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Archive for June, 2010

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

The Group of 20 rich and emerging nations later this week will warn against complacently assuming a sustainable global economic recovery, while admitting sickly public finances could hurt long-term growth, a draft G20 document shows.

The European Union will push for taxes on banks and financial transactions, a proposal likely to draw opposition from Canada and other countries who say their banks weathered the financial crisis well and should not be penalized.

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

Stocks fell on Wednesday as data showed new home sales dropped to a record low in May and investors were cautious before Federal Reserve comments on the economy.

The S&P home builders ETF fell to its lowest in more than four months after release of the housing data before reversing the losses. The phase-out of a popular tax credit contributed to the 32 percent drop in sales.

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

Mortgage rates look primed to go to new generational lows.

But if the housing-market recovery is fading, will another drop in loan rates be enough to rekindle demand?

Or are we simply running low on interested buyers — or at least, potential buyers who’d be able to qualify for a loan in this new era of tighter credit?

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

The number of mortgages approved for house purchase by banks in the UK rose to a five-month high in May, but net lending to non-financial companies fell further due to weak demand for loans, the British Bankers' Association said Wednesday.

The trade association said the main retail-banking groups approved 36,709 mortgages for house purchase in May, up from 35,964 in April and the highest total since December.

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

Treasury Department secretary Timothy Geithner defended financial policies initiated under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), linking them to improved economic conditions over the past year.

"They continue to help responsible, but at-risk Americans hold onto their homes and to repair essential channels of new credit," he told the Congressional Oversight Panel (COP) on Tuesday, according to written testimony.

For example, Geithner said delinquencies for many loan categories appear to have peaked, and home prices are showing signs of stabilization. He warned, however, that "significant challenges" remain, including elevated charge-offs for residential and commercial loans and high projections of bank failures.

"Despite offering relatively low borrowing costs, banks continue to report falling loan balances," Geithner said. "To a significant degree, this reflects a natural and healthy adjustment as borrowers and lenders de-leverage after a period of aggressive credit expansion. But it does mean that many consumers and businesses are still finding it difficult to get new credit."

He said the Obama Administration's efforts through TARP are partly responsible for financial system being stronger now than in 2009.

He said the Treasury's support for the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) and $1.25trn in purchases of their mortgage-backed securities kept mortgage rates at historical lows for borrowers. Geithner also noted the Term Asset-Backed Loan Facility (TALF) and the Public-Private Investment Program (PPIP) contributed to a recovery in security prices.

TALF has supported $58bn of asset-backed securities, along with $12bn of securitization for commercial mortgages. Using a combination of TARP and private capital, Public-Private Investment Funds purchased $12bn of securities from banks.

"Prices for some of the most distressed securities backed by residential mortgages have increased 70% since last March, while prices for some securities backed by commercial properties have improved by roughly half over the same period," Geithner told the COP.

Not only has TARP housed many of the programs Geithner said are responsible for improved financial stability, but the cost of TARP itself is decreasing. He noted that in August 2009, TARP was projected to increase Federal deficits by $341b. That number has since been reduced to $105bn.

Financial firms that received TARP funds are also helping the Treasury recover bailout money. The volume of funds repaid into TARP from financial firms that received capital boosts now exceeds the volume of funds outstanding, the Treasury said earlier this month.

"We are well on the way to winding down TARP," Geithner said.

He noted the Treasury plans to dispose of investments as soon as practicable in order to return TARP funds and reduce the federal debt. The Treasury will aim to dispose of those investments in a way that minimizes the impact on financial markets and the economy.

Wherever possible, Geithner said, the Treasury will encourage private capital to replace government investments. Additionally, he said the government will not intervene in the day-to-day management of private companies that received federal aid through TARP.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

On the heels of reports that existing home sales declined for the first time in three months, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) reported Wednesday that the seasonally adjusted annual rate of new home sales dropped 32.7% in May.

According to the monthly report (download here), sales of new single-family houses in May 2010 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 300,000. That's down 32.7% from the revised April rate of 446,000. The April estimate was downwardly revised from an original rate of 504,000.

The latest numbers are also down 18.3% from the same month a year ago, when the rate was 367,000.

Paul Dales, US economist at Toronto-based Capital Economics said the latest report "officially marks the start of the double-dip in housing activity" that he's been projecting since earlier this year.

"The fall back in May is the result of sales having been brought forward from future months and is not a disaster in itself," Dales wrote. "New home sales will probably rebound a touch in June and July."

"We fear that the appetite to buy a home has disappeared alongside the tax credit," he added.

The median sales price of new houses sold in May 2010 was $200,900 and the average price was $263,400.

In addition, the report said the seasonally adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of May was 213,000, an 8.5-month supply of homes at the current sales rate.

Regionally, sales of new homes dropped the most in the West. There, the seasonally adjusted annual rate of 51,000 new home sales was down 53.2% from the downwardly revised April rate of 109,000. Year-over-year, new home sales are down 43.3%, when the rate was 90,000.

In the Northeast, new home sales were at a rate of 28,000, down 33.3% from the upwardly revised April rate of 42,000. However, Northeastern home sales are up 12% from May 2009's rate of 25,000.

The South experienced a 25.4% drop in the sales rate month-over-month — 170,000 in May, compared to the downwardly revised April rate of 228,000. Sales are also down 16.7% from a year ago, when the rate was 204,000.

In the Midwest, the sales rate of 51,000 is down 23.9% from the downwardly revised estimate of 67,000. Sales are up 6.3% from a year ago, when the rate was 48,000.

Tuesday, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that the annual rate of existing home sales declined 2.2% from April to May. The report drew mixed reaction from industry analysts who called to question the impact that the homebuyer tax credit is having on the market and further fueling speculation of a double-dip in housing.

"We don't think that a housing double-dip will be followed by a double-dip in the wider economy," Dales wrote . "Nonetheless, the overall economic recovery will still run out of steam next year."

Write to Austin Kilgore.

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

The Obama Administration signed off on state plans to use $1.5bn in foreclosure-prevention funding for states hardest-hit by home price declines.

The states may now begin to use the federal funds to facilitate borrower aid programs, according to the Treasury Department.

The aid, granted through the Hardest Hit Fund announced in February, supports local initiatives to aid underwater mortgage borrowers in states where average housing prices declined 20% or more from peak levels. The states include Arizona, California, Florida, Michigan and Nevada.

"While we've made important progress stabilizing the housing market and keeping responsible families in their homes, the Obama Administration will continue to do everything it can to help those who are struggling the most during this difficult time," said Treasury assistant secretary for financial stability Herbert Allison, Jr., in a statement. "Today marks an important milestone for delivering relief to homeowners through the Hardest Hit Fund program."

The Housing Finance Agency (HFA) in each state submitted its proposals to the Treasury on April 16 after gathering public input to determine the unique challenges facing local mortgage borrowers. Treasury then reviewed the proposals to ensure compliance with the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (EESA).

Arizona, which receives $125.1m, will pursue principal and interest rate reduction and term extension programs. The state will also aid the elimination of second liens where they prevent modification of first liens. The Arizona HFA will also grant financial aid to under-employed borrowers while they seek new employment.

California, which receives $699.6m, will pursue principal reductions with earned principal forgiveness programs. It will also use funds to address delinquent loan arrearages and, for unemployed borrowers, grant payment subsidies. The state HFA will also help borrowers who received a short sale or deed-in-lieu transition to stable housing.

Florida, which receives $418m, will pursue principal reduction or second lien extinguishment programs. It will also grant mortgage payment aid to un- and under-employed borrowers while they seek re-employment.

Michigan, which receives $154.5m, will pursue earned principal forgiveness for underwater borrowers. It will also aid with loan arrearages for borrowers who can sustain homeownership and who have undergone financial hardship. The state HFA will also subsidize mortgage payments for unemployed borrowers while they search for new employment.

Nevada, which receives $102.8m, will create a modification program using a combination of principal forgiveness and forbearance with the goal of reducing principal to a less than 115% loan-to-value ratio, and lowering payments to within 31% of a borrower's debt-to-income ratio. The state will also offer aid to reduce or eliminate second liens with earned forgiveness over a three-year term. Nevada will grant aid for appraisal and transaction fees and moving fees, as well as a legal allowance for up to three months, for borrowers and servicers that pursue short sales.

In March, the Administration announced a second round of Hardest Hit Fund aid totaling $600m for five additional states with high areas of concentrated unemployment: North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Rhode Island and South Carolina. These states already submitted proposals, which are currently being reviewed, Treasury said.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

Applications for both purchase and refinance mortgages slipped, combined falling almost 6% in the week ending June 18, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Much of the decline was driven by waning refinance interest.

A separate survey found household activity in the mortgage application process actually increased slightly in the same week.

The MBA found that the volume of refinance mortgage applications fell 7.3% this week, bringing the refinance share of application activity down a percentage point to 73.8% this week, from 74.8% last week.

At the same time, applications for purchase mortgages fell 1.2%, driven by a 4.4% decrease in requests for government-insured loans through programs like the Federal Housing Administration (FHA).

All told, the total volume of applications fell 5.9% this week, MBA said.

The Mortgage Maxx index, which adjusts data to reflect the number of households applying for a mortgage, found 0.1% more households submitted applications than the week before. Maxx publisher Paul Descloux, in weekly commentary, noted the index could decline in coming weeks following the homebuyer tax credit expiration.

"Aggravated by truncated tax subsidies, mortgage originations fail to accelerate despite record low available rates," he said. "There is little visible on the economic horizon to stimulate housing and mortgagor demand remains extremely compromised… ."

Write to Diana Golobay.

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

It's been only a little more than a month since GMAC Financial Services announced it was rebranding under the name Ally Financial, amid myriad liquidity difficulties. The institution, however, wasted no time coming to market with a new mortgage-backed securitization platform.

According to a source close to the deal, GMACM Mortgage Loan Trust 2010-1 priced yesterday. However, the deal is a 144a, meaning it’s a private placement among large institutional investors. The listing also means the bonds can be traded among other, similar large investors. Settlement is expected June 24th, the source tells HousingWire.

The originator is currently listed as GMACM Mortgage and Ally Financial, though the servicer will remain GMAC. Lead manager is Bank of America, and the co-manager is Residential Funding Securities.

The deal is worth close to $170m in senior class A notes, as yet unrated. The weighted average life is 0.78, with a 4.25% coupon.

None of this information could be immediately confirmed with GMAC or Ally Financial.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

The author holds no relevant investments.

Tuesday, June 22nd, 2010

The United States District Court is awarding CW Capital, a special servicer for Bank of America, a $3.6bn foreclosure on the collection of 56 multi-family buildings known as the Peter Cooper Village-Stuyvesant Town development in lower Manhattan.

In 2006, MetLife sold Stuy Town to Tishman Speyer Properties and BlackRock Realty for $5.4bn. The two firms hoped to update the facilities and move in a higher-end tenant base by charging higher rents. It never happened. Instead the loans began to turn delinquent causing shock waves through the commercial real estate market.

In February, BofA sued to have the place foreclosed and sold. Yesterday, judge Alvin Hellerstein granted that motion.

According to court documents, the principal balance stands at $3bn. But the judge also awarded CW Capital more than $48m in interest and $22.5m in default interest. Attorneys' fees, maintenance charges, and other balances were also added to the bottom line.

The property will sell as-is and an upcoming public auction. Potential buyers are required to bring $100m in order to bid.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.



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