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Archive for September, 2010

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

Moody's Investors Service placed the servicer rating of JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%) and its subsidiary Chase Home Finance up for review following the announcement of a foreclosure suspension linked to more affidavit problems.

When Ally Financial, formerly GMAC Mortgage admitted employees signed foreclosure affidavits in 23 states without knowledge of the documents or a notary present, a process known as "robo-signing," Moody's placed the Ally servicer rating and affected residential mortgage-backed securities on review, too.

"We've been in communication with the all the servicers subsequent of the GMAC news last week," Thomas Lemmon, a spokesman for Moody's, told HousingWire.

Moody's rates servicers on a scale of SQ1 as the strongest, to SQ5 as weakest. Currently, the JPMorgan Bank primary servicer rating is at SQ1 on residential and subprime loans. Its primary servicing portfolio totaled roughly 6.8 million loans for an unpaid principal balance of roughly $1.2 trillion as of June 30.

Moody's will assess delinquency transition rates, foreclosure timelines, loan cure rates, recoveries, loan resolution outcomes and REO management of both JPMorgan Chase and Ally. All factors are potentially affected by the foreclosure suspensions.

Write to Jon Prior.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

The Stuyvesant Town foreclosure sale is set for Monday after an appellate court ruling this week. An analyst at Deutsche Bank believes the massive apartment complex on the East Side of Manhattan will be transferred into a housing co-op — in a move that will protect investor interests.

CW Capital, a special servicer for Bank of America, was cleared to carry out the foreclosure sale on the $3.66 billion first mortgage.

In early August, Pershing Square Capital Management partnered with Winthrop Realty Trust, a Boston-based real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in mortgage investments, to purchase the senior-most mezzanine debt of Stuy Town. The debt has a face value of $300 million, which is carved into $100 million slices for each of the three mortgage pools. But the joint venture purchased it for $45 million.

In 2006, MetLife sold Stuy Town to Tishman Speyer Properties and BlackRock Realty for $5.4 billion. The two firms had hoped to update the facilities and move in a higher-end tenant base by charging higher rents.

Because the owner of Stuy Town is unable to decontrol units and charge market rents until 2017, the property's value as a rental would be only $1.9 billion, according to Deutsche Bank. The senior debt is roughly $267,000 per unit. At that price, reasons Deutsche, a co-op in New York City would have an easier time getting par for investors on the senior loan.

Investors in the five commercial mortgage-backed securities deals effected by Stuy Town should get their money back on this foreclosure sale because there will be bidders Monday. The elimination of a such a large loan like Stuy Town from a CMBS pool should result in "substantial" price appreciation for all AJ and mezzanine bonds, according to Deutsche.

But on other major defaulted properties, those investors may come up short of par. Deutsche set out to determine what other CMBS loans have the potential to be removed at or near par for investors in the near future.

After taking vintages older than 2005, any properties not rated as an "A," and aggregating the loans based on property type and location, commercial mortgages on Manhattan offices rose to the top of the list.

After taking out loans that are no already in special servicing, Deutsche found mortgages on offices in Manhattan, Washington, D.C., Orange County in Calif., Los Angeles, and multifamily loans in Northern Virginia to be the most likely to have positive resolutions for investors.

"Certainly for a limited number of properties in select markets the potential for good outcomes exists," according to Deutsche. "The challenge is finding them."

Write to Jon Prior.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

First Preston Housing Solutions today named Michele John Kelaart president.

“Michele brings a global investment perspective to First Preston’s operations and will deliver the portfolio strategies and solutions our clients need to make a positive difference in their performance,” said Nancy T. Richards, CEO of First Preston, a nationwide REO marketing, management and real estate advisory services company.

For more than 18 years, Kelaart served as the managing director of CarVal Investors. CarVal is a privately owned investment management company in which Kelaart was responsible for the U.S. residential strategy — including distressed residential mortgages, REO inventories and residential development.

Kelaart founded FourSquare Real Estate Services and served as president from June 2009 until September 2010. FourSquare is an investment management company aimed at providing a high level of REO management by minimizing holding times and maximizing net returns.

First Preston recently received two Pinnacle Awards for Best Outsourcer and Best Listing Practices. Kellart said that her decision to lead First Preston is based on the company’s “record of accomplishment over the past 22 years and the innovative technology and strategies that simplify the short sale process and maximize the value of their client’s REO inventories.”

Ariana Garza is an editorial assistant at HousingWire.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

Investors looking to buy into the latest CMBS from JPMorgan may find the assets look a little familiar.

According to Barclays Capital, half of the $1.1 billion JPMCC 2010-C2 is sourced from old securitizations.

"Despite the common belief that the collateral for the new deals is completely new, we see that there is actually an increasingly greater concentration of old CMBS properties that find their way into the new CMBS conduit deals," said analysts Keerthi Raghavan and Julia Tcherkassova.

"Not all of these loans were originated by JP Morgan and/or securitized in old JP deals: In fact, there are a variety of originators and shelf names," they said. "An overwhelming majority of these loans were originally underwritten as 5-year interest structures and securitized in 2004-05 vintages."

The majority of those loans have already paid off, and this may be driven by the initiation of the new securitization platform.

"The structure of JPMCC 2010-C2 also signals that the strategy of sourcing new collateral by negotiating with borrowers with loans nearing their maturity dates might continue to prove successful in the increasingly competitive lending environment," the researchers conclude.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

Affordable housing valued at $200,000 or less accounted for 80% of the foreclosure auction postings in Dallas-Fort Worth so far this year, but luxury homes also saw one of the biggest percentage gain in postings over the past year, according to a new housing study.

Foreclosure Listing Service, based in a Dallas suburb, analyzed residential foreclosure posting activity by home value in a 19-county area that included the DFW metro area.

"The average Joe is still the one feeling most of the pains of this foreclosure crisis," said George Roddy Sr., president of Foreclosure Listing Service. "The largest gains in residential foreclosure posting activity were found at opposite ends of the Texas housing market among entry-level homes and ultra-luxury homes," he adds.

Over the last year, foreclosure postings on luxury homes valued at more than $1 million increased 27%, but the postings of this home segment comprised less than 1% of all of the residential postings within the study area. Year-to-date luxury home postings climbed to 513 notices compared to 403 postings during the same 10-month period a year ago, according to FLS.

"Over the last year, the second highest increase in postings by home value within the study area was found among entry-level or starter homes valued under $100,000 with a 16% gain in foreclosure notices." So far in 2010, 25,429 postings have been filed on entry-level homes compared to 21,856 last year.

"Entry level homes comprised a 29% share of the total postings filed on residential homes so far this year in the study area."

Year-to-date postings of homes valued from $200,000 up to $299,999 were up 6%, and notices filed on homes valued from $100,000 up to $199,999 inched up 2%.

Two segments saw decreases in foreclosure auction postings. Postings on homes valued from $500,000 up to $999,999 decreased 4%, and homes valued from $300,000 to $499,999 inched down 1% from a year ago.

The study covers foreclosure auction postings from January-October and compares them to the same period a year ago.

Write to Kerry Curry.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

In its report titled "One Recession, Two Americas," the Pew Research Center reports that 55% of Americans lost ground during the recent recession while 45% said they "held their own."

Although the recession began in December 2007 and purportedly ended in June 2009, the report collects its data from 2,967 participants who were interviewed in May of 2010. Information gathered from the two groups, referred to as either the "Held their Own" or the "Lost Ground" group, reported drastically different results in most areas.

While 35% of the Lost Ground group reported that they struggled to pay their rent or to pay the mortgage, the other group did not report any trouble in doing so. More than half (53%) of the Lost Ground group are homeowners and 42% of those homeowners said they have not paid half of what they owe on their home. 30% the of Held their Own homeowners (75%) agree.

Overall, 13% of homeowners said they experienced an increase in home value, while more than half of each group reported a decrease (see chart):

Some homeowners believe they owe more for their house than it is actually worth. 29% of those who Lost Ground say they're underwater on the mortgage, while only 14% of the Held their Own feel this way.

Despite the previous statistics, 77% of those who Lost Ground and 83% of those who Held their Own still consider homeownership “the best investment that an average person can make,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Ariana Garza is an editorial assistant at HousingWire.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

The House Committee on Financial Services hearing today on the future of the government-sponsored enterprises highlighted the importance of backing affordable rental properties going forward.

Michael Bodaken, president of the National Housing Trust, a nonprofit committed to preserving affordable rental housing in the U.S., said in testimony the rental housing market would have "frozen" in 2008 and 2009 without the GSEs.

He continued to say that future housing intermediaries, whether its Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac or some version, should provide financing for apartments. Many of those properties, he said, house families earning less than 80% of the country's median income.

Bodaken noted that the GSEs' serious delinquency rate on multifamily properties remained at less than 1% between 2005 and 2009, while delinquencies on single-family residences grew from 5% to 11.5% in that time.

As those families moved out of foreclosed homes and demand for rentals increased, rents were raised and low-income households were pushed out of the market, Bodaken said.

Apartment starts, however, remain at the bottom of a 20-year curve, below 75,000 starts in the first quarter for apartments with five or more units, according to Witten Advisors, which studies the market.

Phillip Swagel, a visiting professor at the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University, said in testimony rental assistance, which is an important policy decision, should not be left to the GSEs.

"For reform of housing finance, it is essential that these activities be part of the public sector and not carried out within successor firms to the GSEs," Swagel said. "Congress should vote on the use of all public resources, including for affordable housing activities."

But Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.), chairman of the committee, said the GSEs should follow the example of the Federal Home Loan Banks, where private entities make decisions on profit alone and a fixed percentage of those profits are diverted to subsidized housing.

"In my opinion," Frank said, "it should be rental properties being subsidized."

Write to Jon Prior.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

The majority of bank executives expect current economic conditions to last for the next six months, according to a national survey done by Grant Thornton in conjunction with Bank Director magazine.

The survey found 60% of respondents believe the national economy will remain the same, up from 44% the last time the survey was issued in May. One quarter of the 231 respondents said they expect the economy to get worse, while only 15% expect it to improve.

Despite the somewhat pessimistic results, 49% of bank CEOs and CFOs do not believe there will be double-dip recession. 35% of those who do see another recession believe it will be caused by high levels of government spending and 35% believe it will be caused by high levels of unemployment.

Twenty-three percent of executives surveyed said they plan to increase the number of people they employ in the next six months. This mimics sentiment found in the Business Roundtable's third-quarter CEO index, which found 31% of CEOs plan to hire. Only 17% of executives in the Grant Thorton survey planned to decrease their workforce and 60% planned to keep it the same.

The view of the economic conditions in the Business Roundtable survey was more positive than the former survey, with 66% of respondents saying they expected sales to rise over the next quarter. However, this is down from 79% the quarter prior.

The Grant Thorton/Bank Director survey respondents are bank CEOs and CFOs. Small banks represented 62% of the demographic and large banks represented 37%.

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

Representative Gary Miller introduced a new bill today that he believes could keep housing affordable for low-income families. The Strengthening FHA Through Shared Equity Homeownership Act of 2010, also known as H.R. 6256, looks to establish a way for borrowers to sell their home's equity in order to lower their mortgage payment.

The bill would create a pilot program through the Federal Housing Administration that would allow borrowers to sell a portion of their home equity to an investor in exchange for partial ownership of the house — similar to owning shares of stock in a company.

The investor would benefit from any price appreciation that may occur relative to the proportion of the investment. The investor is also affected by price depreciation with regard to their portion.

Under the proposed bill, all investments go toward the principal loan amount and may not be used for downpayment or closing costs. The mortgagor must retain at least 60% equity share. Additionally, borrowers must comply with all FHA requirements for homeownership including mandatory downpayment requirements.

Investors must be arm's length in order to qualify.

“Decreasing the Loan-to-Value rates will result in lower monthly mortgage payments, thereby reducing the risk of homeownership," said Miller. "By mitigating the risk for homeowners, this will also decrease FHA’s exposure to volatility in the housing market. As countless families have been forced to foreclose on their homes, it’s time that we come up with a new, creative approach to address this ongoing problem, and I believe my bill does just that.”

Write to Christine Ricciardi.

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

Testimony Wednesday at the House Financial Services Committee called together a nice range of mortgage finance players. From the big-time originators and secondary market players, to academics and finally the trade groups, the industry was fairly represented.

It is something HousingWire follows very closely, especially in determining the future of the government-sponsored entities — those institutions charged with keeping housing affordable.

Lately, keeping housing affordable is equated to keeping mortgage rates low.

But there is little policy basis to this. The star of the show so far is undoubtedly Ed Pinto, the former chief credit officer of Fannie Mae, someone whom most readers of this column may know.

Pinto's comments proved to be some of the more valuable information being presented: "Rates go up and down all the time. Over my career, mortgage rates have gone from 9% in 1974 to 18% in 1981 to near 4% today," he said.

Demand for homes in 1974 and 1981 was not as low as it is currently — though granted prices were.

Additionally, keeping rates low may keep housing more affordable, but it's clearly to the detriment to the private-label secondary market.

Consistently maintaining low costs to the borrower is not encouraging home sales, as an article in USA Today notes. But keeping mortgage rates low does reduce any chance of profitability in the RMBS market.

Further, Dodd-Frank prohibits pre-payment penalties. However, these penalties serve as a risk hedge in private label RMBS. Pinto also suggested that these fees should be reinstated to help ensure the 30-year mortgages take 30-years to amortize.

Let's not forget the big four in all of this. They would like nothing more than to restart their RMBS series from years back. As far as they are concerned, mortgages originated during the homebuyer tax credit do not carry nearly the same risk as loans from the housing boom.

They are no doubt looking to monetize those loans, in order to free up private liquidity to perhaps originate more loans. But at some point interest rates will have to show a clear profit — an incentive to bundle into securitzation.

After all, as seen with the recent UK RMBS RBS master trust Arran, a single deal can help to respark an industry.

But there needs to be clear support for this. When asked if the GSEs should be dissolved tomorrow – and told to answer 'yes' or 'no' – Pinto responded that he would be in favor of that as long as "Congress' feet are held to the fire so that you won't back down from your commitments."

But in a healthy private securitization market, with a foundation of higher interest rates and more stable performance, we won't need to hold Congress, or anyone else's, feet to the fire.

Jacob Gaffney is the editor of HousingWire.

Write to him.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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