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Archive for November, 2010

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

A top Treasury Department official said Tuesday that federal investigators looking into problems with mortgage foreclosures throughout the country have found widespread and "inexcusable" breakdowns in basic controls in the foreclosure process.

"These problems must be fixed," Assistant Treasury Secretary Michael Barr told members of the Financial Stability Oversight Council, the newly formed panel of regulators responsible for identifying potential risks to the financial system.

The extensive foreclosure problems – which range from flawed and fraudulent paperwork to questions about improper or incomplete loan transfers – first surfaced in September when large firms such as Bank of America and Ally Financial abruptly halted foreclosures.

In the wake of those revelations, lawmakers and regulators have struggled to determine the depth of the problems, as well as the potential fallout. Officials this fall formed a federal foreclosure task force composed of nearly a dozen agencies working with the cooperation of the state attorneys general and numerous state banking regulators.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

New home sales dropped to an annualized rate of 283,000 in October, leaving 202,000 new homes (8.6 months worth) on the market, according to a report released Wednesday by the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

New home sales are down 8.1% from September and 28.5% from October 2009.

The National Association of Realtors reported Tuesday that existing home sales trended down in October also, dipping 2.2% compared to September.

Collectively in 2010, the annualized rate of new home sales is 273,000. This is down 14% from 2009.

The West region saw the steepest decline in new homes sales compared to the year- ago period, down 46.9%, followed by the Midwest (down 27.8%), the South (down 23%) and the Northeast (down 12.1%).

The median sales price for a new home in October was $194,900, down 14% from $226,300 in September and down 9% from $215,100 one year ago. In October, the average sales price also decreased, down to $248,200 from $269,700 in September and $263,800 in October 2009.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

As Wall Street firms crank up their machines for issuing new commercial mortgage-backed securities, a big prize is emerging: the business of mall giant General Growth Properties Inc.

General Growth, which just emerged from bankruptcy protection, is planning to refinance some of the $15 billion in mortgages it restructured during the Chapter 11 process. While some of that will likely be done through insurance companies, a big chunk is likely to be repackaged by Wall Street firms into CMBS.

That is a lot of business considering only $10 billion worth of CMBS has been issued this year as the market has struggled to get back on its feet. During the boom years, CMBS was a financing mainstay of the commercial-real-estate industry, with $230 billion worth of the securities issued in 2007. But new issues ground to a halt during the recession.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Mortgage-backed securities holders are pushing for a resolution of a 50-state probe of foreclosure practices, attorneys general in Iowa and Arizona said as talks with lenders and servicers expand to include investors.

“The mortgage backed securities are worth pennies on the dollar, so any kind of recovery would be better,” Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard said in an interview. Owners of mortgage-backed securities are “one of the players urging a resolution,” he said. State officials have begun informal talks with some investors, Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller said.

All 50 U.S. states are investigating whether banks and loan servicers used false documents and signatures to justify hundreds of thousands of foreclosures. The probe, announced Oct. 13, came after JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Ally Financial Inc.’s GMAC mortgage unit said they would stop repossessions in 23 states where courts supervise home seizures and Bank of America Corp., the largest U.S. lender, froze foreclosures nationwide.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Initial jobless claims fell 7.7% last week to 407,000, which is the lowest level in two years and well below most analyst estimates.

The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Nov. 20 fell by 34,000 from the previous week's figure of 441,000, which was revised upward a few thousand.

Analysts surveyed by Econoday expected claims to dip to 435,000 with a range of estimates from 420,000 to 445,000. A Briefing.com survey put the number of jobless claims at 440,000, and economists polled by MarketWatch expected 435,000 new claims.

The four-week moving average declined by 7,500 to 436,000 claims from a downwardly revised average of 443,5o0, according to the Labor Department data.

The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate slid to 3.3%, down slightly from a revised 3.4%.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Mortgage rates fell in two weekly surveys. The Bankrate national mortgage survey reported the interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 4.58%, down from 4.62% a week prior, while a survey from LendingTree.com reported the rate at 4.55%.

Freddie Mac reported Wednesday that the average rate for a 30-year FRM increased slightly to 4.4%.

Bankrate's survey of large banks and thrifts showed the average 15-year FRM at 3.97%, down 5 basis points from last week. The rate for a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage fell to 3.66% from one week earlier, while the rate for a 30-year jumbo loan fell to 5.18%.

LendingTree's weekly survey gathers actual rates offered to borrowers through the company's lending network. The survey also reports the lowest rates available in every state.

Florida and Delaware tied for the lowest rate offered this week at 4%. In Florida, 46.4% of borrowers are underwater, as are 13.5% of borrowers in Delaware, according to the survey. Mortgage rates offered to borrowers through LendingTree did not exceed 4.25% in any state.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Home prices declined during the third quarter after rising slightly the previous quarter, which was the first quarterly increase in three years.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency said its third quarter, purchase-only home price index — calculated using information from mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — is 1.6% lower than the second quarter and 3.2% below a year earlier. U.S. home prices are down 8.4% over the past five years.

Prices of other goods and services for the third quarter were 2% higher than a year earlier, which puts the third quarter, inflation-adjusted home price about 5.1% lower than last year, according to the FHFA.

"The latest figures on the U.S. housing market are close to awful, with both prices and activity falling once again," according to Paul Dales, U.S. economist with Toronto-based Capital Economics, in a response to the new FHFA numbers. The quarterly decline in the FHFA index "more than reversed the second quarter's 0.7% rise to take prices to a new cycle low, some 14% below their 2006 peak."

The expiration of the homebuyer tax credit in April continues to hinder sales. And while it's unlikely the nationwide foreclosure moratoriums affected new home sales, "it appears that it may have had an indirect effect on confidence," said Dales, who also believes the drop in new homes sales in September "is very worrying."

New home sales are now only 3% above August's record low and are nearly 30% below the levels of a year ago.

"We think that by the end of next year prices will be about 5% below current levels," he said. "That's unlikely to derail the economic recovery, but it will certainly hold it back."

The FHFA said its home-price index has diverged from others such as those from CoreLogic, the National Association of Realtors and the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller index over the past few years because the agency only tracks the mortgages submitted to the government-sponsored entities. But the FHFA has begun including data from the county recorder it has licensed from DataQuick "to improve public understanding of price trends."

The most-recent S&P/Case-Shiller index showed home prices rose 1.7% in August, but analyst expect prices to tumble 7% to 10% through 2011. CoreLogic's September home-price index showed a 2.8% decline.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Mortgage interest rates rose slightly this week, marking the fourth consecutive week of increases, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 4.4% with an origination point of 0.8, up slightly from 4.39% last week. The rate one year ago was 4.79%.

The 15-year FRM reached 3.77%, up from 3.76% last week, but still much below the rate last year at 4.29%.

The 5-year Treasury adjustable-rate mortgage rate increased 5 basis points to an average 3.45%, while the 1-year Treasury ARM hit a new record low at 3.23%, down from 3.26% last week. The rates one year ago were 4.18% and 4.35%, respectively.

Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac, attributed the stabilization to positive economic factors.

"Growth in growth domestic product in the third quarter was revised up from the initial estimate to an annualized rate of 2.5%, as strong consumer spending and exports supported the revision," Nothaft said. "Homeowner balance sheets are also improving."

A new study done by Campbell and Inside Mortgage Finance showed that most homeowners in September used cash to finance their home purchases in an effort to deleverage their debt.

Tuesday, Freddie Mac reported that delinquencies on loans it funds are up slightly to 3.82% from 3.8%.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

More than one-third of property owners with seriously delinquent mortgages haven't made a monthly payment in more than a year, according to the Lender Processing Services (LPS: 16.78 +1.39%) mortgage monitor report for October.

The company said another 263,000 loans entered the foreclosure process last month, which is down 4.4% from September. LPS said the total inventory of foreclosures includes 2.1 million loans with another 2.2 million loans more than 90-days delinquent but not yet in the process.

LPS said foreclosure sales "decreased dramatically" the past month because of the nationwide moratoriums big banks put in place beginning in late September. Loans moving to REO status or other involuntary liquidation status fell 35% last month.

"The moratoria contributed to further timeline extensions, as the average number of days past delinquent for loans in the foreclosure process approaches 500," LPS said. (Click on chart below to expand.)

While the number of first-time troubled loans has remained stable the past few months, the level of 60-day delinquencies that became current after a previous delinquency and fell back to past due is rising, according to the LPS mortgage monitor.

Earlier in November, LPS reported the delinquency rate for October was 9.29% for loans 30 days or more past due.

The mortgage analytics firm maintains a database of more than 40 million loans.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

In a strange turn of events, the Securities and Exchange Commission Tuesday extended its no-action position against the credit rating agencies.

It's strange, because it seems regulators are struck with an acute case of amnesia. And honestly, it's not such a bad infliction.

The SEC is currently reinventing itself as a regulator with some serious enforcement behind it, most notably in the Goldman Sachs $550 million levy. However, the message is now that the rating agencies, which largely escaped massive scrutiny under Dodd-Frank, are not only vital to the securitization process, but able to self-improve and self-regulate.

To be clear, the markets are all for no action against the credit rating agencies. The SEC announcement removes an element of uncertainty from asset-backed securitizations. 

"Although new regulatory challenges still remain for issuers, the SEC has eliminated an otherwise intractable obstacle to new issuance," said Royal Bank of Scotland analysts Paul Jablansky and Brain Lancaster in a note to clients Tuesday.

Some history first. The Securities Act of 1933 exempts rating agencies from being considered experts that contribute to the creation of the offering documents. Dodd-Frank repeals that exemption.

The result was that the ratings agencies refused to follow the Dodd-Frank reform, and Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor's all released statements that day saying none were willing to take "expert liability."

The much-ballyhooed attempt by Congress to rein in the credit rating agencies led to a standoff with the SEC, freezing the ABS markets in the interim.

And according to a Tuesday letter from the SEC, it appears the regulator is going soft again, and with good reason.

"We understand that the rating agencies continue to indicate that that they are not willing to provide their consent at this time, and that without an extension of our no-action position, offerings of asset-backed securities would not be able to be conducted on a registered basis," writes Katherine Hsu, SEC senior special counsel. "Given the current state of uncertainty in the asset-backed securities market and the benefits to investor protection resulting from Securities Act registration, the division is extending the relief…"

In the end, cooler heads are prevailing, as the SEC extension allows for both the implementation of regulations but without shutting down new issue ABS.

As with the Cuban Missile Crises, the American public may never know how close it came to getting vast swaths of available credit wiped out in the New Year.

And the SEC is once again allied with the secondary markets in an implicit nod to the necessity of credit rating agencies, which it should be mentioned, have made considerable strides in tightening and improving rating methodology.

"It certainly alleviates the significant risk of a primary market issuance shutdown in late January," write Barclays Capital researchers Joseph Astorina and Sarah Johns. "It also allows the securitization industry and regulators additional time to craft a compromise solution that would maintain robust public securitization markets."

But the effectiveness of this inspired solution is contingent on Congress not getting wind of it. For the moment the problems wrought by loose credit ratings in the run up to the housing bust appear largely forgotten.

Good will is at an all time high and markets needed some positive news.

Let's just hope the word doesn't get out.

Jacob Gaffney is the editor of HousingWire.

Write to him.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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