Archive for October, 2011
Real gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 2.5% in the third quarter when compared to the previous three months, the Commerce Department said Thursday.
GDP is the government's measure of all goods and services produced in the United States. Comparatively, GDP rose at a rate of just 1.3% in the second quarter. Analysts surveyed by Econoday expected GDP growth at a rate of 2.5% for the third quarter with a range of estimates between 1.8% and 3.5%.
Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said the acceleration in growth "would seem to make a mockery of fears that emerged fairly early in the quarter that the economy was entering a recession."
"Nevertheless, we still expect growth to slow again over the next couple of quarters and, while our baseline forecast does not include an outright contraction, we expect GDP growth to average a very lackluster 1.5% next year," he said.
The Commerce Department attributed the higher GDP growth rate to increased personal consumption, nonresidential fixed investments, exports and federal government spending.
The results released Thursday are an advanced estimate and are subject to further review and possible changes, the Commerce Department said. The final GDP report for the third quarter is scheduled to be published on Nov. 22.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: Capital Economics, commerce department, federal government spending, GDP, nonresidential fixed investments, real domestic product
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
The number of initial jobless claims filed last week remained essentially flat with the prior week, once again staying higher than 400,000.
The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Oct. 22 decreased by 2,000 to 402,000 from 404,000 the previous week, which was revised upward 1,000.
Analysts surveyed by Econoday expected 405,000 new jobless claims last week with a range of estimates between 394,000 and 410,000. Most economists believe weekly jobless claims lower than 400,000 indicate the economy is expanding and jobs growth is strengthening. Initial claims dropped to 391,000 at the end of September, but have remained elevated for the majority of 2011.
The four-week moving average, which is considered a less volatile indicator than weekly claims, rose by 1,750 claims to 405,500 from the prior week's revised 403,750.
The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate for the week ended Oct. 15 fell to 2.9% from a revised 3%, according to the Labor Department.
The total number of people receiving some sort of federal unemployment benefits for the week ended Oct. 8 declined to 6.68 million from 6.7 million the prior week.
Write to Jason Philyaw.
Follow him on Twitter: @jrphilyaw.
Tags: jobless claims, labor department, unemployment
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | No Comments »
Homebuilder PulteGroup Inc. (PHM: 7.73 -0.90%) posted a third-quarter loss of $129 million, or 34 cents a share, as the homebuilder grappled with a goodwill impairment charge of $241 million and land-related charges.
The company's improved condition fell below the average analyst projection of a 1 cent-per-share loss.
Still, the builder noted revenue from home sales rose 7% to $1.1 billion, up from $1 billion a year earlier. The jump in revenue is tied to a 9% increase in unit closing volumes, with the builder closing on 4,198 homes in the third quarter.
Comparatively, Pulte posted a loss of $995.1 million, or $2.63 a share, last year. The deep 2010 third-quarter loss was attributed to goodwill impairment, land and insurance charges.
The average home selling price fell to $262,000, reducing third-quarter home sale revenue by 1%.
Meanwhile, net new home orders remained in line with 2010 levels with Pulte recording 3,564 orders in the third quarter.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: home orders, homebuilder, PulteGroup Inc.
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
The commercial real estate industry will face sporadic growth followed by a long, grind-it-out recovery, according to a forecast released Wednesday by PricewaterhouseCoopers and the Urban Land Institute.
Survey participants predict that 2012 will see an increased supply of properties for sale, but diminished buyer interest.
The report recommends investors focus on markets where tech and energy companies are thriving, and said growth likely will be confined largely to a few real estate markets that offer 24-hour transportation hubs with global access, according to respondents of the "Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2012" report released during the annual Urban Land Institute conference under way in Los Angeles.
The absence of dynamic jobs generators will weigh on the market and reticent consumer spending will compromise growth in retail and industrial sectors, but multifamily, which began heating up this year, should gain additional traction in 2012.
"Job creation is clearly the critical ingredient for a sustained recovery in commercial real estate and the market participants we surveyed uniformly struggled to identify new employment engines," said Mitch Roschelle, a partner and U.S. real estate advisory practice leader at PwC.
"In 2012, investors expect pricing to level off in the top markets — and overall 'buy' sentiment will subside, selling appetites will increase, and more owners will hold until the economy untracks. This is part of 'the new normal' as investors are coming to grips that they may not be selling for more than they paid," he said.
Survey participants predicted that well-leased core real estate in leading markets will continue to produce solid single-digit, income-oriented returns.
"The return landscape for 2012 presents a mixed bag, and all depends on where and when investors bought, the amount of leverage employed, and asset quality," said Stephen Blank, ULI senior resident fellow for real estate finance. "Many players will back off from bidding on trophy properties in top-tier markets, fearing that pricing is outpacing the potential for recovery in net operating incomes.
Banks and special servicers holding distressed debt will continue to dribble out loan pools with various embedded gems, and cash buyers can claim single-family lots for cents on the dollar, the report said.
Only one of 51 U.S. cities surveyed — Washington, D.C. — failed to improve its investment score over last year's report. More than 60% of the cities rate as fair or better prospects for 2012, compared with only 40% in 2011.
Washington, D.C., although its score declined, remained the No. 1 city for CRE investments, but some worry that the city has become "too frothy" and may cool down if the federal government shrinks its ranks.
Austin, Texas, ranked second, followed by San Francisco (third), New York City (fourth) and Boston (fifth).
Apartment construction leads all commercial property types with opportunities for investment and development in 2012.
More than 950 real estate experts, including investors, developers, property company representatives, lenders, brokers and consultants were surveyed and interviewed for the report.
Write to Kerry Curry.
Follow her @communicatorKLC.
Tags: commercial real estate, CRE, CRE forecast, multifamily, PriceWaterhouseCoopers, PwC, ULI, Urban Land Institute
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A crisis could soon emerge for the roughly 400 community banks that still owe the Treasury Department nearly $2 billion combined in bailouts, according to the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program.
"A common misconception is that most of the 707 TARP banks have paid back TARP, when really only the largest banks have exited TARP," the watchdog said in a report released Thursday.
According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., 326 of the 392 bank failures in the U.S. since 2008 have been community banks.
Beginning in the fall of 2013, the dividend rate these smaller institutions must start paying to the Treasury increases to 9% from 5%. Many of these banks are relying on the Treasury's willingness to restructure the TARP investments at a steep discount.
"This impression could create moral hazard concerns by taking away incentives for banks to find capital on their own — a necessary step to exit TARP," SIGTARP said.
The Treasury invested $4 billion into community banks through the Small Business Lending Fund, but $2.2 billion went to 137 banks that have yet to repay the TARP bailout. The banks simply swapped it out for a dividend rate below 5%, removing executive compensation requirements and the dreaded TARP stigma.
About 320 of the more than 500 banks still left in TARP applied for the SBLF program. For many, SIGTARP said, this was their TARP exit strategy.
"Despite the dramatic efforts to expedite the largest banks exit from TARP, there appears to be no corresponding concrete plan for community banks’ exit from TARP," the watchdog said.
SIGTARP referred to the regulatory bending the Treasury and other supervisors committed to let the larger firms out of TARP possibly too soon.
The watchdog recommended the Treasury create a clear exit plan by providing new access to capital larger lenders enjoy over these smaller institutions. The criteria at a minimum, SIGTARP said, should include a more uniform approach to restructuring the bailouts, rather than continue on the case-by-case basis SIGTARP called "ad hoc and inconsistent."
"Something needs to happen. There needs to be some action taken right now," said Acting SIGTARP Christy Romero in an interview with HousingWire. "Otherwise these small banks have no ability to raise capital. When the dividend increases, they will scramble to raise capital in the same time frame. That can flood the markets, and that will put more of these banks in jeopardy."
Treasury Assistant Secretary Tim Massad pointed out that 259 of 303 banks that exited TARP were smaller institutions with less than $10 billion in assets.
"We believe our overall approach recognizes that each bank's situation is unique, and that such approach is better suited to fulfilling our statutory responsibilities than attempting to devise standard discounts or terms for all situations," Massad said in a letter to SIGTARP responding to an audit.
Massad also said that if a bank finds it is unable to pay the elevated dividend, it would not necessarily default or fail. Repayment is voluntary, he said. While the Treasury does have the contractual right to appoint board directors in cases where a bank is unable to meet the payment, it has only done so for six banks.
But SIGTARP raised the point that as long as these TARP dollars are outstanding, recovery at these smaller firms will remain sluggish and lending in their local economies — vital for job growth — would remain constricted.
"These are banks whose names are on the backs of Little League jerseys. If they suffer the communities they're in suffer," Romero said.
Write to Jon Prior.
Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.
Tags: bailout, banks, community banks, Congress, CPP, failures, FDIC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., larg banks, SIGTARP, Special Inspector General, TARP, Treasury Department
Posted in Origination/Lending, Slider, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
Real estate analytics firm Clear Capital appointed Gabriel Nacht as its first chief financial officer.
Before joining the firm, Nacht was the senior vice president and CFO for Bustos Media and software firm Meridian Project Systems. He also held senior positions at Philips Publishing International and Bank of Boston.
Nacht said Clear Capital fit the publishing and technological blend in his background.
The firm puts out a monthly home price index ahead of the widely used Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller. It has always had an accounting and finance staff, with a controller function, but no CFO. The company has now grown to the point where a CFO is needed, a company spokesperson said.
Clear Capital also appointed Brian Wick as vice president of marketing and last week brought in Erik Lundquist to head up its commercial valuations teams. The segment will develop commercial broker priced opinions, appraisals and inspections.
Write to Jon Prior.
Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.
Tags: Case-Shiller, CFO, clear capital, home prices, Nacht, S&P
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Equity Residential (EQR: 59.27 +0.03%) earned about $113 million for the third quarter, up from $29.8 million last year due in part to an increased demand for apartments, the company announced Wednesday.
The Chicago-based real estate investment trust reported income of 35 cents per share for the quarter. The number of tenant households rose 4% in the year ending June 2011, according to the Census Bureau.
"Fundamentals continue to be positive and we remain confident that increasing demand for apartment living combined with limited new supply will produce strong results next year and for years to come despite concerns about weakening economic growth," President and CEO David Neithercut said.
Equity Residential attributed the uptick in earnings primarily to higher gains from property sales in 2011. The company acquired two properties for $113 million and sold seven properties for $210.1 million during the quarter.
Write to Andrew Scoggin.
Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.
Tags: apartments, earnings, Equity Residential
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Middle market investment bank FBR reported a third-quarter net loss of $26 million after market closed on Wednesday. Earnings per share dipped 43 cents as a result.
The losses increased from $6.6 million, or 10 cents per share, in the third quarter of 2011.
"Based on our expectations that market conditions will continue to be volatile for some time, we have recently taken steps that will result in an over 35% reduction in our fixed costs," said FBR CEO Richard Hendrix.
"This restructuring positions the franchise to more consistently deliver profitability and long-term value for shareholders and employees," he added.
Continued volatility in global equity markets is cited as providing a large portion of the drag on the ability of the company to keep investments.
Reductions in investment banking, institutional brokerage and asset management all lead to the loss of income, the earnings report states.
Write to Jacob Gaffney.
Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.
Tags: FBR, third quarter
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
The Mortgage Insurance Companies of America is supporting the revised Home Affordable Refinance Program as a step in the right direction since it aims to keep borrowers current while reducing default claims.
Earlier this week, the government announced a revamped HARP plan that will refinance more underwater mortgages.
The plan also will waive reps and warrants, making it easier for mortgages to transition to lower interest rates without buy-back risk coming into play. This also makes it easier for insurers to back the risk.
"No MICA member will institute any additional requirements on HARP loans beyond the GSEs’ program requirements, aligning with their common guidelines," MICA said. "The industry will continue to collaborate with the GSEs, lending institutions and servicers to further streamline the operational processes. To advance the reach of the program, private MIs will relieve lending institutions of representations from the original loan files."
"The HARP extension will enable creditworthy borrowers to remain current on their mortgage payments and minimize foreclosures, which is good for individual families and communities," said Suzanne Hutchinson, executive vice president of MICA. "The private MI industry has and will continue to be a key player in the housing recovery."
United Guaranty, the mortgage insurance subsidiary of AIG, said the firm is already preparing for increased activity with the HARP plan now on the table.
"United Guaranty is working with servicers to further streamline our processes to make sure that servicers have the capacity to handle the anticipated increase in refinancing requests under the revised HARP plan," said Brian Gould, senior vice president of loss management with United Guaranty.
Gould said United Guaranty is already allocating time and resources to support the home retention goals of HARP. "We currently have two shifts of employees in place to help homeowners understand their options under home retention programs such as HARP," Gould said.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: HARP, Home Affordable Refinance Program, mortgages, underwater mortgages
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Four California residents face prison time and thousands of dollars in fines for allegedly defrauding lenders out of $900,000.
The U.S. Attorneys Office in Sacramento charged Olga Palamarchuk, 41, Pyotr Bondaruk, 40, Peter Kuzmenko, 33, and Vera Zhiry, 32, claiming the group fraudulently obtained financing for two homes and an equity line of credit.
Palamarchuk, a loan officer for Capital Mortgage Lending, is accused of recruiting Bondaruk to buy two houses using 100% financing. The pair submitted fraudulent loan applications, falsely stating Bondaruk's employment, income and occupancy status to lenders.
The indictment contends the pair diverted $32,378 in seller proceeds to a pool service company under Kuzmenko's name for repairs and improvements that never took place. Another $100,000 was allegedly distributed to Vera Zhiry to pay off a second mortgage.
The defendants face conspiracy to commit mail fraud charges, which carry a maximum prison term of 20 years. They also are facing money laundering charges, which carry 10-year prison terms, and a $250,000 fine.
If Palamarchuk and Bondaruk are convicted of bank fraud, they face up to 30 years in prison and a $1 million fine.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: Capital Mortgage Lending, employment, income, lenders, mail fraud, mortgage financing
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