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Archive for November, 2011

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., reminded housing analysts this week that politicians have no real friends or enemies. They only have opportunities.

The junior senator from Massachusetts made headlines by breaking with his party and endorsing the nomination of Richard Cordray as director of the  Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. The Hill confirmed Brown's endorsement this week after The Boston Globe initially reported it.

Cordray is President Obama's nominee to lead the new federal regulator. The nomination was thrown into the Senate after the bureau's chief architect, Elizabeth Warren, decided to challenge Brown for his Senate seat.

While Brown is clearly signaling that he favors Cordray over his opponent by supporting Cordray's nomination, he misses the point of his party's fight.

Members of the GOP have said they will not endorse a director — whether it's Warren or Cordray or anyone else — because the agency is structurally flawed in that it empowers one director to serve as top cop over the entire lending industry.

Employing a single director without the oversight of a board or commission essentially gives one person final say on how consumers access and use financial products in America.

At least, that was the argument of CFPB critics when Warren was considered a shoe-in for the post. Those who see the subprime meltdown as a failure of other government agencies are justifiably wary of large bureaucratic structures, be they well intended or not.

Even Indiana Attorney General Greg Zoeller, who has publicly expressed admiration for Cordray, admitted he could not support the appointment of a director until the bureau's structural issues are resolved.

"Not having a chairman confirmed is the only way the (Congress) can have a rethinking of the entire process, which is needed," Zoeller told HousingWire in September.

Brown's move is an odd one indeed. While Warren is his opponent, supporting Cordray — whether it's to spite his opponent or not — is inconsistent with the general argument of CFPB critics. The popularity contest of who leads the agency was never the issue. Should it be led by one person or a commission? Or is it needed at all?

The idea that the Cordray nomination somehow fixes what many considered structural flaws is sketchy at best. It only goes to show the real issues facing the housing industry are buried in the details. Meanwhile, politicians play on the surface of things, changing hats to win votes.

Since Cordray's nomination, critics of the CFPB's structural format have fallen silent. Apparently, there is a myth that playing musical chairs will silence voices of criticism. Then again, that doesn't appear to be a myth. It's a reality.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

The need for affordable rental housing increased substantially over the past decade in Cook County, Ill., in what mirrors a national trend, according to a study from the Institute for Housing Studies at DePaul University in Chicago.

The report found that in 2009 the county, which is the second-most populous in the country, had a shortage of 180,000 affordable rental units, up 9% from 2005. The institute believes the gap will grow by another 44,000 housing units by 2020. Four of every 10 Cook County residents are renters.

"Access to quality rental housing that is affordable to families at a variety of income levels creates economic stability and security for these households, the communities where they live, the businesses where they work and the region’s economy as a whole," said Geoff Smith, executive director of the institute.

The study claims rental housing is affordable when a family pays no more than 30% of their income for shelter. For Cook County, the study defined affordable rental housing as that which would be cost effective for a household making $32,931 a year or less, meaning it should pay no more than $823 per month in rent.

When looking at what renters pay for housing, 75% to 80% of families that make less than $35,000 annually are putting more than 30% of their annual income toward housing and utility costs, the report discovered. The median household income for renters hovered around $31,367.

In 2010, households needed to make about $40,000 per year to afford the county’s median priced two-bedroom apartment ($1,000 per month), if they were to pay 30% of their income toward housing.

The study notes that the recession of 2008 and 2009 negatively affected wages and employment, resulting in more very low-income renters.

Mark Calabria, a housing economist with The Cato Institute, noted that "the driver behind a weak economy has little to do with the housing market, it is driven by unemployment and weak income growth. So in terms of affordability this is all an incomes story."

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

The architecture billings index improved its score by nearly three points from September, though the 49.4 score still reflects low demand, according to the American Institute of Architects.

The monthly index reflects a delay between architecture billings and construction spending of nine to 12 months. Any score below 50 indicates a decrease in demand for design work.

The October index score jumped from 46.9 in September, though still down from 51.4 in August.

"An increase in the billings index is always an encouraging sign," AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker said in the Wednesday release. "But there continues to be a high level of volatility in the marketplace with architecture firms reporting a wide range of conditions from improving to uncertain to poor."

The index for inquiries on new projects increased as well to 57.3 from 54.3 in September.

The Northeast saw the only increase in demand with an index reading of 51.7, followed by the South at 49.1, the Midwest at 47.7 and the West at 43.5.

By sector, increased demand came in commercial/industrial (53.5) and multifamily residential (51.3), while institutional (47.3) and mixed practice (42) saw declining demand.

The AIA calculates regional and sector categories as a 3-month moving average.

The National Association of Home Builders also reported a rise in homebuilder confidence in a housing market index released Wednesday. But like the AIA, the overall homebuilder confidence score remains below an optimum level.

Write to Andrew Scoggin.

Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

Homebuilder confidence in the market for new single-family homes rose by three points to 20 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.35 +1.03%) housing market index for November, the second consecutive monthly gain.

The NAHB said the number builds on a revised three-point increase in October, and brings the confidence gauge to its highest level since May 2010.

The trade group also predicted more gains next year.

"While this second solid monthly gain on the builder confidence scale is encouraging, the overall measure remains quite low due to the many challenges that homebuilding continues to face with regard to the high number of foreclosures, the difficulties of obtaining construction financing and accurate appraisals, and the restrictive lending environment that is discouraging potential buyers," said Bob Nielsen, NAHB chairman and a homebuilder from Reno, Nev.

NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe said some buyers are being tempted back to the market by affordable prices and low interest rates.

"We are anticipating further, gradual gains in the builder confidence gauge heading into 2012 due to these pockets of improving conditions that are slowly spreading," Crowe said.

The index gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as good, fair or poor. The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers. Scores from each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor.

The component gauging current sales conditions rose three points to 20 — its highest level since May 2010 — while the component gauging future sales expectations rose two points to 25 — its highest level since March.  The component gauging traffic of prospective buyers rose one point to 15, its highest since May 2010.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Follow her on Twitter @communicatorKLC.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. next year plans to issue the first U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities supported by defaulted loans since the 1990s as it revives a practice that regulators used to extricate the nation from the savings-and-loan crisis.

The investment bank has approached rating agencies with two pools of distressed loans that it acquired from European banks and other financial institutions, according to people familiar with the matter. J.P. Morgan wants to create commercial mortgage backed securities, or CMBS, backed by the troubled properties with interest and principal payments coming from property sales and the buildings' reduced cash flows.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

The Fannie Mae CEO believes profitability is in reach, as long as the government-sponsored enterprise can afford to employ the right people.

In his scheduled testimony Wednesday before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, Michael Williams said loss mitigation efforts for trouble mortgages originated between 2005 and 2008 are working.

The portfolio of these disproportionately troubled loans is shrinking due to these efforts, which include foreclosures. On the other hand, the book of higher-quality mortgages, namely from 2009 to the present, is beginning to take a larger share of Fannie Mae business.

The end result, Williams suggests, is the return of the GSE to profitability.

Fannie Mae is also undertaking a number of initiatives that we believe will strengthen the industry for the long term, he said.

"For example, we are developing new tools and standards to ensure greater visibility into the quality of the loans that are delivered into the secondary market," Williams stated. "This loan quality initiative will reduce the risk for the lender, the investor, the borrower, and ultimately the taxpayer."

Williams comments are similar to those of Freddie Mac CEO Ed Haldman, especially in regard to executive pay. Both argue that the recent move to limit bonuses at the GSEs will also limit their ability to hire qualified personnel.

Last week, Fannie Mae reported a loss of nearly $5.1 billion for the third quarter and asked the federal government for another $7.8 billion.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

Newt Gingrich made between $1.6 million and $1.8 million in consulting fees from two contracts with mortgage company Freddie Mac, according to two people familiar with the arrangement.

The total amount is significantly larger than the $300,000 payment from Freddie Mac that Gingrich was asked about during a Republican presidential debate on Nov. 9 sponsored by CNBC, and more than was disclosed in the middle of congressional investigations into the housing industry collapse.

Gingrich’s business relationship with Freddie Mac spanned a period of eight years. When asked at the debate what he did to earn a $300,000 payment in 2006, the former speaker said he “offered them advice on precisely what they didn’t do,” and warned the company that its lending practices were “insane.” Former Freddie Mac executives who worked with Gingrich dispute that account.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

As Congress attempts to curtail executive pay, the outgoing CEO of Freddie Mac plans to testify that salaries at the government-sponsored enterprises must remain competitive with the private sector to retain quality and experienced talent.

Charles "Ed" Haldeman and Fannie Mae Chief Executive Michael Williams will appear before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Wednesday to answer questions about the pay structures of the mortgage giants.

Haldeman, who joined Freddie in August 2009 and recently announced plans to leave within a year, will tell the committee how the firm has already cut compensation for the top 10% of management by 40% since entering conservatorship in 2008.

"It would be counterproductive to dramatically revise compensation absent broader secondary mortgage market reform," he will tell Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., and the rest of the powerful committee.

In prepared testimony, Haldeman will explain how the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Treasury Department expressed concerns to him about hiring an experienced staff to handle Freddie Mac's operations.

"They emphasized that it was absolutely critical that we keep the machinery of the company running smoothly in order to support the recovery of the mortgage market and the national economy," according to Haldeman.

"It was clear that if Freddie Mac suffered an exodus of our most highly experienced and talented employees, our ability to fulfill our top two objectives under conservatorship — making sure mortgage funds remained available and helping financially stressed families avoid foreclosure — would be greatly hindered."

On Tuesday, the House Financial Services Committee voted 52-4 Tuesday to suspend bonuses for top executives at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Follow him on Twitter: @jrphilyaw.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

The number of mortgage applications filed in America fell 10% during the week ending Nov. 11, an industry trade group said Wednesday.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its market composite index – a measure of loan application volume – dropped 10% from the previous week, while the refinance index fell 12.2% and the purchase index declined 2.3%.

Refinancing activity declined to 77.3% of total applications, compared to 78.6% a week earlier. Meanwhile, the adjustable-rate mortgage share of activity rose to 6.1% from 5.8% of total applications.

In October, 50.6% of mortgage applications among refinancing borrowers were for fixed-rate, 30-year loans. About 28.8% were for 15-year, fixed-loans and 6% were for ARMs.

The average, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage with a conforming loan balance of $417,500 or less rose slightly to 4.23% from 4.22% a week earlier. Meanwhile, the contract interest rate for 30-year, FRM with jumbo loan balances declined to 4.56% from 4.57%.

The average rate on 30-year, FHA-backed mortgages edged up a slight bit from 4.02% to 4.03%. The MBA noted that 5/1 ARMs remained steady at 3.01%.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, November 15th, 2011

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac released specific guidance Tuesday on how mortgage servicers and lenders will be implementing changes to the Home Affordable Refinance Program to help more underwater borrowers move into lower-rate loans.

In October, the Obama administration and the Federal Housing Finance Agency said the mortgage giants would lift the loan-to-value ratio cap, along with certain appraisal requirements, upfront loan-level price adjustment fees, and representation and warranties risk for participating lenders.

The program will be extended through Dec. 31, 2013.

For loans refinanced by the original servicer and currently hold an LTV above 80%, Fannie and Freddie waived the bank from representation and warranty liability for the original purchase mortgage documents, according to guidance sent to servicers Tuesday.

This means if the original documents on the loan were either fraudulent or missing before being sold to Fannie or Freddie the bank wouldn't have to buy back the mortgage.

"The lender is not responsible for any of the representations and warranties associated with the original loan," Fannie explicitly said in its guidance.

The servicer will also be relieved of rep and warranty liability on the new HARP refinanced loan if the data in the case file is complete, and the lender follows instructions gathering income, employment and asset documentation.

The GSEs will also clear banks from rep and warranty risk on the valuation, marketability or condition of the underlying property – unless the lender obtains an appraisal for the new HARP refinance.

However, the bank is still on the hook for any possible fraud it participates in or fails to detect.

There's a caveat. If the borrower goes to a new lender to refinance the loan under the new HARP rules, the rep and warranty risk on the essentially new loan transfers to the new lender, according to guidance from Freddie.

Fannie and Freddie will permit a borrower to have been delinquent on one mortgage payment in the previous 12 months as long as the delinquency didn't occur within the last six months.

Banks are allowed to solicit and advertise the changes to potential borrowers so long as they do so for both GSEs and for loans bundled into Fannie or Freddie MBS pools the bank is invested in.

HARP launched in March 2009. Roughly 838,000 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages refinanced through the program since, but 58,000 had loan-to-value ratios above 105%.

Roughly 4 million Fannie and Freddie borrowers owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth.

Across all investor types, however, nearly 11 million are underwater in the U.S., roughly 22.5% of all outstanding loans, according to CoreLogic (CLGX: 14.56 +0.62%). Another 2.4 million hold less than 5% equity in their homes.

Royal Bank of Scotland analysts expect most of the loans impacted by the changes will have origination dates between 2006 and 2008.

While the largest lenders, servicers and insurers have committed to the new program, not everyone is participating.

United Guaranty, the mortgage insurance arm of American International Group (AIG: 25.0833 -0.23%), said many lenders will be using the revamped HARP to avoid representation and warranty claims on loans with fraudulent or missing paperwork. United said Tuesday while it supported the program, it was not going to waive its right to void policies in these instances.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.



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