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Archive for September, 2011

Wednesday, September 14th, 2011

Analytics firm Radar Logic said Wednesday a proposal that would allow REO properties tied to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to be sold in bulk could eventually cost taxpayers and hurt home values.

Radar Logic made that statement in response to a Federal Housing Finance Agency proposal that would dispose of properties tied to GSEs via bulk sales to investors.

"We are opposed to the plan being considered by the FHFA," Radar Logic said. "We believe it is damaging, dangerous and, frankly, will not work. As far as we can tell, the real beneficiaries of the proposed bulk sale would be the institutions who are allowed to buy these homes at substantial discounts, even to today's home values. Since their discount is our cost, we object and propose a relatively simple alternative that we believe will help bring the housing crisis to an end."

Radar Logic submitted an alternative plan for the government's consideration this week. Instead of delivering bulk sales, Radar Logic's proposal would restructure seriously delinquent mortgages by bundling them into debt and equity securities that can later be sold to investors or held by the government as investments.

"Such restructuring will prevent foreclosures and reduce the flow of homes into REO inventory," said Radar Logic. "It will also reduce losses on the distressed loans that would occur if the underlying homes were sold in REO sales."

A second part of the proposal would allow the GSEs and FHA to rent properties held by the government through partnerships and private-sector property management firms.

Analysts with Morgan Stanley (MS: 18.161 +0.06%) noted investors are highly receptive to a bulk REO plan that would allow them to acquire distressed real estate for the purpose of turning them into rentals and collecting the yield on rental payments.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, September 14th, 2011

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will be attending Europe's Economic and Financial Affairs Council and the Eurofil Financial Forum in Poland this week as worries escalate over sovereign debt fears and the potential impact a European financial crisis could have on the American economy.

The Treasury Secretary is quoted by the Wall Street Journal as saying in a CNBC interview that "there is no chance that the major countries of Europe will let their institutions be at risk in the eyes of the market."

The Treasury department confirmed Friday's visit with European financial leaders, saying the "Secretary will discuss with his European counterparts their efforts to contribute to global economic recovery and our continuing cooperation on financial regulatory reform."

Recently investors in European financial institutions report that confidence in the banking sector is running at a historic low. On Wednesday, Moody's Investors Service (MCO: 37.785 -0.72%) announced downgrade to French banks Société Générale and Crédit Agricole based on exposure to Greek bonds. BNP Paribas maintained its ratings and remains on review based on "funding challenges," the Moody's report states.

Both BNP and SocGen maintain adequate capital to absorb the losses, the ratings agency said. Agricole, however, is facing "potentially persistent fragility in the
bank financing markets, given the continued reliance on wholesale funding."

Roger Meiners, a professor of economics at the University of Texas at Arlington, said Geithner's visit is likely to be about showing moral support for Europe. "I can't fathom that there is a promise of more money," he said. "The U.S. played a role in trying to help stabilize the European banking system," Meiners said. "When the whole system was on the verge of imploding, the U.S. made a lot of cash available." But he doesn't necessarily see a U.S. cash infusion to stave off European debt concerns.

Meiners said a Greek default would have zero impact on the U.S. economy because the country alone is akin to the state of Alabama. "The issue is will that default cause a domino effect with countries such as Portugal, Spain, and Ireland," he said.

Still, Meiners said Greece has failed to cut spending in the wake of other bailouts, so a true break from bailing out the entire country is needed.

"Greece needs to go under in that they have not taken the appropriate steps to clean house," he said.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, September 14th, 2011

Elizabeth Warren, architect of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, launched her campaign against Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) Wednesday.

The Harvard Law professor, who advised President Obama and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner as the CFPB took shape, has been the subject of senate rumors for the past six months.

In a campaign video published at elizabethwarren.com, she states: "I'm going to do this. I am going to run for the United States Senate. Middle-class families have been chipped at, hacked at, squeezed and hammered for a generation now, and I don't think Washington gets it."

Warren began Wednesday greeting commuters in Boston.

She guided the CFPB in its infancy, leading up to its July launch. Warren has been in the headlines all year as the administration launched the CFPB. She got into some contentious discussions during congressional hearings in which she was probed about the new agency's role in advising attorneys general on a massive mortgage servicing settlement and on the make up of the CFPB.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, September 14th, 2011

Mortgage applications rose 6.3% last week as more homeowners filed purchase applications and refinanced their home loans.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said its refinance index increased 6% last week after three weeks of declines.

The trade group said the refinance index is not seasonally adjusted but does include an adjustment for Labor Day. On an unadjusted basis, refinancings fell 15.2% and are down 23.5% from a year earlier.

The purchase index climbed 7% from a week prior, while the unadjusted purchase index fell 16.2%. The unadjusted overall composite index decreased 15.4% from the prior week.

The refinance share of mortgage activity represented 77.3% of total applications, compared to 77.1% a week earlier.

The MBA said the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage slid to 4.17% last week from 4.23% a week prior. The average rate for a 15-year fixed mortgage inched down to 3.4% from 3.41%.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, September 14th, 2011

A few months ago, real-estate companies that invest in mortgage securities were one of the hottest sectors among companies planning initial public offerings of stock. Now, however, they are among the least likely to go public anytime soon.

Since the beginning of the year, nine real-estate investment trusts have filed to sell a total of roughly $2.5 billion in shares of new mortgage REITs, the largest volume of deals since 2009.

Tuesday, September 13th, 2011

Equator is in Dallas this week drumming up business for its new REO segmentation product, which is coming to market in the wake of the Obama administration's recent proposal for REO bulk sales.

John Vella, chief operating officer of Los Angeles-based Equator, said the segmentation — still in the testing phase — is an overlay for Equator's existing REO module. The REO module automates the REO process for servicers, outsourcers, real estate agents and vendors. It tracks things like vendor management, pre-listing valuations, inspections and occupancy management.

The segmentation overlay will allow mortgage servicers, investors, hedge funds, mortgage insurers and governmental agencies, among others, to determine "what's the best marketing strategy for your REO portfolio," Vella said in an interview with HousingWire.

It looks at losses, costs and timelines and could be useful to investors buying and managing bulk REO portfolios. It is meant to be a risk management, pricing and operational tool for the mortgage industry, Vella said.

The software will parse out specific information. For example, it can look at the expected return on a portfolio if it is held for 90 days, for example, or it could be used to look at prospective returns for a variety of time frames.

Still, Vella expressed some skepticism about whether bulk REO sales will take off in any grand way.

"Bulk REO sales sounds good but no one knows the bottom of the market yet," he said. "You don't want to be the first one out there to price a bulk REO." Buyers, meanwhile, will be asking, "am I buying at the right time?" he said.

Vella said key interest in the REO segmentation at this point is coming from servicers that Equator has met with while in town for the Five Star Default Servicing Conference & Expo.

Morgan Stanley (MS: 18.161 +0.06%) said investors are interested in acquiring distressed properties in bulk to rehabilitate them into rentals, if the government approves such a plan.

Analysts expect investors would only buy into the program if they are able to charge market rents and obtain tax breaks or deferrals, however.

The delinquency rate for U.S. mortgages more than 30 days past due but not in foreclosure hit 8.34% in July, up 2.4% from the previous month, according to Lender Processing Services (LPS: 16.86 +1.87%).

LPS said 4.4 million properties were classified as more than 30 days past due in July, the most recent data available, while 1.89 million were listed as more than 90 days past due.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Follow her on Twitter @communicatorKLC.

Tuesday, September 13th, 2011

Notice of default filings jumped nearly 70% in California from the previous month, led by renewed activity from Bank of America (BAC: 7.225 -1.03%), according to the data provider ForeclosureRadar.

Foreclosure starts increased in five West Coast states from the previous month: California, Arizona, Washington, Oregon and Nevada.

BofA foreclosure starts more than doubled in August, jumping 116% from the previous month. Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.39 +1.17%) and U.S. Bank (USB: 27.82 +0.11%) also showed increases but fell short of the BofA restart, according to ForeclosureRadar, which monitors West Coast states.

"While it can’t be said for every state in the nation, we are seeing continued improvements in foreclosure volumes in many areas of the country, and that is a potential harbinger for housing market recovery," a BofA spokesperson said. "Strong gains like that from July to August demonstrate our progress – primarily in non-judicial states like California and Nevada – clearing more volume to advance to foreclosure once we pass the numerous, improved quality controls we have in place and only after all other options with homeowners have been exhausted."

Bank of America along with many others froze the foreclosure process in the fall of 2010 to sort out mishandled foreclosure documentation in a scandal that became known as robo-signing. The 14 major servicers signed consent orders with federal regulators earlier this year. After a review of 2,800 foreclosure files – roughly 200 per bank – regulators found "insufficient processes" and ordered more in-depth third party look backs.

"Bank of America appears to be primarily responsible for the surge in foreclosure starts this month," said Sean O'Toole, CEO of ForeclosureRadar. "Since their average time to foreclose has recently increased to more than a year, it is unclear that these foreclosure starts will lead to an increase in foreclosure sales anytime soon."

In California, it takes an average 333 days to complete the foreclosure process, which is 49 days more than one year ago.

Properties sold back to the bank, or REO, increased 243% in Oregon for the month as Recontrust, a subsidiary of BofA, began clearing 2,800 foreclosures that began in April, according to ForeclosureRadar.

"The industry has not yet returned to normal or necessary foreclosure activity levels, but progress is certainly being made," the BofA spokesperson said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Tuesday, September 13th, 2011

Banks with $50 billion or more in assets will submit periodic contingency plans to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Federal Reserve for winding down in case of failure and bankruptcy.

The FDIC insures 37 banks required to submit the wind-down plans. These institutions held $3.6 trillion in deposits at the end of 2010. They account for nearly 60% of all deposits in the U.S.

The FDIC rule passed Tuesday and goes into effect Jan. 1, 2012. It requires these banks to submit strategies ensuring the FDIC can grant depositors their money within one business day of failure. The plans must also maximize the return of sale once the assets are sold.

Among the strategies, banks must consider which assets will be retained in receivership and marketed broadly and which core business lines and assets must be sold or transferred to a "bridge institution" to continue operating. This could be an interim step before the sale of the business or asset.

The banks must include how employees determine the current market value for these assets and businesses, and they must describe their interconnections and relationships with other banks to help determine how a failure elsewhere in the industry would affect their solvency status.

The Fed rule requires the banks to submit plans on how they will be resolved in a bankruptcy proceeding. Banks with $250 billion or more in assets must submit plans by July 1, 2012. Those with $100 billion or more in assets must submit plans by July 1, 2013.

Both the FDIC and the Fed approved the rules jointly.

"These two rules will ensure the comprehensive and coordinated resolution planning for both the insured depository and its holding company and affiliates in the event that an orderly liquidation is required," said FDIC Acting Chairman Martin Gruenberg. "The rules will also facilitate improved efficiencies and risk management practices among covered institutions as they produce and evaluate these plans."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Tuesday, September 13th, 2011

Fund managers surveyed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAC: 7.225 -1.03%) believe Europe will slide into a recession in the coming months.

Roughly 68% of survey respondents now view the euro zone debt crisis among the largest of risks to global investments.

The recession, BofAML finds, will likely be spearheaded by bank and sovereign risks, further dragged by a poor continental housing sector.

Sentiment toward European banks is at its lowest since the survey began asking about it in January 2003.

Liquidity conditions in the region also hit negative levels for the first time since May 2009 (see chart).

As liquidity dries, the cost of lending will increase, and banks will more and more struggle to find financing in the capital markets, according to Société Générale credit analyst Jean-David Cirotteau.

"U.K. banks have already significantly increased their margins in lending," he said. "As a result, the real estate market should be impacted less from here as it has already adjusted to higher rates. This is not the case for real estate in continental Europe."

"The state of the real estate market remains very contrasted: prices are recovering in prime properties/locations — particularly Central London, Paris CBD and a few other locations," Cirotteau adds. "However, prices remain depleted in the rest of the market for non core, second quality properties and below, and no improvement is expected at this stage."

Things are somewhat rosier for U.S. investments. Roughly 9% of U.S. fund managers now expect the economy to weaken in the next year. Global investors also restored an overweight position in U.S. equities.

An overall total of 286 panelists with $831 billion of assets under management participated in the BofAML survey.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.

Tuesday, September 13th, 2011

JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.29 -0.53%) is coming to market with $1 billion of commercial mortgage-backed securities to the market containing 44 loans on 209 properties, according to the pre-sale report from credit rating agency Morningstar.

Seven classes within the security were rated AAA. One class was given AA status and another was give an A rating. Morningstar gave the rest of the classes a noninvestment grade.

The properties span across 24 states. The largest loan, the InterContinental Hotel in Chicago represents 14.1% of the overall trust portfolio, according to the pre-sale report.

Slightly more than half of the loan balance are on 177 retail properties, followed by hospitality properties taking up 20% and office buildings making up 16.7%.

Morningstar analysts visited 35 properties in the trust backing 18 loan, representing 73.7% of the loan balance and rated them on age, location and condition. Most of the properties scored an "average" rating from Morningstar.

Morningstar estimates a closing date of Sept. 29 for the deal.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.



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