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Archive for January, 2011

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

Despite the still fragile housing market, Fannie Mae expects housing starts to triple by 2013.

According to the agency's economic outlook, housing starts are predicted to increase 17.3% and hit 710,000 this year, with another 47% increase to 1.1 million in 2012 and another gain of 42% in 2013 to nearly 1.5 million.

In 2010, there were about 510,000 housing starts.

"We expect a small rise in home sales this year, but significant amounts of supply and shadow inventory of expected foreclosures will continue to hamper a robust housing picture for some time," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae's chief economist.

The government-sponsored enterprise projects total sales of new and existing homes to climb 4.5% in 2011 to 5.43 million, following an estimated decline of 6% for 2010 to about 5.2 million from 5.53 million for 2009.

Mortgage originations will drop to $1.04 trillion this year from $1.53 trillion last year. Fannie Mae also expects mortgage rates will increase in 2011, but not substantially.

"Fixed mortgage rates are projected to rise throughout the year, but to remain below 5.5%," the report said. "Larger increases in mortgage rates without corresponding acceleration in job gains would pose a risk to the housing recovery."

The median new home price in 2011 is expected to drop, as is the median existing home sale price, down 2.1% to $214,500 and 2.1% to $167,900, respectively.

Fannie Mae expects the U.S. economy to "accelerate and sustain" above-par and less volatile growth in 2011 based on increased consumer spending and growing clarity concerning fiscal policy.

According to the agency's economic outlook, Fannie Mae anticipates the economy to grow by 3.6% this year with consumer and business spending leading the way. This prediction was revised upward from 2.8% in December.

"The economy has regained momentum entering 2011 and we see significant improvement in the economy's ability to grow compared to 2010," said Duncan.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

After five consecutive months of declines, monthly home sales rose 13.2% in December from the prior month, according to the RE/MAX National Housing Report released Wednesday.

Compared to the year earlier, December  home sales fell 5%. Although, RE/MAX said that is the lowest year-over-year drop in five months.

Crisis hotspots such as Arizona and Florida produced yearly gains in home sales. In Phoenix, home sales jumped 12.8% in December from the year ago. In Tampa, Fla., sales rose 7.4% and in Miami, home sales climbed 9.9%.

RE/MAX Chief Executive Margaret Kelly said December's trends put the housing market in strong position for growth as the home shopping season nears.

"It’s nice to see that sales were much higher than in November, with a year-over-year difference better than we’ve seen in months, and it’s encouraging that prices appear to be remaining stable," Kelly said. "These positive trends should build as we enter the traditionally strong home-buying months in the spring and summer.”

Home prices indeed remained stable in the last month of 2010, dropping only 2.2% from 2009 and 0.9% from November. The median sales price was $192,941 in December.

Twenty eight of the 54 major metropolitan areas tracked by RE/MAX experienced year-over-year home prices appreciation, including Cleveland (up 12%), Indianapolis (up 9.6%), Pittsburgh (up 8.6%), Dallas-Fort Worth (up 8.4%) and New Orleans (up 6.8%).

Home prices decreased in 23 metro areas and remained flat in three.

Homes sold in December were on the market for an average of 96 days, which is higher than the average of 93 days for sales closed in November and 92 days in December 2009, according to RE/MAX data.

RE/MAX reported a month-over-month dip in housing inventory, down 8.8%. The amount of inventory is down 2.9% from December 2009. However, the months it would take to move that inventory off the market increased to 10.2 months. According to RE/MAX, a balanced market of buyers and sellers is at a six-month supply of housing inventory.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Follow her on Twitter @HWnewbieCR.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

Mortgage applications rose again last week with continued gains in refinancing activity.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said its market composite index increased 5% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ended Jan. 14. Unadjusted, the index climbed 6.4% from the prior week.

While the number of refinancing applications declined steadily during the end of 2010 until the last week of the year, activity rose the first week of this year and again last week with a 7.7% gain, according to the MBA.

The seasonally adjusted purchase index fell 1.9% last week while the unadjusted purchase index rose nearly 3.1% from the prior week and was 16% lower than a year earlier. In four-week moving averages, the market index is up 1.4%, with the purchase index off 0.8% and the refinance index up 2.3%.

"Mortgage rates have moved somewhat lower since the beginning of the year, as mixed data on the job market continue to cloud the outlook for the economy," said Michael Fratantoni, MBA vice president of research and economics. "Refinance applications have picked up, as borrowers take advantage of lower rates, but purchase applications remain quite low, indicating that home sales are unlikely to pick up any time soon."

The MBA said the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage inched lower to 4.77% last week from 4.78% the prior week. The average rate for a 15-year fixed mortgage rose slightly to 4.16% from 4.15%.

Refinancing activity rose slightly last week, accounting for 73% of all mortgage applications up from 72.1% the previous week. When interest rates hovered around 4% in the fall, refinancings were accounting for more than four-fifths of all mortgages.

Scott Buchta, head of investment strategy at Braver Stern Securities, said the "rise in refinancing applications reflects noise in the 5.0% coupon, especially given the proximity of these loans to the current 5.01% effective mortgage rate."

"One thing to think about when looking at the future prepayments of the 5.0% coupon would be the impact of (loan-level price adjustment) fees on the marginal borrower," Buchta said. "Traditionally, it was assumed that the typical borrower exhibited a greater propensity to refinance with 40bp or more of economic incentive. Higher closing costs may have moved this elbow into the 50-60bp range and when coupled with higher LLPA fees many 5.0% borrowers are now out of the refinancing window."

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

[Update 2: adds MBA, Pulte Homes reaction]

A swarm of demonstrators crashed the Mortgage Bankers Association summit on the future of mortgage servicing in Washington, D.C., Wednesday to protest the government's bailout of the financial system. At the heart of the protest is the demand for jobs. Union protesters are claiming that, due to relaxed tax laws, homebuilders aren't doing their part to share the wealth.

Both the MBA and the homebuilders are firing back.

The group of between 50 and 100 AFL-CIO union workers originally met in the first floor of the JW Marriott hotel, but then started making noise. During the second panel of the day featuring Ginnie Mae President Ted Tozer, American Securitization Forum Executive Director Tom Deutsche and others, demonstrators pushed past security and into the conference room on the lower level of the hotel, wearing hard hats and unraveling a banner that read: "Show us the $900 million bailout money."

The group supported by the Detroit Metro and the Metro Washington AFL-CIO specifically pointed to the Pulte Group and its lending arm Pulte Mortgage. A spokesperson for PulteGroup, James Zeumer, said that the company had heard of a possible protest but was reassured the workers would not make it down to the conference rooms.

"Union comments and protests are merely the latest publicity stunt in their years-long “corporate campaign” against Pulte Homes, other large home builders and the homebuilding industry as a whole," Zeumer said. "At the heart of the issue is the unions’ need to increase membership."

Zeumer added that Pulte Homes builds the majority of its homes by working with thousands of highly skilled and committed local and regional trade partners. These trade partners are typically small, independent companies that "are the engine of our economy."

"This is the second time we have attempted to get answers from Pulte executives about how they spent the money," Saundra Williams, president of the Metro Detroit ALF-CIO said, in reference to the net operating loss carryback tax provisions that allow homebuilders to put taxes paid in profitable years toward taxes due in terrible years.

According to Zeumer, Pulte realized a tax benefit of approximately $917 million in 2009. In 2010, PulteGroup invested more than $1.0 billion in new land and development to support its ongoing operations. In addition, at the end of the third quarter, the Company had approximately $2.7 billion of cash on its balance sheet. "As has been well documented, the U.S. housing industry continues to struggle, which is limiting growth, but we continue to invest in the business to capitalize on market opportunities as they develop," he said.

But the protesters want a bigger piece of the pie. June Rostan, the organizer of this particular demonstration came down the escalator with a cane and bag full of press releases.

"We came here to get our bailout," Allen Silver, a sheet metal worker who had recently lost his job, told HousingWire.

When the protesters were told by hotel security that the police were on their way, the crowd disbursed peacefully. No arrests were made, and no formal charges have been filed.

However, the MBA said the protesters' voices are ultimately misguided.

"This conference was organized to address the serious issues facing borrowers and servicers. It is unfortunate that they chose this venue to make their statement. The outcome of this summit is to find ways to help borrowers and ultimately create jobs," an MBA spokesman told HousingWire.

Write to Jon Prior.

For continual coverage of the MBA conference today, follow him on Twitter: @JonAPrior

Jacob Gaffney contributed to this report.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair wants a foreclosure claims commission set up, similar to the one established during the oil spill crisis in the Gulf of Mexico last year, to help homeowners victimized by improper foreclosures.

Bair spoke at the Mortgage Bankers Association summit in Washington Wednesday on the future of mortgage servicing, a day after regulators announced new work to develop a national servicing standard.

In October, lenders suspended foreclosures when employees were found to be filing affidavits without a proper review of documentation as required by law. A recent ruling by the Massachusetts Supreme Court that voided foreclosures by U.S. Bancorp (USB: 27.80 +0.04%) and Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.39 +1.17%) when the two lenders could not adequately prove they held the mortgage title. Earlier this week, JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.4199 -0.19%) admitted it wrongfully foreclosed on more than a dozen military families after overcharging them for the loan.

Lenders and servicers have restarted foreclosures from the robo-signing scandal and have begun refiling thousands of affidavits. Chase said it would mail out $2 million in refunds to those families.

But Bair wants to consider more in compensation and in new regulation.

"The mortgage servicing industry is fundamentally flawed and in desperate need of reform. It does not provide significant incentives to provide borrowers enough loss mitigation needs," Bair said.

She added that some servicers have become too big to succeed. Since 2000, the five largest servicers grew their market share from 32% to more than 60% today, Bair said, adding that these companies were either incapable of or reluctant to commit the resources necessary to implement effective loss mitigation practices.

As the 50 state attorneys general continue their investigation into the servicing industry, Iowa AG Tom Miller has said a fund to compensate borrowers victimized by robo-signers is on the table, but not necessarily pending.

Bair did not elaborate on who would fund the commission, whether it be a privately funded by the servicers themselves, just as BP PLC (BP: 43.85 -2.05%) set aside $20 billion to compensate victims of the oil spill, or if the government would play some role.

Traditionally, origination and servicing shops were one in the same. But Bair said with the advent of securitization, the two were split. When the system worked well, there were plenty of benefits as servicers cut expenses.

Federal Housing Administration Commissioner David Stevens, while speaking just after Bair, said in a more conversational tone that executives at some servicing companies would often brag to him during his time at Freddie Mac that they had cut expenses down to almost nothing. That was before the foreclosure crisis. Now that foreclosures and delinquent loans are at record levels, Stevens said, those companies do not have the capital to invest in the staff and training to conduct proper loss mitigation procedures.

"Those people today find themselves out of business," Stevens said.

Both Bair and Stevens hinted that a national servicing standard is definitely coming, though not anytime soon. Still, Bair said regulators can work now to solve the problem in a "critical time."

"It is time for government and industry to reach an agreement," Bair said. "We cannot afford to wait for Congress to take action on this issue. Regulators and AGs need to work together now to create strong servicing standards for the future. Otherwise, we will have missed a historic opportunity."

Write to Jon Prior.

For continual coverage of the MBA conference today, follow him on Twitter: @JonAPrior

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

Citigroup (C: 30.55 +0.56%) named John Havens president and chief operating officer, promoting the longtime colleague of CEO Vikram Pandit.

The banking giant said Havens was chief executive of its institutional clients group. He fills a vacant post and is now responsible for Citi's day-to-day operations. Havens and Pandit worked together for years at Morgan Stanley (MS: 18.109 -0.23%) before starting a hedge fund in 2005, as Reuters reported Wednesday.

Pandit said Havens has been "indispensable to the turnaround of Citi." Amid the financial crisis of a few years ago, the company received $45 billion in government funding to remain solvent. Citigroup has repaid the bailout, and in December, the Treasury Department said the government earned $12 billion from the deal.

Citigroup also named James Forese chief executive of securities and banking, while Ned Kelly becomes chairman of institutional clients group. Forese had been co-head of global markets within the group, and Kelly is a vice chairman of the parent company.

Earlier this week, Citigroup reported fourth-quarter income of $1.3 billion, or 4 cents a share, up from a loss of $7.6 billion a year ago. Revenue for the three months more than tripled to $18.3 billion from $5.4 billion. Mortgage originations rose steadily throughout 2010 to $21.8 billion for the year, up from $9.3 billion in 2009.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau said it will soon begin writing and testing a simplified mortgage-disclosure form aimed at making it easier for borrowers to compare deals from different lenders.

The bureau expects to award a contract to develop the form by the end of the month, making it one of the first projects of the new agency, according to a bidding document given to vendors in November and reviewed by Bloomberg News.

More concise disclosure is one of the main stated goals of Elizabeth Warren, the Obama administration adviser charged with setting up the agency established by the Dodd-Frank Act. Simpler forms that can be directly compared may make the market less lucrative for lenders such as Bank of America Corporation, Wells Fargo & Company, JP Morgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

Wells Fargo & Co.'s (WFC: 29.39 +1.17%) fourth-quarter income rose 21% as most of the company's units grew revenues and the level of nonperforming loans decreased.

The nation's largest mortgage originator said earnings climbed to a record $3.41 billion, or 61 cents a share, from $2.82 billion, or 8 cents a share, a year earlier, which was hurt by the federal redemption of preferred stock received by the government under the Troubled Asset Relief Program in exchange for bailout funds.

Revenue for the three months ended Dec. 31 increased 12% to $21.5 billion from the $20.87 billion the prior quarter and down 5.3% $22.7 billion a year earlier.

Wells Fargo said applications for home mortgages fell to $158 billion in the fouth quarter, down 19.4% from the prior quarter and up almost 10% from $144 billion a year earlier. The bank's closed the quarter with a pipeline of first mortgages initiated yet unclosed of $73 billion, which is down from $101 billion at Sept. 30 but up from 457 billion at Dec. 31, 2009.

The banking giant said a significant improvement in credit quality led to a $2.1 billion drop in nonperforming loans during the quarter. Chief Financial Officer Howard Atkins said the company has now earned "strong and consistent" profits in each of the eight quarters since the 2008 merger with Wachovia.

"The Wachovia merger is already proving to be a financial success, with substantially all of the expected expense savings already realized and growing revenue synergies reflective of market share gains in many businesses including deposits, mortgage, auto dealer services and investment banking," Atkins said.

For the full year, Wells Fargo earned $12.36 billion, or a $2.21 share, up from $12.28 billion, or $1.75 a share, for 2009. Revenue for 2010 slid to $85.2 billion from $88.7 billion a year earlier.

Wells Fargo has completed more than 620,000 active trial or completed loan modifications since the beginning of 2009. Some 530,000 were facilitated through the company’s own programs, with the remaining 90,000 through the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

State Street Corp. (SST: 30.116 0.00%) reported an 84% decline in fourth-quarter income, as restructuring charges for job cuts, portfolio changes and real estate consolidation hindered earnings.

The bank earned $81 million, or 16 cents a share, for the three months ended Dec. 31, including charges of $156 million and a loss of $344 million on changes to the investment portfolio. For the year-ago period, State Street earned $498 million, or $1 a share, a year ago. Fourth-quarter revenue fell 10% to $2.04 billion from $2.28 billion a year earlier.

The Boston-based firm said it cut jobs and changed its portfolio to increase efficiencies, accelerate growth and to provide greater capital flexibility.

Chairman and CEO Joseph Hooley said the company plans to transform its operating model, including a comprehensive technology program.

"Our capital levels are strong, significantly in excess of the current regulatory well capitalized requirements," he said. "And we are well positioned for the implementation of Basel III capital requirements as we understand them, far ahead of their required implementation dates."

Hooley expects increased regulatory costs, lower interest revenue from the current interest-rate environment and the changes in the firm's investment portfolio to weigh on 2011 results. Still he said the company is "well positioned to take advantage of global growth opportunities and, as the economy normalizes, we remain committed to our long-term financial goals."

For the full year, State Street earned $1.54 billion, or $3.09 a share, up from a loss of $2.04 billion, or $4.31 a share, for 2009, which included a loss of $3.68 billion, or $7.77 a share, from the consolidation of asset-backed commercial paper conduits.

Revenue for the year rose 4% to nearly $9 billion from $8.64 billion a year earlier.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, January 19th, 2011

Goldman Sachs Inc.'s (GS: 109.65 +1.00%) fourth quarter earnings fell 53% from the year earlier hurt by lower revenue from market-making activity.

The investment banking giant earned $2.23 billion, or $3.79 a share, after preferred dividends for the three months ended Dec. 31, down from $4.79 billion, or $8.20 a share, a year ago. Fourth quarter revenue decreased 10% to $8.64 billion from $9.6 billion a year earlier.

Goldman said investment banking revenue of $1.51 billion was 10% lower than a year ago but 30% higher than the third quarter. The firm's underwriting revenue for the quarter decreased 12% from a year earlier to $879 million, "reflecting lower net revenues in both equity and debt underwriting, principally due to a decline in client activity."

For the year, Goldman Sachs earned $7.7 billion, or $13.18 a share, down 37% from $12.19 billion, or $22.13 a share, for 2009. Revenue for the year fell 13% to $39.16 billion from $45.17 billion.

"Market and economic conditions for much of 2010 were difficult, but the firm’s performance benefited from the strength of our global client franchise and the focus and commitment of our people," Chairman and CEO Lloyd C. Blankfein said. "Looking ahead, we are seeing signs of growth and more economic activity and we are well-positioned to help our clients expand their businesses, manage their risks and invest in the future."

Write to Jason Philyaw.



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