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Archive for August, 2011

Friday, August 19th, 2011

The PMI Group Inc. (PMI: 0.00 N/A) received a delisting notice from the New York Stock Exchange because the mortgage insurer's stock closed at less than $1 for 30 consecutive trading days.

The company has six months to regain compliance or be delisted.

The PMI Group's stock price traded as high as $50 in May 2007, before plummeting, as the insurer was bombarded with claims as the housing bubble burst. By the end of 2007, the company's stock was trading around $13.25 and has continued falling since.

The Walnut Creek, Calif.-based company reported a second-quarter loss of $134.8 million, or 83 cents a share, as costs associated with claims continue to hurt results. The mortgage insurance unit reported a loss of $338.4 million for the three months ended June 30.

Earlier this month, The PMI Group said it may stop writing policies in several states because losses have sapped capital and led to an excessive risk-to-capital ratio.

Standard & Poor's recently downgraded its rating on the company and analysts said "statutory insolvency is possible by the end of 2011 or in early 2012."

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Follow him on Twitter: @jrphilyaw

Friday, August 19th, 2011

Home sales in Illinois rose 18.4% in July, with 9,708 homes sold in the state compared to 8,197 last year, according to the Illinois Association of Realtors.

While sales went up, the median statewide sales price declined 3.8%, hitting $153,000 in July, down from $159,000 a year ago.

"The market, like the economy, continues to struggle even though interest rates and prices would appear to suggest favorable conditions for housing purchases," said Geoffrey Hewings, director of the regional economics applications laboratory at the University of Illinois.

Hewings expects to see year-over-year sales gains in the next three months for both Illinois and the greater Chicago area.

In the Chicago metropolitan area, which includes nine counties, 6,625 home sales were recorded in July, up 19.2% from 5,560 last year. The median price in greater Chicago fell 5.4%, hitting $182,500 compared to $193,000.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Friday, August 19th, 2011

Bank of America (BAC: 7.22 -1.10%) is shedding 3,500 jobs, a spokesman for the banking giant said Friday.

BofA would not elaborate on whether jobs in the mortgage lending or servicing segments are included in the cuts. Spokesman Scott Silvestri said the company, which has about 287,000 employees worldwide, is eliminating positions across the board.

Brian Charles, a banking analyst with R.W. Pressprich & Co., said while there's speculation BofA will make more cuts in the remaining four months of the year, he does not anticipate the bank's mortgage servicing segment —- an area of widespread concern — will be impacted.

"They are still trying to get their arms around the foreclosure process," Charles said of BofA. "They want to make sure they have the headcount to do that."

Silvestri with BofA said the bank "regularly assesses the efficiencies of its business and from time to time is going to make adjustments" to meet the operating needs of the marketplace. The jobs cuts, which are expected to be complete by Sept. 30, follow 2,500 staff reductions from earlier in 2011, bringing the total number of layoffs at BofA to 6,000 this year.

The cuts comes as analysts are watching developments and financial statements from BofA closely, with the bank now holding the mortgage assets of former subprime lender Countrywide Financial and facing a string of cases from insurers and investors who want compensation on losses tied to soured mortgage-backed securities.

Second-quarter earnings from the nation's big banks showed the firms experienced modest loan growth and higher earnings during the period, according to analysts at FBR Capital Markets.

Bank of America reported an $8.8 billion loss for the second quarter due mostly to the bank's $8.5 billion settlement with mortgage-backed securities investors. Investors and at least two state attorneys general have pushed back against the settlement, saying it could prevent adequate recovery for all investors involved.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Friday, August 19th, 2011

Several prominent lawmakers and nearly every major financial player or consumer group is urging regulators to significantly ease QRM restrictions.

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

July home sales dropped 12.7% from the previous month, according to a RE/MAX survey of 53 cities released Thursday.

The real estate company blamed tightened lending standards, concern about the overall economy and bad appraisals that reportedly killed many transactions – a notion many in the appraisal business balked at. The National Association of Realtors pointed to similar predicaments when it reported existing home sales dropped 3.5% in July.

RE/MAX also said many lenders are already using the lower loan limits for government guaranteed or insured mortgages set to take effect in October.

Still, sales remained 13.1% above levels measured one year ago, and the median price dropped 4.6%, the smallest yearly decline in six months.

Prices actually increased in four of the last five months, allowing Margaret Kelly, the CEO of RE/MAX to stay optimistic, while others are not.

"The fact that July home sales were higher than a year ago, and by such a significant amount, gives us reason for great optimism," Kelly said. "And now that prices have risen for four of the past five months, the housing market is beginning to show definite signs of recovery."

July marked the first month since September 2010 when the average days on market for homes sold dropped below 90 days. In July, it averaged 88.

The 53 metro areas averaged an inventory of homes that would take 7.2 months to work through, down only two-months worth of supply from one year ago.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

The default rate on first mortgages dropped to 1.93% in July, according to Standard & Poor's.

S&P, in conjunction with the consumer rating firm Experian, monitors the rate of defaults within asset-backed securities. First mortgage defaults declined from 2.02% in June and 3.24% one year ago.

Second mortgage defaults showed a steeper drop to a rate of 1.25% in July, down from 1.4% the month before and 2.77% last year.

Defaults actually dropped across the entire ABS spectrum covered by the two firms, reaching a composite default rate of 2.06% in July. It's down more than a full percentage point from one year ago.

While defaults were down, delinquencies remained elevated. According to Lender Processing Services, the delinquency rate on mortgages increased 2.4% in July. More than 4.4 million loans are considered 30 days late or worse.

Still, the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland released a study this week showing overall household debt dropping toward a 20-year low, and Erkan Erturk, a credit analyst at S&P, said the July data shows a similar trend.

"The firming of these rates suggests that consumers continue to bolster their financial positions by paying down debt and not incurring excessive charges despite elevated unemployment and economic weakness, which we consider a positive for auto, credit card, and other types of consumer ABS credit," Erturk said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

An Aug. 12 story in The Wall Street Journal — Judgment Call: Appraisals Weigh Down Housing Sales — has left the appraisal industry furious, especially appraisal management companies.

Worse yet, a perceived lack of deference by the Journal's editors for industry concerns towards alleged inaccuracies in the original story is only adding fuel to the fire.

John Walsh, president of real estate data and analytics firm DataQuick, went so far as to send a detailed letter to both of the reporters on the story and to the Journal's general editorial domain. Receiving no reply, his letter now appears verbatim in The Niche Report, a trade publication catering to mortgage originators.

Walsh states the WSJ article shows a "serious misunderstanding of appraisers, appraisals and the overall valuation process." What's more, the meatiest point of Walsh's statement comes last — and is most likely to be the least-read aspect of his diatribe.

"Unfortunately, this article reflects a serious misunderstanding of the causes of the housing crisis, the lending process, and the current challenges in the housing market," he writes.

"This misunderstanding is pervasive both in the press and in Washington," he said. "It is driving poor legislation and outrage at the parties least responsible for the current predicament."

The fundamental role of appraisals is, in fact, not actually ever mentioned in the WSJ piece. So I will do what the Journal didn't and make something amply clear: Appraisals are a tool used by lenders to determine if they wish to lend on a specific piece of collateral.

More importantly, appraisals are not a tool for the buyer and seller of a home.

What this means is that any article — like the WSJ story in question — that parades one angry buyer after another, all of whom invariably bemoan the appraisal process, in front of readers is grossly mischaracterizing what an appraisal is in the first place.

Put simply, homeowners are not meant to have any influence on the valuation process.

"An appraiser may in fact kill a deal, but the home is worth what it is worth, and a quality appraisal gives the most probable price a home is worth in a certain market, regardless if the buyer and seller agree to a different price," said James Kirchmeyer, CEO of Kirchmeyer & Associates, an appraisal management company.

"There is no exact number in a valuations," Kirchmeyer said. "For example, ten bidders on a property give ten different prices they are willing to pay."

The WSJ article also fails to note that the appraisal industry is now under the auspices of the Dodd-Frank offspring known as the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. The argument above — that appraisals are not a consumer tool — is one I've actually made to the CFPB. Nonetheless, homeowners can now air their appraisal grievances to the CFPB when they believe an appraiser gives a particularly low value.

(Even this option curiously also goes unmentioned in the Journal's coverage.)

So I agree with Walsh on the point of wide misunderstanding on the part of the press and Washington — although I cannot agree with his assertion that the appraisal system is "the least responsible for the current predicament."

Nonetheless, it is hard to find logic in the WSJ article sources, who assert appraisers are somehow purposely coming in low on their valuations.

Mortgages are typically long-term, fixed-interest products. Furthermore, 95% of mortgages are financed on the secondary market by the government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. If an inaccurate valuation is discovered, the lender faces a repurchase on that loan, which translates directly into a risk for the appraiser's bottom line.

(This risk to a lender due to an inaccurate appraisal is not mentioned in the story, either.)

"An accurate appraiser is a busy appraiser," Kirchmeyer said. "If an appraiser consistently gives low-ball valuations, then eventually quality control at the lender catches up. The lender will flag that appraiser as a poor quality appraiser."

Are appraisers low balling? If the lender could pressure anything, it would pressure to bring the price higher."

Invitations to the authors to discuss the original article as published in the Wall Street Journal went unanswered.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

New York City second-quarter home sales were nearly cut in half from one year ago, but prices and even new building permits went up, according to a study from New York University Furman Center for real estate and urban policy.

Home and condominium sales totaled 4,200 in the second quarter, down 40% from the same period last year and a 20% drop from the previous three months. The National Association of Realtors said the overall U.S. housing market started the third quarter with a steep drop in existing home sales, which could mean the New York City market could slow even further.

Other indicators in the market pointed up.

Home prices citywide increased 6% from the first quarter but remains 21% down from the peak. Prices increased 8% in the Bronx and Brooklyn from the previous quarter but remain more than 20% down from their peaks, according to the study.

The average price for a single-family unit in New York City went for $415,000 in the second quarter and more than $5.3 million in Manhattan.

More than 1,500 new unities were authorized for residential building permits in the first half of the year, nearly reaching the 1,700 for all of 2010.

Foreclosures slipped from last year as well, according to the study.

"We saw fewer foreclosure notices in this quarter than we did in the same quarter of 2010," said Ingrid Gould Ellen, faculty co-director of the Furman Center. "Yet, nearly 7,000 households were newly affected by a foreclosure notice in the second quarter of 2011 and nearly 3,100 of those households were in Brooklyn."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

American International Group (AIG: 25.07 -0.28%) paid back $2.15 billion in Troubled Asset Relief Program bailouts, leaving $51 billion still outstanding, the Treasury Department said Thursday.

AIG, which sold credit default swaps and other financial instruments to insure mortgage-backed securities during the housing boom, received roughly $180 billion in bailouts from the Treasury when the mortgage market collapsed in 2008. It made this latest repayment by selling off its Nan Shan life insurance subsidiary.

In addition to the $51 billion still outstanding to the Treasury, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York still has $18.8 billion in loans out to Maiden Lane II and III, two LLCs created by the NY Fed to alleviate capital and liquidity pressures on AIG.

AIG reported a profit in the second quarter after continued quarterly losses in the billions. In the same quarter, AIG issued an $8.7 billion common stock offering of 100 shares and an addition 200 million shares by the Treasury.

The Treasury received $313 billion in total TARP repayments so far, roughly 76% of the $412 billion disbursed under the program.

"This is another important milestone in AIG’s remarkable turnaround," said Tim Massad, the Treasury's assistant secretary for financial stability. "We continue to make progress in recovering the taxpayers’ investments in AIG."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

Mortgage quality control servicer Aklero Risk Analytics Inc. named John Alarcon chief financial officer.

Alarcon will manage all financial operations and human resources for the company. He brings more than 16 years of experience and held senior level positions in management, finance and consulting.

Prior to joining Aklero, Alarcon was vice president of finance and corporate treasurer at ISGN. He also worked for SunGard, XRT, and META Group.

Fort Washington, Pa.-based Aklero provides loan quality and risk analytics services.

Write to Matthew Torres.



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