, buoying the median home sales price in the market by 9.52%, the Orlando Regional Realtor Association said Wednesday.

The median Orlando home sales price last month was $115,000. In the short-sales segment, the median selling price jumped 7.1% from last year, with the average short sale going for $106,000.

The association attributes the year-over-year sales price increase to an influx of short sales.

"The increase in completed short-sales transactions is heartening," ORRA Chairman Mike McGraw said.

McGraw claims short sales in Orlando now make up 73% of all pending home closings.

The uptick in November home sales prices is good news for sellers, but could mean buyers will see slightly higher asking prices in the future, the association reports.

Since January, Orlando's median home sales price has grown by more than 21%, ORRA said.

Meanwhile, the median price for bank-owned sales hit $81,999 in November, up 4.1% from last year. Bank-owned sales also represented more than 23% of all transactions.

Fannie Mae's November housing survey echoed some of the trends reported in Orlando, with the GSE's economists noting that consumer sentiment on the trajectory of home prices improved in November. The report said consumers remain cautiously optimistic.

Credit Suisse (CS: 26.78 +0.26%) released a report Wednesday, saying home prices are now in line with consumer buying power. Based on this information, Credit Suisse analysts now expect home prices to stabilize next year.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

The worst moment of the credit crisis came and went and with it Washington's political will to enact meaningful change to heal the suffering housing market and the financial condition of its homeowners, according to the chief economist at real estate data firm Trulia.

Jed Kolko said Wednesday that the housing market is in better shape now than in early 2009, but Americans are more pessimistic about what both the presidential administration and Congress can do to get back to normal, which, four years into the housing crisis, he and most economists say is years away.

Furthermore, the presidential election season won't be a catalyst.

"In election years, politicians don't take risks," Kolko said in response to HousingWire questioning. "Election years are more talk and less action. With the economy slowly recovering, inventories declining and prices no longer plummeting, the housing market is not in enough of a crisis to force political opponents together."

The summer's grueling debt ceiling debate that led to a Standard & Poor's August downgrade in the nation's credit ratings and the lack of results from the super committee in hashing out a plan to cut the federal budget impaired American confidence in Congress.

"Five years of the housing crisis has hardened Americans," Kolko said.

Recovery in the housing market depends on consumer confidence, and lowering defaults and foreclosures is key to rebuilding that confidence.

"Americans won’t believe our economy is improving until they see real proof," Kolko said. "As long as there are foreclosed homes and lingering for-sale signs in neighborhoods across the country, people are faced with constant, everyday reminders that the housing market is still struggling."

A new Trulia survey found that 57% of Democrats and 73% of Republicans believe housing will hurt President Barack Obama’s chance of reelection, and with the U.S. economy still struggling, 54% of Americans are not confident the president can stabilize the housing market in the next 12 months. This is a notable increase since Obama took office in 2009 when only 32% shared this sentiment.

The survey found that most Americans agree that fixing the economy should come before any housing policy. 78% of Republicans and 82% of Democrats said lowering unemployment is an extremely or very important public policy goal, followed by raising employment growth and reducing the federal budget deficit, which now stands at $1.3 trillion.

However, Kolko said some government housing policies will offer aid such as the recent expansion of HARP, which will lead to more refinancing, and the Federal Housing Finance Agency's proposal to put up government-owned home for sale or rent. But he added that most people aren't qualified to refinance under the new HARP and most vacant or foreclosed homes aren't owned by the government.

"These policies are not silver bullets for ending the housing crisis," he said. "I don't expect policy break-through proposals in 2012."

When asked about specific policies and proposals, the survey respondents called for efforts to help homeowners stay in their homes as opposed to helping people buy homes. Most Americans favored making it easier for homeowners to refinance, while only 46% wanted to raise the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac conforming loan limit.

Kolko predicted "with 100% certainty that housing will remain a local game," saying that local markets will have their own trends in 2012.

"Often crisis give us the opportunity to overcome traditional political divisions and gives elected officials a chance to make sometimes heroic policy proposals that don't come outside of crisis," Kolko said. "But we've missed the opportunity for Congress and the administration to come together and make major  change."

Write to Justin T. Hilley.

Follow him on Twitter @JustinHilley.

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

The Federal Housing Finance Agency proposal to reform the mortgage servicer compensation model will inevitably lead to consolidation in the industry, forcing smaller players out of the market, the Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp. said in an industry statement this week.

The industry analytics firm claims the proposed model hurts smaller servicing firms, because it forces those companies to become a flat fee-for-service model, thrusting the industry into a future where larger economies of scale are required.

MIAC suggested the plan is a leg up for too-big-to-fail financial firms, while smaller servicers will face major headwinds. The net effect of this would be the exit of smaller and mid-sized servicing shops, MIAC suggested in its advisory note.

"The adoption of the FHFA proposal will have a major impact on the mortgage industry and will dramatically change the economics of servicing residential mortgage loans," MIAC said.

"While this may be beneficial for mega-servicers to help them comply with capital requirements under Basel III, it will have a negative effect for all other small and medium-size servicers, and would effectively reduce the role of all servicers to that of a subservicer for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac."

The plan would require servicers to retain a reduced MSF strip in the range of 12.5-to-20 basis points relative to today's 25 basis points standard, with an additional reserve account to cover nonperforming loan servicing expenses.

MIAC also attacked the way fees are assessed under the proposed plan writing: "Any proposal that compensates a servicer with additional fees for non-performing loans simply doesn’t make sense, since it encourages servicers to allow performance to deteriorate."

The Mortgage Bankers Association has also challenged the proposed compensation model, and is encouraging industry firms to make their voices heard on Capitol Hill. The trade group released a statement earlier this year, saying the plan could have the effect of stalling liquidity in the TBA (to-be-announced) market. The MBA is pushing for a cash reserve structure that would defer some existing fees to cover servicing costs for times of financial distress.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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