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Archive for December, 2011

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Redwood Trust (RWT: 11.63 -0.17%) is building out its national correspondent brokerage system of 15 to 20 firms originating loans for new commercial mortgage-backed securities deals.

The real estate investment trust is the only issuer of private-label residential MBS since the financial crisis struck in 2008. Scott Chisholm, who heads up the commercial side at Redwood, said one of the correspondent lenders is Colliers International. A number of other firms set up agreements as well.

The correspondent network is just one of the Redwood commercial real estate origination channels. In fact, most of the loans come from in-house origination teams who source lending opportunities from banks, insurance companies and directly from borrowers. It has already originated 13 loans worth $137 million.

"We have a very robust pipeline," Chisholm said. "We anticipate originating up to $50 million in commercial loans per quarter, probably at the high end of that over the near term."

Like its jumbo RMBS offerings, Redwood will be targeting high-credit borrowers with an average loan duration of five years. They are currently looking at mezzanine loans that fill the financing gap between the first mortgage and the borrower's equity. Some of the senior loans go into CMBS, but most stay on the balance sheets of the banks or insurance companies.

Various but specific sectors will be targeted including multifamily, offices, grocery-anchored retail and hospitality buildings in major metro areas. For offices, Chisholm said they would look at spaces with good access to transportation.

There are some struggles, including the $2 billion in CMBS loans set to mature next year, and a delinquency rate above 12%, according to Standard & Poor's. The CMBS sector is more lively than the RMBS side. Rents are rising, vacancies are falling and investment returns are enticing, Chisholm said.

"Commercial mortgage capital is relatively scarce," Chisholm said. "Banks are somewhat reluctant to add new commercial real estate exposure. CMBS special servicers have a $2 billion wall of maturities facing them. We like the fundamentals in our specific areas, and we love the multifamily opportunities."

He added: "It's very closely aligned with the residential side. We're targeting really good credits."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

There is a movement afoot in Washington that has the potential to set a dangerous new precedent that would open a Pandora’s box of bad public policy by robbing Peter to pay Paul and in the process, increasing the cost of purchasing a home for most Americans.

In their effort to raise revenue in order to extend the current payroll tax holiday, policymakers have proposed imposing a new tax on homebuyers that will cost each homebuyer thousands of dollars over the life of their loans. This new tax comes in the form of a proposed 10-basis-point increase in the guarantee fees charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on new loans. For the average borrower, that could mean an additional $4,000 in fees over the life of a $200,000 mortgage.

However, rather than going to help Fannie and Freddie mitigate their risk — the express purpose of their guarantee fees — the monies raised from this new tax on homebuyers would go directly into the U.S. Treasury to pay for a two-month extension of the  payroll tax holiday.  Almost every borrower who gets a mortgage in the next 10 years will endure 30 years of increased fees for just two months of reduced payroll taxes?

I don’t object to raising guarantee fees if it serves to strengthen the institutions and their risk management. In fact, I raised premiums three times when I was Federal Housing Administration commissioner for that exact purpose — repaying the taxpayers for their 2008 investment in Fannie and Freddie, or as part of a more comprehensive policy effort to reduce their footprint in the mortgage market. But this proposal would accomplish none of these goals. Instead, it would simply allow policymakers to fund the tax whims of the day.

And where does it stop? Will we see another increase down the road to replenish the piggybank the next time policymakers need more money to spend? What happens when the two months are up and policymakers want to extend the payroll tax holiday again? Ten basis points here and 10 basis points there adds up to real money for millions of American homebuyers.

Given the current economic climate and exploding federal deficits, outside-the-box thinking and innovative solutions are imperative to getting our country back on the right economic track. But this is not the answer. Congress needs to take a hard look at all the implications before rushing into such a short-sighted decision.

Stevens is president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Four members of the House of Representatives received discounted mortgages through a special Countrywide program, according to a letter Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif. sent to an ethics committee Friday.

Issa did not name the congressmen in the letter.

The committee on Government Oversight and Accountability launched an investigation into the Countrywide Financial Corp. VIP program in 2008. It subpoenaed Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) twice and received roughly 100,000 pages of documents showing the VIP loans serviced by Countrywide branch 850.

BofA acquired Countrywide in January 2008.

"Testimony and documents show that Countrywide used the VIP program to build relationships with government officials and others positioned to advance Countrywide's business interests," Issa said in the letter.

Issa said the program lasted from January 1996 to June 2008. It gave loans to federal government employees and others who worked at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

"My staff is also aware of the possibility that loans with VIP-benefits were conferred to other members and serviced by a separate loan processing branch," Issa said.

The Senate Ethics Committee cleared a previous case brought against retired Sen. Chris Dodd, D-Ct., in December 2010 after he was charged with taking a Countrywide VIP mortgage as well.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Bank of America's (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) stock price plummeted Monday, falling below $5 per share for the first time in more than two years and closing down more than 4.5%.

At last trade Monday, BofA was valued at $4.99 per share, before edging back up in after-hours trading to slightly above $5.

The Wall Street Journal noted the significance of the $5 mark in a blog post Monday: "Some money managers have to sell stocks priced below $5. In any event, it’s terrible optics, as this bank, once the biggest in America, now fits some definitions of a 'penny stock.' "

MarketWatch said it’s the first time BofA's stock price has fallen below the $5 mark since 2009.

Banks Monday felt some of the aftershocks of worries over European debt concerns. Wells Fargo's (WFC: 29.60 +1.89%) stock price fell 2.66%, with the stock last trading at $25.30 per share Monday afternoon, compared to $25.98 at Friday's close.

Citigroup Inc.'s (C: 30.87 +1.61%) stock price fell 4.65%, with it shares last trading at $24.82 per share, compared to $26.03 per share on Friday.

Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase's (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%) stock fell 3.73% Monday, with shares trading at $30.70 per share at market close, compared to $31.89 at close on Friday.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Next year could bring a few bright spots for real estate investors — namely in the residential rental segment — but uncertainty is expected to reign, making next year a repeat of 2011, analysts said.

Stuart Eisenberg, national director of the real estate practice at BDO USA, predicted there would be a "lot more wait and see in 2012," especially when it comes to politics.

Eisenberg said the euro crisis, high unemployment and tighter credit underwriting are contributing to the uncertainty and will continue to do so through November's elections. He said companies are likely to continue holding back on new deals until they receive more guidance on the future tax situation and the overall focus of the economy.

"The people holding the money are looking for the right opportunities," said Eisenberg. "They are not sure if the price is right or acceptable … all of these uncertainties are coming together to cause inactivity."

Capital Economics also issued a 2012 forecast, projecting gross domestic product growth of 1.5% for next year, which would be down from 1.7% this year.

"Inflation should fall sharply below 1% by year-end, as commodity prices continue to drop back and the unemployment rate remains close to its current level of just below 9%," analysts at the Toronto-based firm said.

Eisenberg sees the residential rental side of the market as one of the few bright spots in 2012.

"There is a lot of demand," he said. "There is going to be more construction in residential rental housing, but longer term you do not want to overbuild on rental properties."

Eisenberg said foreign buyers who are coming into local markets, like Florida, are another bright spot for now. However, he says there's still a lingering feeling of uncertainty over the future of exchange rates and the foreign debt situation.

He says what could help the market experience growth next year would be a general lessening of underwriting guidelines on mortgages coupled with more job growth.

Another area where the outlook is brighter for 2012 is the commercial real estate segment, especially when looking at multifamily rentals, Hessam Nadji with Marcus & Millichap told CNBC. Nadji said occupancy rates are improving and the sector is dealing with decent rates and rental prices "in a world that is looking for yield."

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

November home sales in the 53 largest metro areas rose 8.1% from last year, the fifth-straight month of increases from a year earlier, according to the real estate network RE/MAX.

Sales did fall 5.7% from the previous month, following a seasonal trend. The inventory of homes on the market dropped for the 17th straight month. Inventory is down 23.7% from last year.

Given the rate of sales, the national market currently holds a 7.8-month supply of homes, which is down from a 10-month supply last year. A market balanced by sellers and buyers usually holds a six-month inventory.

"This market is trying hard to stabilize itself with home sales significantly stronger than one year ago, even though we are entering the holiday season when sales traditionally decline," said Margaret Kelly, CEO of RE/MAX.

Home sales increased 31% in New Orleans, the most of the 41 metros that saw gains. With sales trending higher, Kelly expects prices to follow. Most banking analysts forecast prices to find a bottom sometime in 2012 before heading back up.

The median sales price of homes sold in November was $181,322, up 1.4% from the month before but down 4.2% from last year, according to RE/MAX. Only nine of the 53 metros showed increases from November 2010 led by two cities in Florida. In Orlando, prices climbed 8.5% followed by a 6.1% increase in Miami.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

The BuildFax residential remodeling index reached a record high in October, extending its 23-month climb another month, as homeowners opt to stay put and remodel rather than buy a new home.

The index, which began in 2004, rose to 147.6, up 40% from 105.8 in October 2010. The index stood at 141.4 in September, which was also a high.

"The economy is returning in respect to people investing in their own housing — not in terms of dollars, but in terms of individuals in the U.S.," Joe Emison, vice president of research and development at BuildFax, told HousingWire. "What we are seeing is that people who might have bought a new house before are no longer doing so because they can't, and that energy is being channeled into remodeling."

Emison said while the number of remodeling projects is rising, the average estimated construction cost of each project is falling.

"We see that as an indication that people are doing more comfort remodels, meaning they're modeling to make their homes more comfortable as opposed to flipping it," he said.

The company found the average project cost of a major remodeling project for 2011 was $39,460, down from an index high of $43,808 in 2004. The average project cost of a minor remodeling project in 2011 was $10,968, down from an index high of $12,623 in 2006.

BuildFax's data reveals continued month-over-month gains for most regions of the country as consumers invest in remodeling in the face of growing fears of a double-dip recession and an unemployment rate that stands at 8.9%.

In October, the West (53.6 points; 52.5%), the Midwest (21.4 points; 20.2%) and the South (9.5 points; 10.6%) experienced year-over-year gains from October 2010. The West (9.6 points; 6.8%), the Midwest (7.6 points; 6.2%), the Northeast (1.2 points; 1.6%) and the South (.4 points; 0.4%) had month-over-month gains. The Northeast dropped 3.5 points (4.5%).

The BFRI tracks remodeling activity via building permit activity filed with local building departments across the country.

Write to Justin T. Hilley.

Follow him on Twitter @JustinHilley.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Collateral backing industrial commercial mortgage-backed securities recently hit a delinquency rate of 12.05%, a 22-year high, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said Monday.

The high delinquency rate in the segment generally tracks alongside the nation's gross domestic product activity, which shrank for four quarters in a row during 2008 and 2009 before beginning a slow climb back up.

S&P noted that "the industrial segment is the only major CMBS property type for which delinquencies are currently at historical highs."

S&P said based on studies of servicer-provided net operating income, more than 47% of CMBS industrial collateral has undergone some type of decline since its original issuance.

About $2.4 billion industrial loans are scheduled to mature next year, a factor that is expected to prevent improvement in the number of industrial delinquencies, S&P said.

"With industrial vacancy rates at historical highs and rents remaining stagnant or falling, we don't expect much near-term improvement in NOI at the property level, and it could even decline for certain properties and markets," said Larry Kay, Standard & Poor's credit analyst.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Existing single-family home sales in Texas rose 9% from a year ago in November, the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University said in a report Monday.

The real estate research center found that 15,000 homes sold statewide, with the median home price hitting $147,600. That is up 1% from November 2010 levels.

The state's inventory level currently sits at a 6.6-month supply.

Home sales in Dallas and Houston rose 16% and 11%, respectively, from last November, suggesting more robust activity in those metropolitan areas. The median home price in Dallas declined though, dropping 2% to $151,100 from last November. Houston prices remained more robust, growing 2% from 2010 to $153,800.

Other areas experiencing price increases included Abilene, Arlington, Austin, Longview-Marshall, Lubbock and McAllen. In Abilene alone, median home prices increased 47% over a year ago.

Prices declined year-over-year in Amarillo, Bryan-College Station, Laredo, Odessa, San Antonio and Texarkana.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Borrowers who received foreclosure counseling through a national program were twice as likely to receive a modification, according to a study released Monday.

The Urban Institute evaluated roughly 800,000 homeowners who took help from the National Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling program from January 2008 through December 2009. NeighborWorks America administers the program with federal funds.

The counselors are approved by the Department of Housing and Urban Development. They work on homeowner budgets and guide borrowers through the various options provided by the mortgage servicer to avoid foreclosure.

Those who went through the program were at least 67% more likely to remain current within nine months of receiving a modification, according to the study. Borrowers who went through the program had their payment reduced by an average of $176 per month.

Congress slashed funding for HUD housing counseling programs earlier in the year. The administration and the mortgage industry called for lawmakers to restore the money because of the more than 5 million homeowners who are at least 30 days delinquent, according to Lender Processing Services (LPS: 16.78 +1.39%).

In November, Washington restored some of the money, and HUD was allowed to grant $40 million to counselors.

Eileen Fitzgerald, CEO of NeighborWorks America, said the program and others like it help homeowners and servicers alike by reducing redefaults.

"In short, the personalized work nonprofit housing counselors do to help homeowners improve their overall financial situation had the greatest effect on a homeowner not falling behind again on their mortgages in the future," Fitzgerald said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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