Archive for October, 2011
Fitch Ratings believes homebuilders could face negative rating actions in the coming months as the economy slugs through a weak recovery.
Fitch analysts issued the negative rating warning at a time when weak employment and consumer confidence are pummeling the housing market, keeping homebuyers on the sidelines.
Robert Curran, managing director and lead homebuilding analyst for Fitch, said for the first time in a long time, housing "is not fulfilling its role as a key impetus to the early stages of an economic recovery."
Curran said the pressures have already prompted Fitch to downgrade Beazer (BZH: 3.22 -0.31%), KB Home (KB: 37.8248 +2.37%) and Pulte (PHM: 7.72 -1.03%) in recent weeks.
"The outlook does not look promising either with home prices likely to remain soft over at least the next few quarters," said Curran. "Stagnant employment and declines in real income may also pile on the already formidable pressure homebuilders are feeling."
Curran said analysts will be watching several key indicators closely—namely balance sheets, land deals, development and liquidity.
Yet, on the more positive side, Toll Brothers (TOL: 22.32 +1.13%) posted a third-quarter profit of $42.1 million, or 25 cents a share, on revenue of $394.3 million. The luxury homebuilder earned $27.3 million, or 16 cents a share, for its year-ago fiscal third quarter.
In the first half, homebuilder PulteGroup (PHM: 7.72 -1.03%) spent $640 million acquiring land and executing development activities. The company expects to spend nearly $1.1 billion on land and development this year, up from $980 million in 2010.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: Beazer, Fitch Ratings, KB Home, Pulte
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | No Comments »
Wells Fargo Co. (WFC: 29.35 +1.03%) posted a third-quarter profit of $4.1 billion, or 72 cents per share, on revenue of $19.6 billion as non-interest income on mortgage banking rose $214 million from the second quarter.
That profit is up 21% from last year and 3% from the previous quarter. Comparatively, the bank posted a profit of $3.3 billion, or 60 cents per share, in the third quarter of 2010 and earnings of $3.9 billion, or 70 cents per share, in the most recent second quarter.
In the mortgage banking segment, the Wells Fargo's non-interest income rose to $1.8 billion from the second quarter with the lender holding $89 billion in loan originations compared to $64 billion in the second quarter.
The company's mortgage banking non-interest income in the third quarter included a $390 million provision on loan repurchase losses, up from $242 million last quarter.
Meanwhile, net mortgage servicing rights saw a $607 million gain compared to a $374 million gain in the second quarter. Wells Fargo said "the ratio of MSRs to related loans serviced for others was 74 basis points and the average note rate on the servicing portfolio was 5.21%." The company said its unclosed pipeline at Sept. 30 was $84 billion, up from $51 billion at June 30.
During the period, the company's credit quality improved with total net loan charge-offs — or debt declared as unlikely to be repaid — falling by $227 million from the previous quarter to $2.6 billion from $1.5 billion a year ago.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: mortgage banking, MSRs, Wells Fargo & Co.
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
Citigroup (C: 30.485 +0.35%) reported net income of $3.77 billion in the third quarter, or $1.23 per share, up 74% from about $2.17 billion, or 72 cents a share, one year ago.
Revenue for the three months ended Sept. 30 inched higher to about $20.8 billion, including a gain of $1.9 billion from credit valuation adjustments. Excluding the gain, third-quarter revenue fell 8% to $18.9 billion from $20.74 billion a year ago.
The bank cut its loan loss reserve to $1.4 billion, down from $3.4 billion one year ago. Tier 1 common capital stood at $115.3 billion or 11.7%.
Citi continued cutting its legacy Citi Holdings assets, reducing the portfolio to $289 billion in the third quarter, a 31% decrease from last year. At the end of the quarter, Citi Holdings represented 15% of the bank's balance sheet.
Revenues in the bank's North American business totaled $3.4 billion, down 9% from last year due to a decline in credit card balances. The bank originated fewer mortgages as well, and the bank said profits shrank on those it did write during the third quarter.
"Citi continues to navigate a challenging economic environment and delivered another quarter of solid operating results," said Citi CEO Vikram Pandit. "We continued to manage our risk prudently while growing the businesses that are core to our strategy."
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Tags: bank, Citi, Citigroup, earnings, profit, third quarter
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | 2 Comments »
A look at stories across HousingWire's weekend desk, with more coverage to come on bigger issues:
Analysts raised another issue with an upcoming mass refinance plan over the weekend: payment histories.
The Home Affordable Refinance Program requires borrowers to have a clean pay history over the year prior to entering the program. According to JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.245 -0.65%) analysts, this could be a problem for the roughly one-third of these borrowers who had a least one delinquency in the past 12 months.
The Obama administration will announce plans to refinance more underwater borrowers in the coming weeks, which may include tweaks to HARP such as eliminating loan-level price adjustments, negative equity caps and a waiver for representation and warranty risk, though this seems unlikely.
There has been no word on whether the government-sponsored enterprises would look past payment history to help more borrowers with the program under the new plan.
House Oversight Committee Chairman Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) sent a letter Friday to members of the super committee formed in August to find major cuts into the federal debt. The proposal provides more than $375 billion in savings over 10 years, Issa said.
His plan would change pension formulas for retirees of the government and increase contributions to the Federal Employee Retirement System by 6.2%.
Issa would also reduce the federal workforce by 10% through attrition — hiring one new worker for every three government jobs cut. He would also place a pay freeze for these employees through 2015.
Beginning Feb. 1, any wholly owned subsidiary of a mortgage lender or servicer that is a non-depository or a non-regulated institution must obtain separate approval from Freddie Mac.
The approval would allow the firm to do business with the government-sponsored enterprise, but it would be a separate form and process than regulated or depository institutions, according to a rule released over the weekend.
The Occupy Wall Street movement surged into Times Square over the weekend, bringing thousands of demonstrators with it.
At 2 p.m. on Saturday, what was described as a "large group" of protesters entered a Citigroup (C: 30.48 +0.33%) branch, forcing staff to call the police.
"They were very disruptive and refused to leave after being repeatedly asked," Citi said in a statement. "The police asked the branch staff to close the branch until the protesters could be removed. Only one person asked to close an account and was accommodated."
The Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing Tuesday titled, "Housing Finance Reform: Continuation of the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage."
With the Obama administration set to move forward with a plan in the coming weeks, expanding on its white paper in February, some question the future of the industry staple 30-year FRM.
Scheduled to testify are Janis Bowdler, senior policy analyst for the National Council of La Raza; Susan Woodward, president of Sand Hill Economics; and Anthony Sanders, professor of finance at George Mason University.
While Woodward has long defended the 30-year traditional mortgage, Sanders has pointed out after the crisis that the FRM is "a one-sided design," allowing prepaying borrowers to benefit while investors and taxpayers — as long as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain in conservatorship, bearing the cost.
Four banks closed over the weekend, bringing the total number for the year to 80. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. expects the closings to cost its deposit insurance fund a total $418.5 million.
The Georgia Department of Banking and Finance closed Piedmont Community Bank. State Bank and Trust Company will assume all $181.4 million in deposits and purchase essentially all $201.7 million in assets. The closing is expected to cost the DIF $163.2 million.
The North Carolina Office of Commissioner of Banks closed Blue Ridge Savings in Asheville, N.C. Bank of North Carolina will assume all $158.7 million in deposits and agreed to purchase essentially all $161 million in assets. The FDIC expects the closing to cost $143.2 million.
The Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation closed Country Bank in Aledo, Ill. Blackhawk Bank & Trust will assume all $167.5 million in deposits and agreed to purchase $113.3 million of the $190.6 million in failed bank assets. The FDIC will retain the rest for later sales. The closing is expected to cost the DIF $66.3 million.
The New Jersey Department of Banking closed First State Bank in Cranford, N.J. Northfield Bank will assume all $201.2 million in deposits and agreed to purchase essentially all $204.4 million in assets. The closing is estimated to cost $45.8 million.
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Tags: #ows, 30-year FRM, bank, bank closings, Citigroup, Fannie Mae, FDIC, federal debt, fixed-rate mortgage, freddie mac, Georgia, HARP, House, Issa, JPMorgan Chase, mortgage, obama, Occupy Wall Street, protesters, refinance, regulation, Sanders, Senate banking committee, super committee
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The market for bonds backed by commercial real estate recovered over the last 18 months but growth in the third quarter has stalled, said property market researchers Friday.
"There's been a little bit of a stumble in the third quarter," said Ben Thypin, director of market analysis for Real Capital Analytics, a commercial real estate research firm, in a presentation at the Appraisal Institute's annual fall conference in San Francisco.
He said he's expecting little growth in the issuance of commercial-mortgage-backed securities in the third quarter, and that total volume this year will likely end up around $35 billion. New CMBS issuance will likely remain at that rate through 2012, he said.
Still, that's a big improvement over a couple of years ago.
The dollar volume of CMBS deals in just the first half of 2011 was more than twice what it registered in 2010, increasing to $25.7 billion from $12.7 billion in all of 2010, according to Matt Anderson, managing director of Trepp, a provider of commercial mortgage information, analytics and technology.
"There were hopes that volume might reach $50 billion this year," he said, but those have been tempered by the shakiness of European economies and concerns that the U.S. could enter a double-dip recession.
Especially considering that commercial banks, which usually lend about half their capital for commercial real estate markets, are on the retreat, the CMBS market is a linchpin to CRE recovery, according to Anderson.
The number of banks with a concentration of investment in commercial real estate was more than 2,500 in the first quarter of 2007, but by the first quarter of this year had fallen to about 900 "and that's probably headed lower," he said.
Still, CRE markets are past the worst in terms of delinquencies and distressed properties, and the volume of properties in trouble has remained fairly steady over the last year or more, he said.
While CRE sales volume has fallen to less than half its level in 2007, all segments of the market have clocked gains over the past year, according to data from Real Capital Analytics.
Senior living properties saw more than a fourfold increase in sales volume in the first half compared with the first six months of 2010, followed by hotel and multifamily properties. About $23.1 billion in apartment properties in changed hands in the January-June period.
Apartments exist in a "parallel universe" from other CRE properties because of their access to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac financing, said Thypin.
"The foreclosure crisis in the single-family market has helped the apartment market," he said.
Both Thypin and Anderson agreed that the state of the economy will be crucial in determining how the market moves in the coming months.
"We're looking at a fragile recovery in commercial real estate markets," said Anderson. "It's very much capital driven, not so much fundamentals-driven."
The market is going to be fairly rocky in the short term, but compared to other assets, commercial real estate is a good buy, he said.
Write to Liz Enochs.
Tags: CMBS, commercial mortgage-backed securities, commercial real estate, CRE, Real Capital Analytics, Trepp
Posted in Servicing/Default, Top Stories | No Comments »
The Obama administration and a federal housing regulator are considering a program to draw private investment back into the government-dominated mortgage market by having Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sell slices of securities that wouldn't carry a federal guarantee but would pay a higher interest rate than current mortgage-backed bonds.
No decisions have been made, but officials believe a small pilot program could be rolled out sometime next year, according to people familiar with the matter.
Posted in Around the Web | No Comments »
Foreclosures are moving into real-estate owned status quicker and quicker, Barclays Capital (BCS: 14.02 +0.65%) said Friday. Currently, the market can handle the rate at which the properties move onto the market. However, if the roll rate of foreclosure to REO continues to increase greatly, the market for these properties may begin to soften.
"Although REO supply and demand are currently evenly matched, the glut of foreclosed homes in the pipeline should eventually cause REO supply to far exceed REO demand," said the analysts in a note to clients.
Barclays also warned that the existing timeline of defaulting loans will only ramp up in the future. "Severities will remain elevated, even rise, in the near term, but are expected to fall 18-24 months from now," Barclays said.
The analysts also noted that foreclosure timelines in judicial and non judicial states are getting closer in length (see chart below).
As far as what investors should look for, Barclays called non-agency yields attractive compared to other risk assets, adding that its favorite trade in the non-agency cash space is the jumbo/alt-a fixed rates with and without leverage.
"We also like subprime seasoned mezzanine bonds with perma fail/pass triggers," Barclays said.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: Barclays, defaulting loans, distressed category, foreclosure, real-estate owned, REO, risk
Posted in Servicing/Default, Top Stories | No Comments »
Investors are extremely enthusiastic about acquiring Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Federal Housing Administration REO properties in bulk and renting or selling them, Amherst Securities Group said Friday.
Amherst's report arrives weeks after the Treasury, Federal Housing Finance Agency and the Department of Housing and Urban Development asked industry professionals to submit feedback on ways the government agencies can move distressed properties through REO asset disposition programs.
Some 4,000 proposals were submitted to the FHFA — suggesting investors and others are immensely interested in the issue and want to be heard.
"It is very clear to us that the economic value of the homes involved, and the benefit to the economy, is maximized by bulk auctions to investors (who will then turn them into rental housing)," said Amherst. "The massive housing market overhang is a clear danger to the U.S. economy — it creates significant stress on borrowers, communities, courts and the banking system — and is stifling growth in the broader economy."
A few weeks ago, Morgan Stanley (MS: 18.12 -0.17%) released a report, saying investors are warm to the idea of acquiring distressed properties in bulk from the government-sponsored enterprises.
Amherst's report focuses specifically on the supply-demand imbalance that is currently making it difficult for property owners to offload properties. This imbalance has created a systemic shift in the housing market, making it more attractive for investors to eye properties as rentals that can possibly produce yield while improving the overall housing market.
"Selling to investors can absorb this overhang and, at the same time, provide much needed supply to the rental market," Amherst Securities wrote. "It is clear that the faster the resolution, the faster the housing market can make a meaningful and positive contribution to the U.S. economy."
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: Amherst Securities Group, bulk REO, Fannie Mae, Federal Housing Administration, FHFA, freddie mac, GSE, rental, REO, REO asset disposition, RFI, Treasury
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | No Comments »
The 90-day delinquent inventory of Bank of America (BAC: 7.2282 -0.98%) subprime mortgages have spent an average 552 days without some sort of resolution, according to a study released Friday by Moody's Investors Service.
The credit ratings agency studied the six largest prime and subprime servicers, based on data reported by residential mortgage-backed securities trustees from June 2010 to June 2011. Combined, these firms service 75% of the market.
Moody's findings mirror the early Fannie Mae mid-year report card. Both highlighted the poor performance of BofA and JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.245 -0.65%) along nearly every metric. Analysts measured the banking giants' ability to keep loans current, and how long these loans have gone without a modification, short sale, deed-in-lieu or foreclosure once the loan turned delinquent. The servicers were also measured on their speed of liquidation once the property was repossessed.
Analysts explained both BofA and Chase continue to be victims of the massively troubled platforms they acquired from Countrywide Financial, Washington Mutual and the subprime originator EMC.
"Integrating the servicing platforms, employees, processes, and technologies into their servicing operations overwhelmed the banks, reducing their ability to proactively address the increased number of problem loans in their combined portfolios," Moody's said.
The lengthy amount of time BofA subprime loans are currently spending in serious delinquency limbo is 120 days longer than the next closest servicer, Ocwen Financial Corp. (OCN: 13.81 +0.44%), which became the largest subprime servicer with its acquisition of Litton Loans Servicing this year.
The serious delinquent inventory of Chase jumbo mortgages have sat an average 417 days without a resolution, which was followed by 381 days at BofA and 352 at Citigroup (C: 30.48 +0.33%).
The 90-day delinquent Alt-A mortgages at Chase have spent 425 days without a resolution, followed by 396 days at BofA.
Once the loan reached foreclosure, the speeds picked up. Ocwen took the longest to resell REO property that once backed a subprime property at 237 days. Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.35 +1.03%) took the longest to sell REO on Alt-A loans at 191 days. BofA was second in both categories.
BofA and Chase were also ranked low in curing mortgages and keeping them current. Less than 16% of BofA subprime mortgage borrowers became current, paid in full, received a modification or missed less than two payments one year after falling into serious delinquency.
That rate at Ocwen was 44.5%.
At Chase, less than 17% of its serious jumbo mortgages were cured or avoided a redefault, and less than 14% of its Alt-A mortgages did. BofA held the second lowest percentage in each of these categories, according to Moody's.
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Tags: Bank of America, Citigroup, Countrywide, Countrywide Financial Corp., EMC, Fannie Mae, foreclosure, JPMorgan Chase, Litton Loans Servicing, modification, Moody's, Moody's Investors Service, mortgage, servicers, short sale, subprime, Washington Mutual, Wells Fargo
Posted in Servicing/Default, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
Pulte Group Inc. (PHM: 7.72 -1.03%), the biggest U.S. homebuilder, hired a new division president for its Houston operations just days after the head of its mortgage unit was named chairman-elect of the Mortgage Bankers Association, a research and lobbying group for the mortgage industry.
Kevin Meuth, a division president for Meritage Homes for the past five years, Friday was named Pulte's Houston division president. He will oversee about 100 employees and 27 communities in the metro area.
"Kevin has developed strong relationships with land developers and trade partners across the Houston market while building extensive expertise in the purchasing, construction and homebuilding operations disciplines," said Harmon Smith, Gulf Coast Area President of Pulte Group. "With his extensive experience in homebuilding, Kevin understands how to deliver profitable results during these challenging times."
On Wednesday, Pulte Mortgage president and CEO Debra W. Still was named chairman-elect of the MBA during the group's annual convention in Chicago.
Still, with more than three decades of experience in the mortgage industry, will become chairman of the MBA board in 2012-13. She was previously vice chairman.
"Deb is a highly regarded and valued member of PulteGroup's senior management team and a recognized expert in the mortgage industry," said Pulte Group Chairman, President and CEO Richard J. Dugas, Jr. "Given her technical expertise and the high-standards she sets for herself as well as those surrounding her, Deb is well-suited to help guide the MBA and address major issues facing the mortgage industry today."
Write to Liz Enochs.
Tags: Deb still, debra still, homebuilders, MBA, Mortgage Bankers Association, mortgage industry, Pulte Group Inc., Pulte Mortgage
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