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Archive for April, 2011

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

As earnings season presses on, Barclays Capital is expecting pronounced bifurcation in the real estate investment trust market subsectors. The conclusion is reached with respect to overall performance.

In a report released Tuesday, Barclays said it expects apartment and industrial REIT performance to improve during the first quarter. Effective rental rates are up about 5%, according to Barclays, which should drive positive leasing trends.

"With a few notable exceptions (namely Apartment Investment and Management Co.(AIV: 24.44 -1.25%)), most REITs have begun to let high occupancy levels burn off in order to push rents higher," Barclays said.

The firm believes it will take substantial growth in the multifamily sector to achieve current valuations set at a 14.2% premium; however, Barclays recommends looking for pockets of opportunity in this sector.

As far as the industrial sector is concerned, Barclays expects market rents to bottom in mid-2011. In fact, the company said, rents are up in some markets.

Office and retail REITs, on the other hand, will continue to lag, Barclays said. Leasing volumes in office REITs under the research firm's supervision have recently shown strength and pricing power is expected to bounce back in gateway cities such as San Francisco or New York, which is giving REITs in those cities an edge up.

"We also like companies with strong balance sheets and platforms, with the ability to pursue external growth opportunities (including those with some lease-up risk)," Barclays' report said. Analysts said they feel "especially confident" in office REIT Boston Properties Inc. (BXP: 103.82 +0.14%) activity in the coming months.

By and large, the transaction activity sector remains scarce for regional mall assets, according to Barclays. The firm also mentioned that shopping center net absorption will be hindered as national retailer demand is offset by key bankruptcies, including Borders and Blockbuster.

Barclays expects a 13.5% growth rate for apartment REITs in the first quarter and a 15.1% growth rate for fiscal 2011 over 2010. The industrial sector is expected to grow 4.2% for the fiscal year.

Office REITs will experience 2.1% growth in the first quarter of 2011 and 3% growth on an annual basis. Shopping center growth will fall 3.3% during the first quarter, according to Barclays, while regional mall REITs will grow 18.9%. For fiscal 2011, these sectors are anticipated to grow 12.7% and 32.6%, respectively, Barclays said.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.

Disclosure: The author holds no relevant investments.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

BlackRock (BLK: 187.72 -0.07%) appointed Jack Chandler global head of real estate this week.

In his new role, Chandler will oversee approximately $13 billion in assets currently under BlackRock's management.

New York-based BlackRock offers investment management, risk management and advisory services for institutional and retail clients.

The firm's subsidiary, BlackRock Solutions,  recently partnered with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to help the Fed offload billions of subprime mortgage bonds acquired from American International Group (AIG: 25.00 -0.56%) during the 2008 economic meltdown.

BlackRock Solutions was specifically charged with the  handling of the sale.

Chandler's clients will run the gamut from public to corporate and union pension funds, as well as insurance companies, foundations and endowments.

Chandler arrives at BlackRock from LaSalle Investment Management, where he served as global chief investment officer and executive chairman. He joined LaSalle in 1986.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

A Florida appellate court issued an order Tuesday, requiring the state's 20th Judicial Circuit to respond within 20 days to claims of ignoring court rules and rushing foreclosure cases through its system.

In April, the American Civil Liberties Union filed a petition with  Florida's 2nd District Court of Appeals attempting to block the 20th Judicial Circuit from accelerating foreclosures through its so-called "rocket docket."

Beginning in July, the docket was used in all five counties in the southwestern Florida circuit: Lee, Collier, Charlotte, Hendry and Glades. Judges began pushing foreclosures through the system in order to work though a 40,000 case backlog.

According to sworn affidavits from foreclosure defense attorneys, court judges allegedly ignored court rules requiring additional paperwork from lenders and denied homeowners a say in court if they were delinquent on their loan.

A spokesperson for the 20th Judicial Court was not immediately available for comment.

The appellate court order sent Tuesday to Chief Judge Keith Cary does not act as a stay on the court. An employee in the appellate court's clerk office said the 20th Judicial Court will continue to operate as the ACLU case is heard.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

The Federal Reserve has opened the public comment period for a proposed Dodd-Frank rule that would force creditors to predetermine whether a borrower holds the ability to fully repay a mortgage prior to origination.

The proposed rule falls under Regulation Z and would apply to all consumer mortgages, except those issued to equity lines of credit, timeshare plans, reverse mortgages and temporary loans.

The proposed rule would create four compliance options for creditors to stay in compliance with Reg Z's ability-to-repay requirement.

These options include verification of consumer income or assets. The rule also would offer a qualified mortgage exception, which would shield creditors from liability as long as the loan does not have negative amortization or unreasonable fees and the mortgage payment is underwritten using the maximum interest rate in the first five years.

Other proposals include an exception for creditors operating in underserved areas. Borrowers in these area would still be allowed to make a balloon-payment qualified mortgage.

"This option is meant to preserve access to credit for consumers located in rural or underserved areas where banks originate balloon loans to hedge against interest rate risk for loans held in portfolio," the central bank said.

Another proposed option allows a creditor to refinance a non-standard mortgage into a more-stable mortgage with a lower monthly payment. The Fed said this option could preserve access to streamlined refinancing.

The comment period on the proposed rule runs until July 22. The proposed guideline will be passed on to the newly created Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which opens July 21.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

March home sales increased by double-digits from a month earlier in nearly all U.S. metropolitan areas, according to the RE/MAX National Housing report released Tuesday. That's an encouraging sign for the housing market as it enters spring buying season.

Home sales jumped more than 10% in 53 of the 54 metros tracked by RE/MAX between February and March, with only New York not achieving double-digits gains. In New York, home sales rose 8%.

"This represents a complete reversal from January, when none of the 54 cities saw even single-digit monthly sales increases," RE/MAX said.

Although home sales are down from a year ago, the Denver-based real estate firm said the data isn't comparable because sales this time last year were artificially inflated by the first-time homebuyer tax credit.

Home sales are down 8.2% nationally from March 2010. In the hard-hit markets of Tampa, Phoenix and Las Vegas home sales increased 19.8%, 13.5% and 8.5% in March.

"It’s encouraging that home sales are rising at a faster pace than we would normally see this time of year, and they’re doing so without any artificial stimulus," said Margaret Kelly, RE/MAX CEO. "If sales continue at this pace into the traditional spring and summer buying season, we would expect to see prices follow as well."

Freddie Mac said in its recent economic outlook that the market is poised for a strong spring buying season. The government-sponsored enterprise is anticipating a 5% increase in annual home sales this year to a projected 4.9 million sales.

Home prices showed the same trends as sales, edging up on a monthly basis, but coming up short on an annual basis. In March, the median sale price was $177,001, down 8.2% from a year earlier, according to RE/MAX.

Prices in 35 markets increased during the month, up from 17 in February and just three markets in January. San Francisco witnessed the only double-digit increase in March with a 13.3% rise.

RE/MAX reported homes for sale in March were on the market for an average of 104 days. The monthly supply of housing inventory shrunk 23% to 7.1 months from 9.3 months the previous month, the firm said.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

Ginnie Mae guaranteed $24.1 billion in mortgage-backed securities for March, an 8% dip from the month before.

Ginnie guarantees the principal and interest payments to investors of MBS. The Federal Housing Administration or the Department of Veterans Affairs usually insure the underlying loans.

Issuance of Ginnie Mae I single-family pools, which are single-issuer securities made up of mortgages with the same interest rate, reached $6 billion in March down from $7.6 billion in February. Ginnie Mae II single-family pools totaled $15.8 billion last month down from $16.4 billion the prior month.

The only product to increase in March was pools of reverse mortgages. HECM MBS, or HMBS, totaled more than $940 million in March, up from roughly $890 million the month before.

Ginnie Mae multifamily issuance totaled $1.32 billion.

With the private-label market still quiet since the financial collapse of 2008, government-financed mortgages continue to prop up the market. Market share for the FHA alone rose to 37% in 2009 from 3% in 2005.

"The continued strong performance of the Ginnie Mae MBS reinforces the value of our full faith and credit guarantee and our solid execution to issuers and investors," said Ginnie Mae President Ted Tozer. "This stability is important as the housing finance industry, and the overall economy, continues to move toward a solid recovery."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

Goldman Sachs (GS: 109.87 +1.21%) reported $220 million in expenses in the first quarter of 2011, mostly related to Litton Loan Servicing assets held for sale.

The investment bank saw its earnings drop 72% from one year ago, and noncompensation expenses grew 23% over the same time period to $2.6 billion. Goldman said outside of Litton, the rest of the expenses came from increased business activity and higher operating costs. The firm also set aside $24 million for litigation and regulatory proceedings in the quarter.

Rumors have flown about a possible Litton sale since the end of 2010. Reuters recently reported that Ocwen Financial (OCN: 13.82 +0.51%) and Carrington Mortgage Services have expressed interest.

But the timing has not been great to sell a mortgage servicing business. When the rumors of a sale began, news surfaced of foreclosure problems at many such firms. Litton suspended foreclosures to review affidavits in October.

However, Litton escaped the recent consent orders signed between other servicers and major federal regulators last week, including the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve. The settlement required 14 mortgage servicing companies to boost their loss mitigation operations and establish more oversight of their foreclosure processes.

Even though Litton avoided this crackdown, negotiations between the 50 state attorneys general continue from a separate investigation.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK: 20.135 +0.68%) grew its first-quarter profit to $625 million, or 50 cents a share, as the company reaped benefits of having assets under its custody grow 14% over last year.

Earnings for the quarter compare to income of $559 million, or 46 cents a share, during the first quarter of 2010. The company's revenue rose 9% year-over-year, hitting nearly $3.65 billion in the first quarter compared to about $3.34 billion a year ago.

Even still, the company's stock fell Tuesday morning, with the bank's profit falling below the average analyst estimate of earnings per share in the 57-cent range, according to Yahoo! Finance.

By the end of the first quarter, the largest trust bank in the world had $25.5 trillion in assets under its custody and administration up 14% from a year earlier. Assets under management — excluding securities lending assets — hit $1.2 trillion, an 11% increase over last year.

"A fundamental strength of our business model is the ability to rapidly grow capital and generate a high return on it," said Robert Kelly, the bank's chairman and CEO. "Specifically, in the first quarter of 2011, our capital grew at an annualized rate of 28% and we generated a 21% return on it. Over time this provides us with superior flexibility to invest in our businesses and return capital to our shareholders."

Write to Kerri Panchuk.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

So far, this earnings season is a welcome event on Wall Street because of some much needed market stability.

Many companies are reporting an improving corporate environment despite the sluggish growth in the broader economic recovery. Corporate America is working in a different kind of economy. And State Street Corp. (STT: 38.84 +0.15%) is a perfect example.

The institutional investment advisory firm is reporting it costs more to do business. Basel 3 requirements, the implementation of Dodd-Frank and continual expenses to credit ratings agencies to have their investments rated are dragging down the bottom line, according to State Street.

(Editor's note: The firm seems especially irked at the last example. Considering the markets must rely on ratings agencies, State Street isn't happy with the necessary evil. The company lists costs to the agencies as a future loss risk due to the "maintenance of credit agency ratings for our debt and depository obligations as well as the level of credibility of credit agency ratings.")

It cost more to do business, so State Street is charging more.

For example, investment management fees, generated by State Street Global Advisors, rose 12% in the first quarter to $236 million from $211 million in the first quarter of 2010.

This is interesting considering securities finance revenue fell 8% in the quarter to $66 million from $72 million a year earlier due primarily to lower volumes, offset partially by improved spreads.

So business is slow, and it costs more, but State Street found a simple way to earn a profit.

Future homebuyers should take note of the development of such pass-through economies.

Incoming consumer protections, mortgage servicer fees, consent orders, etc., all mean the cost of business is going up. And when it comes to homebuying, the borrower unfortunately is still the bottom line.

For if the consumer wants consumer protection, then the consumer has to pay for it.

I just hope it's worth it.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @JacobGaffney.

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

Housing starts rose 7.2% between February and March even though new home construction remained well below year-ago levels.

March starts rose to a seasonally adjusted 549,000 units from a revised 512,000 units a month earlier, but still a 13.4% drop from the 634,000 units recorded during March of 2010, according to the Department of Commerce, Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Still, starts reversed a negative trend after plummeting 22.5% in February. In a housing market riddled with foreclosures and attractive pricing on existing real estate, March brought a slight dose of optimism to the home construction sector.

Meanwhile, homebuilding permits — often a measure of future construction activity — grew 11.2% to a seasonally adjusted rate of 594,000 units between the months of February and March, while still remaining 13.3% below the 685,000 units  filed last year.

Write to Kerri Panchuk.



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