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Archive for November, 2011

Friday, November 11th, 2011

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 259.89 points, or 2.2%, Friday, tacking onto a 1% increase from Thursday.

The gains nearly made up for losses Wednesday, when the Dow dipped 389.24 points, or 3.2%.

Both Nasdaq and the S&P 500 finished up about 2% as well Friday, climbing 53.60 points and 24.16, respectively.

Bank and mortgage servicer stocks largely saw gains Friday, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.24 -0.67%), Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.3401 +1.00%), Ocwen Finacial Corp. (OCN: 13.805 +0.40%) and Goldman Sachs (GS: 110.20 +1.51%).

Mortgage insurers, by way of comparison, finished the day with mixed results.

Radian Group Inc. (RDN: 2.455 -5.21%) declined sharply on the day, while PMI Group Inc. (PMI: 0.00 N/A) finished flat with Thursday's close.

Mortgages insurers Genworth Financial (GNW: 7.77 -0.38%) and MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG: 3.7898 -2.07%) saw gains, with Old Republic International Corp. (ORI: 9.765 +2.14%) had minimal losses.

The Dow is now up 4.98% for the year, with the Nasdaq up 0.98% and S&P up 0.49%.

Write to Andrew Scoggin.

Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York purchased $5.5 billion in mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by the government for the week ending Nov. 9.

Since Oct. 3, when the Fed began reinvesting capital from its previous MBS purchases, it has acquired $25.5 billion in Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae securities.

Along with the MBS purchases, the Fed began buying up $400 billion in long-term Treasury bonds as part of what is commonly referred to as "Operation Twist." The effort is meant to keep borrowing costs down for consumers.

So far, it's worked to some degree. The average interest rate on the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropped below 4% again last week.

In the latest round of MBS purchases, the Fed acquired nearly $1 billion fewer than the week before. It bought $3 billion worth of Fannie-guaranteed MBS; $2.2 billion in Freddie MBS; and $300 million in Ginnie securities.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

The impact of the Federal Housing Finance Agency's revamp of the Home Affordable Refinance Program on prepayment speeds will be largely contained to mortgages originated from 2006 to 2008, according to Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS: 8.67 +0.70%) analysts.

Analysts say HARP 2.0 will minimally — if at all — effect mortgages originated from 2003 to 2005 because most of those borrowers have loan-to-value ratios below 80%, making them more attractive to investors.

For example, 2003 5s have an average LTV of 60% and less than 1% of those have LTV greater than 80%, the analysts say. In contrast, 2008 5s have an average current LTV of 86%, with 85% of those qualifying from an LTV perspective.

The lower LTVs reflect slightly better underwriting from 2003 to 2005 than from 2006 to 2008. More investors are migrating to prepay-protected loans as interest rates continue downward, triggering refinancings in lower coupons.

Borrowers behind 2006 to 2008 higher coupons, 5.5s and above, are the most likely beneficiaries of HARP 2.0., analysts say. They estimate prepayments on those loans will increase 5% to 7%, with the maximum increase at 11%.

Additionally, the analysts say that borrowers backing 2009 to 2010 lower coupons, 4s and 4.5s, are of superior credit because of strict underwriting and more most likely to qualify for a rate refinance. The firm expects speeds to pick up as much as 5% in December after rising 15% to 20% in October.

Last month, analysts at Royal Bank of Scotland said HARP 2.0 will result in just 17% of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 30-year loans qualifying for refinancing.

Write to Justin T. Hilley.

Follow him on Twitter @JustinHilley.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac warned investors last week about growing concerns over their mortgage insurers.

"The already weak financial condition of many of our mortgage insurer counterparties deteriorated at an accelerated pace during the third quarter of 2011, which increased the significant risk that these counterparties will fail to fulfill their obligations to reimburse us for claims under insurance policies," Fannie said in its quarterly financial filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The government-sponsored enterprises owe a combined $151.7 billion in bailouts to the Treasury Department.

Freddie has 18 eligible mortgage insurers, and Fannie has 15. The GSEs rely heavily on these firms to insure against borrower defaults on mortgages with loan-to-value ratios above 80%.

At Fannie, more than $386 billion in unpaid principal is covered by its insurers. At Freddie the number is $206.9 billion, according to their filings.

But the maximum amount both firms could receive in actual potential loss recoveries is significantly less. Fannie reported a maximum of $92.1 billion in possible payouts on its guarantee book of business, almost double the $53.7 billion for Freddie.

"Weak financial condition" fails to capture the stress many of their top insurers are under.

In August, both firms suspended the the PMI Group (PMI: 0.00 N/A) from insuring their loans after its regulator prohibited it and its subsidiaries from writing new business. Payment claims will be paid out at 50% with the rest deferred.

In July, both Fannie and Freddie suspended Republic Mortgage Insurance Co. and its affiliate in North Carolina. In October, RMIC and RMIC-NC agreed with their regulator to cease writing new business.

Triad Guaranty Insurance Corp. agreed to pay out 60% of its claims in cash and defer the rest.

As of Nov. 7, four of their top mortgage insurers, PMI, RMIC, Triad and Genworth (GNW: 7.77 -0.38%) said they were either in run-off, lacked a waiver to continue operating in some states, or estimated they would not meet state regulatory capital requirements.

Another two, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. (MTG: 3.7898 -2.07%) and Radian Guaranty (RDN: 2.455 -5.21%) said without additional capital contributions to their insurance writing subsidiaries, they too would fall below capital requirements in the future.

Combined, these six firms provided $75.7 billion, or 82% of Fannie Mae's risk under insurance coverage as of Sept. 30. At Freddie, these six combined for $40.5 billion in coverage.

Another problem exists. Both Fannie and Freddie disclosed in their filings that at least one major mortgage servicer entered into arrangements with two of the GSE mortgage insurers. Under the arrangement, the servicer – which was not named – would pay the insurer as long as the insurer agrees not to deny coverage of a GSE claim.

When this agreement is in place, Fannie and Freddie cannot make the servicer buy back a soured loan based solely on a denial of coverage. Unless the GSE can find another example the servicer or lender did not comply with guidelines, the GSE cannot force the servicer to buy back the loan.

In some cases, these contractual fixed insurance payments from the mortgage servicer are not enough to cover default claims that would have otherwise been denied. Because of the financial strain such a shortfall causes, the mortgage insurers may not be able to pay other claims to the GSEs.

"As guarantor of the insured loans, we remain responsible for the payment of principal and interest if a mortgage insurer fails to meet its obligation to reimburse us for claims, and this could increase our credit losses," Freddie said in its filing.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

November mid-month consumer sentiment reached its highest level since July, according to the Reuters/University of Michigan survey.

The monthly index hit 64.2 for mid-November, up from 60.9 for all of October and down slightly from an implied 64.3 reading in the last half of last month.

Econoday said consumer sentiment had been unusually low compared with consumer spending, which increased by $68.7 billion, or 0.6%, in September from August according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Consumer expectations for the next six months reached 56.2, up more than points from October. The measure dropped to 47 in September, a 30-year low.

The survey questions 500 households on their financial status and thoughts about the economy.

Write to Andrew Scoggin.

Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

Time is up for many condo associations to benefit from borrowers using mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration. Fewer than 10% of the nation's condominiums received recertification nearly two years after a change in requirements.

So for borrowers looking to buy into those properties, they will be unable to obtain FHA-backing and likely need more in down payment.

But it is those requirements, however, getting backlash from condo associations as well as U.S. lawmakers.

About 2,100 condo projects nationwide were reapproved or recertified for FHA-insured mortgages, as more than 25,000 certifications expired this year through Sept. 30, according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

HUD said uncertified condo associations failed the process for several different reasons., though largely due inability to meet reserve fund requirements, legal disputes, insufficient insurance coverage and high investor ownership.

But in a letter to HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan, U.S. representatives Barney Frank (D-Mass.), Michael Capuano (D-Mass.) and Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.) expressed worry over the new approval process.

The representatives, all three members of the House Committee on Financial Services, urged "the opportunity for public review" on the guidelines before any changes take effect, as well as reconsideration of special assessment and condo fee limits given "current economic conditions."

Condo projects applying for mortgage approval cannot have more than 15% of units more than 30 days behind on fee payments, nor can they have special assessments or loans to make necessary improvements.

"We believe that these factors do not necessarily indicate that the association is in poor fiscal health and as such should be ineligible for FHA mortgage approval," the three representatives wrote in the Oct. 31 letter.

Approval process changes became effective December 2009, requiring condos to apply for recertification every two years. That makes Dec. 7 the latest date a condo's certification can expire without reapplying.

The Community Association Institute said as long as condo associations have a hard time meeting the guidelines, fewer and fewer people will get FHA-backed funding. Of course, the FHA isn't the only mortgage financing in town, but condo sellers long argue that the typical owner-occupant these properties are designed for will not hold large amounts of cash laying around to meet the difference required in down payments.

Andrew Fortin, who works in government affairs for the Virginia-based condo trade group added the problem isn't that FHA is creating guidelines, but rather how it goes about it.

"They're just making it up as they go along, for lack of a better word," Fortin said. "It is essentially two folks for FHA coming out with what they think would be good for the program. What they've created is a set of requirements that make it unnecessarily difficult, if not impossible."

The Cotton Mill, a New Orleans condo project, was one of the 2,100 to receive recertification. The property manager, Linda Resor, said she had little problem reapplying for the converted fabric factory, aside from a few hiccups with documents.

But Resor said the Cotton Mill, which has 287 units, doesn't face the problems of other, smaller condo projects. Previous buildings where she worked struggled to meet the 10% benchmark on budgetary reserves now required by the FHA.

"That was a bummer to smaller communities that they'd rather not have money in the bank," Resor said. "For them to put away 10% of the reserve, they felt it was like big brother breathing down."

The FHA made other changes in its eligibility requirements, including restrictions on investor involvement. At least 50% of units must be owner-occupied for projects built longer than a year ago, and a single investor can own no more than 10% of units.

In Miami, only about 13% of condos near or on the coast are owner-occupied, according to local consulting firm CondoVultures.com.

The new FHA financing rules also require that 30% of units must be sold before the endorsement of any mortgage in the project.

The alterations in requirements follow the passing of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.

Write to Andrew Scoggin.

Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

Attorney General Martha Coakley, calling the foreclosure crisis a key challenge to the state’s economic recovery, yesterday urged Massachusetts lawmakers to approve legislation meant to push more lenders into helping financially stressed homeowners save their homes.

Coakley testified before the Joint Committee on Financial Services in favor of a bill that would require lenders to modify certain mortgage loans when such agreements make more economic sense than property seizures.

“The single biggest thing we can do to spur economic recovery is to address the foreclosure crisis,’’ Coakley said.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

Ellie Mae (ELLI: 5.61 -0.53%) named Jonathan Corr in the position of chief operating officer. The mortgage origination technology firm employed COOs in the past, but only recently recreated Corr's position, after two years of nonexistence.

Joe Langner last served as COO of Ellie Mae from September 2005 to November 2009.

Corr will oversee sales, business development, marketing, client services and client support division.

As Ellie Mae's chief strategy officer, he had a hand in the Pleasanton, Calif.-based company's $25.2 million purchase in August of Del Mar Datatrac, provider of mortgage lending solutions. At the time, Corr said the acquisition boosted the company's loan volume in 2011 to 1.5 million from 1 million projected earlier.

Ellie Mae used the proceeds from its initial public offering in April to purchase Del Mar Datatrac.

“Jonathan has been the driving force behind the development and impressive adoption of all of our flagship products, including Encompass360 and its hosted – or SaaS – edition, as well as the Ellie Mae Network that electronically connects originators to the business partners they need to work with to process and fund loans," said Ellie Mae Chief Executive Sig Anderman.

Corr joined Ellie Mae in 2002 as senior vice president of product strategy and had been the company's executive vice president and chief strategy officer since 2005.

In Sept., Ellie Mae named Lisa Schreiber vice president of lender business development.

Write to Justin T. Hilley.

Follow him on Twitter @JustinHilley.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

One bank closed this week. And odds are, when a bank closes, it will most likely be in Georgia.

The Peach State is No. 1 in bank failures this year with 23 financial institutions closed. It also leads the nation in bank failures for the last few years.

The next closest state is Florida with 10 shuttered banks this year. On Thursday, the Georgia Department of Banking and Finance closed Community Bank of Rockmart in Rockmart, Ga.

It had one branch in a town of less than 4,000 about one hour northwest of Atlanta. Century Bank of Georgia agreed to assume all $55.9 million in deposits and purchase roughly $40.7 million of the $62.4 million of assets. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. will retain the rest for sale later.

The FDIC estimates the closing will cost its deposit insurance fund about $14.5 million.

Since the financial crisis struck in 2007, a total of 73 banks in Georgia have failed. Florida, again, is the next closest at 55 over the same time.

The 23 closings in Georgia this year up from 18 last year.

House Republicans and small banking trade groups raised concerns that regulations under the Dodd-Frank Act and tightened supervision from the FDIC prevent these community banks from recovering.

Sandra Thompson, the director of risk management supervision at the FDIC, said at the Wolters Kluwer CRA & Fair Lending colloquium in Baltimore this week that the agency would be evaluating its practices in the months ahead.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Friday, November 11th, 2011

Real estate funding pools face more challenges in the coming months when raising money for investments, despite a good year so far.

A blog post from Preqin, an alternative investment analytics firm, concludes that macroeconomic uncertainties and regulatory changes confound potential investors.

According to analyst Farhaz Miah, 440 private real estate funds in the global markets secured $151 billion through October. That's more than three times the amount of capital that was raised in all of 2010.

However, for the aforementioned reasons, Miah predicts only large, institutional fund raisers will continue to see success with arranging funding for real estate investments.

"Funds targeting smaller amounts of institutional capital, usually specialists in the sectors or geographies they operate within, seemingly spend a shorter time in market," writes Miah.

Some 71% of funds raising less than $500 million this year or last closed within 18 months, according to Preqin. In contrast, a significantly lower 57% of funds, raising up to $1 billion, closed within an 18-month period.

"The total length of time spent in market by real estate funds that achieved a final close in January-October 2011 has decreased when compared to funds closed in 2010," said Miah. "The ability of funds to exceed their fundraising targets, with almost 50% of funds achieving or exceeding targets in 2011, also suggests more favorable conditions for those real estate managers that are able to position themselves correctly."

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.



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