RSS Twitter

Archive for September, 2011

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

August existing home and condo sales rose 15% in Florida to 16,206 from 14,131 a year earlier, as prices begin to stabilize in one of the states hit hardest by the housing crisis.

The Florida Realtors said the median price for homes sold in Florida in August rose 2% to $137,500 from $134,900 a year ago. Home prices in Florida remain under the national average, which hit $168,400 in August, down 5.4% from last year.

"Over the past few months, it appears that home prices have been stabilizing in many local markets across the state," Florida Realtors President Patricia Fitzgerald said. "This is another positive sign that the housing recovery is gaining strength."

Earlier Wednesday, the National Association of Realtors said existing home sales rose 7.7% nationwide in August.

In terms of condo sales, 7,098 units were sold in Florida last month, compared to 6,041 in August 2010 – a 17% increase. The median condo sales price hit $91,100 last month, a 12% increase from $81,500 last year.

A report compiled by MacroMarkets and Pulsenomics said Wednesday significant home price growth will not occur within the next five years. Yet, the report noted some regional and local markets remain relatively strong and stable.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

The Federal Open Market Committee left interest rates unchanged Wednesday and said it would buy $400 billion of Treasury bonds in an effort to lower long-term borrowing costs. The bond buying program begins Oct. 3.

The committee also said "to help support conditions in mortgage markets" it will reinvest principal payments from agency debt into agency mortgage-backed securities.

That's a departure from the Federal Reserve’s previous practice of reinvesting those proceeds into Treasurys and appears to be an effort to lower mortgage rates.

The purchase program, to be completed by the end of June, will involve longer-term Treasury securities with remaining maturities of six years to 30 years, and will be financed through the sale of shorter-term Treasurys with maturities of three years or less.

"This program should put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates and help make broader financial conditions more accommodative," the FOMC said in a statement following its two-day meeting.

"I don't think this will make a material difference to the economic outlook," said Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist with Capital Economics, a consultancy firm based in Toronto.

"It might help at the margin, but the problem isn't really the price of credit, it's the inability of households to borrow and the unwillingness of companies to invest, so I don't think this is by any means going to materially alter the situation," Dales said.

The FOMC also kept the target range for the federal funds rate at zero to 0.25% and said, in language that echoed its August statement, it "currently anticipates that economic conditions — including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run — are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013."

The move to change the composition of the Fed’s balance sheet has been dubbed Operation Twist after a similar effort undertaken during President Kennedy's administration, when the dance craze was sweeping the nation.

A study by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco economists in April found evidence the federal effort in 1961 had a moderate effect on the nation's economy.

"Four of six potentially market-moving Operation Twist announcements had statistically significant effects and that the program cumulatively caused a significant but moderate 0.15 percentage point reduction in longer-term Treasury yields," Titan Alon and Eric Swanson of the San Francisco Fed said.

Three Fed policymakers dissented from the committee’s decision because they “did not support additional policy accommodation at this time,” said the statement. They were: Richard Fisher, president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, Narayana Kocherlakota, president of the Minneapolis Fed and Charles Plosser, president of the Philadelphia Fed.

Write to Liz Enochs.

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

Republican lawmakers sent a letter directly to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke asking him to not to initiate another economic stimulus package.

Concerns about additional quantitative easing prompted the GOP members to draft the letter advising the central bank chairman not to employ further tools to stimulate the economy.

The letter was signed by House Majority Leader Rep. John Boehner (R-Ohio), Rep. Eric Cantor (R-Va.), Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Iowa), and Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.)

"It is not clear that the recent round of quantitative easing undertaken by the Federal Reserve has facilitated economic growth or reduced the unemployment rate," they wrote.

"To the contrary, there has been significant concern expressed by Federal Reserve board members, academics, business leaders, members of Congress and the public," according to the lawmakers. "Although the goal of quantitative easing was, in part, to stabilize the price level against deflationary fears, the Federal Reserve's actions have likely led to more fluctuations and uncertainty in our already weak economy."

The legislators warned additional Fed action could produce more undesired outcomes.

"Such steps may erode the already weakened U.S. dollar or promote more borrowing by overleveraged consumers. To date, we have seen no evidence that further monetary stimulus will create jobs or provide a sustainable path towards economic recovery," they wrote.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

Mortgage servicers could soon face criminal actions in Nevada, according to the state Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto.

Masto reportedly opposed releasing the largest servicers from future criminal liability. Earlier in September, Iowa AG Tom Miller, who is leading the settlement talks, pledged the final agreement would not indemnify the banks from any criminal actions and not all civil suits. Miller's office further clarified that immunity from criminal prosecution is not and never has been part of the settlement negotiations.

"Criminal actions are likely coming to the industry soon," a spokesperson for Masto's office told HousingWire Wednesday, though no other details were provided.

Masto's office did not disclose which servicers would face criminal charges, nor which specific charges would be filed.

But a spokesperson did point out that in October 2008, Masto reached a deal with Countrywide Financial Corp. to provide modifications for eligible borrowers.

This past January, Masto filed an amended complaint, alleging Countrywide, since acquired by Bank of America (BAC: 7.22 -1.10%), had not lived up to its end of the deal.

In August, Masto submitted a second amended complaint against BofA and its subsidiaries Countrywide, asserting again the servicer violated the consent judgment agreement reached in 2008.

In October 2010, the 50 state AGs launched an investigation into how widespread the robo-signing scandal had spread. Servicers were found to be signing documents en masse and filing faulty affidavits with state courthouses, a violation of law in judicial foreclosure states.

The Acting Comptroller of the Currency John Walsh said a review of the 14 major mortgage servicers would look at nearly 4.5 million foreclosure files nationwide over the next several months.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

U.S. mortgage rates are the lowest in at least four decades, with a 30-year fixed loan available at 4.09 percent. That didn't help Alexis Wolf buy a town home in Beaverton, Ore.

“Unless you have family help, you're stuck renting,” said Wolf, 26, a real estate broker who turned to relatives for a loan because she didn't have the credit and employment history needed to qualify for a mortgage.

Wolf's experience illustrates the predicament for Federal Reserve policy makers as they end a two-day meeting today to consider ways to boost economic growth. Low interest rates, the traditional medicine for a flagging economy, aren't helping housing, which since 1982 has aided every recovery except the current one.

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

Roughly 85% of borrowers participating in a Philadelphia foreclosure prevention program, which mandated a face-to-face meeting with their servicer, are still in the homes since reaching an agreement with the bank in 2008.

A study conducted by the Regional Housing Legal Services and May8 Consulting showed 27% of at-risk homeowners lost their homes to foreclosure in 2008, which would be 10% more than the following year. The study was released Wednesday at a forum sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

In the April 2008, the city Court of Common Pleas ordered the homeowner must meet with the lender or servicer in a court-supervised setting to negotiate an agreement. The initiative was called the Diversion Program.

Before, homeowners could only apply for a bridge loan under the Homeowner's Emergency Mortgage Assistance Program, or HEMAP, which was the basis for the nearly expired national Emergency Homeowners Loan Program launched this year.

Roughly 11,200 of the Philadelphia homeowners targeted by the Diversion Program took advantage of it from April 2008 through May 2011, a participation rate of 70%. That's double a similar mediation initiative launched in Cleveland.

"Unlike in traditional mediation, which handles each individual case separately, the sheer size of the court's caseload required an environment in which hundreds of cases could be negotiated in a single day," according to the study.

An average of two conferences are held per homeowner over an average of 54 days. Roughly 35%, or 3,900 homeowners reached an agreement with their servicer. Of the 1,000 who reached an agreement in the first year of the program, about 850 were still in their homes as of May.

Mediation programs began sprouting up all over the country as the foreclosure crisis took hold in 2008. Legislation is currently pending in the Senate to require it nationwide. In Springfield, Mass., lenders who fail to provide such a session to at-risk homeowners face penalties as high as $30,000.

However, extended foreclosure timelines continue to haunt an industry inundated with millions of distressed loans. According to Moody's Investors Service, the timeline from default to liquidation rose to 24 months this summer from 14 months in 2009.

Since 2008, Philadelphia has spent roughly $3 million on foreclosure prevention assistance. Through the Diversion Program, the average cost to save a single home from foreclosure was $3,310. While other cities are struggling to correct budget deficits, the Philly Fed researchers said the cost can be worth it for other places to adopt a similar streamlined and transparent process.

"The Diversion Program’s emphasis on hundreds of negotiations occurring simultaneously in a courtroom environment offers an approach that can be implemented in cities with significantly higher foreclosure rates," according to the report. "Other jurisdictions will benefit from the study’s explanation of what Philadelphia has done well and what Philadelphia can do better to prevent more foreclosures and increase transparency in the process."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

The architecture billings index, an economic indicator of construction activity, turned positive in August, according to the American Institute of Architects.

The index reflects the approximate nine- to 12-month lag time between architecture billings and construction spending.

The August score was 51.4, following four months of declines and a very weak score of 45.1 in July. Any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings. The higher score reflects an increase in demand for design services, and the new projects inquiry index was 56.9, up sharply from 53.7 the previous month.

"Based on the poor economic conditions over the last several months, this turnaround in demand for design services is a surprise," said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker. "Many firms are still struggling and continue to report that clients are having difficulty getting financing for viable projects, but it's possible we've reached the bottom of the down cycle."

In terms of the types of architectural services sought, mixed practice (50.9) saw the most demand, followed by institutional (48.5), commercial/industrial (46.0) and multifamily residential (44.8).

The data comes from a "work-on-the-boards" survey that is sent to a panel of AIA member-owned firms. Participants are asked whether their billings increased, decreased or stayed the same in the month that just ended as compared to the prior month.

The results are seasonally adjusted to allow for comparison to prior months.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Follow her on Twitter @communicatorKLC.

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

The housing market remains shaky and is unlikely to deliver significant growth in prices over the next five years, according to a new survey of economists, real estate professionals and analysts.

Despite the survey's dim outlook, MacroMarkets said some local markets are strong even as home price growth remains abysmal nationwide.

MacroMarkets and Pulsenomics researched and compiled the report on home price expectations after surveying 111 experts. Economists analyzed five-year trends stemming from the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.

Home prices are expected to grow at a modest 1.1% nominal average annual rate through 2015, the report said.

The only silver lining is home price expectations for 2011 are not as negative as previously forecasted. Still, MacroMarkets sees dark clouds ahead since the "average projection is somewhat more negative for each of the following four years."

Of those interviewed, 73% said further policy action by the government to stabilize the housing market is either "highly likely" or "likely," while more than half said this type of action is undesirable. About 49% said they believe further government intrusion is unnecessary.

Terry Loebs, founder of Pulsenomics, said, “This data suggests that regardless of when and how housing recovers, controversy will persist regarding the role of government in the market.”

Loebs added, "More than half of panel members who indicated that more policy action is desirable or necessary suggested specific measures the government might focus on. We received a variety of constructive proposals. Several panelists clearly want or expect the government to be a catalyst for more effective mortgage refinancing and modification initiatives, as well as rental and other home equity conversion programs.”

Meanwhile, Robert Shiller, MacroMarkets co-founder, said government intrusion is in many respects undermining economic confidence.

“Markets and government institutions are visibly struggling to respond consistently to an unprecedented rash of crises and conflicts," said Shiller. "These struggles diminish confidence, which compounds the underlying economic stresses and lowers expectations.”

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

Sales of existing homes rose 7.7% in August despite tighter lending standards and appraisal problems, according to the National Association of Realtors.

The trade group said sales of single-family homes, town homes, condos and co-ops increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.03 million units from 4.67 million in July.

NAR said August existing home sales were 18.6% higher than 4.24 million a year ago.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR, said some of the August gain is the result of delayed sales from prior months, and favorable affordability and rising rents also contributed.

"The biggest factors keeping home sales from a healthy recovery are mortgages being denied to creditworthy buyers, and appraised valuations below the negotiated price," according to NAR President Ron Phipps.

"Buyers may be able to find more favorable credit terms with community and small regional banks, and Realtors can often give buyers advice to help them overcome some of the financing obstacles," he said.

Investors accounted for 22% of sales in August, up from 18% in July and 21% a year ago, according to NAR. Cash sales accounted for 29% of transactions last month, flat with the prior month and up slightly from a year ago.

"Investors were more active in absorbing foreclosed properties," Yun said. "In additional to bargain hunting, some investors are in the market to hedge against higher inflation."

NAR said 18% of members reported at least one contract failure in August, up from 16% in July and 9% a year ago. Most of the cancellations were due to declined mortgage applications or failures in loan underwriting from appraised values coming in below the negotiated price, according to NAR.

The inventory of existing homes for sale fell 3% in August to 3.58 million, representing an 8.5-month supply, which is down from 9.4 months worth of supply in July.

The median price on existing home sales fell to $168,300 last month, down from $174,000 in July and 5.1% lower than a year earlier, according to NAR.

Sales of distressed properties accounted for 31% of all sales in August, up from 29% in July and down from 34% a year ago.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Follow him on Twitter: @jrphilyaw

Wednesday, September 21st, 2011

The Independent Community Bankers of America asked federal regulators this week to launch a moratorium on bank mergers and acquisitions involving financial firms with $100 billion or more in assets.

If regulators heed the trade group's advice, the solution would effectively halt Capital One's (COF: 45.775 +0.36%) planned acquisition of ING Direct USA until Dodd-Frank rules designed to monitor too-big-to-fail banks are solidified.

The ICBA's chief regulatory counsel testified in front of the Federal Reserve Tuesday.

The push back stems from the fears of community bankers, who believe new mergers and acquisitions are adding risk to an already shaky financial system while concentrating power in larger institutions that effectively cut into the market share and opportunities for smaller institutions.

ICBA's leadership told the Fed that Dodd-Frank was designed to even the playing field between big and small banks, but, in fact, the threat of larger banks dominating the system remains.

“Not only are the large banks getting larger, their funding advantage over community banks, which has been estimated to be approximately 50 basis points, appears to be getting even larger,” said Chris Cole, ICBA's senior vice president and senior regulatory counsel.

Cole warned there is still no accurate way to measure systemic risk and regulators have yet to unveil a method to identify nonbank systemically important financial institutions.

Cole recommended a ban on mergers involving big banks, as well as an immediate issue of standards on how regulators will evaluate systemic risk when big banks merge or acquire another firm.

"Such standards should start with the presumption that any acquisition or merger that increases the number of institutions over $100 billion poses a systemic risk to our economy since it increases the potential number of institutions that are too big to fail," Cole said.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.



Origination/Lending
Consumer sentiment climbed to an index level of 75 in January, the best reading of the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan...

Read More »

Secondary Markets/Investors
The new federal task force led by New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman sent subpoenas to the 11 largest financial...

Read More »