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Archive for November, 2010

Tuesday, November 16th, 2010

Duncan Webster found the perfect weekend house in Ardleigh, a village in the southeast of England. The train ride to the global wealth management firm he helps run in London is not too long and the cost of living is not too high.

The barn conversion he made an offer on goes for the equivalent of $445,000 and needs $160,000 more for refurbishment fees.

Webster, for his part, does OK. He has 30% down. He's ready to go.

Webster also doesn't see much risk: No other completed barn conversion sells for less than $1 million in the village.

Forty-nine of the 50 mortgage lenders Webster's broker approached for a mortgage don't feel the same way. Only one, Drummonds Bank will even consider the application, such is the risk aversion currently in place in the English residential mortgage market.

"I could have my business finance the investment, but I would like to finance, like anyone else, my mortgage via debt," he said. "The Royal Bank of Scotland owns Drummonds and, like other lenders, has a government mandate to lend, but considering only one of 50 will even consider my application, there seems little chance of getting approval."

According to Webster, homeownership is still as important to the English as Americans, but the similarities end after that desire.

During the annual lunch of the Building Societies Association, a trade association, representing mutual lenders and deposit takers in the U.K., Chairman David Webster (no relation), said additional regulatory reform would mean "overkill" for an already struggling market.

"Net advances in the residential mortgage market have fallen from an annual figure of around £110 billion ($178 billion) in the four or five years running up to 2008 to perhaps £10 billion ($16 billion) this year," he said. "Few U.K. industries will have experienced such a precipitous decline in activity.

"Given the huge changes in the markets we have already seen, does the regulatory revolution represent overkill?" he asked. "Yes, there were certainly examples of irrational exuberance on the part of institutions in the run-up to 2007, but there are also currently examples of irrational pessimism on the part of regulators as they seek to address the problems of recent years in what might be far too restrictive a manner, given the need to create the conditions for continued economic recovery."

And while British lenders are now notoriously adverse to any loan considered subprime, or nonconforming, the numbers for other mortgages are not exactly encouraging either.

According to the Council of Mortgage Lenders, which represents 95% of the market, there were 50,000 loans for house purchases (worth $12 billion) approved in September, unchanged by volume but down $0.32 billion in value from August. The number was down around $1.6 billion from September 2009 but the value was up $0.4 billion.

Loans for remortgage increased from 25,000 (worth $4.8 billion) in August to 29,000 (worth $5.78 billion) in September. Refinancing accounted for 29% of total lending in September, the first proportionate increase since May.

The CML states that an inability for some borrowers to access new refinancing deals means there is little prospect of a significant rise in refinancing in the coming months.

"With lending volumes at historic lows, stability in the mortgage market is the name of the game at the moment," said Michael Coogan, director general of the CML. "With both consumer demand falling and funding capacity limited, neither supply nor demand look likely to feed through to any significant improvement in lending volumes as we head into winter."

And mortgage financing is not likely to pick up by year's end as it is the beginning of the slow season for the securitization markets as well, according to Jean-David Cirotteau, a credit analyst for Société Générale. "No new deals were placed or announced last week," he said. "Market participants are not willing to add to their positions at this time of the year."

For existing U.K. RMBS, that consists of subprime collateral, Deutsche Bank reports that credit is improving and delinquencies are falling. Prepayments are at extremely low levels and loss severities are leveling off.

Nonetheless, trepidations remain.

"Higher unemployment, weaker household finances and house price growth may rub off on performance," report London-based analysts Ivan Pahlson-Moller and Conor O'Toole. "A continued low rate environment is likely to prove credit supportive and help offset these negative effects however."

Good news for current mortgage bond investors, but unlikely to help subprime mortgage applicants close.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

The author holds no relevant investments.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

The Congressional Oversight Panel called on the Treasury Department to investigate documentation problems in the mortgage industry. It's a threat, the panel said, that could call into question the validity of 33 million mortgages in a worse-case scenario.

Major servicers such as Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%), Ally Financial's (GJM: 22.57 0.00%) GMAC Mortgage and Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.60 +1.89%) have begun refiling hundreds of thousands of foreclosure affidavits employees may have signed without a proper review of the documents. Wells said their move was a precautionary one.

In response, 50 state attorneys general offices and 11 federal regulators have launched investigations, along with a slew of lawsuits demanding the banks and their servicing arms prove they have the right to foreclose on a homeowner.

Those 11 regulators, however, have found no evidence of a systemic risk to the broader financial system, according to a Treasury official.

Threat to Secondary Market

According to the COP report, if this documentation problem has spread to the securitization process, banks may not know which mortgages they own.

Securitizing a mortgage loan requires many transfers of title. Any missteps could bring ownership of the loan into question.

The concern, COP says, is that robosigners may prove to be a weak link in the chain of mortgage finance (chart below):

Although some analysts such as Barclays Capital said the problem has not spread to the commercial mortgage-backed securities side, COP, which was designed by Congress to oversee the Troubled Asset Relief Program and the Treasury's response to the financial crisis, said if residential MBS is affected, the results could be catastrophic.

"Clear and uncontested property rights are the foundation of the housing market," the report said. "If these rights fall into question, that foundation could collapse. Borrowers may be unable to determine whether they are sending their monthly payments to the right people. Judges may block any effort to foreclose, even in cases where borrowers have failed to make regular payments."

HAMP Mods in Question

COP even called into question a mortgage servicer's right to grant a modification through the Treasury's Home Affordable Modification Program.

But the Treasury maintains that documentation problems have not plagued HAMP, and has instructed the 10 largest servicers participating in the program to conduct internal reviews.

"We strongly believe that the reported behavior within the mortgage servicer industry is simply unacceptable, and servicers who have failed to follow the law must be held accountable," Treasury spokesman Mark Paustenbach said. "That’s why the Administration has led a coordinated interagency effort to investigate misconduct, protect homeowners and mitigate any long-term effects on the housing market."

Possibly Overblown

The banks, too, are downplaying the potential problems. In the BofA third-quarter earnings conference call, CEO Brian Moynihan told investors that the assessment would only take a "few weeks" to conclude, and in 80% of third quarter 2010 foreclosures, most borrowers hadn't made a mortgage payment for more than a year.

COP admitted that in a best-case scenario documentation problems may "prove overblown." But as the sheer speed of the mortgage market overtook county offices to process the titles, it asked the Treasury to prove how it sees no threat to the system.

"The independent regulatory agencies, the Justice Department and HUD are examining servicers’ behavior, and we will continue to monitor the situation closely," Paustenbach said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

The Senate Banking Committee will hear testimony Tuesday from both sides of recent foreclosure problems at the major banks.

Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%), Ally Financial (GJM: 22.57 0.00%) and other mortgage servicers suspended foreclosures in judicial states when employees signed affidavits without reviewing documentation or having a notary present. The banks, including Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.60 +1.89%) which said it was taking a "precautionary measure," have begun refiling those affidavits.

The delays have sparked a wave of homeowner lawsuits, a joint investigation from the 50 state attorneys general, 11 federal regulators and has put any signs of a housing recovery on hold.

BofA will refile 102,000 affidavits. JPMorgan Chase said problems have affected 127,000 of its mortgage loans, and Wells said it is refiling 55,000 affidavits. Ally Financial said it has reviewed more than 9,500 files and will review another 15,500 if necessary.

The Senate Banking Committee will hear testimony on the issue from Bank of America Home Loans President Barbara Desoer and JPMorgan Chase Home Lending CEO David Lowman. Speaking first will be Iowa AG Tom Miller, who is heading up the 50-state investigation.

Diane Thompson, counsel for the National Consumer Law Center, and Adam Levitin, an associate professor of law at Georgetown University will also testify.

Those listening in can expect Desoer and Lowman to elaborate on the amount of volume the banks are facing, and the others to demand action to sure up servicing operations.

In the third-quarter earnings conference, BofA CEO Brian Moynihan told investors that the assessment would only take a "few weeks" to conclude, and in 80% of third quarter foreclosures, borrowers hadn't made a mortgage payment for more than a year.

Write to Jon Prior.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization, C-BASS, which purchased and serviced subprime and Alt-A mortgage loans, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection last week.

C-BASS, which reported $1 billion in debt in the filing, is owned through a joint-venture of mortgage insurers MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG: 4.14 +6.98%) and Radian Group (RDN: 2.66 +2.70%).

The company started with a $50 million initial investment in 1996. When subprime began to deteriorate, reaching a delinquency rate 40% in September, C-BASS began liquidating ownership, including selling Litton Loan Servicing to Goldman Sachs (GS: 111.77 +2.96%) in 2007.

It currently is liquidating its existing portfolio and returning the proceeds to its investors, according to C-BASS.

Write to Jon Prior.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

Data from the October Empire State manufacturing index, which covers New York state, show a strong month-over-month growth in real gross domestic product "suggesting continued improvement ahead."

The Empire State manufacturing index jumped to 15.73 in October from 4.14 in September because of a jump in new orders and a strong employment index reading throughout the state.

Although things are looking up in New York, forecasters nationwide appear less optimistic about the future of the economy than they were three months ago in a fourth quarter forward-looking survey compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

The Philly Fed's Survey of Professional Forecasters is a quarterly survey of economic forecasters nationwide. The survey began in 1968 and is the oldest survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States.

The panel of 43 forecasters surveyed by the Philly Fed for the fourth quarter estimated that real GDP will grow at a rate of 2.2% in the fourth quarter, down from a 2.8% estimate made at the beginning of the third quarter. This brings the 2010 annual rate estimate to 2.7%, down from a prediction of 2.9% made in the previous survey.

Although prospects for the fourth quarter appear dim to the forecasters, they predicted that real GDP will steadily grow throughout 2011. In the first quarter, surveyed experts anticipate a 2.4% annual grow rate, followed by 2.7% in the second quarter and 3.3% in the third quarter.

Comparatively, the forecasters anticipated a 2.3% growth rate in 1Q11, a 3.1% growth rate in 2Q11 and a 3% growth rate in 3Q11. They expect real GDP will grow at a 2.9% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2011 and made no previous predictions last time the survey was given.

Regardless of the growth rate, the U.S. will remain in one the slowest recoveries compared to other nations. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas released a report last week that said emerging economies such as China and India are growing exponentially faster than advanced economies such as the U.S. and Japan.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

A subsidiary associated with the Florida foreclosure Law Offices of David J. Stern has defaulted on a $12 million line of credit from Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) and warned that it may not be able to continue business operations, according to a document filed Monday with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

DAL, a subsidiary of DJSP Enterprises (DJSP: 0.00 N/A), defaulted on the revolving credit line from BofA. DAL entered into the line of credit, with an initial term of one year, in March.

DJSP also disclosed in the filing that it didn't make November's rent on its Plantation, Fla., offices and has received a notice of default.

On Friday, Bank of America agreed not to take any action on the line-of-credit default until Nov. 26 while DAL "develops and presents to the bank ongoing operating plans for DAL and its subsidiaries."

DAL hired Gulf Atlantic Capital Corp. to assist management in the development of the operating plans, the filing said.

DJSP provides support services to Stern's law firm, the company’s only client. The firm's work has been hit hard by allegations that it has improperly filed court documents related to foreclosure cases. It is one of four law firms under investigation by Attorney General Bill McCollum. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two of the firm's key clients, recently pulled all their existing cases from the firm and quit referring new cases.

DAL granted the Bank of America a lien on all of its assets, and its four operating subsidiaries executed security agreements and guarantees to secure DAL’s obligations under the line of credit, according to the filing.  In addition, one of DAL’s operating subsidiaries, DJS Processing, "collaterally assigned" to the bank a security agreement that it entered into with the Law Offices of David J. Stern. The law firm granted to DJS Processing a security interest in its accounts receivable and work in process to secure Stern's obligations under a services agreement between the law firm and DJS Processing.

DAL received a written notice of the line-of-credit default on Nov. 5. In that notice, the bank said DAL is in default because of its failure to repay an over-advance on the line of credit of $549,412, which arose due to a reduction in the amount available under the borrowing base formula. The bank had demanded payment of the over-advance on Nov. 1.

Bank of America also said that recent events "have materially and adversely affected DAL’s financial condition, operations and prospects and its ability to repay the loan," according to the filing.

The default on the line of credit also constitutes a default on an equipment note with a current outstanding principal balance of $1.85 million.

"DAL intends to seek longer term forbearance agreements with the bank and its other creditors as it implements plans to restructure its ongoing operations to reflect its significantly reduced revenues and operations," the filing said. "There can be no assurance that DAL will be able to obtain forbearance agreements with the bank or its other creditors, develop ongoing operating plans that will be acceptable to its creditors or successfully develop and implement those plans in a timely manner. If it is unable to accomplish any of the foregoing, it will not be able to continue its business operations."

Write to Kerry Curry.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

Homebuilding stocks are down once again Monday, after the industry led decliners Friday and a few companies provided less-than-rosy outlooks for next year.

Late last week, D.R. Horton (DHI: 14.39 +1.91%) reported a loss of $8.9 million, or 3 cents a share, for its fiscal fourth quarter ended Sept. 30. The nation's largest homebuilder said fewer write-downs helped narrow the quarterly loss from $234.9 million, or 74 cents a share, a year earlier.

The company, which is based in Fort Worth, Texas, said it expects 2011 to be challenging for the industry, as ultimately growth "will be dependent on sales demand."

The stock closed down 5.4% Friday and was off more than 4% again Monday. D.R. Horton traded at an all-time high of $41.94 in June 2005.

Shares of PulteGroup Inc. (PHM: 7.79 -0.13%) were off some 5% Monday after finishing last week down 5.5% Friday. The company lost nearly $1 billion for the third quarter ended Sept. 30, reporting a loss of $995.1 million, or $2.63 a share, hurt by impairment charges associated with the merger with Centex that closed in August 2009. For the year-earlier third quarter, Pulte reported a loss of $361.4 million, or $1.15 a share.

Chief Executive Richard Dugas Jr. said last week that "market conditions are not expected to improve" and the company plans to further  reduce direct construction and overhead costs, as well as shaving another $100 million off selling, general and administrative costs.

In late July 2005, Pulte stock was trading at $46.81.

Other homebuilder's whose stock price closed down Monday include: Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV: 2.67 0.00%); KB Home (KBH: 9.85 +1.55%); Lennar Corp. (LEN: 22.28 +0.68%); and Toll Brothers (TOL: 22.47 +1.81%).

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended Monday up 9.39 points, or less than one-tenth of 1% to 11,201.97.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

The author held no relevant investments.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

Three separate arbitration panels over the past 18 months have ordered UBS AG's (UBS: 14.05 +0.50%) Financial Services unit to buy back "principal protected" notes sold to investors at their original cost.

In one of the most recent cases, a Financial Industry Regulatory Authority arbitration panel, or FINRA as it is commonly known, ordered UBS to buy back $529,688 of principal protected notes sold to a New York couple.

The panel in the Edelson v. UBS Financial Services case also assessed the full costs of the hearing, which lasted more than 20 sessions, against the global financial services giant.

"We believe this award, like the others we have won, shows the arbitrators believe UBS misnamed, mismarketed and misrepresented these products," said Seth E. Lipner with Deutsch & Lipner in Garden City, N.Y., who represented the plaintiffs in the Edelson case.

"UBS knew that Lehman was in trouble as far back as October 2007, but they continued to sell Lehman structured products anyway, ignoring the ever-growing risk," Lipner said. "Not only weren't they candid with the public, they weren't candid even with their own brokers."

UBS sees it differently.

"UBS properly sold Lehman structured products to UBS clients, following all regulatory requirements, well-established sales practices and client disclosure guidelines," UBS spokeswoman Karina Byrne said. "Any client losses were the direct result of the unexpected and unprecedented failure of Lehman Brothers, which affected all Lehman bondholders."

UBS declined to answer questions related to its potential financial exposure to such cases.

Lipner represented investors in two other cases involving Lehman principal protected structured products sold by UBS (Severi v. UBS, and Marcus et al. v. UBS) In both those cases, arbitration panels also ordered UBS to buy back the investments, Lipner said.

UBS, which reportedly sold $1 billion of Lehman structured products to U.S. investors, is facing other similar arbitration claims. The firm has reportedly not won a single such case where the investor was represented by counsel, Lipner said.

Page Perry, a law firm based in Atlanta, and co-counsel with Lipner, said investor interest in the cases remains high.

"We continue to receive inquiries from investors who acquired Lehman structured notes as a result of UBS's misrepresentation of it as a 'principal protected' investment," said J. Boyd Page, a senior partner at Page Perry.

Interest and investment in structured products has grown in recent years, but the products can be extremely complex with the risks difficult to understand, according to a September Bloomberg report, which said structured note offerings are up 58% to $31.9 billion through August.

The Securities and Exchange Commission’s enforcement division formed a group this year to investigate structured products, including those marketed to individuals.

Principal protected notes are sold on the basis that the investment is guaranteed, as long as the investor holds long.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

Standard & Poor's analysts believe home prices will drop between 7% and 10% through 2011, erasing any improvements prices have recently made.

Home sales, which plummeted after the homebuyer tax credit expired in April have continued to lag. Pending home sales, which preclude existing home sale data, dipped 1.8% in September before the market goes into a winter many expect to be bleaker than usual. With this lack of demand, inventories should grow, according to S&P, while prices drop.

"Low mortgage rates will likely continue to encourage refinancing, but their influence on home buying activities has been limited due to the weak housing market and a lack of demand," S&P credit analyst Erkan Erturk said.

According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, prices did increase 1.7% from a year ago in the 20-city index and 2.6% in the 10-city index. But in August alone, those indices fell 0.2% and 0.1% respectively. Home prices declined in 15 of the 20 metro areas.

Fiserv, a financial services technology provider, said Monday in its analysis that home prices would drop another 7% before stabilizing at the end of 2011.

Prices will continue to be pressed down as long as the market works through a backlog of distressed properties that remains elevated. Recent foreclosure moratoriums from major lenders because of documentation problems have only delayed this work, Erturk said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Monday, November 15th, 2010

iServe Servicing integrated its servicing operations with its REO department Monday.

The company, an affiliate of National Asset Direct, services performing, subperforming and nonperforming mortgages and handles REO liquidation for lenders. The integrated businesses will operate under the iServe Servicing title and will be led by CEO Richard Cimino.

Cimino said the new model will give clients a "one-stop shop" and allow iServe to customize how it services mortgages and liquidates the REO once the property is repossessed.

In April, Cimino told HousingWire that smaller shops like his have an edge over larger servicers loaded down with hundreds of thousands of loans, some with legacy pricing and procedures established when delinquencies were low.

"As our clients’ needs evolved, we recognized the necessity to adjust our business model," Cimino said.

Write to Jon Prior.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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