RSS Twitter

Archive for December, 2010

Friday, December 17th, 2010
How will we know if the new round of quantitative easing is a success? An early sign will be that a variety of rates will fall — at least until the economy reaches liftoff, which probably means sustained real GDP north of 3.3% (the long-term GDP average). I'm already tracking Treasury yields on a regular basis (Treasury Yield Snapshot). Spreads are widening, which should be pleasing to the Fed, but the rising yields at the short end are probably not the Fed's intention.

Another rate to watch is the 30-year fixed mortgage. Here is a chart I'll be updating weekly to monitor progress. I've also included the Core CPI (the Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy) to help us evaluate the changes in the mortgage rate relative to the broader economy. Lower mortgage rates should in theory benefit the housing market and boost the broader economy.

Friday, December 17th, 2010

Home sales in November fell nearly 5% from the prior month and are about 26% lower than a year earlier, according to the most recent RE/MAX national housing report.

The real estate giant said the market "is struggling to find secure footing" as the homebuyer tax credit has expired and some lenders work out the impact of the foreclosure moratorium.

RE/MAX said home prices in November fell 1.7% from the year ago and home inventory "continues a trend of single-digit declines."

"While home sales usually decline in winter months, we are seeing a large than normal correction this winter due to several artificial factors like the expired tax credit," according to Margaret Kelly, chief executive of RE/MAX. "Despite predictions about falling home prices, they appear to be remaining stable with several markets reporting significant price increases over the last year.

The monthly RE/MAX survey covers 54 metropolitan areas, and none of the areas reported an increase in November sales from the year earlier. The top five markets that experienced a sales gain last month from the prior month include Jackson, Miss., and Billings, Mont., with a 9.2% increase; Las Vegas at 4.7%; Birmingham, Ala. at 3.8%; and Miami at 3.6%.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Friday, December 17th, 2010

The House of Representatives discussed a bill Friday that would provide federal funds to nonprofit counseling and nonprofit legal organizations assisting homeowners facing foreclosure.

The Aiding Those Facing Foreclosure Act of 2010, also known as H.R. 5510, gives funds "to assist homeowners with legal issues directly related to such default, delinquency, foreclosure or any deed in lieu of foreclosure or short sale," the bill says. It does not allocate funds to hire legal representation for borrowers.

Representative Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) spoke in favor of the bill, saying "it is unthinkable that we could have used TARP funds for every major corporation, all of the banks, all of the Too Big To Fail, and yet we would deny homeowners in the hardest hit states some assistance."

The legislation would amend the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. H.R. 5510 is sponsored by Ohioan Democrat Marcy Kaptur, along with 27 other representatives. The bill's counterpart, S. 3979, was introduced into the Senate by Sherrod Brown (D-OH).

Kaptur recently introduced another bill into Congress, which would dissolve the relationship between the government-sponsored enterprises and Mortgage Electronic Registration System.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Friday, December 17th, 2010
The Obama administration is planning to encourage private capital back to the mortgage market by scaling down government guarantees even if Congress fails to pass housing finance reform, according to people familiar with the so-called Plan B for the mortgage market.

The Treasury is due to deliver plans for comprehensive reform in January but officials are already preparing to sidestep what is likely to be a long and bitter battle in Congress over the future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-owned companies that now guarantee more than 90 per cent of all new mortgages.

Officials would like to see a reduction in the maximum size of loans guaranteed by Fannie and Freddie to gradually refocus government support on first-time and lower-income buyers.

Congress voted to maintain the “conforming limit” at up to $729,750 in high-cost areas such as New York and San Francisco until October.Even without a vote in Congress officials could direct Fannie and Freddie to charge more to guarantee loans, making themselves less competitive.
Friday, December 17th, 2010

U.S. regulators have opened a new line of inquiry in their mortgage foreclosure probe and are asking big Wall Street banks about the beginning stages of mortgage securitization, two sources familiar with the probe said.

The Securities and Exchange Commission launched the new phase of its investigation by sending out a fresh round of subpoenas last week to big banks like Bank of America Corp, Citigroup Inc, JPMorgan Chase & Co, Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Wells Fargo & Co, the sources said.

The SEC's subpoenas focus on the earliest stage of the mortgage securitization process, said the sources, who requested anonymity because the probe is not public.

The sources said the SEC is asking for information about the role of so-called "master servicers" — specialized firms that oversee the selection and maintenance of the large pool of home loans that go into every mortgage-backed bond.

Friday, December 17th, 2010

A lot of people have asked me why I took a break from writing lately. Well, it is largely because I didn’t have much to say anymore besides “I told you so,” and I don’t want to appear snippy.

So while I will try to maintain an appropriate tone, recent talk about national servicing standards and conflict between modifications and foreclosures takes me right back to October 2007, the month I released a white paper summarizing the history of such concerns and the need to avoid stepping in the obvious policy traps. Subsequently I covered much of the topic in congressional testimony as well as press interviews.

Could it be that policymakers are just now catching on?

Back then, the problem was modification proposals. I said, back then, that refusing to give modifications standing as "new loans" or other status to which regulatory processes and measurements are applied would be a problem for the industry and borrowers, alike.

Over the ensuing three years, such problems have indisputably come to light. The government's Home Affordable Modification Program, or HAMP, and private modifications have failed consumers and investors, as they have not only substantially duplicated costs in the foreclosure pipeline but also have been found wanting as potentially good modifications have been foreclosed upon anyway.

But those who are pushing for strict servicing standards had better get ready for some reality. As I discussed back in 2007, none of what they are discussing is new. Quoting from my white paper:

Predatory servicing was a common concern among regulatory officials and servicers in 2003 and 2004. In November 2003, Select Portfolio Servicing (formerly Fairbanks Capital Corp.) signed a consent order with the Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Housing and Urban Development due to predatory servicing concerns. In April 2004, Ocwen Federal Bank FSB reached a supervisory agreement with the Office of Thrift Supervision based on similar concerns. Soon after that, Ocwen Financial Corp., Ocwen Federal Bank FSB's parent company, filed an Application for Voluntary Dissolution with the OTS in November 2004 to explore the possibility of the bank terminating its status as a federal savings bank under OTS and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. supervision. (Moody’s, 2004 Review and 2005 Outlook: US Servicer Ratings, Jan. 12, 2005)

Following those regulatory actions, many servicers re-evaluated their operations to identify potential exposure to predatory servicing concerns. Servicers implemented 100% call recording, itemized monthly statements, and issued paper notification to borrowers when fees are charged. Servicers added transparency to force-placed insurance programs (hazard insurance coverage that is assigned to mortgaged property when the borrower fails to maintain his or her own coverage) and reduced or eliminated ancillary fees.

One big concern of consumer advocates with respect to predatory servicing was quick foreclosure, particularly for lenders that refer loans to foreclosure in a 60 to 75 day timeframe following delinquency. In response to concerns that early foreclosures were not warranted, servicers added pre-foreclosure activities to ensure that collection and loss mitigation attempts on a loan were thorough and that proper notices were provided to the borrower. Loans were also reviewed pre-foreclosure for potential legal issues and headline risk that could be associated with a foreclosure action. Foreclosure referrals are now more common beginning after the 90th day of delinquency. But the new pre-foreclosure activities also paved the way for servicers to make more detailed loan-level decisions, including using more loan modifications. (Moody’s, 2004 Review and 2005 Outlook: US Servicer Ratings, Jan. 12, 2005)

The fact that the opportunities for more loan modification originated from attempts to more thoroughly investigate loans prior to foreclosure to avoid predatory servicing concerns should not be a source of comfort. Rather, that means the processes surrounding modification are still new enough that they can be misapplied to consumers’ detriment.

The decision to modify a loan is identical to a decision to refinance a loan, but the modification decision is not currently treated as a new loan decision. That means that the modification proposal and acceptance by the consumer are not required to generate any of the records, disclosures and restrictions placed upon the new loan process. Therefore, modifications can impose exorbitant fees or back-end payments or other conditions upon consumers without adequate record-keeping to pursue even a legal remedy.

The reason for concern lies in the fact that major industry groups and regulatory officials, having characterized the conditions for a successful modification as raising the net present value of the loan, have effectively advocated maximizing income to the lender as the primary goal of modification. Fitch Ratings reports that servicers express, "the belief that that ultimate loss to the transaction should be the only consideration in determining the execution of the best loss mitigation strategy." (Fitch Ratings, U.S. RMBS Servicer Workshop, May 18, 2007.)

Even Moody’s recognizes, however, that if borrowers cannot meaningfully qualify for a modified loan under transparent and duly reported and defensible underwriting guidelines, the modification may, “simply serve to postpone an eventual foreclosure and increase, rather than decrease, the ultimate loss on the loan.” (Moody’s, US Subprime Mortgage Market Update, April 2007) Work by JPMorgan prior to the present market difficulties illustrates that the kinds of flags that can indicate predatory modification are, “…liberal repayment terms with extended amortizations, moving accounts from one workout program to another, multiple re-aging and poor monitoring of performance. Principal reduction should be the main goal of workout programs, not maximizing income recognition (emphasis added).” Servicing that does not promote principal reduction can therefore be considered predatory. (JPMorgan, ABS Monitor 2003 Year Ahead Outlook, Dec. 23, 2003.)

So while we go about reinventing the wheel again, let’s look hard at some of the realities of the industry. Major improvements to servicing best practices have been implemented over the past decade. The problem is that we are not sure which servicers are using those or how consistently.

So before we go changing regulation, let’s first look at what works and what doesn’t. Let’s look at individual servicers and examine how well they have implemented the types of improvements discussed over the past decade. I suspect we will find that good servicers — those complying with the above — are not experiencing the types of problems hitting recent headlines. The ones that are obviously need rehabilitation. For once in this crisis, however, let's act rationally and reward good market behavior and punish bad, rather than just alleging systemic shortcomings and doing the opposite.

Joseph Mason is Hermann Moyse, Jr./Louisiana Bankers Association Professor of Finance, Louisiana State University, and Senior Fellow at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

Have an issue you want to sound off on? E-mail the editor of HousingWire.

Friday, December 17th, 2010

There's a small office on the first floor of the 2777 Stemmons Freeway tower where Fannie Mae councilors are unpacking their boxes and opening their doors to homeowners, ready for face-to-face counseling.

"It's a small office, but a lot of work is getting done here," said one councilor as she gives a group of Dallas natives a tour.

The Dallas/Fort Worth Fannie Mae Mortgage Assistance office officially opened and started business Friday. Public officials and government representatives gathered for an introductory meeting to discuss Fannie's function in the DFW metroplex.

"It's absolutely exciting," said Jeff Hayward, senior vice president of Fannie Mae. "We're here today to mark an important step forward in Fannie Mae's efforts to help struggling homeowners stay in their homes and to stabilize neighborhoods."

The Dallas/Fort Worth office is the sixth mortgage assistance center Fannie Mae has opened this year in an effort to serve borrowers more effectively, meet with them in person and hasten foreclosure prevention efforts. Fannie Mae advises its borrowers on how to resolve their mortgage situation, organizes their budgets and provides financial counseling all at no cost to the borrower.

Gary Neuman, director of Foreclosure Prevention at Fannie Mae, said this is a movement the government-sponsored enterprise feels is a top priority.

"We're the investor and now we're reaching out to the public," he told HousingWire. "This is a new strategy and it seems to be working."

Since Fannie Mae started opening mortgage assistance offices, it has scheduled 2,800 appointments with borrowers, 1,200 if which have worked out a loan modification or forbearance plan, according to Hayward. There are another 920 cases in the process of finding an alternative to foreclosure.

Mayor Pro-Tem for the city of Fort Worth Danny Scarth said Fannie Mae's effort to keep borrowers in their homes is not only important for the DFW area, "it is vital."

Currently, one in 738 borrowers in Texas is facing foreclosure; one in every 572 borrowers in Dallas is facing foreclosure; and one in every 408 borrowers in Tarrant County (the county that encompasses most of North Texas) is facing foreclosure, according to statistics provided by Fannie's Hayward.

Dwaine Carraway, Mayor Pro-Tem for Dallas, echoed Scarth's sentiment, saying homeownership is an issue that defies the rivalry between Dallas and Fort Worth.

"It is so very important that we have Fannie Mae, that we continue a relationship. Not for Dallas not for Fort Worth, but for the region," Carraway said. "We can ill-afford to have Fannie Mae in our region."

The Fannie Mae office off Stemmons houses a 10-person staff — five councilors, two in-takes or receptionists and three documentation researchers. Fannie Mae is teaming up with two local nonprofit organizations, the North Texas Housing Coalition and the Tarrant County Housing Partnership, on this initiative to increase the amount of staff available to work with borrowers.

The Tarrant County Housing Partnership offers counseling from its office in Fort Worth and the North Texas Housing Coalition offers counseling from its Dallas office north of downtown. The organizations correspond with Fannie Mae Dallas electronically.

Wherever, the offices are located, they all share a common goal: Quickening foreclosure prevention efforts.

Texas is a nonjudicial state, meaning a foreclosure doesn't need to be approved by a state court. Because of this process, houses move back to the banks more quickly, which means if a borrowers wants to stay in their house, they need to figure out a solution more quickly.

Fernando Espinoza, community outreach and education manager at Tarrant County Housing Partnership, said resolve mortgage issues can be timely when working with servicers.

"That's the thing about working with servicers. I'm sure they're bombarded with requests," Espinoza said. "This will hopefully make the process quicker."

But the organization is unwilling to comprise quality. As president of TCHP Donna VanNess put it: "We want a solution that reaches to the root of the problem rather than putting a band-aid on the symptoms."

While mortgage assistance initiative is a step in the right direction, no one contested that there is still work to be done. Albert Martin, president of North Texas Housing Coalition, said the job is going to be "labor intensive" and just getting people to ask for help will be a challenge.

HousingWire asked the senior VP of Fannie Mae what he thought the biggest challenge would be.

"I think the biggest challenge is for people to understand that they can get free help. The biggest challenge is just getting people out to come talk. Once they get here, they're going to get help."

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Friday, December 17th, 2010

The Securities and Exchange Commission named Stephen Cohen associate director of its enforcement division, replacing Christopher Conte, who left the agency in September.

Cohen has been a senior advisor to SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro the past two years, providing counsel on issues including enforcement and compliance of various parts of the Dodd-Frank Act such as the whistleblower legislation and rulemaking. The regulator said Cohen also led the agency-wide initiative to improve the handling of tips, complaints and referrals.

"The Enforcement Division will benefit greatly from Steve’s intelligence, judgment, and determination as well as his comprehensive understanding of our securities laws and his grasp on the way the Division functions," said Robert Khuzami, director of the SEC’s division of enforcement. "We are excited that he has agreed to return to the Division and take on this new challenge."

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Friday, December 17th, 2010

The Mortgage Bankers Association said a final rule on loan officer compensation is too vague and the trade group is asking the Federal Reserve Board to provide written guidance.

Without such guidance, lenders likely will take a very conservative interpretation of the current guidance, which could lead to higher home loan costs for consumers, the MBA said.

The letter, sent to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and Fed Director of Consumer and Community Affairs Sandra Braunstein, asks the central bank to help the mortgage industry’s compliance.

The final rule was published in September, and lenders are required to comply by April 11.

“The rule is far-reaching and requires major changes to long-operating compensation practices that heretofore have been both legal and prevalent,” the MBA said. “Unfortunately, in our view, the rule does not definitively address many matters of particular importance, and has engendered numerous questions from creditors and loan originators seeking to comply.”

The rule prohibits basing compensation to a loan originator on a loan’s terms or conditions, subject to a limited exception for loan amount; compensation to a loan originator from both the consumer and a party other than the consumer for the same transaction; and an originator from steering a consumer to receive greater compensation.

The MBA said its staff held several meetings with Fed officials to seek more clarity, but said that verbal guidance isn't enough.

Earlier this week, the MBA and six other trade associations filed "friend of the court" brief in a U.S. district court, opposing a Department of Labor interpretation that would require mortgage companies and other banks to apply overtime regulations to loan officers.

In its letter to the Fed, the MBA noted while it appreciates that Fed staff have been available to respond verbally and in person to questions from the MBA and its members, verbal guidance in itself is insufficient.

"The rule was issued pursuant to the board’s authority to prohibit unfair and deceptive acts and practices and its violation can lead to substantial civil liability, criminal penalties and administrative sanction," MBA said. "In recognition of the significant potential liability under the Truth in Lending Act, Congress shielded from liability, creditors that in good faith follow board or official staff interpretations. Lenders and investors, therefore, are wary of proceeding without written direction," the MBA said.

"If guidance is not forthcoming, many lenders may be forced to be very conservative and implement compensation and loan pricing structures that provide for fixed compensation for originators at a level that can only be supported by higher loan prices to consumers," the letter said.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Friday, December 17th, 2010

A congressman from Texas, long a dissident critic of the Federal Reserve, is scheduled to become the chairman of a House panel with jurisdiction over the central bank. It promises to be a miserable time for the Fed chairman as he is peppered with hostile questions at oversight hearings and with legislation to force complete audits of Fed operations.

So it is now, with Representative Ron Paul about to take over as chairman of the Domestic Monetary Policy Subcommittee of the House Financial Services Committee. Mr. Paul campaigned against big banks, arguing that concentrated financial power goes hand in hand with concentrated political power.

If the Fed were abolished, he wrote last year, “the national wealth would no longer be hostage to the whims of a handful of appointed bureaucrats whose interests are equally divided between serving the banking cartel and serving the most powerful politicians in Washington.”



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

Read More »

Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

Read More »