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Archive for October, 2010

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

Moody's Investors Service said mortgage ownership in trust shouldn't be an issue within the residential mortgage-backed securities space as delayed foreclosures become more of a risk for the housing market.

As debate rages regarding the impact of the foreclosure moratoria and the processing of paperwork at foreclosure, Moody's analysts said "some have gone so far as to suggest that the RMBS trusts did not own the loans at closing and thus may not have any rights as a matter of law."

"We believe that these allegations that RMBS trusts do not own their mortgages are unfounded," Moody's said in its October ResiLandscape outlook.

Analysts said there will be some instances where a foreclosure is delayed due to faulty documentation, but it isn't clear how to fix the problem and ultimately the issue will be decided by the courts in many states. Moody's estimates about 27% of homes in foreclosure are being affected by the suspensions. Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) plans to restart its foreclosure proceedings next week.

And now some financial institutions are changing procedures to require lenders insure mortgage paperwork is accurate, according to Bloomberg.

Analysts also continue to expect housing prices to reach a bottom in the third quarter of 2011, as the foreclosure moratoria may help prices in the near term and then decline more than anticipated next year, as the mess gets cleaned up.

"Questionable processing practices are delaying and potentially reversing foreclosures and fast developing into a risk for the housing market," the analysts said. "The scope of the situation both in terms of the number of loans involved and the length of time it will take to resolve the problem is uncertain."

In a separate release, Moody's said commercial real estate markets are improving and "the future appears to brighten with each passing quarter."

Analysts said all seven commercial property types saw improved scores during the third quarter in the agency's Red-Yellow-Green rating platform, indicating better market conditions. Only the multi-family sector saw a decrease in its supply-demand relationship, according to Moody's.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

The Federal Housing Finance Agency projected Thursday that mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would cost the Treasury Department between $221 billion in a best-case scenario and $363 billion if the economy recedes again through 2013.

The FHFA, which has held Fannie and Freddie in conservatorship since 2008, assessed the financial performance of the two government-sponsored enterprises. According to the report, both companies have drawn $148 billion from the Treasury under Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements. Under three different scenarios the FHFA laid out, Fannie and Freddie could draw as much as $363 billion all told.

FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco said the report is not a prediction but instead "reflect potential effects" of possible changes in house prices.

"These projections are intended to give policymakers and the public useful snapshots of potential outcomes for the taxpayer support of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac," DeMarco said.

The FHFA developed the models based on the same stress tests used by the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. of the major U.S. banks. House prices changes have been the major driver on the performance of the GSEs. Moody's Investors Service developed a three different house price paths for the test, which include a near-term recovery, the current baseline and a deeper second recession.

If the economy recovers in the near-term and prices have reached a trough in the first quarter of 2009 and have begun to trend upward. Under this best-case scenario, Fannie and Freddie would need $221 billion.

At the current baseline, prices will drop from the peak 34% to a bottom in the third quarter of 2011. If this happens, the GSEs would cost $238 billion.

But if the housing market slumps into a second dip, and prices fall 45% from the peak to a trough out in the first quarter of 2012, both Fannie and Freddie would cost the taxpayer $363 billion.

In each scenario, Fannie Mae usually doubles the amount needed at Freddie Mac.

Write to Jon Prior.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

Candace Caley is a partner at SolomonEdwardsGroup, she currently manages SEG’s Houston office and also established the firm's National Financial Services Practice. For this edition of In This Corner, Caley talks the future without HVCC; robo-signing; and Dodd-Frank reform.

Do you see any major changes to valuations with HVCC sunset and the implementation of Appraiser Independence?

The question of independence is a good one. It should also be considered in the context of quality. An appraiser who satisfies the independence test may also have limited market knowledge or experience and therefore may not, be the “most qualified” to perform the analysis. The sun setting on HVCC has the potential to immediately impact the quality of the underlying analysis and appraisal reports that could indirectly affect valuations. But, until the Consumer Financial Protection Agency’s final promulgation of the independence rules for appraisers are fully known, how the new rules will potentially impact valuations is difficult to gauge.

HVCC generally served its purpose from the standpoint of ensuring greater appraiser independence by creating a firewall between lenders and appraisers. As a result, “value shopping” by mortgage originators was theoretically shut down.

As long as large lenders dominate origination, I don’t see an immediate impact. Remember, lenders hire appraisers and large institutions traditionally have outsourced to AMCs, even before HVCC. The question will be if other channels open up down the road, how will appraisal independence be handled then, and how stringently will that be policed?

With the recent robosigning allegations, how did your team mobilize to coordinate a response for clients?

Robosigning is one issue that is part of an industry-wide problem with the quality of documents.

SolomonEdwardsGroup has dealt with document quality issues and recognizing and remediating these problems for a long time. For example, our M&A practice has a specialty that consults with strong banks that acquire weaker ones. During the acquisition process, our clients often find that in addition to new assets and branches, they have unfortunately also bought portfolios that contain problem loans or loans that are backed by inadequately documented files.

Our response to the robo-signing issue has been to immediately mobilize more than 300 of our single-family servicing experts to be part of our foreclosure crisis response teams. These are the professionals who are experienced in reviewing files that are full of poorly documented loans and scrubbing them to bring them into compliance. We know these types of issues are not easily solved, and they are not solved through technology solutions. It takes detailed, manual file reviews. Banks and servicers interested in quantifying possible exposure levels and remediating documentation deficiencies need arms and legs: highly trained and experienced resources. Whether the issue is properly executed allonges, accurate attestations, or proper vetting of the chain of ownership, we have allocated our most capable resources to help clients augment their existing staff to navigate these challenges.

Two-thirds of investors oppose a series of new bank accounting proposals from the Financial Accounting Standards Board, according to a survey from the investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods and Greenwich Associates, why do you think this is?

FASB's well-intended efforts to improve transparency in financial reporting through mark-to-market accounting of most loan assets would actually increase bank’s volatility to cyclical economic and market changes. This would make it much more difficult for investors to forecast and analyze financial performance. Essentially, this is applying a solution that worked elsewhere to a situation where it may not be a good fit.

Also, there is fairly broad latitude in how one calculates "market value." Calculations are very complex, and there is no easy way to standardize approaches. So how would investors be able to distinguish between Bank "A’s" approach and accuracy of determining "market value" versus Bank "B’s"? Will FASB attempt to standardize valuations? Rather than providing more granularity and insight into the bank’s books, the proposed changes would actually create more uncertainty for investors. Investors don’t like uncertainty.

What will be the largest challenges to face accounting and finance teams in 2011?

Because the Dodd-Frank Act left hundreds of issues to be finalized by the regulators, and since those issues are yet to be determined, it is hard to pick just a few that will have a big impact in 2011 and beyond.

Among the main hot buttons are fair value accounting and other implications of mark-to-market in inactive markets. Of course, the impact of the Dodd-Frank Act and the FASB Financial Instruments Project are great unknowns at this point.

There are going to be changes in protocols concerning risk-weighted assets and the amount of capital needed to support those changes. Basel 3 for those affected: capital allocation, reclassification of risk-weighted assets; liquidity management. And financial-reporting changes affected by Dodd Frank will also impact the industry on many levels.

If banks have purchased other institutions under FDIC loss-share transactions, what are the implications and practical application steps of the IRC 597 tax changes? Plus, there is the unknown of how regulators will react to the robo-signing saga, and how that might ripple through the industry.

Have someone that would be perfect for In This Corner? Email the editor.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

The Kislak Organization appointed Thomas Wind as managing director of the firm's mortgage branch, J.I. Kislak Mortgage. The former CEO of JPMorgan will devise strategy for the branch as well as implement growth plans for Kislak Mortgage's new products and services nationwide.

Wind has been in the industry more than 20 years, most recently serving as CEO of Aurora Loan Services, the Denver-based mortgage banking division of Lehman Brothers. He was also the chief operating officer at CitiMortgage.

“No individual has more relevant, important or impactful credentials in the residential mortgage industry than Tom Wind," said Kislak Mortgage CEO, Thomas Meyer. "His experience will add rocket fuel to Kislak Mortgage’s residential mortgage operations, allowing us to expand into new markets and provide the most innovative products and services to our customers.”

Wind will be based in Denver, Colo.

Miami-based The Kislak Organization is a privately-held firm that specializes in real estate and financial services. The mortgage lending arm of the firm, Kislak Mortgage, just opened a second office in Jacksonville, Fla.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

Foreclosure starts in Massachusetts dropped 6.7% in September from a year ago according to the Warren Group, which tracks real estate data in New England.

The 2,358 starts, or petitions to foreclose, in September was also a 23% fall from August. Petitions have exceeded 2,000 every month since February for a total of 20,964 this year, down 3.1% from the same period in 2009.

Major servicers suspended foreclosures in 23 states to review faulty foreclosure documentation, but only Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) suspended foreclosures across the country.

Warren Group CEO Timothy Warren said the market will have to wait until November to understand the impact of the BofA moratorium, which the bank said is scheduled to lift Oct. 25. Warren added BofA is involved in 2,000 pending foreclosure cases in Massachusetts.

Completed foreclosures climbed on a yearly basis for the ninth-straight month in September. There were 890 foreclosure deeds filed in September, the final stage of the foreclosure process. It's a 26.6% jump from last year.

But on a monthly basis, deeds dropped 26% from the previous month. It's the first month deeds fell below 1,000 for the first time since February.

Write to Jon Prior.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

[Update 1: deal is for whole loans, not MBS]

DebtX is bundling nearly $1.1 billion of loans into residential and commercial whole loans for 10 deals over the next six weeks or so, as investor demand appears to be picking up steam.

The Boston-based firm said the sales include $784 million of commercial real estate and $363 million of residential loans.

"The volume of loans sales at DebtX reflects the heightened importance among financial institutions of entering 2011 with a stronger balance sheet," said Kingsley Greenland, DebtX chief executive. "Financial institutions are selling to take advantage of rising loan prices and growing demand from investors around the world. Given the range of product being offered through early December, DebtX expects active bidding for both performing and non-performing loans."

JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%) recently sold $1.1 billion of CMBS, and other deals are in various states of the pipeline as yields are trading near year lows, according to Bloomberg.

Write to Jason Philyaw.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased for the first time in five weeks to 4.21% with an average 0.8 point for the week ending Oct. 21, according to the weekly Freddie Mac market survey.

Last week, average rate on a 30-year FRM fell to the lowest level since 1951, but it climbed two basis points since. A year ago, the average was 5%.

The 15-year FRM increased two bps to 3.64% with and average 0.7 point. Last year, it was 4.43%.

Averages on other mortgage products reached record lows.

The five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage dropped two bps to 3.45% with an average 0.6 point, the lowest Freddie has ever measured for this product since 2005. In the same week last year, the average rate was 4.4%.

The one-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 3.3% with an average 0.7 pint, down 13 bps from the previous week and the lowest point since 1984. It's also down from 4.5% a year ago.

"Mixed inflation signals kept fixed mortgage rates at bay this week. The headline producer price index jumped 0.4 percent between August and September, which was quadruple the market consensus, while the consumer price index fell below the market forecast," Frank Nothaft, vice president and chief economist at Freddie, said.

Bankrate.com measures average mortgage rates as well. According to its analysis, the average on a 30-year FRM fell five bps to 4.42%.

The 15-year FRM fell three bps to 3.82%, and the 5/1 ARM fell two bps to 3.6%. The average rate on a 30-year jumbo mortgage dropped 2 bps to 5.08%.

Write to Jon Prior.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

Zero Hedge has obtained Wells Fargo's brand new confidential protocol guidelines on loan repurchase demands by investors and mortgage insurers, sent out on October 15, and which becomes effective tomorrow.

We have reproduced these below to see just how much more "streamlined" the process is, now that the bank is fully aware of the massive liability it faces as a "loan puttable" entity in a world that is suddenly replete with pervasive and rampant title fraud.

Amusingly, in the CIM, Wells states: "Wells Fargo is committed – just like you are – to honoring contractual obligations with investors and mortgage insurance (MI) companies. We want to ensure that the resolution process for Repurchase and Rescissions is as smooth and swift as possible."

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

The biggest cost ahead for large mortgage servicers may not be "robosigning" settlements or buying back bad debt – it's the follow-on mortgage products like home-equity loans that take longer to go sour.

A report on Monday by CreditSights is the latest sign that the biggest cost to banks from the mortgage crisis could be home-equity loans – whose credit-card-like aspects tend to keep borrowers current long after they've maxed out the first mortgage.

CreditSights estimates that Wells Fargo has the most exposure to home-equity costs, at $7.8 billion. JPMorgan Chase is right behind with $7.2 billion, followed by Bank of America at $4.9 billion and Citigroup at $3.6 billion. However, the expected lag in performance has allowed big servicers to prepare for the coming HELOC write-offs.

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has appointed a law firm to help it recoup billions of dollars on soured mortgage-backed securities purchased from banks and financial firms, The Wall Street Journal reports. The regulator, which issued 64 subpoenas to issuers of mortgage securities, bank servicing companies and other entities, has hired Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan to coordinate its investigations.

Banks, including JP Morgan Chase, were issued subpoenas by the federal regulator overseeing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The investigation is related to ‘private-label securities’ that were originated by mortgage companies, packaged by firms and then sold to investors.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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