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Archive for January, 2011

Thursday, January 27th, 2011

The number of people filing initial jobless claims climbed nearly 12.7% last week to 454,000, well above most analysts' estimates.

The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Jan. 22 rose by 51,000 from the previous week's 403,000, which was revised downward slightly.

Analysts surveyed by Econoday expected jobless claims to come in at 405,000 with a range of estimates from 375,000 to 425,000. A Briefing.com survey projected new claims of 400,000 for last week. Economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires projected a slight increase to 405,000 claims.

Over the past few weeks, initial claims had been inching closer to coming in below 400,000, which is the level most economists believe indicates the economy is expanding and jobs growth is strengthening.

MarketWatch reported Thursday that the Labor Department said poor weather in four Southern states led to the closure of some unemployment offices earlier in January. Consequently, last week's increase was due, in part, to a reduction of the backlog of claims created by the office closings, according to the MarketWatch article.

The four-week moving average, which is considered a less volatile indicator than weekly claims, increased by 15,750 to 428,750 from an upwardly revised average of 413,000. The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate rose to 3.2% for the week ended Jan. 15 from 3.1% the prior week, according to the Labor Department.

The total number of people receiving some sort of federal unemployment benefits slid about 2% to more than 9.4 million for the week ended Jan. 8.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Thursday, January 27th, 2011

D.R. Horton (DHI: 14.30 +1.27%) swung to a loss for its fiscal first quarter, as both sales orders and home closings dropped.

The Texas-based homebuilder reported a loss of $20.4 million, or 6 cents a share, for the three months ended Dec. 31, down substantially from income of $192 million, or 56 cents a share, a year earlier.

First-quarter homebuilding revenue declined about 31% to $767.1 million from $1.1 billion a year earlier.

"We still face challenges, such as rising foreclosures, significant existing home inventory, high unemployment, tight mortgage lending standards and weak consumer confidence," said Donald Horton, chairman of D.R. Horton. "While our year-over-year comparisons for net sales orders are very difficult for the next two quarters, we do expect to see an increase from the sales levels we achieved in the December quarter."

One of the nation's largest homebuilder reported 3,363 sales orders in the first quarter, down about 17% from 4,037 orders a year earlier. D.R. Horton closed sales on 3,637 homes during the period, down 34% from 5,529 the prior year. Home sales were inflated at the beginning of 2010 because of the government's first-time homebuyer tax credit, which expired in April.

Chairman Horton said the company will continue its long-term strategy and provide affordable housing in actively selling communities.

As of Dec. 31, D.R. Horton had total assets of $5.5 billion.

For its fiscal year ended Sept. 30, the homebuilder reported a profit of $245.1 million, or 77 cents a share, despite a fourth-quarter loss of $8.9 million.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Metro areas with the 10 highest foreclosure rates saw filings decrease in 2010, but for nearly everywhere else activity was on the rise, according to RealtyTrac, which tracked activity in 206 cities across the country.

For the year, more than 2.8 million properties in the U.S. received at least one foreclosure filing from notice of default to repossession. While the hardest hit areas – 19 of the top 20 in California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona – saw filings drop, 149 of the metro areas studied saw activity actually increase from 2009.

RealtyTrac CEO James Saccacio said widespread unemployment has pushed foreclosures in areas previously insulated from the "initial foreclosure tsunami."

"Foreclosure floodwaters receded somewhat in 2010 in the nation’s hardest-hit housing markets," Saccacio said. "Even so, foreclosure levels remained five to 10 times higher than historic norms in most of those hard-hit markets, where deep faultlines of risk remain and could potentially trigger more waves of foreclosure activity in 2011 and beyond."

Las Vegas continues to hold the nation's highest foreclosure rate. In 2010, one in every nine housing units received a foreclosure filing, nearly five times the national average. More than 88,000 Las Vegas properties received a filing last year, down 7% from 2009 but up 31% from 2008.

The second highest rate was in Cape Coral-Fort Meyers, Fla. There one in every 12 homes received a filing. Modesto, Calif. was third, where one in every 14 homes received a filing.

The Washington, D.C. metro area registered the largest decrease in foreclosure activity from the year before. Filings there dropped 22%.

The most repossessions, or REO, occurred in Phoenix, Ariz. There were more than 55,000 REO there in 2010, up 17% from 2009.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter: @JonAPrior

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Massive search engine, Google, will take down real estate listings from Google Maps on Feb. 10.

Brian McClendon, vice president Google Earth and Maps, broke the story on the company's LatLong blog Wednesday and said the real estate listing feature is simply not popular enough to justify its existence.

Google first announced the tool in July 2009. Surfers using Google Maps gained the ability to find properties for rent or sale when searching locations.

"We’ve learned a lot and been excited to see real estate companies use Google Maps in innovative ways to help people find places to live," McClendon wrote, "such as Coldwell Banker’s use of Google Maps and YouTube, or Realtor.com’s Android app that lets you draw a shape on a map to find all properties you’re interested in."

"Yet we recognize that there might be better, more effective ways to help people find local real estate information than the current feature makes possible," he added.

"We’ll continue to explore this area."

Four months after Google launched its real estate listing services, HousingWire broke that the Web firm planned to launch a mortgage pricing tool, the fate of which remains unclear.

Competition also pulled too much traffic from the tool, McClendon added.

Indeed, Web-based real estate information company Zillow is reporting record-breaking traffic, by logging more than 13 million unique users in the traditionally slow real estate month of December.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @JacobGaffney.

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Mortgage servicers began aggressively writing down the principal on delinquent nonagency mortgages and even second liens in January, analysts at JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.39 -0.27%) said in a report Wednesday, yet the amount of foreclosed properties continues to rise.

GMAC, the servicing arm of Ally Financial (GJM: 22.43 -0.62%), stood out to analysts, who surveyed 433 deals in the nonagency space. In one security, GMAC liquidated 45 mortgages for a $3.2 million loss. At the same time, however, it modified nearly 1,200 of the loans that included $5.5 million in principal forgiveness.

"This is the first time we have seen large-scale principal forgiveness from GMAC," JPMorgan analysts said. Outside of GMAC, however, principal forgiveness has been contained only in the subprime sector, but even those have occurred on a smaller scale to GMAC's January numbers.

Ocwen Financial Corp. (OCN: 13.80 +0.36%) showed a push to charge-off second liens and low-balance first liens when it took over servicing for HomEq and Saxon Mortgage Services.

"I haven't seen the report so I cannot comment specifically on it, but I can say that whenever we charge off second liens, it's in accordance the governing PSAs (pooling and servicing agreements) and consistent with accepted industry practice," Ocwen Executive Vice President Paul Koches told HousingWire.

In January, JPMorgan analysts found 3,625 modifications on the deals it surveyed, up 12% from the previous month. Roughly 13% of the subprime loans included principal reductions with $25,000 forgiven on average. The Alt-A and option-ARMs that received a modification in January averaged $76,000, analysts said.

Still, though, the inventory of foreclosures on these deals rose by 35 basis points for Alt-A loans and 45 bps for option-ARMs. The amount of homes 90-days delinquent or more continued to decrease in January for all product types except prime loans.

While GMAC and Ocwen have shown that they're ramping up writedown efforts, JPMorgan analysts said the effort is not seen industry wide.

"Bank servicers have not yet shown strong evidence of forgiveness," analysts said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter: @JonAPrior

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) introduced a bill into the Senate this week aimed at making refinancing more accessible to homeowners who are current on their mortgage payments.

The Helping Responsible Homeowners Act of 2011 would remove barriers, such as loan-to-value requirements, in order for certain borrowers to qualify for a refinance.

Risk-based fees on loans for which Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac already account for the risk would be removed, and lenders would be prohibited from dismissing second mortgage borrowers. Underwater borrowers would also be eligible to refinance.

"At a time when millions of Americans have been forced out of their homes, this legislation will ensure that homeowners who make their payments on time will be able to refinance their mortgages at current low rates so they can stay in their homes," Boxer said.

She added that consumer spending would indirectly increase because of the bill because homeowners would have more disposable income.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Once again, the Federal Open Market Committee kept the federal funds rate at next to nothing and maintained the Federal Reserve's commitment to reinvesting maturing securities into longer-term Treasury securities, in what's become known as QE2.

The Fed said the economic recovery continues, but still not at a pace that would make a dent in an unemployment rate that is still flirting with 10%, and "employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls."

"Currently, the unemployment rate is elevated, and measures of underlying inflation are somewhat low, relative to levels that the committee judges to be consistent, over the longer run, with its dual mandate," the FOMC said in its statement. "Although the committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability, progress toward its objectives has been disappointingly slow."

The federal funds rate has been 0% to 0.25% since December 2008. The FOMC reiterated its belief "that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period."

The Fed undertook its program of purchasing up to $600 billion in billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter "to promote a stronger pace of economic recovery and help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate."

"The tone of the Fed's latest policy statement suggests that neither the most recent pick up in economic growth nor the continued surge in commodity prices have had much of an impact on officials," said Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics.

Wednesday's FOMC vote was unanimous. With the new make up of the FOMC, as some members rolled off and other Fed chiefs from around the country became voting members, how members voted was closely watched by many market particiapants .

Thomas Hoenig, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, voted against every FOMC policy decision last year because of  his belief that the current monetary policy isn't working. Hoenig also thinks the bond buying program increases the risks of "future economic and financial imbalances," and eventually increase long-term inflation and possible destabilize the economy. He longer casts a vote.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller told more than 200 homeowners and consumer advocates in a meeting Tuesday that the investigation into foreclosure practices at major lenders is drawing to a close, and that negotiations will begin soon.

Major lenders froze foreclosures in October when employees were found to be signing affidavits en masse and without a proper review of the files as required by law in some sates. Miller and the other 50 state AGs along with seven federal regulators launched an investigation into what is now known as the robo-signing scandal.

In December, Miller met with homeowners for the first time, revealing that a possible settlement with the banks could result in payouts to victims, requirements to write down the principal of the loan and even criminal charges for executives.

But in the January meeting, Miller avoided revealing any details of what the settlement could possibly hold, according to a transcript of the meeting Miller's office released to HousingWire.

"Since we’re really getting close to negotiations, I’m not going to talk about, I don’t feel I should talk about, what’s going to be in the agreement, what isn’t going to be in the agreement," Miller told homeowners. "That’s something that we have to hammer out with the Justice Department and the federal people, and with the banks in a negotiating session."

The lack of details is starting to cause some concern among activists. The Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement, which organized the meeting, released a statement Wednesday expressing concern that Miller may be backing down off previous claims.

"Tuesday’s meeting felt a lot different than the meeting in December," Iowa CCI Director Hugh Espey said. "In our first meeting with AG Miller we felt like we had a champion that was ready to go toe-to-toe with the big banks. This time we left wondering if the big banks had knocked the wind out of our state's top law enforcer."

At the December meeting, Miller said he supported criminal prosecutions for banking executives as a possible outcome from a partnership between his office and the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa. The 50-state AG investigation is a civil one.

Still, homeowners pressed Miller on the issue of possible jail time.

"Attorney General Tom Miller, will we put people in jail?" one homeowner asked, according to the transcript.

"I’m just not going to go into where we’re going to go at this point," Miller replied. "I’m going to leave that to the negotiations and the investigation and the work that we can do.  So thank you again and we’ll be talking again, I’m sure.  And I hope and trust we’re going to have a good agreement."

Write to Jon Prior.

Follow him on Twitter: @JonAPrior

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

Bank of America's Countrywide mortgage unit has been sued by investors claiming they were victimized in a "massive fraud" when they bought mortgage-backed securities.

The lawsuit was filed on Monday in a New York state court by 12 plaintiffs including the TIAA-CREF fund family, New York Life Insurance Co and Dexia Holdings Inc.

According to the complaint, the investors bought hundreds of millions of dollars of Countrywide securities from 2005 to 2007 that they thought were "conservative, low-risk investments."

Wednesday, January 26th, 2011

The current market environment makes it an ideal time for borrowers to work toward a cure for their distressed real estate loans, according to a podcast from financial adviser and risk management firm Deloitte Financial Advisory Services. The challenges, however, remain numerous.

Yet oftentimes it is the borrower's behavior that can jeopardize a happy ending, according to E.J. Huntley, leader of real estate consulting at the firm.

"The big complaint that we hear from our banking clients that are dealing with distressed situations is that borrowers too often come to the table with antagonistic “us versus them” view toward the negotiations," he said in the podcast (download by clicking here). "What we would really recommend is that borrowers come to the table with a realistic expectation and a realistic restructuring proposal, which often serve as a starting point to accelerate the negotiations."

This approach would work for both commercial and residential loans. Commercial loans in particular, are the big trouble area. There are $1.5 trillion in these debts maturing by 2014, and the means to finance are all but nonexistent.

The commercial mortgage-backed securities market is improving, to be sure, but at issuance hitting $11 billion in 2010, down from a peak $230 billion in 2007.

"The good news for a borrower is that banks don’t really want to own real estate, and they are working hard to not pursue foreclosure as their primary course of action," Huntley adds. "As a borrower, you know, we see it being very important that you make a realistic assessment about the situation at your end, including determining what the real value of the collateral is versus the face amount of the debt."

Deloitte is not blind to the current dire financial situations. In most cases of distressed real estate loans, said CEO David Williams, the property is no longer producing income because the inhabitants can no longer pay. That is a difficult situation to be in, especially considering that banks simply don't have the staff or expertise to properly service distressed real estate. And that's not the only problem financial institutions face.

"Banks, in addition to the distressed real estate problem, have problems of their own from a customer-base standpoint," Williams said.

"I would also say that building the relationship works fast when you start early, when you make a realistic assessment of where you are and don’t wait until the very last minute to go into your financing source and try to do this re-negotiation."

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Follow him on Twitter @JacobGaffney.



Origination/Lending
Consumer sentiment climbed to an index level of 75 in January, the best reading of the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan...

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Secondary Markets/Investors
The new federal task force led by New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman sent subpoenas to the 11 largest financial...

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