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Archive for June, 2011

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

Some signs of stabilization in Florida home prices surfaced last month as foreign investors flooded the market with cash to buy properties, a new report from FBR Capital Markets said.

Analysts with FBR believe an influx of foreign money could have the dual effect of raising confidence in the banks' reserve levels, while undermining growth on the financing side of the mortgage system.

"We believe that the book values of banks holding loans in Florida are probably stable, but cash buyers are draining loans from the banking system, which is likely to result in shrinking balance sheets and negative loan growth," FBR Capital analysts said.

One reason for the recent price stabilization is the high demand for properties priced lower than $150,000, according to FBR.

"Homes below the $150,000 pricing point are easy to rent at prices that make economic sense, while homes above $150,000 are less likely to rent at profitable prices," FBR Capital said.

While the lower end of the market appears to be a draw for investors, FBR did note some activity for homes priced higher than $150,000 as well.

Although home prices took a promising turn recently, analysts still fret over the shadow inventory of foreclosure properties. Once the inventory is unleashed on the market, it could pushing prices lower, FBR Capital said.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

The amount of mortgages in the earliest stage of delinquency at the end of March dropped to the lowest level since the first quarter of 2008, federal banking regulators said.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision studied delinquency levels on 63% of all mortgages outstanding in the U.S. in the first quarter — roughly 32.7 million loans held by select banks.

The percentage of mortgages between 30- and 59-days delinquent dropped 16% from the previous quarter and 5.8% from one year ago.

The percentage of loans current and performing reached 88.6% in the first quarter, up a full percentage point from the end of 2010 and up 150 basis points from the first quarter of last year. It's also the highest level since the second quarter of 2009.

Seriously delinquent mortgages declined for the fifth straight quarter, a 9.4% drop from the previous quarter and down 25% from last year.

However, the foreclosure pipeline continued to balloon. More than 1.3 million mortgages are somewhere in the foreclosure process, according to the report, up 7.9% from a year ago and relatively flat with the previous quarter.

Banks repossessed or completed short sales on more than 171,000 homes in the first quarter, up 17.4% from the previous quarter but still down 17.5% from one year ago as servicers work to restart the process. Major servicers and lenders froze the foreclosure process at the end of last year to correct improperly handled documentation.

Still, servicers implemented nearly three times as many workout plans as they completed foreclosures. More than 557,000 modifications, trial-period plans or restructured payment plans started in the first quarter. While these home-retention actions increased 17.4% from the previous quarter, the total dropped 10.5% from one year ago.

"The large inventory of seriously delinquent mortgages and foreclosures in process continued to work its way through the loss mitigation process — either through home-retention actions such as modification or through foreclosure when alternatives were not possible," the OCC said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

Pending home sales rose 8.2% in May after experiencing a downturn in April, with contract activity rising above year-ago levels for the first time since April 2010, the National Association of Realtors said Wednesday.

The huge trade association, which has more than 1.2 million members, said its pending home sales index, which is based on the number of contracts signed to purchase previously owned homes, rose to 88.8 in May, 13.4% higher than 78.3 a year earlier and up from 82.1 in April.

"Absorption of inventory is the key to price improvement, and this solid gain in contract signings implies that home values in many localities are or will soon be stabilizing as inventories get absorbed at a faster pace," NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said.

"Some markets have made a rapid turnaround, going from soft activity to contract signings rising by more than 30% from a year ago, including areas such as Hartford, Conn.; Indianapolis; Minneapolis; Houston; and Seattle," Yun said.

Overall, May was a turnaround month considering pending home sales fell substantially in April due to unusual weather and continued uncertainty in the housing market.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

The number of properties delinquent 90 or more days or in foreclosure outnumber foreclosure sales 50 to 1, according to the Lender Processing Services' (LPS: 16.78 +1.39%) mortgage monitor report for May.

The mortgage and real estate technology firm said the total delinquency rate for U.S. mortgage was 7.96% in May, down just 0.1% from April and 18.3% lower than a year earlier.

LPS said foreclosure sales slowed considerably on the East Coast last month, with declines of 96% in Washington, 80% in Maryland, 79% in New York and 75% in New Jersey.

"In fact, there are still significantly fewer foreclosure sales than there were before foreclosure moratoria were put into place, and foreclosure sales are declining," LPS said.

Last fall, the nation's largest mortgage lenders suspended the foreclosure process across the country in the wake of the robo-signing fiasco.

More than one-third of home loan borrowers in foreclosure haven't made a payment in more than two years, according to LPS.

The company said the number of new problem loans — mortgages that were current six moths ago and are now more than 60-days delinquent — in May slowed and are less than half peak levels of 2009. Still, LPS said delinquencies are almost double historical norms and foreclosures are eight times higher.

"Negative equity also remains a concern, with nearly 30% of current loans in a negative equity position," according to LPS. "The equity impact on new seriously delinquent loans is significant, with loans significantly underwater defaulting up to 10 times as much as loans with equity."

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

Bank of America (BAC: 7.211 -1.22%) agreed to pay $8.5 billion to investors who lost money on soured residential mortgage-backed securities that were assumed by the banking giant after it acquired Countrywide Financial Corp.

Bank of America reached the agreement with Bank of New York Mellon (BK: 20.077 +0.38%), which served as trustee for 530 MBS trusts with a combined principal balance of $424 billion. BofA plans to record a second-quarter provision of $5.5 billion to cover any remaining representation and warranties issues.

After accounting for the settlement, which is larger than BofA's earnings since the beginning of the financial crisis, the company now expects to report a second-quarter loss of $8.6 billion to $9.1 billion.

"The key driver of the expected loss is the representations and warranties provision of $14 billion, including $8.5 billion for the settlement agreement on legacy Countrywide mortgage repurchase and servicing claims, and an additional $5.5 billion increase in the company's representations and warranties liability for non-GSE exposures and, to a lesser extent, GSE exposures," BofA said in a statement.

Bank of America acquired Countrywide Financial Corp., one of the nation's largest subprime lenders, after the 2008 financial crisis. Since then, investors have saddled the bank with numerous lawsuits over RMBS losses tied to Countrywide home loans.

Bank of America said the settlement resolves nearly all of the legacy first-lien RMBS issues stemming from Countrywide.

"This is another important step we are taking in the interest of our shareholders to minimize the impact of future economic uncertainty and put legacy issues behind us," BofA Chief Executive Officer Brian Moynihan said. "We will continue to act aggressively, and in the best interest of our shareholders, to clean up the mortgage issues largely stemming from our purchase of Countrywide."

The agreement still requires court approval.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

Real estate investment trusts are on track to buy more than $100 billion in mortgage-backed securities by the end of the year, according to JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.26 -0.61%) analysts.

REITs buy, develop, manage and sell real estate assets and occasionally securitize those assets as well. Investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods recently estimated the total aggregate value for these firms to be as high as $42 billion, up from $30.4 billion at the end of last year.

"Overall, the supply-demand picture for mortgages looks balanced," Chase analysts said. "On the demand side, REITs’ appetite for mortgages has been surprising year to date."

These companies, such as New York-based Annaly Capital (NLY: 16.95 +0.41%), are also increasing their fundraising for making these purchases. REIT equity offerings spiked in the first quarter of 2011, exceeding $7 billion, which is more than triple the previous quarter. Equity offerings have since fallen off but still remain over $2 billion as of the second quarter of 2011.

In comparison, banks bought $45 billion in MBS so far this year, on track to reach the analysts' forecast of between $75 billion and $100 billion.

REITs, at an 8-to-1 leverage, are right there with them.

"The equity raised this year should translate into north of $100 billion of MBS buying in 2011," analysts said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

The number of mortgage applications filed in the United States fell for a second week in a row, declining 2.7% as consumers backed away from new home purchases and refinancing options.

The Mortgage Bankers Association's refinance index – a measure of refinancing activity – fell 2.6% this past week, while the purchase index dropped 3% on a seasonally adjusted basis. Meanwhile, the four-week moving averages for the seasonally adjusted market index and the refinance index grew 0.7% and 1.5%, respectively.

The four-week average for the purchase index declined 1.5%.

Despite a reported drop in the refinance index, refinancing applications still make up 69.5% of all mortgage activity.

Mortgage rates also declined this week, hitting their lowest point in seven months, with the 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage declining to 4.46% from 4.57% last week.

The average rate for the 15-year, FRM also fell from 3.70% to 3.64%.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, June 28th, 2011

Advocacy groups re-ignited a decade-long debate over what role the federal government should play in creating homeownership opportunities for low-income and minority families this week.

One such group, the Woodstock Institute, is fighting the proposed 20% down-payment requirement under the qualified residential mortgage rule, saying it's a definite barrier to minority homeownership.

"Few, if any, people and families of color currently have that kind of wealth," the Woodstock Institute said. "Some have estimated that it would take some lower-income, lower-wealth Latino families 14 or more years to raise such a sizeable down payment for an average size, modestly priced home."

But the debate over affordable housing for minorities is not that simple, other policy groups say. Researchers at conservative think tank Cato Institute have blamed government programs for creating the housing bubble by focusing too much on homeownership growth, while ignoring underlying financials.

In a report on Cato's website, researcher Tad Dehaven  pinpointed the mid-nineties as the start of today's housing crisis. "In the Clinton administration, a primary mission of HUD was to increase home ownership rates, especially among minorities and low-income families."

Cato claims the move in 1992 to give the Housing and Urban Development Department regulatory authority over the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac "began pushing the two firms into the subprime lending business" and that push led to lax underwriting standards for the purpose of creating financial vehicles that could cater to underserved markets.

The Woodstock Institute, on the other hand, blames the"Ownership Society" of the Bush administration for going too far with the government's home ownership expansion initiative by not creating "effective safeguards against unchecked and unscrupulous lenders."

Either way, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and the Dodd-Frank Act are caught in the middle of two competing goals. Beginning July 21, CFPB officials will be charged with creating "laws that outlaw discrimination and other unfair treatment in consumer finance," according to the agency's website. But the CFPB's interest in creating opportunities in housing will be juxtaposed against its desire to ensure individuals given loans meet some type of financial standard to assess their ability to repay.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, June 28th, 2011

Bank of America Corp. is closing in on an agreement to pay $8.5 billion to settle claims from a group of high-profile investors that lost money on mortgage-backed securities purchased before the U.S. housing collapse, people familiar with the matter said.

Tuesday, June 28th, 2011

Princeton economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman recently advocated for a third round of economic stimulus.

According to Krugman, what is needed to revive the fledgling American economy is more economic juice from the Fed, making him the anti-hero of modern day deficit cutters.

Krugman, who certainly has his critics in the worlds of economics and politics, recently sat down with HousingWire to share his Keynesian-esque view.

HousingWire subscribers can view the magazine's full interview with Krugman in the July edition. Click here to subscribe now.



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