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Archive for October, 2010

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

At the Mortgage Bankers Association annual convention this week in Atlanta, there remains a huge question mark of what exactly Dodd-Frank is meant to accomplish. Here's the rub: for all the act's good intentions, it appears to leave mortgage servicing in the same suspended state of self-policing that was prevalent in the boom and bust — years before the legislation's recent passage into law.

Actually, it's worse than that.

Mortgage servicers need to largely rely on self-policing, but face hugely restrictive – what I would say business-ending – penalties as a result of noncompliance.

In many parts of the industry, there are problems in this regard, most recently with the robo-signing 'scandal' not far from everyone's lips in Atlanta. There are many readers who write in to HousingWire who complain about our editorial approach to the debacle: that for what it's worth, the nation's corporate resolution authority enabled robosigning in the first place.

The state attorneys general will no doubt point to the mortgage servicing industry's inability to self-police as evidenced by robo-signing, but where is a change occurring on this front?

Appraisal management companies maintain several black lists that they "scrub up against," one appraiser told me at the MBA conference. For instance, if a certain appraiser is expected of theft, one AMC can notify the others of the suspicious activity.

For its part, the Dodd-Frank act did not expressly prohibit the use of in-house appraisers or AMCs, leaving it open to interpretation until a new rule replacing the Home Valuation Code of Conduct is drafted. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is implementing an interim rule until April 1, 2011.

Civil penalties for noncompliance are severe, running $10,000 per day for the first offense, $20,000 per day for each subsequent offense.

Operation Stolen Dreams, the largest crackdown on mortgage fraud the U.S. has seen, hasn't given new numbers since June when it paraded its 500 or so arrests. Then, $147 million in fraud was "recovered."

That seems like a drop in the bucket when it comes to stopping fraud.

Lenders and servicers alike are more likely to file a SAR (suspicious activity report) and write down fraud-related losses. It remains a crime with disproportionate numbers, a mismatch of perpetrators and money taken versus arrests and monies recovered. Angelo Mozilo, arguably a fraudster, walked away with no more than a slap on the wrist and no one seems especially troubled.

This is because the focus remains on the illiquid qualities of the equation, in this case, the home. The industry will always scrub against the collateral but sees no certain gains in putting potential fraudsters on watch lists.

"The nature of fraud is to follow the money," a fraud analyst at MBA said. "They just go somewhere else, keep moving along." In these cases, he said, the FBI has to pretty much set up some sort of sting to catch mortgage fraud at work. That's hardly an activity considered integral to a servicer's bottom line. Yet, secondary market investors seek assurances that mortgages are completely free of fraud. The mortgage servicing industry touts its technology to that effect, but can regrettably offer no such assurances.

And with financial reform unlikely to be changed meaningfully, even after November elections, the self-policing mortgage servicing industry will remain unable to keep track of most of the real criminals.

Jacob Gaffney is the editor of HousingWire.

Write to him.

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

CHICAGO — On almost every level, there's a housing crisis in this country. People can't sell, property values are falling, and renting is no picnic either. But, as WGN-TV's Micah Materre reports, a group of Chicago investors has $50 million, and a plan to save Chicago neighborhoods, one tenant at a time.

"This is the living room. Beautiful, comfortable living room where I sit and watch all my TV, " giggles Pangea tenant Trina Cross.
Trina cross is proud of her place; the bathroom with what she calls "the Patty Labelle lights; the eat-in kitchen; hardwood floors; and best of all?
…"the affordable rent?

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

Deutsche Bank said it faced less than $1 billion of claims over mortgage-related securities it helped arrange, amid signs of a growing backlash by clients seeking to recoup losses tied to the credit crisis. In a conference call Deutsche Bank's chief financial officer Stefan Krause said: "On mortgage repurchase claims we currently have approximately $780 million of pending mortgage repurchase demands."

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

The U.S. government's effort to help struggling homeowners is approaching a standstill, and the number of homeowners in ongoing mortgage modifications could start shrinking in several months if current trends continue, according to a ProPublica analysis of Treasury Department data.

A year and a half into the program, the number of homeowners defaulting on their modified loans has been fast approaching the number of new modifications.

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

The White House said in a blog post Wednesday the recent report from the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program was wrong in its assessment of the Treasury's handling of its investments in American International Group (AIG: 25.25 +0.44%).

On Nov. 25, 2008, the Treasury Department bought $40 billion of AIG's preferred stock, and in the following April set aside $29.8 billion to an equity capital facility, from which AIG drew $7.5 billion, leaving AIG's debt to the Treasury at $47.5 billion, according to SIGTARP.

On Sept. 30, 2010, AIG announced it entered into a restructuring plan with the Treasury and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to begin the government's exit from the company.

SIGTARP called out the Treasury's methodology in reporting losses on those AIG investments. According to the report, the Treasury estimates a $5 billion loss, down from $45 billion six months earlier without citing a change to its methodology.

According to SIGTARP:

"The Retrospective, however, abandoned the published methodology, instead estimating a $5 billion loss based solely on the recent market closing price of AIG’s common stock, on the assumption that the recapitalization plan will go exactly as planned and result in Treasury receiving approximately 1.1 billion common shares of AIG stock in return for its current preferred interests."

But the White House Wednesday said the report is "stuck in a time warp" for ignoring AIG's exit strategy in the investment evaluation and it has valued that common stock on the current market price based on the New York Stock Exchange.

"Any truly independent observer would say that Treasury’s stake in AIG will be worth more than taxpayers originally invested in that company," the White House said. "Treasury is confident that we are in a much stronger position today to recoup our investment in AIG than two years ago – or even a few short months ago."

Write to Jon Prior.

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

Treasury 10-year notes dropped for a sixth day, the longest streak in two years, as a report showing new-home sales rose more than forecast added to speculation a Federal Reserve program to boost the economy may be gradual.

Thirty-year yields climbed for a second day while two-year yields were little changed amid speculation signs of growth will allow the Fed to buy fewer securities than some traders estimate in a tactic known as quantitative easing. Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross said a renewal of asset purchases will likely signify the end of a 30-year bull market in bonds. The U.S. sold $35 billion of five-year notes today.

“There’s not a lot of upside to the Treasury market,” Sean Simko, who oversees $8 billion at SEI Investments Co. in Oaks, Pennsylvania, said before the auction. “The speculation trade of getting ahead of the Fed is starting to slow down.”

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

A majority of Americans now say they are worried about making their mortgage or rent payments, underscoring the extent of economic anxiety in the country heading into midterm elections.

A new Washington Post poll shows that concerns about housing payments have spiked since 2008 despite some improvements in the overall economy. In all, 53 percent said they are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" about having the money to make their monthly payment. Worries are the most intense among those with lower incomes and African Americans.

These concerns can be boiled down to one thing: jobs, said Karen Dynan, who worked as an economist for the Federal Reserve and on President George W. Bush's council of economic advisers.

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

The Royal Bank of Scotland doesn't expect issues associated with the foreclosure fiasco to pose a risk to commercial mortgage-backed securities.

Analysts said CMBS loan documents include covenants and protective features that mitigate the documentation errors and breaches of representation that are alleged to have occurred within the residential mortgage space.

"They were highly negotiated with sophisticated borrowers (often a corporation) including their representative lawyers," the analysts said of commercial real estate loans bundled into CMBS. "The loans were therefore deeply scrutinized helping to ensure that they were properly documented, recorded and the conveyance to the securitization trust was correct."

The analysts also said depositors of CMBS are "typically creditworthy institutions with deep pockets" that further offset risk associated with document validity in the event the loans need to be repurchased.

On Tuesday, Barclays Capital said CRE may be impacted by potential issues stemming from the Mortgage Electronic Recording System's level of involvement in the foreclosure process.

Recent lawsuits question the legal standing of MERS and whether the company can actually execute a foreclosure. Barclays said the lawsuits are creeping from the residential space to loans securing CMBS.

Still, analysts expect limited effect to investors, in part because of the lesser number of CRE loans originated and securitized when compares to residential mortgages.

"We believe individualized and more highly scrutinized approach to documenting commercial mortgages significantly reduced the risks that led to 'foreclosuregate,'" RBS said.

RBS also said the role of the special servicer further enhances the strength of CMBS deals. The special servicer is "specifically responsible for the management, resolution and disposition of nonperforming loans in the trust."

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

CIT Group (CIT: 38.02 +0.05%) reported $131.5 million in the third quarter, or $0.66 per diluted share, after losing more than $534.1 million last year.

The commercial real estate lender, which provides financing to small and middle-market companies, said its balance sheets are growing stronger as it capital ratios improve and debt is paid down. In September, CIT paid off $537 million in outstanding second-lien notes.

The effort to deleverage and pay down debt arrives after the company  sought bankruptcy restructuring in late 2009, a process that included several private capital infusions.

CIT pushed its committed loan volume to $314 million in third quarter, up 74% from $180 million in the previous quarter.

Its reserve for credit losses decreased to $397 million from $701.8 million a year ago and up from $328 million in the previous quarter.

CIT's Tier 1 capital ratio, a measurement of financial strength, reached 18.7% in the third quarter, more than double the 7.6% a year ago and up from 17.5% in the previous quarter.

Write to Jon Prior.

Wednesday, October 27th, 2010

New homes sales increased 6.6% in September to an annual rate of 307,000, but hit a 2010 low.

According to data released by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development Wednesday, only 24,000 houses sold last month. Year-to-date, 257,000 new homes have been sold, down 11.7% from the same period in 2009.

New home sales are down 21.5% from September 2009 and at the lowest level they have been all decade.

Market inventory also fell to the lowest level seen year-to-date. As of September, there were 204,000 homes for sale, down 1% from August and down 19% from one year ago.

The average price of a home fell to $257,500 last month from $260,500 the month previous. September marked the second lowest average price of 2010. Only the July average price of $248,800 was lower. According to the survey, 38% of homes purchased in September were priced between $200,000 and $300,000 while 21% were priced above that.

More homes sold in the South than any other region of the U.S. — a total of 160,000 — followed by the West (64,000 homes ), the Mid-west (53,000) and the Northeast (30,000).

Write to Christine Ricciardi.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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