Archive for July, 2011
Researchers with Capital Economics say no one should interpret recent home price increases to anything but a temporary uptick caused by better weather and seasonal factors.
A new report from Altos Research earlier this week showed the median national home price for all 26 markets studied by the firm at $450,358 in June, compared to $444,273 in May.
In addition, the latest Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 10-city composite went up 0.8% in April when compared to March, while the 20-city index grew 0.7%.
"The recent rises in house prices are nothing more than the normal seasonal uplift triggered by the better weather and the end of the school year," Capital Economics wrote in its latest report.
Even still, Capital Economics noted one positive trend: seasonally adjusted prices are falling at a slower rate with distressed home sales making up a smaller percentage of total sales.
"We think prices will continue to edge lower," Capital Economics wrote. "But even if a floor is soon found, with demand still constrained by the high unemployment rate and the difficulties of securing a loan, house prices are unlikely to rise consistently for a couple of years yet."
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: Altos Research, Capital Economics, home prices, Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
The words of a Deutsche Bank (DB: 44.08 +1.57%) trader who allegedly referred to loans underlying certain residential mortgage-backed securities as "pigs" and "crap" have come back to haunt the German banking giant.
This week, Belgium lender Dexia filed suit against Deutsche Bank claiming the bank sold it $1 billion of RMBS. These deals were marketed, Dexia says, even though the securities were backed by high-risk loans. They claim Deutsche did so without truly representing the quality of the underlying mortgages.
Deutsche Bank could not be immediately reached for comment Thursday afternoon. The suit was filed in a New York court.
Dexia claims Deutsche sold the RMBS and then established a $10 billion short position in that segment to profit from weaknesses in RMBS.
The accusations against Deutsche first surfaced in a Senate subcommittee report on the banking crisis titled "Wall Street and the Financial Crisis: Anatomy of a Financial Collapse." In that report, the lawmakers said they uncovered information about how Deutsche Bank's top global collateralized debt obligations trader warned colleagues and clients about the poor quality of RMBS securities within many CDOs, describing them as "crap" and "pigs" — the same verbiage cited in Dexia's lawsuit.
Dexia is suing Deutsche for common law fraud, fraudulent inducement, aiding and abetting fraud and negligent misrepresentation.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: deutsche bank, Dexia, residential mortgage-backed securities, RMBS, Senate banking subcommitte
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
Robert Bostrom, executive vice president, general counsel and corporate secretary at Freddie Mac is joining the global Financial Institutions and Funds sector of law firm SNR Denton.
The government-sponsored enterprise's principal deputy general counsel for corporate affairs, John Dye, will serve as interim general counsel, until a replacement is named.
Bostrom was at Freddie for six years. According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Bostrom's last day will be July 29.
SNR Denton says he will join the international law firm in mid-August.
Bostrom started his career at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He served as lead counsel at Freddie Mac through the government takeover of the mortgage banking giant and advised on the creation of a new corporate governance structure for the company.
He also helped respond to investigations against the GSE by federal regulators.
Write to Jacob Gaffney.
Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.
Tags: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, freddie mac, Securities and Exchange Commission, SNR Denton
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | No Comments »
The volume of investment in the global commercial real estate space skyrocketed in the second quarter, compared to a year ago, with large gains particularly in North American markets. But the good times may not last.
An outlook report from Deloitte & Touche on the commercial real estate market is titled "A year of gain or pain." And it's easy to see why.
That report concludes that more than $1.7 trillion worth of CRE debt — held by banks, commercial mortgage-backed securities, life insurance companies and other lenders — will come due between 2011 and 2015. And an estimated 60% of these loans are underwater.
But investors remain interested in the market globally.
"Looking ahead, debt concerns in some advanced economies and the risk of overheating in some emerging markets will induce caution and careful asset selection, adding to a natural deceleration in the recovery," said Arthur de Haast, head of the international capital group at Jones Lang LaSalle said.
"Nevertheless, the pipeline of product in the market gives us confidence that full-year volumes will reach our forecast of $440 billion," he said.
Haast based his estimations on the latest market reports from Jones Lang LaSalle, a global commercial real estate juggernaut.
According to the report, global direct real estate investment volumes in the second quarter of 2011 totaled more than $101 billion, up 7% from the previous three months and a staggering 47% from the second quarter 2010.
All property sectors in the United States experienced strong growth given the increased debt availability and a hunger among investors for yield options in the very low interest rate environment, the report states. Volumes for the region rose 56% from the first quarter of 2011 to $49 billion.
Commercial real estate analysis from Deloitte cautions on the bullish CRE market continuing into the second half of the year.
"The story of real estate in 2011 is decidedly a tale of two markets," says Guy Langford, a principal with Deloitte. “While people are no longer talking about commercial real estate as the ‘other shoe to drop,’ there certainly are some elements within the market right now that are cause for concern.”
And it's not just a shift in property fundamentals that may damage the rally. Deloitte said uncertainty remains over how lenders may react to Dodd-Frank regulations that come into play on the one-year anniversary of the financial reform signing.
More importantly, however, is the dragging macroeconomic conditions.
“Job growth is a key driver for the apartment, office, retail and industrial real estate segments,” says Langford. “Until unemployment decreases from its uncommonly high level, growth in the CRE market likely will be hampered."
The market for CRE debt maturities is facing a glut of potential refinancings, according to the commercial real estate 2011 report from Deloitte.
However, the outlook is not grim across the board.
Jones Lang LaSalle’s global capital markets research director Paul Guest said: “Our forecast calls for a further $240 billion to transact in the second half. There are several supportive factors to note: Japan will rebound from March’s natural disasters; there is additional bank product coming up for sale in Europe and the United States, some of it very good quality."
"Nonetheless, the rate of growth has started to decelerate and this will continue, particularly as central banks continue to tighten around the world,” he added.
Write to Jacob Gaffney.
Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.
Tags: CMBS, CRE, Deloitte, JLL, Jones Lang LaSalle
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Slider, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
Fannie Mae launched a new product onto the secondary markets Wednesday.
The shorter duration issue of three-year benchmark notes are being consumed by money mangers desperate for liquidity.
In a quick note to clients, FTN Financial said the notes sold in their entirety, primarily to a domestic base, populated entirely by money managers.
"The deal was attractively priced, but the bigger story is there's simply not that much product availability to compete with Treasurys and the occasional ultra-high grade bullet," said analyst Jim Vogel in the email. "The spigots are turned to off."
"Finding a place to earn something is the driving motivator for now," he added.
The offer will settle on July 18 and the bonds will mature Aug. 28, 2014.
BNP Paribas Securities, Deutsche Bank Securities (DB: 44.08 +1.57%) and Goldman Sachs (GS: 109.85 +1.19%) are the joint lead managers.
Co-managers include Citigroup Global Markets, FTN Financial Capital Markets, Loop Capital Markets, JPMorgan & Co. (JPM: 37.26 -0.61%), and M.R. Beal & Co.
Write to Jacob Gaffney.
Follow him on Twitter @jacobgaffney.
Tags: 3-year note, BNP Paribas Securities, Citigroup Global Markets, Deutsche Bank Securities, Fannie Mae, FTN financial, FTN Financial Capital Markets, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Loop Capital Markets, mortgage bonds
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | No Comments »
The U.S. homeownership rate could fall another one to two percentage points if credit conditions and the economy remain in the same crisis mode exhibited in 2009, the Mortgage Banker's Association said Thursday.
The present-day homeownership rate of 66.4% is in line with historic norms after falling from a 2004 peak of 69.2%, the MBA Research Institution for Housing America concluded in a new study.
The report says the 2004 peak was driven by access to cheap credit and a willingness on the part of more buyers in their 20s and 30s to assume higher levels of debt and financial risk when acquiring homes.
Post-crash homeownership rates are now at 2000 levels, the report said.
The data was compiled by Professor Stuart Gabriel of UCLA's Anderson School and Stuart Rosenthal of Syracuse University.
"The question of why homeownership rates are falling now is really a question of why they were so high during the middle of the last decade," said Gabriel. "From the late 1960s to the mid-1990s, U.S. homeownership rates were relatively stable between 64 and 65 percent. Our findings suggest that the boom and bust in homeownership rates over the last decade was driven in part by an initial relaxation of credit standards followed by a tightening of credit with the onset of the 2007 financial crash."
The report says homeownership rates from this point forward are largely dependent on consumers and the overall economy.
"If underwriting conditions and attitudes about investing in homeownership settle back to year-2000 patterns and, if the socioeconomic and demographic traits of the population look similar to those of 2000, then the homeownership rate may have bottomed out and will not decline further," Rosenthal wrote in the study. "If, instead, household employment, earnings and other socioeconomic characteristics over the next few years remain similar to those in 2009, then homeownership rates could fall by up to another 1 to 2 percentage points beyond 2011."
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: credit standards, homeownership rates, MBA, Mortgage Bankers Association
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | 7 Comments »
When academics at George Washington University released their study supporting a drop in the conforming loan limits, they failed to disclose Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corp. (GNW: 7.76 -0.51%) funded and provided the data on the project.
Genworth maintains it created no conflict in doing so and said the practice of private funding for public research is fairly common. Furthermore, HousingWire is told the omission of the Genworth disclosure was actually an unintentional oversight.
The study was conducted by Robert Van Order and Anthony Yezer, professors of finance and economics at GWU. After publishing said article, multiple sources told HousingWire that Genworth and an unnamed group approached several researchers with the idea for the study and what it should find.
Congress raised the conforming loans limits in 2008 to allow Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration to insure, guarantee and buy more loans at a time when private funding froze during the financial crisis. Without an extension, the maximum mortgage amount will drop to $625,500 from $729,750 in high-cost areas.
But since the crisis, the FHA saw its mortgage insurance market share grow from roughly 5% to more than 30% in 2010. Van Order and Yezer found that if Congress elects to lower the conforming loan limits Oct. 1, the FHA could still reach its intended demographic of low- to middle-income borrowers.
"Our policy recommendation was that over time the FHA should revert to its previous role," Van Order and Yezer said in their note. "This will lead to a reduction in its market share."
And market share may be something Genworth is attempting to claw back even as it continues to struggle under several state capital requirements.
According to Genworth's first quarter financial statement, the company continued to exceed the maximum risk-to-capital requirement for writing new business in North Carolina. But the state continued to grant it a two-year waiver as of March 31.
Genworth is also cleared to write new mortgage insurance under waivers from 10 other states. Business continues in another 34 states that do not have maximum risk requirements.
A Genworth spokesman told HousingWire the company provided data to the GWU professors.
"Because of the expense of acquiring this data, Genworth regularly is asked to share this kind of data and analysis with regulators, media, think tanks and even critics, among others," the spokesman said. "The professors who analyzed this data are independent, and are in full control of their research conclusions and recommendations. Genworth Financial provided a small contribution to the university, in accordance with the guidelines of the institution, but no compensation was provided to the authors themselves."
As the regulators and the industry continue to clash in the wake of the housing crash, research studies have come under greater scrutiny – specifically from academics.
A recent report released by Charles Calomiris, a professor at Columbia Business School, Eric Higgins, a professor of finance at Kansas State University, and Joseph Mason, a finance professor at Louisiana State University found that if negotiations between the 50 state attorneys general and major mortgage servicers resulted in a settlement too harsh for banks, it would wreak havoc on a still fragile financial market.
However, the study was funded by the financial market.
"This is how a lot of academic research happens," said one source familiar with the Genworth-GWU study.
Van Order and Yezer were not immediately available for comment, but a spokesperson for GWU agreed with the Genworth statement.
Write to Jon Prior.
Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.
Tags: conforming loan limits, Fannie Mae, Federal Housing Administration, FHA, freddie mac, Genworth, George Washington University, GWU, insurance, mortgage
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
A Congressional panel Q&A with Consumer Financial Protection Bureau architect Elizabeth Warren focused on two key points — looming questions of transparency when it comes to the agency's role in the $25 billion mortgage servicing settlement and concerns over the agency's budget and expenditures.
Warren also conceded several times during the hearing that she's unaware of any products in the lending space that should be banned at this time.
Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.), who chairs the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, levied the first question to Warren, saying he has concerns about documents obtained from state AGs by conservative watch dog group Judicial Watch. When the documents were released, Judicial Watch said the records showed Warren's CFPB played a much larger role than previously disclosed in helping enforcement agencies reach the mortgage servicing settlement with big banks. Warren's team has contended the agency only offered advice.
On the record, Issa asked Warren, "you are not in enforcement correct?
To that, Warren said she is not.
Issa made the Judicial Watch disclosures the focus of his interview, pointing out to Warren that the Justice Department refused to disclose similar information on the grounds some of the disclosures related to an ongoing enforcement matter. Warren responded saying she's not in the position to speak for the Justice Department and she believes requests went to the Treasury, not the CFPB.
Issa piped back saying "You are going to inherit these requests and appeals (when the CFPB goes live). I am sure the Justice Department is not going to continue defending on your behalf. These requests will speak loudly to whether or not the transparency that we all speak of is occurring."
The hearing had a much more subdued tone. Rep. Patrick McHenry (R.-N.C.), who conducted a well-documented grilling of Warren a few months back, conceded today that Warren's simplified disclosure forms are in line with a legislative initiative he proposed four years ago.
Having started on a positive note, McHenry asked Warren if she knows "if there are any financial products that should be outright banned from the market."
To that Warren replied, "I don't know, sir, if you have a particular suggestion."
McHenry replied, "I don't have a half-billion dollar budget, so I will leave that to you and the agency."
Warren's budget remained a point of contention for lawmakers throughout the meeting.
Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) raised concerns saying an appropriations committee report suggested it's unclear how the CFPB will spend its money.
"How do the taxpayers see what you are going to do and how you are going to do it?" Chaffetz asked. Warren replied saying five months before the launch, the agency began publishing documents and information online.
"I am worried about the fine print," Chaffetz said. "we don't have the details on how you are actually going … to bring this thing forward."
Warren replied saying every contract issued by CFPB is done through the ordinary competitive process. Chaffetz, however, pointed Warren to an appropriations committee report which he says describes the CFPB as being "unlike other agencies" in that it "does not define or explain the connection between its policy projections and budget resources."
When asked if Congress has a right to look over the CFPB's shoulder. Warren replied, "The Congress should look over our shoulder 24 hours a day, seven days a week."
When asked whether Congress should be involved in her budget, Warren said the CFPB's funding, like other banking regulators, should not be dependent on the political process. "I believe Congress should treat all banking regulators alike and not say the one that will watch out for consumers will be put through the political process."
When questions over funding became heated, Rep. Jim Cooper (R-Tenn.) interrupted the hearing saying, "I think we all realize that people believe this Congress is dysfunctional. I would urge the junior members to dismiss partisan comments. I did not vote for Dodd-Frank … , but I do not want to be a part of a committee that treated Miss Warren with more rudeness and disrespect than I have seen any other witness treated … this is not the American way."
To that Chairman Issa agreed the hearing should be civil and professional. He added, "We will be talking about an organization that Warren may or not head, but she certainly is the most knowledgeable witness."
During the hearing, Democratic lawmakers re-focused the conversation back to the bureau's efforts in helping military families with foreclosure or mortgage-related issues.
Towards the end of the meeting, Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.) pointed to Warren's academic writings, which showed her discussing the dangers pay day lending poses to certain consumers, including minorities.
He asked pointedly, "Do you think pay day lending should be banned?"
Warren responded, "We have priorities, our first priority is around the TILA/RESPA forms and we are trying to reduce regulatory burdens."
When asked several times about the banning of certain financial products, Warren did not discuss any products that she believes should be banned.
Towards the end, Warren said half of the CFPB budget will be supervision of institutions and the straight-forward enforcing of law, a quarter will be about consumer education and complaints, while the remaining quarter will cover everything else.
Write to Kerri Panchuk.
Tags: CFPB, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Elizabeth Warren, mortgage servicing settlement
Posted in Servicing/Default, Top Stories | 1 Comment »
The Department of Housing and Urban Development settled with two mortgage companies this week suspected of violating the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, but next week, reams of pending cases will transfer to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
In November 2008, HUD issued new RESPA regulation, establishing a standard Good Faith Estimate form and process and an expanded HUD-1 Settlement Statement. To be in compliance with RESPA, and help assure fair prices for consumers, actual costs at closing must fall within established tolerance ranges. These new disclosures were implemented in January 2010.
Since then, HUD opened more than 1,500 cases against mortgage companies suspected of violating RESPA, said Teresa Payne, the associate deputy assistant secretary for regulatory affairs at HUD.
Such cases and 37 HUD employees will transfer over to CFPB headquarters when the new agency opens July 21.
HUD struck settlements with Prospect Mortgage for $3.1 million and Fidelity National Financial for $4.5 million this week. In each case, HUD claimed the company gave kickbacks to real estate agents, brokers, lenders and servicers for referring business back to the company.
Payne, who will be moving to the CFPB herself, said such compensation can only be provided if the broker or agent actually performs a necessary service "distinct from their primary services and for which there are not duplicative fees." Also, the compensation must "be reasonably related to the value of the services actually performed."
Elizabeth Warren, the architect of the CFPB, has repeatedly said before Congress that the bureau will have more teeth than its regulatory predecessors. The mission, she has made clear, will be to put the industry under constant scrutiny to make sure transparency and consumer protection is upheld.
Payne acknowledged the new RESPA requirements have already shown its advantages.
"Prospective borrowers are receiving more accurate Good Faith Estimates and costs at closing are being held within tolerance ranges," Payne said. "Several commenters noted that the new GFE form is holding lenders accountable for low-balling and bait-and-switch, which have made estimates closer to the actual closing costs."
Write to Jon Prior.
Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.
Tags: CFPB, Elizabeth Warren, Fidelity National Financial, HUD, July 21, mortgage, Prospect Mortgage, RESPA, violations
Posted in Origination/Lending, Top Stories | 2 Comments »
Apollo Residential Mortgage Inc. said it plans to offer 10 million shares in its initial public offering to buy agency mortgage-backed securities.
The firm, a newly organized real estate investment trust, or REIT, said it expects the IPO to price at about $20 a share and trade under the ticker AMTG on the New York Stock Exchange.
It will invest in residential mortgage assets in the United States. Its assets are expected to consist initially of agency MBS but later expand to include a broader range residential mortgage assets, including nonagency MBS, residential mortgage loans and other residential mortgage assets, the firm said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing.
"We also anticipate that we will purchase single-family residential whole mortgage loans and other mortgage-related assets over time. We plan to source our residential mortgage loans through bulk acquisitions of pools of whole loans originated by third parties that we expect to be available for purchase from existing bulk or pool sellers. In addition, we will seek to purchase legacy nonconforming mortgage loans from a range of financial institutions," Apollo said in its regulatory filing.
Its manager is an indirect subsidiary of Apollo Global Management (APO: 14.86 +1.43%), a global private equity firm that went public in March and a direct subsidiary of Apollo Capital Management, an investment adviser.
Apollo already has some experience in residential real estate markets. Apollo bought WMC Mortgage Corp., a subprime lender, in 1997 and sold it in 2004 for approximately $472 million, generating a gross internal rate of return of 28.3%, the company said. In addition, Apollo is the majority owner of Realogy Corp., a global provider of residential real estate services. In 2007, Apollo formed Vantium to take advantage of dislocation in the mortgage markets. Vantium has invested more than $750 million in residential mortgage assets with a combined par value of approximately $2 billion.
Apollo Residential said it believes it can capitalize on the significant market disruptions in the housing industry, including the steep yield curve and attractive spread environment. The firm also said it anticipates making "strategic purchases of legacy nonagency MBS at significant discounts to par" in the coming years, when it expects a resurgence in private-label MBS.
Larger macro trends in the housing industry also point to a potential promising future for the IPO.
"Declining home prices and tightening lending standards reduce the volatility of prepayment risk and will allow us to hedge our interest rate exposure more effectively," it said in the regulatory filing. "In addition, we expect the tightening of lending standards to lead to fewer defaults, which will improve our performance both in terms of lower default rates on nonagency assets, and improve our accuracy in forecasting the duration of our agency assets."
Still, the plan to invest in MBS is not without its risks as the housing market languishes and trends involving prepayment rates and delinquency rates remain volatile, which could affect the values of agency and nonagency MBS.
Plans to reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the uncertainty that still exists on that front, could also affect its profitability, the company said.
Write to Kerry Curry.
Follow her on Twitter @communicatorKLC.
Tags: Apollo Capital Management, Apollo Global Management, Apollo Residential Mortgage, IPO, MBS, mortgage-backed securities, New York Stock Exchange, Realogy Corp., REIT, Securities and Exchange Commission, Vantium
Posted in Secondary Market/Investors, Top Stories | 1 Comment »











