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Archive for November, 2010

Monday, November 29th, 2010

The serious delinquency rate on single-family mortgages held by Fannie Mae was 4.56% in September, a 16 basis point drop from September 2009 and the first yearly decline since April 2007.

In April 2007, the serious delinquency rate was at 0.62%, down 2 bps from April 2006.

The September 2010 rate, the latest available from Fannie Mae, also marked the seventh-straight monthly decline. It was down 14 bps from August.

The last time the delinquency rate increased from the previous month was in February, when it climbed 7 bps to 5.59%. It has averaged a roughly 14 bps drop every month since to what is now its lowest point since August 2009.

Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities issuance held flat in October at $69.6 billion, roughly the same as the previous month but up roughly 71% from a year ago. So far in 2010, Fannie Mae has issued $472.6 billion in MBS. In 2009, Fannie issued $807.8 billion.

The Fannie Mae gross mortgage portfolio declined in October to $798.2 billion, down 0.5% from the previous month but up 3.5% from a year ago.

Write to Jon Prior.

Monday, November 29th, 2010

Looks like another year of limited supply of mortgage-backed securities in 2011, although new regulatory guidelines, extension risk and continued uncertainly regarding government-sponsored entities should keep demand down, as well, according to JPMorgan analysts.

In the firm's securitized products outlook for next year, analysts expect supply of agency, fixed-rate MBS to rise to about $195 billion with nontraditional sources such as liquidations of delinquent loans providing most of the increase. Analysts forecast just $20 billion in MBS supply from new homes sales and cash-out refinancing next year, and modest tightening in mortgages vs. swaps is also expected.

MBS issuance has all but dried up. Three years ago, a record level of commercial mortgage-backed securities were sold with about $230 billion or so issued. That figure is less than $10 billion so far in 2010. Residential MBS issuance has fallen even more to nearly nonexistent from almost $790 billion in 2006. A $237.8 million deal that Redwood Trust closed in the second quarter of 2010 is the only private-label RMBS transaction in two years.

In nonagency RMBS, JPMorgan anticipates limited supply and attractive yields to narrow spreads further, as "investors increase their use of leverage."

Continued runoff from the Federal Reserve portfolio of some $175 billion could impact supply as well, the analysts said. In early November, the Fed announced its decision to purchase $600 billion of Treasurys, which has become known as QE2. JPMorgan analysts said the Fed could begin repurchasing MBS rather than Treasury securities in an effort to stabilize the market if the spread between MBS and Treasurys  "widened significantly."

"The introduction of a fails charge in the mortgage market might remove one hurdle to the Fed restarting its mortgage purchases," the analysts said. "We believe the Fed is unwilling to distort the market further, especially in an environment where fail volumes have surged to record levels. However, if a fails charge caused fails to be cleaned up, this might make the Fed less unwilling to re-enter the mortgage market."

A fails charge for Treasury securities allows the buyer of the debt to seek compensation when the seller fails to deliver the security in a timely manner. The number of MBS fails is at an all-time high, according to Financial Times.

The number of delinquent loans being bought out of MBS pools by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae also may impact supply next year, according to JPMorgan. The GSEs ultimately could sell up to $75 billion of MBS next year, the analysts said.

JPMorgan expects banks to be net buyers of MBS next year despite conflicting pressures of "tepid loan growth and low absolute Treasury yields" that should indicate it's a good time to buy with the new capital requirements mandated by Basel 3 that have banks sitting on capital.

"Putting it all together, we see a landscape where supply will be challenging for spreads," the analysts said. "Obviously, supply will match demand in the end, but as we look ahead, we find more force on the supply side."

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Monday, November 29th, 2010

When Caitlyn Corso’s salary as a veterinary technician was cut last year, she couldn’t keep up with her mortgage payment.

She fell into a pattern of making her $1,200 payment 30 days late. She asked for a loan modification from her mortgage servicer, Chase Home Finance.

After a four-month cycle of 30-day-late payments, Corso said a Chase employee advised her to stop paying the mortgage on her Hilliard house as a condition to seal the loan-modification deal.

Corso, 26, followed the directive in May. Chase filed for foreclosure in September.

Monday, November 29th, 2010

A look at stories across HousingWire's weekend desk … with more coverage to come on bigger issues:

Ireland will receive €85 billion, or $113 billion, in a bailout to deleverage and reorganize its banking system and restore its economy, the International Monetary Fund said Sunday.

Of that, $60 billion will come from the European Union, and a $30.1 billion loan will come from the IMF. The rest will come from Ireland's own funds. The IMF set up an extended fund facility, or EFF, which gives Ireland a longer repayment option.

According to the IMF, Ireland will begin repaying the bailout after four and a half years and finish in about 10 years.

“The Irish authorities have today proposed a clear and realistic package of policies to restore Ireland’s banking system to health and put its public finances on a sound footing. Immediate actions to tackle vulnerabilities in the banks and continued strong fiscal adjustment are set in a multiyear policy framework for sustained growth and job creation," Dominique Strauss-Kahn, managing director of the IMF said in a statement Sunday.

Capital Economics analysts said while Europe continues to struggle during the financial crisis, U.S. banks are beginning to put financial issues behind them.

"Moreover, U.S. banks’ exposure to Europe has fallen. They remain exposed to lingering problems at home, however, such as renewed falls in real estate prices," Capital Economics said.

Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair warned that as the U.S. continues work to recover from the recent financial crisis, the next one could arise from the country's mounting debt, according to her op-ed in The Washington Post.

In the past seven years, U.S. federal debt reached $14 trillion, more than $100,000 per American household, Bair wrote. According to her estimates, unless action is taken, federal debt held by the public could grow from 62% of gross domestic product to 185% by 2035. Of the many cuts that could potentially come, Bair pointed to potential changes involving the housing market.

Earlier in November, a commission formed by President Obama, offered the option of scaling back the mortgage interest tax deduction for homeowners, which sparked immediate criticism from the housing industry.

"Overly generous tax subsidies for housing and health care have contributed to rising costs and misallocation of resources," Bair wrote.

Monday afternoon, a delegation of U.S. mayors will meet with Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan to gauge if the administration will continue to support the Community Development Block Grant program.

Through the CDBG program, federal dollars fund local community development needs such as affordable housing and provide economic opportunities for low- and moderate-income citizens.

The FDIC did not close any banks over Thanksgiving weekend, as is customary over a holiday. So far, through 2010, however, 149 banks have failed, passing the 140 the year before.

Write to Jon Prior.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Las Vegas region home sales fell sharply in October as the weak economy, job security concerns and the hangover from the homebuyer tax credit took their toll.

A total of 3,961 new and resale houses and condos sold in the Las Vegas metro area in October, down 7.4% from September and down 21.8% from a year earlier, according to MDA DataQuick.

The San Diego-based firm tracks real estate trends nationally via public property records.

The overall median sale price for all new and resale houses and condos in Las Vegas was $125,000 in October, down nearly 4% from $130,000 in both September and a year earlier.

Last month's sales tally was the lowest for October since 2007, when 2,952 homes sold, and it was 12.8% below the average for the month of October since 1994. On average, the region's sales have fallen 2.5% between September and October.

Sales of newly built homes fell 23.7% from September and decreased 26.2% from a year earlier, to the lowest level on record for an October.

Sales of existing single-family houses fell 6.1% from September and declined 24.3% from a year ago. Resales of condos fell 3% from October and dropped 10.6% from last year. Resales of condos represented 21.9% of total sales last month.

Sales are weak for a variety of reasons, including the expired federal homebuyer tax credits that spurred many buyers to purchase homes in the first half of the year, creating a hangover effect in the second half of the year. While that effect is fading, the market suffers from renewed doubts about the strength of the economy, tight credit and anemic job growth.

Last month foreclosure resales — homes that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12 months — rose to 53.3% of the Las Vegas resale market, up from 51.1% in September but down from 66.8% a year earlier. Foreclosure resales peaked at 73.7% of the resale market in April 2009.

The number of homes foreclosed on last month in Las Vegas increased from September but remained lower than a year ago. In October, lenders foreclosed on 2,949 single-family units in the region, up 9.8% from September but down 15.5% from a year ago. In the first 10 months of this year, 25,018 houses and condo units were foreclosed in the region, down 15.8% from the same period last year.

Absentee buyers purchased 43.6% of all Las Vegas-area homes sold in October, up slightly from 43.1% in September and 41.3% a year earlier.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

The Philadelphia region set a record this month, though it's a bit of a dubious distinction: Thirty-one percent of houses sold here involved a cut in price.

A survey of major metropolitan areas by the real estate search engine Trulia, which has been tracking this information for 10 months, showed price reductions hit historic levels in 15 of the 50 cities studied.

Philadelphia ranked 11th among the 15 record-setting cities, with the average price reduction thus far in November amounting to 9% and the total amount of reductions equaling $73.3 million.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Singer Sheryl Crow has become the latest celebrity to get caught in the real estate crash. She can’t sell her sprawling Nashville mansion, so she has gone to the extreme — putting it up for auction at a bargain basement price.

Like so many stars who made it big, Crow splurged on huge house with top of the line features. But since the real estate market crash, they have become white elephants.

Now Crow’s house is bargain priced. The bidding has topped out at $1.1 million with the online auction set to end Nov. 24.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

PNC Financial Services Group Inc. was on the brink of selling Jim Durden a foreclosed house in Weed, Calif., last month when the country’s biggest banks came under public fire for improperly seizing homes. Now, he lives in an EconoLodge.

“I can’t get the house ready for winter, can’t install the missing water heater, can’t whack the weeds down, and can’t attend to the things a new homeowner needs to do,” Durden, 65, e-mailed from the motel. He has been in limbo since Oct. 7 after moving his belongings 640 miles north from a Los Angeles apartment.

After Bank of America Corp. and other lenders delayed seizures almost two months ago to check their sworn court statements in thousands of foreclosures, a growing number of would-be buyers are struggling to close deals — a sign that the documentation mess is dragging on the market.

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Sometimes, the hard times help people find their way.

Thanksgiving arrives this year with Arizona still struggling to emerge from a deep recession and a housing crash. Many people have endured economic hardship.

This year, some of them have found a way to reinvent themselves and, in doing so, find real happiness.

Many are refugees from the real-estate industry, one of the state's most powerful economic engines.

When it collapsed, they were forced to make difficult decisions about what came next.

The lucky ones learned that desperation can lead to discovery.



Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

The mishandling of mortgage records has thwarted another attempted foreclosure in New Jersey, and this time the case has multibillion-dollar implications for a major lender.

In U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Camden, Chief Judge Judith Wizmer rejected an attempt by failed lender Countrywide Home Loans, now a part of Bank of America, to foreclose on a Haddon Heights property.

The problem, as Wizmer pointed out in her opinion, is that Countrywide, one of the firms at the center of the subprime mortgage scandal, represented that it had sold the mortgage to the Bank of New York and was acting as the loan servicer.

But Countrywide never gave Bank of New York the original document or an allonge, an attachment for endorsing the transaction, the judge said.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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