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Archive for June, 2010

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Ninety-one US banks and thrifts missed paying their May 17 TARP dividend payment, according to data compiled by SNL Financial.

The number of small banks missing their dividend payment has been rising each quarter — 74 missed in February.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Citigroup plans to raise more than $3bn for its private-equity and hedge funds, even as US lawmakers consider banning banks from owning and investing in so-called alternative funds, people with direct knowledge of the plan said.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

The Mississippi Supreme Court has disbarred an attorney convicted with two other in a federal mortgage fraud scheme.

Kimberly Castle was one three people convicted in the case. The Supreme Court on Thursday granted the Mississippi Bar's petition for disbarment.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Here's a sobering message for anyone who has a federally insured reverse mortgage or plans to apply for one: If you don't pay your local property taxes or hazard-insurance premiums, the risk of losing your house to foreclosure is about to increase.

Although the Federal Housing Administration, which runs the dominant reverse-mortgage program, often has been lenient and forgiving in the past about tax and insurance delinquencies by seniors, the agency is likely to take a more disciplined approach in new guidelines due this summer.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

A bank began the foreclosure process on a Tallahassee home co-owned by Republican US Senate candidate Marco Rubio after he failed to pay his mortgage for five months, according to court documents filed this week.

But Rubio and David Rivera, a Miami state lawmaker who co-owns the home, settled the matter and paid the $9,500 owned to Deutsche Bank, according to Rubio's spokesman, Alex Burgos.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Fueled by tax incentives, California home sales rose in May, helping lift the Golden State's median home price by 20.9% from its year-earlier mark.

The median was $278,000 last month, MDA DataQuick of San Diego said, a 9% increase from April.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

UK mortgage approvals rose in May as the Bank of England kept its £200bn ($297bn) bond stimulus in place to help stoke lending in the economy, preliminary data from the bank showed.

The number of loans granted was 51,000, compared with 48,000 in April, according to a sample from the central bank’s panel of six major lenders released in London today.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Like reversing the epigram in T.S. Eliot’s “Murder in the Cathedral,” Congress’s last temptation in financial reform is to “do the wrong deed for the right reason.” The credit rating agency liability concepts in both the House and Senate financial reform bills are “wrong deeds” in this sense.

A number of academics, industry bodies, regulatory agencies and Congress have been working on ideas to strengthen the securitization process. As we know only too well, rating agencies downgraded thousands of triple-A residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), which, because of interconnected investor rating requirements, had a devastating impact on the financial system.

It is reasonable to assume that some types of conflicts of interest may have incentivized rating agencies to provide inflated ratings. Leaving aside whether a conflicted issuer (who wants to sell more triple-A bonds) or a conflicted institutional investor (who wants high-yielding triple-A bonds because he doesn’t bear any responsibility for loss) may have a worse incentive to demand inflated ratings, many hold rating agency exemption from liability for the quality their ratings to blame.

But most who advocate rating agency liability have imagined liability on par with that elsewhere in the financial system. Not, apparently, those in Congress. Hence, Congress is entertaining a strange provision to set a lower pleading standard for rating agency liability, making it easier to sue rating agencies than other financial market participants.

The liability standard for rating agencies established by the House bill hinges on “gross negligence as the requisite state of mind,” while the Senate bill would make it sufficient to show that the credit rating agency “failed to conduct a reasonable investigation” or to “obtain reasonable verification” of factual elements used in the rating process.

Both of those standards are lower than liability imposed on private securities lawsuits under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act (PSLRA), making the agencies the lightning rod for securities lawsuits. That doesn’t make sense unless you want to reduce incentives to rate small businesses, municipalities and emerging technologies, increase their cost of capital, and weaken our already anemic economic recovery.

This form of discriminatory liability is bad law. As Warren Buffett testified before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, rating agencies “made a mistake that virtually everybody in the country” — including bank regulators with true inside information — made. We didn’t know what we didn’t know. Hence, it is easy — even if specious — to argue after the fact that one should have done something different to avoid a loss without reference to materiality or ex ante information.

The real question for regulatory reform, then, is how can we know more so that rating agencies and others can make better decisions for which they can reasonably be held liable? The key — discussed early in rating agency hearings and the press but lost in the political shuffle of reform — is the due diligence function. Due diligence, it seems, has been confused with rating agency analytics and has therefore not gotten the attention it should receive

Third-party due-diligence firms, like Clayton Holdings in Connecticut and the Bohan Group in San Francisco, are hired by investment banks to re-underwrite a sample of mortgage or other loans in the pool to be securitized as a check on how well the pool matches the seller’s stated underwriting standards. A sample of sufficient size should yield a reasonable representation of the quality of loans in the pool.

But as mortgage lending boomed, many due-diligence firms scaled back their statistical sampling at Wall Street’s behest. “By 2005, the firms were evaluating as few as 5 percent of loans in mortgage pools they were buying, down from as much as 30 percent at the start of the decade," according to Kathleen Tillwitz, a senior vice president at DBRS, a credit-rating firm.

Subprime mortgage security prospectuses do not enumerate the methods or findings of due-diligence reports, and the firms are not authorized to release the detail of the reports, even to the rating agencies, without written permission from the underwriter or trustee. While trustees used to allow junior investors to hire due-diligence firms to perform follow-on analyses, trustees have rebuffed such investor requests since early 2008. As a result, the market continues to impose a “lemons discount” on mortgages, and both the primary and secondary securitization sectors remain suppressed.

It seems, therefore, that the first step to securitization rating problems would be to require minimum levels and reporting requirements for due diligence.

Moreover, the due-diligence problem and the causes of the financial crisis are largely confined to structured finance. The unduly harsh liability concepts, however, penalize issuance in all sectors, even those where rating agencies provide valuable and high-quality information. Sectors like municipal bonds — which will be crucial to smoothing the local effects of the crisis in the face of declining property tax revenues — will be needlessly affected by the proposed legislation.

US capital markets are one of America’s greatest contributions to the world, enabling the creation of roads, schools, small businesses and new technology in scores of countries and towns around the globe. At a time of great economic volatility and sluggish job growth, Congress and the president should not jeopardize capital markets by unnecessary and punitive proposals.

Let’s craft reform that relates to the specific causes of the crisis — even including removing ratings mandates for investors — but let’s keep the focus on helping the industry move forward without creating needless impediments to growth.

Joseph Mason is a financial strategist and US economics consultant. He is the Hermann Moyse, Jr./Louisiana Bankers Association endowed professor of banking at Louisiana State University and a senior fellow at The Wharton School.

This piece also appeared on The Hill blog.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Commercial real estate investors are eager to get in on quality buying opportunities that have yet to materialize in Q210, according to a survey conducted by PricewaterhouseCoopers.

The quarterly survey covers the top-30 markets in the US. In 17 of those markets surveyors reported average capitalization rates, or returns on investments, declined. It’s an indication, according to PwC, that investors are perceiving less risk in the industry, especially for prime and healthier markets.

There are signs of life in on the secondary side of commercial real estate as well. Last week, JPMorgan (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%) sold $716.3m of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), the second such deal in 2010.

“The 'bottoming' of the industry continues to be recognized by investors' expectations that overall cap rates will either decline or hold steady in most markets over the next six months,” according to the PwC report.

Susan Smith, director of real estate advisory practice at PwC and editor-in-chief of the survey, said top-tier locations are leading the recovery, but leasing trends have yet to fully strengthen.

“While most investors sense that the worst is over in terms of market deterioration, supply greatly outweighs demand across all property sectors keeping overall vacancy rates high and rental rates on a downward trend," Smith said.

Investors did say financing has become more readily available for those seeking quality, low-risk assets in healthier markets. But markets are “extremely bifurcated.” Financing is highly available in some areas but barren in others.

"There is a tremendous amount of capital targeting institutional-grade, quality assets.  In fact, survey participants cited that strong competition among well-capitalized buyers is helping to elevate sale prices and lower overall cap rates for many prime properties,” Smith said. “Furthermore, the low percentage of distressed trades as of late reflects investors' preferences as most buyers are steering clear of "junk" and focusing only on core assets according to survey participants."

Write to Jon Prior.

The author holds no relevant investments.

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Two Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), Duke Realty (DRE: 13.51 +1.27%) and FelCor Lodging (FCH: 3.90 +3.17%) this week announced successful public offerings of common stock to raise capital. The recent success of these deals, and others before it, is being seen as increasingly attractive to other commercial real estate (CRE) firms struggling to raise funds, according to one real estate advisory firm.

FelCor Lodging Trust Incorporated announced that it priced its public offering this week of 27.5m shares of its common stock at $5.50 per share. FelCor intends to repay or repurchase certain mortgage debt at substantial discounts and for acquisitions. On Thursday, Duke priced its public offering of 23m shares at a price of $11.75 per share to fund a joint venture and also repay debt.

When a firm acquires REIT status, with the IRS there are certain corporate tax benefits. However, there are also more rules to how funds — which can be raised via stock exchanges — must be redistributed.

According to Ross Prindle, a managing director of the Real Estate Services practice at independent financial advisory and investment banking firm Duff & Phelps, lenders to struggling CRE firm are being more cooperative than expected, though with bankruptcies looming (his firm is advising on a few currently) many commercial real estate firms will look to source liquidity.

He noted that firms more and more are asking, "How can we go public to get access to the capital markets?" These firms, Prindle says, may be finding that REIT status is the best option.

However, Prindle sees no change in the short term with the pretend and extend strategy prevalent in the market.
"I think that negotiating with lenders is a lot easier than expected," he added. "But on the lender side, there is little other choice. You can restructure, or you can let the loan default, put it on the book and take the ripple effect. The lender is either taking a haircut or, worse, foreclosure."

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Disclosure: the author holds no relevant investments.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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