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Archive for May, 2011

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

Impac Mortgage Holdings (IMH: 2.70 +1.50%) is wading through a maze of liquidity risks in a mortgage finance market facing headwinds from falling home prices, regulatory uncertainty and litigation risks related to the securitization of mortgage loans.

The real estate services firm said in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that one of its top concerns is the ongoing lull in the mortgage lending and credit markets. Impac also reported a first-quarter loss of $987,000, or 8 cents per share, down from income of $5.9 million, or 46 cents per share,  a year earlier.

"Mortgage lending and credit market conditions remained soft through the first quarter of 2011 due primarily to an increase in mortgage rates and weak economy," Impac said in the filing. "Existing uncertainties surrounding the housing market, economy and regulatory environment will continue to present challenges for the company. The ongoing economic stress or further deterioration of general economic conditions could prolong or increase borrower defaults leading to deteriorating performance of our long-term mortgage portfolio."

Impac said its ability to meet its long-term liquidity requirements hinges on its success in generating fees from its mortgage and real estate businesses and from realizing cash flows in its long-term mortgage portfolio. The company grew its mortgage lending operations in March, opening regional offices in Oregon and Baton Rouge, La.

"The company believes that current cash balances, cash flows from mortgage and real estate services fees generated from the long-term mortgage portfolio, and residual interest cash flows from the long-term mortgage portfolio are adequate for the current operating needs," Impac said.

However, in the long run, the firm said its "ability to successfully compete in the mortgage and real estate services industry may be challenging as its business activities have been established in the last few years and many competitors have recently entered or have established businesses delivering similar services."

In addition, Impac said its investment in securitized non-conforming loans continues to be adversely affected by housing market conditions, leading to more defaults and higher loss severities.

The company also is watching securitization litigation and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act closely.

"It is not possible to precisely determine the impact to operations and financial results at this time, Impac wrote in relation to Dodd-Frank. "The company will continue to assess the effect of the legislation on the company’s business as the associated regulations are adopted."

Impac outlined a series of lawsuits that could potentially impact the firm, including one filed against the company earlier this year in Massachusetts that alleges Impac Funding Corp. and Impac Secured Assets Corp. violated state securities laws on loans that allegedly did not meet representations made before they were placed into securitized trusts.

Another case — Federal Home Loan bank of Boston v. Ally Financial Inc. — named Impac Funding Corp., Impac Mortgage Holdings. and Impac Secured Assets Corp. as defendants and alleged misrepresentation on materials used to market mortgage-backed securities.

"The company believes that it has meritorious defenses to the above claims and intends to defend these claims vigorously and as such the company believes the final outcome of such matters will not have a material adverse effect on its financial condition or results of operations," Impac said in its 10-Q.

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

The median income of Realtors dropped almost 35% over the last eight years, according to new data from the National Association of Realtors, as home sales across the nation struggle to gain footing.

The median income for real estate professionals in the NAR network last year was $34,100, a 4.5% decline from 2009. Realtor income dropped every year since 2002 when the peak salary hit $52,200 and salaries are down 34.7% between then and 2010.

Paul Bishop, vice president of research at NAR, told HousingWire that Realtor income is highly dependent on market conditions, meaning when the industry tanks, so will a real estate professional's salary.

"The biggest factor in what we're seeing with Realtor income really depends on what were seeing in the overall market," Bishop said. "How many transactions and what the properties are selling for will determine what professionals are making."

The majority of Realtors earn money through commission, with 68% compensated through a split commission agreement, 18% receiving the total commission and 3% earning commission plus a share of profit, according to NAR data. About 11% reported being compensated in some other manner.

Home sales in 2011 are rising comparative to the last couple of years. NAR reported seasonally adjusted sales rose to an annual rate of 5.14 million in the first quarter, up 8.3% from the prior quarter. However, compared to historical norms, sales are tanking. In March 2007, sales peaked at an annualized rate more than 6 million properties.

Home prices fell on an annual basis in the first quarter, as well, driven by a large amount of distressed property sales. The median sale price during the first three months of 2011 was $158,700, according to NAR, down nearly 5% from a year earlier.

Real estate agents in the Century 21 network complained in a recent survey that lending standards are preventing them from making sales. Approximately 89% of respondents had at least one customer in the past six months experience some level of difficulty in qualifying for a mortgage, while 87% said credit score and related financial qualification requirements were the biggest obstacles.

Roughly 93% of real estate agents believe they could be closing more sales if their customers had a "quality subprime mortgage alternative." On average, agents said they feel they could have 32% more transaction volume with such a mortgage product available.

Bishop said transaction volume is unlikely to offset a drop in income caused by declining home prices, however. An agent could close a similar number of deals for several years straight, and still attain a progressively lower salary, he said.

"We expect an environment in which more transactions will take place, but there will not be a lot of growth in home prices," Bishop said. "We are not anticipating a big jump in Realtor income going forward."

A difficult work environment and unstable salaries are driving potential job candidates out of the market. NAR had less than 1.1 million members in 2010, a 21.3% decline from the peak in 2006. The average age of a NAR member is 56, the organization said.

"We have seen fewer real estate professionals coming into the business, and that's mostly attributable to the fact it's a tough time in real estate," Bishop said. "Plus it really takes three or four years to build your business."

NAR said only 6% of its members claim real estate as their first career. NAR members in the business for two years or less earn a median $8,900 per year, the organization said.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

The Securities and Exchange Commission meets Wednesday to discuss whether additional rules should be deployed under Dodd-Frank to ensure credit ratings agencies are monitored appropriately to maintain investor confidence.

Under Section 9, Subtitle C of Dodd-Frank, lawmakers have already highlighted the "systemic importance of credit ratings," saying firms, including Standard & Poor's, Fitch Ratings and Moody's  Investor's Service (MCO: 37.77 -0.76%), should "be subject to the same standards of liability and oversight as apply to auditors, securities analysts and investment bankers."

The SEC was given the authority to determine how this oversight would be developed and implemented in the Dodd-Frank Act.

The SEC's meeting on the subject of new proposed rules tied to the monitoring of the agencies is a natural part of the regulator's role in monitoring the firms, although it's unknown if, or what, proposed rules will be mentioned at Wednesday's meeting.

"It is one of the most excellent parts of Dodd-Frank," said Brian O'Reilly, president of The Collingwood Group, a business advisory firm.  "It is indisputable that the public viewed the rating agencies as independent arbitrators of the value of the securities they were charged of rating," O'Reilly said. He said the financial crisis showed this wasn't necessarily the case.

To restore confidence in the ratings, O'Reilly believes the SEC's authority under Dodd-Frank is an example of the type of regulatory oversight that actually works for the market.

"There are many articles in the press challenging Dodd-Frank in its breadth and in some of the areas it touches upon," he said. "I would identify the SEC's actions in connection to the credit rating agencies as the sort of activity that Congress should be involved in as it relates to ensuring the lessons of the crisis are learned and it incorporates laws and regulations in a way that makes sense."

Despite much of the criticism that has been levied at the credit ratings agencies, the firms have fought against the notion that they caused the financial meltdown.

After a Senate report placed a great deal of blame on the credit rating agencies earlier this year, S&P responded saying, "As we have said many times, we have been disappointed by the performance of our ratings on certain mortgage-related securities.  The actions we took to downgrade U.S. RMBS and CDOs in 2007 and 2008 reflected the unprecedented deterioration in credit quality, but were not a cause of it.  We regret that, like many others, we did not foresee the speed and extent of the housing downturn."

Write to: Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

Home sales declined by 14.2% in April over the year-ago period but prices held fairly stable, according to the Houston Association of Realtors.

HAR blamed the sharp April sales decline on the federal homebuyer tax credit that gave the market an unnatural boost in April 2010, but whose numbers are now overshadowing April 2011 figures.

Only the under-$80,000 segment of the market experienced increased sales, which weighed down pricing, HAR said. The average price of a single-family home dipped 0.6% from April 2010 to $202,545. The median price declined 2.2% year-over-year to $148,000. In March, Houston was reporting a rise in home prices.

Foreclosure sales were down 4.6% in April compared to one year earlier, but still comprised 22% of all property sales in April, down from 23.5% in March. The median price of April foreclosures fell 10.4% to $79,700 on a year-over-year basis.

The Houston metro area had 5,534 total sales of all residential property types, including condominiums, in April, down 12% compared to April 2010.

Month-end pending sales for April totaled 3,745, down 18.8% from last year. The number active listings at the end of April was up 5.8% to 51,694 compared to a year ago, a 7.8-month supply.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Follow her on Twitter @communicatorKLC.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

Standing out in the rain this morning as I waited to vote in my local primary election, I wondered, as I often do, how real is our democracy?

Is this just a show the powers that be put on to keep us believing that we have some control? Is our government like the nation’s largest mortgage lenders, pretending to give those they serve some choice in the matter while actually steering them into the products or services they want them to buy?

Is the process of giving the customer a voice just a tactic governments and corporations employ to occupy constituents while they get on with the business at hand?

We go to the polls and vote for school board directors when what we really want to vote for is more music and art education in schools, more gifted classes or a bit less nepotism in the hiring process. Not a single voter I saw this morning would have told me that they hoped the school board directors they were voting for would raise taxes. And yet, those who get elected most certainly will because our community is growing and we need bigger and better facilities, more teachers and more teaching supplies.

The argument is that we come together in a democratic fashion to elect leaders who will make the tough decisions for us, those decisions that would tangle up a committee and result in a standstill. Leaders, unlike committees, can take risks and that’s where the rewards are. It’s risky to vote for a new school building, but if the reward is better education for every child in the district, the leader will stand up for it. That’s a democratic republic and it works, in theory.

Our problem on the political side is that we took all of those leaders and put them into two big committees, the House of Representatives and the Senate, and then stood back and watched while nothing happened.

Businesses shouldn’t have that problem, in theory. They’re not democracies, not even close. My company certainly isn’t. Someone has to call the shots, be accountable. It’s the whole risk and reward thing and no one gets that better than American free enterprise. You would think that a well-run business with strong leaders would be in complete control of its destiny; think Exxon, Halliburton or any Top-10 bank. The problem, of course, is customers.

Anytime you add customers to the mix you’ve got problems. They always feel like they should have a vote. Why don’t you offer different loan programs? What do you mean by lock the rate? I thought the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act guaranteed me the right to shop every aspect of my new home loan! Problems.

And customers almost never come up with solutions. They don’t have the background, the experience or the education. They don’t know the difference between a forward mortgage and a reverse, the primary and secondary mortgage markets or Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (although I admit it’s getting a little fuzzy for me on that last one, too). They can’t balance their checkbooks and think the low monthly rate is the best indicator of a good deal on a new car. They think credit cards are cool. It’s not like we can count on borrowers to provide a vision for our future mortgage lending operations.

To its credit, the federal government knows this. That’s why the Financial Literacy and Education Commission (FLEC) (yes, we have one of those) is sitting down tomorrow (Wed., May 18) to talk about bringing these folks up to speed. My sources tell me this group will likely focus its efforts on school-aged kids, leaving the current generation stumbling around in ignorance. That’s not good. While FLEC is trying to bring American financial services customers up to speed, a new agency will work to put them in control.

You think I’m kidding? What do you imagine the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is going to be all about? The rumors I’m hearing from the field indicate that the new agency isn’t staffing along lines familiar to the industry (i.e. into groups that seem designed to solve industry problems), which is making it difficult to effectively place the few career bureaucrats that actually understand our business. Departments are breaking along lines that make sense to consumers, who we’ve already established don’t have any sense.

The focus on the CFPB will be on the uneducated, opinionated and generally dissatisfied consumer. It looks like those will be the voices this new regulator will be listening to; those will be the votes it counts. Get ready for election day!

Rick Grant is veteran journalist covering mortgage technology and the financial industry.

Follow him on Twitter: @NYRickGrant

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

[Update 1: clarifies number of states Fannie approved for Genworth]

Fannie Mae approved a Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corp. (GNW: 7.77 -0.38%) subsidiary to provide mortgage insurance only in four states that have not waived the company's still maxed-out risk requirements.

Mortgages insured by Genworth Residential Mortgage Assurance Corp. are eligible for whole loan purchase by Fannie Mae or inclusion into a mortgage-backed securities pool if the note is dated on or after April 18.

GRMAC is also approved to write coverage on Fannie loans going forward in a limited number of states, which Fannie said could change over time.

According to Genworth's financial statement for the first quarter, the company continued to exceed the maximum risk-to-capital requirement for writing new business in North Carolina. But the state continued to grant it a two-year waiver as of March 31.

Genworth is also cleared to write new mortgage insurance under waivers from 10 other states. Business continues in another 34 states that do not have maximum risk requirements.

"While we continue to seek this regulatory flexibility through additional state waivers, where available, we expect to manage our capital and business operations so as to maintain capacity to write new profitable business," the company's filing said.

The company added that it uses subsidiaries to continue writing business in those states where Genworth has not received a waiver to continue writing new insurance. One of those subsidiaries is GRMAC.

In a statement sent to HousingWire, Genworth said the approval should help the company grow new insurance written by 25% to 45% in 2011.

"Genworth Mortgage Insurance is pleased that its Genworth Residential Mortgage Assurance Corporation subsidiary received Fannie Mae approval as a provider of mortgage insurance for loans sold to the agency," Genworth said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

Properties previously foreclosed on in the last year made up 36.6% of the California market in April, down from more than 38% one year ago, according to DataQuick.

Foreclosure's share of the market reached an all-time high in February 2009 at 58.5%.

Overall sales in the state reached 35,202 in April, down 6.1% from one year ago and 3.3% down from March. Sales for the month of April remain below the historic average of roughly 44,000, dating back to 1988.

But DataQuick said indicators of market distress are moving in different directions. Distressed property sales still accounted for 54% of the California resale market in April. And while foreclosures dropped, short sales remained steady.

Roughly 17.6% of resales were short sales in April, even from one year ago and up slightly from 17.2% the month before. However, two years ago, short sales made up 11.8% of the resale market in California.

Median prices remained unchanged at $249,000 from one month ago but down 2.4% from last year. It's the seventh yearly drop in a row after 11-straight months of yearly increases, according to DataQuick.

"Foreclosure activity has declined somewhat but remains high by historical standards," DataQuick said. "Financing with multiple mortgages is low, down payment sizes are stable, cash and nonowner occupied buying has eased a bit this spring but remains relatively high."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

When the Federal Reserve decided to block American International Group's (AIG: 25.01 -0.52%) attempt to buy back its portfolio of subprime assets, the government took a bet the notes would be worth more on the open markets.

According to mortgage-backed securitization traders, that decision is proving to be a risky gamble.

They say the latest round of MBS sales from the Maiden Lane II vehicle that holds the government's AIG toxic residential loans is being met with waning enthusiasm. Reports in The Wall Street Journal and Structured Credit Investor both call it "investor fatigue."

Further sources inside the government say the street is generating rumors in an effort to manipulate the markets. One source said the weekly sales will continue as planned.

In a letter to the Fed, one MBS trader said, "if you charge ahead and bleed out one or two lists a week for the next 10 to 12 weeks, prices will continue to go lower, and in the interest of maximizing value for the taxpayer, I think it is time to re-engage the large portfolio bid you had or make available to other counterparties the ability to bid large chunks of what you have left to sell."

Roughly two-thirds of the bonds offered last week sold, a source tells HousingWire. This would be a huge shift from the more successful offerings in April.

The Federal Reserve did not immediately comment or confirm. However, one trader cited the added pressure on bond prices being created by weekly Maiden Lane offerings.

Maiden Lane is the name of several residential mortgage securitization platforms created to clear toxic mortgage investments.

The original Maiden Lane was created to facilitate the merger of JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.26 -0.61%) and Bear Stearns.

Maiden Lane II was created to alleviate capital and liquidity pressures on AIG from its securities lending program by purchasing $20.5 billion in RMBS from several of AIG’s U.S. insurance subsidiaries. It is primarily mortgages supported by either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored enterprises. Also in large volume are RMBS made up of pools of option ARMs and alt-A mortgages.

Here is a chart of the Fed's wind down of Maiden Lane II:

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @JacobGaffney.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

A mere 10% of fund managers expect global financial conditions to improve over the next 12 months, according to the May Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey.

Last month, BofAML said more than a quarter of fund managers surveyed felt the world economy would strengthen and about 58% were optimistic in February.

Also as prospects for growth become more challenging and inflation fears recede, nearly 75% of asset allocators now expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates in 2012, according to the survey. In April, 69% of respondents expected the central bank to raise its federal funds rate this year.

BofAML, in conjunction with market research firm TNS Global, recently surveyed 284 market participants, including 204 fund managers, and found "risk appetite has fallen only modestly." Fund managers have added to cash and bond holdings while lowering exposure to commodities and equities of late, according to the survey.

"A triple dip in growth expectations is reshaping investors' stance on risk," said Michael Hartnett, chief global equity strategist at BofAML.

Some 8% of respondents indicated they see the economy in Europe weakening over the next year, while nearly a third expected a strengthening to occur when surveyed two months ago.

BofAML analysts said the level of investors indicating the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone as "the largest tail risk globally" rose to 36% in the latest survey, up from 21% in April.

Still, Gary Baker, head of European equities strategy at BofAML, wonders if these fears are misguided.

"A risk for investors is that pessimism on Europe now looks to be overdone, particularly in light of strong recent GDP data," Baker said.

Fund managers boosted positions in emerging market equities and now 29% hold an overweight position in this market, according to the survey data.

BofAML analysts attributed this to strong earnings outlooks and growing optimism on domestic demand in emerging markets.

Almost half of respondents now view the U.S. dollar as undervalued, which is up from 36% who felt that way in April. Some 60% think the euro is currently overvalued, which is up from 40% a month ago and at the highest level since the end of 2009.

The survey showed 64% of market participants believe the yen is overvalued, which is little changed from other 2011 surveys by BofAML.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

Mortgage technology provider ISGN recently hired Raghavan Tiru as chief information officer.

In the new position, Tiru is responsible for overseeing ISGN infrastructure as well as the company's internal technology divisions. The Bensalem, Pa.-based company said Tiru will be a leader in the developing ISGN's strategic technology goals and product design. He will also lead the execution of those goals.

As an 18-year veteran of the financial technologies industry, Tiru most recently served as head of treasury technology at American International Group (AIG: 25.01 -0.52%). During his tenure at the insurance giant, Tiru managed all aspects of technology delivery for AIG's corporate treasury and funding divisions.

"Raghavan Tiru will provide crucial leadership in forging an integrated, efficient and highly customer oriented IT organization that will develop and deliver ISGN’s next generation of IT solutions," commented Niraj Patel, group president of ISGN.

ISGN recently unveiled its new Catapult Mortgage Origination System, which combines the firm's two existing systems, with an adjustable pricing system.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.



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