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Archive for July, 2010

Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

For a firm just ordered to pay the SEC a $550m fine, the highest of its kind yet seen, Goldman Sachs (GS: 111.77 +2.96%) is good for it.

Goldman Sachs reported revenues of $8.84bn and net earnings of $613m for Q210. Diluted earnings per common share were $0.78. Average return on shareholders equity (ROE) was 7.9%.

That's down from Q110 when Goldman reported net revenues of $12.78bn and net earnings of $3.46bn. Then diluted earnings per common share were $5.59 compared with $3.39 for 1Q09 and $8.20 for Q409. Annualized ROE was just above 20% for Q110.

Goldman closed yesterday at 145.68 per share. Bank analysts at FBR Capital Markets said that the result fall in line with their expectations. "We have long argued that normalized ROEs within the financial sector, and Goldman Sachs in particular, will decline by 25% to 30% as the result of higher capital standards and potential restrictions on business activities," according to a report released by analysts Amy DeBone and Steve Stelmach.

FBR 2Q10 recently reworked Goldman estimates to $2.75 (formerly $4.80); consensus $3.27. This activity is taken across the board because "a disappointing investment banking environment, generally lackluster trading volumes, and declining equity and fixed-income valuations, we are lowering 2Q10 estimates for most of the broker/dealers under coverage."

Total assets were $883bn, unchanged from Q110, with core excess liquidity of $163bn. Expenses also include the new UK bank tax, which cost Goldman $600bn.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

The author holds no relevant investments.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

In a time of historically low mortgage rates, prepayments are expected to be high. That hasn’t been the case.

When economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRSBF) found that a model based on prepayment data from 2000 through 2009 predicted prepayment rates in Q110 to be twice as high as what they actually were, they concluded that more factors were at play than the simple price of the loan.

In reality, tightened lending terms for some borrowers, weakening demand for housing and high foreclosure rates have more of an impact than previously thought.

Mortgage borrowers have the option to prepay their loans, usually with a penalty, even if they do not intend to sell the home. When the home isn’t sold, prepayment is usually associated with refinancing the mortgage, according to a report from the FRBSF. The most obvious reason to refinance is to capitalize on lower interest rates and drive down monthly payments.

Mortgage rates at the end of last week held steady near record lows. According to the Freddie Mac weekly survey, the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) reached 4.57% last week. Over time, according to the FRBSF economists, refinance rates often mirror the rise and fall of interest rates, but with such a volatile market, trends in prepayments are becoming harder to pin-down.

“Despite this basic relationship in the aggregate data, the mortgage finance literature is replete with empirical evidence documenting how individual mortgage borrowers often don’t follow optimal prepayment strategies,” according to the FRBSF report.

Using loan-level data from Lender Processing Services (LPS), economists at the FRBSF charted a random sample of more than 75,000 first-lien, owner-occupied mortgages with closing dates ranging from January 2000 to March 2010. They built a model based on factors such as unemployment rates and who owned the mortgage. The model’s prediction of a 6.5% prepayment rate for all mortgages in Q102 only slightly strayed from the actual rate of 5.75%.

But moving to Q110, that same model predicted 5.26% of homeowners would elect to prepay under the measured market conditions such as the low mortgage rates. But according to the LPS data, only 2.5% of them did.

“Given the number of mortgages outstanding in the first quarter of 2010, this translates into about 1.2m mortgages not prepaid that the model predicts would have been prepaid. Evidently, the usual rise in prepayments that accompanies a prolonged period of low interest rates was offset by some other factor or combination of factors,” according to the report.

The economists concluded that despite attractive rates, mortgage prepayments have continued to underwhelm due to other historic factors. For instance housing demand remains weak. What little of it there is seemed to be propped up by the homebuyer tax credit, as shown in the latest report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). In May, pending home sales dropped 30% from the previous month following expiration of the tax credit.

Although foreclosure rates have seen recent drops, they continue to stay at historic highs. According to RealtyTrac, an online foreclosure marketplace, foreclosure filings dropped 5% over the first half of 2010, but more than 3m properties should receive a filing by the end of the year.

Each, according to the report from the FRBSF, could be the reason behind underwhelming prepayment rates.

“These missing factors may include a possible tightening of mortgage terms for borrowers who previously enjoyed much easier access to credit, and weak housing demand that is suppressing the trade-up market and preventing distressed borrowers from selling their houses and avoiding foreclosure,” the report concludes.

Write to Jon Prior.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

LoanStar Trustee Services, a segment of First American National Default Title Services, changed its name to Trustee Servicing Solutions.

The move comes as the company transitions certain functions away from its Dallas office to a new office in Southern California, the company announced Monday.

The National Default Title Services division is part of the First American Title Insurance Company, the largest subsidiary in the First American Financial Corp. (FAF: 14.98 +0.07%).

“The name Trustee Servicing Solutions more accurately reflects the broader range of products and services we offer to our customers," said Wes Mee, president of First American National Default Title Services, in a press statement.

"The name change is also reflective of our commitment to provide our business partners with a variety of solutions for their foreclosure processing needs," Mee added.

Performing functions in two locations will provide a higher degree of flexibility in meeting client needs in a multi-state environment, the company said. Those services include foreclosure trustee services and managing non-judicial foreclosure cases in Arizona, California, Nevada, Oregon, Texas and Washington.

The company said it follows government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) guidelines in performing foreclosures. Other services include direct source entry and review, foreclosure processing, loss mitigation solicitation, and title exam and curative resolution.

Write to Austin Kilgore.

The author held no relevant investments.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

After purchasing 700 multifamily units in Q210, investment firm G8 Capital plans to invest another $100m in real estate this year, with $80m spent purchasing REO.

Since 2007, G8 Capital has bought more than 2,000 REO properties and whole loans from major banks and servicers in the US. The firm said it is on track to invest more than $100m in 2010, buying residential and multifamily properties, condo developments, mobile home parks and senior living facilities.

Evan Gentry, president and CEO of G8 Capital, told REO Insider the REO acquisitions would come through a combination of bulk, single-family properties or more individual multifamily purchases.

“Our approach to the REO properties we acquire varies based on the location, asset type and seller,” Gentry said.

The firm, based in California, then sets out to renovate and resell the properties to retail buyers, reselling smaller bulk portfolios to local investors, and even holding onto some for longer-term rentals, Gentry said. He added that the firm will hold the multifamily properties for longer-term investment.

The firm acquired three multi-family apartment complexes in the Dallas-Fort Worth area in Q210. It closed two of those deals in one week. G8 Capital said it would continue to target opportunities in the Sun Belt states and Texas, which, according to G8 is “the strongest economic climate in the country.” According to Foreclosure Listing Services (FLS), which measures foreclosure filings in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, filings are down 17% for the county foreclosure auctions scheduled for August.

G8 Capital plans to renovate and improve the assets, change property management strategies, and stabilize the properties to qualify for long-term debt.

“We are successfully negotiating deals in real estate markets throughout the country from the West Coast to Florida, and we look forward to pursuing future acquisitions in the Texas real estate market which offers long-term sustainability and growth,” Gentry said.

Write to Jon Prior.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) sold a 40% equity interest in $898m of non-performing residential mortgages originated by failed AmTrust Bank.

As receiver of the failed bank that originated the loans, the FDIC will convey the mortgages — 96% of which are delinquent — into a limited liability company (LLC) created to hold the assets, according to a press release.

Residential Credit Solutions (RCS), CarVal Investors and RBS Financial Products formed the three-party consortium that bought the structured transaction for 37% of the unpaid principal balance of the pool. Of the collateral securing the loans in the portfolio, 37% are located in Florida, 11% are in California and an additional 5% are located in each of Arizona, Nevada and Massachusetts.

The RCS-led consortium submitted the winner of five competing bids the FDIC received on either a 40% leveraged ownership interest or a 40% unleveraged ownership interest in the newly-formed LLC. The FDIC retains a 60% stake in the LLC and shares in the assets' returns. The FDIC offered 1:1 leverage financing and agreed to guaranty purchase money notes issued by the LLC in the original principal amount of $169.5m.

As the managing member of the consortium, RCS will manage, service and ultimately see to the disposition of the loans. RCS will pursue appropriate workout solutions including the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) on eligible loans within the portfolio, the FDIC said.

AmTrust failed and was taken over by regulators on Dec. 4, 2009. The FDIC, as receiver, entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with Westbury, New York-based New York Community Bank, which assumed all $8bn of AmTrust's deposits and $9bn of the its $12bn in assets.

"This transaction completes the sale of the majority of the remaining assets of AmTrust Bank," the FDIC said today.

The FDIC in early January confirmed plans to sell sell rights to a mortgage-servicing portfolio of nearly 100,000 AmTrust loans by Q210. The FDIC soon hired Milestone Merchant Partners to handle the sale of a $20bn mortgage servicing portfolio from the failed bank.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

Effective Sept. 1, Fannie Mae is prohibiting lenders who sell it loans from changing appraisers' numbers. In guidance issued June 30, Fannie Mae said lenders must contact appraisers to resolve any disagreements about the valuation. If that's not possible, they should order a second appraisal — not just chop the value supporting the real estate contract.

Appraisers applauded the new rule. "This is huge," said Gary Crabtree, president of Affiliated Appraisers of Bakersfield and a member of the national government relations committee of the Appraisal Institute, an industry group.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

Failed US real estate investor DBSI presented a liquidation plan to bankruptcy court on Monday that pays less than 20 cents on the dollar for about $800m in claims.

DBSI, based in Meridian, Idaho, was a investment firm that specialized in tenant-in-common arrangements and suffered from the crash in commercial real estate that eventually exposed improper uses of corporate cash.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

For Airbnb — along with Craigslist and rival rental sites like HomeAway — the threat of foreclosures is bringing a surge of listings.


With US unemployment near a 26-year high and foreclosures in their fifth year of increases, there's no shortage of homeowners seeking relief. Using Airbnb presents risks, though. Renting rooms forces homeowners to share space with strangers, and amid a backlash from the lodging industry, there could be legal challenges.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

Innkeepers USA Trust, a real estate investment trust with an interest in 73 hotels across the US, filed for bankruptcy protection.

The Palm Beach, Florida-based company and its affiliates in bankruptcy owe creditors more than $1bn, according to Chapter 11 documents filed today in US Bankruptcy Court in Manhattan.

Monday, July 19th, 2010

Treasuries declined as a rebound in stocks reduced demand for the safest assets and some investors bet gains that pushed the two-year yield to a record low weren't justified.

Ten-year securities snapped a three-day rally that left the yield 21 basis points lower. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.4%, signaling the measure may rebound after losing 2.9% on July 16. The US economy will probably grow 3.1% this year after a 2.4% contraction in 2009.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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