Archive for November, 2010
The mid-term elections are over and many new politicians are getting ready to settle into new offices in Washington and many other state capitals, cities, towns and boroughs across the country. Political upheaval is often the byproduct of over-promising change and the lackluster delivery of the same. The new crop of politicians will learn this lesson soon enough, a lesson that most successful loan originators learned long ago. As they do, they'll learn that the sweet smell of success that comes from winning at the polls often has a pretty nasty aftertaste.
If you search for the terms “public service” and “thankless job,” you will find that a great many people have spent time voicing their disdain for the combination of political work and extremely low constituent satisfaction that seems to go into the making of every public service cocktail. Shaken or stirred, it still tastes bad. On the one hand, the American public seems to want government to do everything for them. On the other, they want government to work from a very small footprint and cost nothing. Swish that around in your mouth for a while.
Of course, if you're a mortgage lender, you know exactly what this tastes like. On the one hand, mortgage originators were told to get every American they could into a home and to get as much mortgage product as possible into the conduits that connected them to the big Wall Street firms. After successfully completing that task, the nation's largest investors wrote down all the reasons that they would be given when they asked lenders to buy some of this product back. Meanwhile, the customers, who were never given any weight at all in the mathematical equation of success (as long as they were alive and capable of providing their signature on a bunch of documents) have now emerged as a powerful political and public relations force that is drawing all sorts of negative attention to the firms that survived the crash.
The firms that did the very best job of meeting the success criteria in place during the early years of this century are in the most trouble now from the plaintiff's bar and legislators who demand to know why so many corners were cut and why the system doesn't make more sense to borrowers. Doesn't taste so good, does it?
Of course, politicians and lenders aren't the only professions that typically suffer from chronically low customer satisfaction. Just about any “necessary evil” pursuit falls into the category: the undertakers who bury our dead, the people who put our pets down at the animal shelter, the mechanic who smiles as he hands over the estimate for our most recent car repair. We'd never visit any of these folks if we had our way. In fact, we only do when we don't get our way, which tends to make us mad.
I think it was Garth Graham, back when he was working at Mortgage.com, who first put the thought into words for me. He said, “Rick, nobody wants a home loan. They just want the home.” It's true. The Miracle on 34th Street would have ended quite differently if, instead of a perfect new house the new family found on Christmas day, it was a shiny new pre-qualification letter from a local mortgage lender.
There's a very old saying that suggests that misery loves company. Perhaps that's why legislators are spending so much of their time focusing on the mortgage lending industry. When they get done tinkering, we'll have a brand new agency focused, in part, on the regulation of mortgage lending. We'll also have a shiny new report detailing all of the causes of the financial crash. We'll have a new rule book for the government-sponsored enterprises (I seriously doubt they're going anywhere). We'll have a bunch of new rules, covering just about every part of our business. And, we'll likely have a lot more REO, despite the best efforts of a bunch of attorneys who will at least be well compensated for those efforts.
All of these changes will carry with them a promise that the American public will take to mean that the evils that came to their homes during the most recent financial meltdown will never visit them again. That may smell sweet to many Americans and make many politicians proud, for awhile.
It won't last. Qualifying for a loan will get tougher, costs will continue to go up, the cost of compliance will drive more firms from the business. Trying to solve a communication problem by layering on additional compliance steps in typical government fashion will succeed about as well as it ever has and, eventually, politicians and homeowners will learn what most mortgage lenders already know. There's a nasty aftertaste that will doubtless follow that thankless job.
Rick Grant is veteran journalist covering mortgage technology and the financial industry.
Follow him on Twitter: @NYRickGrant
The Federal Reserve slashed its outlook for the U.S. economy for this year and 2011 and projected that it could take several years for the economy to return to health.
According to minutes from the Fed's November 3 meeting released Tuesday, more than half of the central bank's policymakers thought it would take about five or six years for unemployment, growth and inflation to return to more normal levels. Other Fed members warned the full recovery could take even longer than that.
The much weaker forecast is the major reason that policymakers decided earlier this month to announce a plan to try and jumpstart growth by pumping an additional $600 billion into the economy through the purchase of long-term bonds.
First a safe and happy holiday to all.
This week The IRA is evolving to a formal listseve for distribution. Readers of The IRA will now be able to manage their subscriptions directly. We'll also be making some changes to the landing zones for the professional and consumer web sites in coming days. Comments are always welcome.
The Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp and Office of the Comptroller recently held a meeting to discuss the requirements of the Dodd-Frank law to remove all references to the rating agencies from the law. The meeting hosted by Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo, FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair and acting Comptroller John Walsh, specifically focused on ANPR OCC-2010-0016 from the OCC which asks a series of questions about how to essentially replace the use of third-party ratings in the regulatory process.
It seems fair to say that the Dodd-Frank legislation has created a big operational problem for regulators, who generally view the current system of quasi-monopolies that provide credit ratings to banks and other investors as adequate. As we stated in our written comments, generally speaking the rating agencies and broader analytics community have done a reasonably good job in assessing the credit risk of "plain vanilla," SEC registered corporate, municipal and RMBS/CMBS securities in the secondary market going back more than a century. Less so with banks and sovereigns where politics plays a bigger role. And obviously the excursion into the primary market for exotic subprime mortgage securitizations and CDOs was a very bad idea.
A federal grand jury in Kansas City has indicted nine people in an $11 million mortgage fraud scheme that touched properties in half a dozen area communities.
Prosecutors alleged Monday that the conspiracy ran from early 2005 to August 2006 and involved more than $11 million in loans on 16 homes in Lee’s Summit, Liberty, Blue Springs, Parkville, Independence and Oak Grove.
The lenders did not know that home buyers received more than $2 million from the loan proceeds, the indictment alleged.













LeaseTrader.com, a third party car lease database, recently released a report that analyzes the financial stability of an industry by the car leases its industry employees are terminating.
The report found that 43% of Realtors are "escaping" their expensive car leases in 2010, down from 68% in 2008, while 32% of financial executives are following suit, down from 63% in 2008.
Hallelujah, the housing finance industry is stabilizing!
The study sounds loosely correlated, I know. But if we, for a minute, pretend that everyone in industries such as finance, first of all, leases a car (who wants to own now-a-days with all the new models coming out every other day?), and drives a car over $40,000, we could have some true and uplifting data on our hands.
Never mind economic outlooks or market statistics telling us that things are terrible. Forget about low interest rates as a sign of nonexistent demand. Things are good enough that the head honchos on Wall Street no longer have to give up their pretty toys to pay their bills.
Then again, maybe this is just the backlog of Realtors and financial execs who didn't deleverage in 2008.
Write to Christine Ricciardi.
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