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Archive for May, 2010

Friday, May 21st, 2010

Perhaps the implementation of the Home Information Packs looked good on paper, but as of today, the tool originally meant to promote peace of mind for potential home buyers is now a thing of the past in England and Wales.

Home Information Packs (HIPs) put sellers of residential properties in those two countries under a duty to provide a pack of standard information to potential buyers when marketing the property for sale. It is similar to requiring a mandatory, standardized form for home inspectors in the United States.

When introduced in 2007, HIPs quickly became a symbol of the Labour Party's lack of desire to listen to the needs of the building industry, real estate agents and even appraisers. HIPs were meant to reduce the number of walk-aways from potential deals, as borrowers would apply for the mortgage after receiving full disclosure on the property.

However, the costs proved prohibitive and those who may have sold their homes, instead chose to rent. Potential buyers also saw fees increase as sellers looked to pass on some of the burden. Costs were projected to reach an estimated at £870m ($1.2bn) over 10 years by government estimates.

With the newly-elected coalition government now in power, HIPs are now on the chopping block. Housing Minister Grant Shapps said that the removal of HIP requirements, "is a great example of how this new Government is getting straight down to work by cutting away pointless red-tape that is strangling the market."

"Rather than shelling out hundreds of pounds [of British currency] for nothing in return we're stripping away bureaucracy and letting home owners sell their properties."

Communities Secretary Eric Pickles ordered the temporary halt to HIPs yesterday, while filing for legislation to make the move permanent.

"This swift and decisive action will send a strong message to the fragile housing market and prevent uncertainty for both home sellers and buyers," Pickles said. "HIPs are history. This action will encourage sellers back into the market, and help the market as a whole and the economy recover."

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Friday, May 21st, 2010

When the Senate voted late last night to pass S 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act, it approved a version of financial regulatory reform that differs slightly from the House of Representatives' original version of the bill.

The Senate version includes amendments that impose leverage and risk-based capital requirements, assign credit-rating agencies to deals, exempt qualifying mortgages from credit risk retention requirements, require lenders to maintain certain underwriting standards and call for a one-time audit of emergency lending actions at the Fed.

“The two bills are very similar, and the House is ready to go to conference to work out the remaining issues," said Rep Barney Frank (D-MA) in a statement following the Senate vote. "I am confident that we can have a bill ready for President Obama’s signature very soon."

The Senate on Thursday considered House Resolution (HR) 4173, the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2009, sponsored by Frank. The House version of the bill aims to improve accountability and transparency in the financial system, end "too big to fail," end taxpayer-funded bailouts and protect consumers from abusive financial services practices.

As of today, HR 4173 was listed in a "resolving differences" status. On Thursday, Senators struck everything in the bill after its enacting clause and substituted the language of S 3217. Senators also voted to change the title, and then passed HR 4173 in a 59-39 vote that fell largely along party lines.

Four Republicans (Sen Scott Brown of Massachusetts, Sen Susan Collins of Maine, Sen Chuck Grassley of Iowa and Sen Olympia Snowe of Maine) joined the vote for HR 4173, while a single Democrat, Sen Russell Feingold of Wisconsin, voted against it.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Friday, May 21st, 2010

Denver-based Allonhill, an independent third-party review firm specializing in mortgage due diligence and credit risk management, is expanding its presence in commercial mortgages.

The company is developing a push into commercial due diligence, including a key hire to lead the new offering.

“Our unmatched expertise in mortgage due diligence and credit risk management, coupled with some of the best commercial real estate talent around, will provide valuable support for investors and issuers of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) as this market re-emerges this year,” said Sue Allon, CEO and founder of Allonhill. “Thorough due diligence performed by independent third-party review firms will help restore investor confidence in this severely deteriorated sector.”

Allonhill hired CMBS veteran Ross Gammill to direct the firm’s new commercial due diligence offering, the company said Thursday.

Gammill brings more than seven years experience in the financial services industry. Most recently he served as underwriter for Bridger Commercial Funding, where he underwrote more than $400m in commercial bonds.

The frozen CMBS market showed recent signs thawing in April, with the first new-issue CMBS in nearly two years. Allonhill noted that deal flow in the near term is expected to lag considerably from the market high of $232.4bn in 2007.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Friday, May 21st, 2010

The amount of loans in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in need of special servicing totaled $81.7bn in Q110, up from $74bn at the end of 2009, according to Fitch Ratings.

Special servicers have unique processes in place for unusual loans, usually ones on the verge of default.

According to Fitch, these companies are still adding staff to meet the increasing demand. The analytics firm, Trepp, found the delinquency rate in CMBS reached 8% in April – a new record.

Stephanie Petosa, managing director at Fitch, said the special servicers are now engaging in bulk note sales. They’re also modifying the loans into higher rated notes and providing forbearance, in what is known as the "extend and pretend" strategy.

“However,” she said, “the majority of the loan workouts remain within the more traditional realm of extensions, modifications and foreclosures.”

To explore more about the trials and tribulations of the commercial real estate market, pick up the June issue of HousingWire magazine.

Write to Jon Prior.

Friday, May 21st, 2010

It will take greater accountability in financial transactions, specifically more stringent due diligence, for investors to be confident enough to buy mortgage-backed securities again.

The stock and bond markets have rebounded strongly over the past year from the global financial meltdown of 2008. But recovery in the market for private residential mortgage-backed securities continues to be held up by continuing concerns about the underpinnings of these deals.

The most frequently asked question we hear is: “What will it take for investors to start buying mortgage-backed securities again?” This question gains more urgency now that the federal government has withdrawn its presence that has largely kept the secondary market alive since the meltdown began in September 2008.

The answer is that it will take greater accountability in financial transactions –- specifically, more stringent due diligence –- for investors to feel confident enough to buy these securities. No longer will a review of 10% or 20% of a securitized pool of mortgages be an acceptable representation of the whole pool. Rather, analysis of the entire pool will be expected, at least until investors feel comfortable with something less.

This enhanced scrutiny will be demanded by the rating agencies, who have themselves been subjected to a vast amount of criticism the past two years for not performing their role in the quality assurance process. Standard & Poor’s, for example, has gone on record that it will not rate future mortgage deals unless due diligence is performed by an approved firm. Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Investors Service have developed their own criteria for the greater due diligence they will require going forward.

A chief reason for the meltdown in the residential MBS market –- besides sheer greed — was the lack of accountability. Specifically, the industry failed to follow its longstanding “80-20 rule,” which holds that when the right 20% of a mortgage file is properly scrutinized — for property valuation, debt, and borrower income — 80% of the problems can be avoided.

Centralized appraisal practices mandated by Fannie Mae are believed to be addressing the collateral valuation issue. Lenders have tightened borrower guidelines and are demanding more document disclosures. All of this will serve to re-open the flow of financing to borrowers, but improved due diligence also must be a key to long-term market revival.

Alex Santos is president of Florida-based Digital Risk.

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

[Update 1: clarifies bill's stance on government ownership of GSEs]

The Senate voted late tonight to pass a sweeping rewrite of financial-sector regulations, with 59 votes in favor.

Efforts to bring a vote on the text initially failed on Wednesday, before Senators agreed Thursday to wrap up debate on the financial reform package.

The 1,500+ page bill, sponsored by Sen Chris Dodd (D-CT), now includes significant amendments to curb the bank and finance industries.

Senators previously added amendments that impose leverage and risk-based capital requirements, assign credit-rating agencies to deals, exempt qualifying mortgages from credit risk retention requirements, require lenders to maintain certain underwriting standards and call for a one-time audit of emergency lending actions at the Fed. Opponents argued throughout lengthy debate that the measures will over-regulate the financial industry.

Edward Yingling, CEO of the American Bankers Association expressed displeasure at the text's final form. "Many of these negative provisions have nothing to do with the financial crisis," he said in an emailed statement.

"Despite all the talk about this being a Wall Street bill, it, in fact, does tremendous harm to traditional banks on Main Street that had nothing to do with the crisis and that will now be less able to support the economy," he added. "This bill promised much-needed reform but has gone terribly wrong."

As it stands, the bill will require government ownership of Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.00 N/A) and Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.00 N/A) to end by late next year.

Write to Jacob Gaffney.

Disclosure: the author holds no relevant investments.

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

I don’t know about you, but I found the announcement, last week, that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) had approved a notice of proposed rulemaking (NPR) regarding safe harbor protection for bank-issued ABS, really depressing.

I was privately thinking that the FDIC would hold off, given internal opposition from two FDIC board members, who also are heads of bank regulatory agencies.On top of that, the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) is now taking comments on a revamp of its securitization rules. Perhaps most important, Congress is pushing toward securitization reforms in its massive overhaul of financial regulation.

I anticipated that the FDIC would back off because it doesn’t have the legislative prerogative, the hands-on experience or human resources to devise and promulgate securitization guidelines. The SEC does. I wasn’t alone in this thought – a couple of veteran bank analysts of my acquaintance thought the momentum would shift away from the FDIC once the chairman and staff had taken their opportunity to rattle their sabers intra-agency.

I wished the FDIC would hold off because its lack of experience with securities law and ABS markets really showed in the first version of the rule, attached as an appendix to January’s Advanced Notice of Public Rulemaking (ANPR). In particular, the ANPR, as well as its modestly altered successor, the NPR, promote untruths about the actual extent and quality of disclosure that is currently provided, both under the SEC’s Reg AB and in the form of voluntary monthly loan level performance, prepayment and descriptive data. The NPR calls for disclosure practices that have been standard in private mortgage-backed securities (MBS) for years. (Disclosure realities versus FDIC distortions and misunderstandings are the subject of my column in the May HousingWire Magazine, "ABS Disclosure Debate Is a Whale of a Red Herring.")

Another reason to wish the FDIC would relent is that its securitization campaign reinforces the very sloppy generalizations that have come to replace objective analysis in public discussion and policy formation. The sloppiest by far is the use of the word “bank” and the term “Wall Street.” The media, the press – in straight up reporting or commentary and columns – blog-mouths and twit-heads all have abandoned the distinction between commercial bank, investment bank, mortgage bank, merchant bank, etc. Bank is now a pejorative term, the name of the enemy. “Bank” is used interchangeably with “Wall Street” or the new highly charged generalization, “Wall Street banks” is flung mightily about.

The thing we should be calling a commercial bank – is not the main culprit of the originate to securitize model. A predominance of these loans were made and securitized by non-depository institutions, mortgage banking institutions and consumer finance companies that were not subject to federal banking supervision. That’s not to say that big banks and thrifts – subject to Federal banking supervision – were not major players. Wells Fargo, Wachovia, Citigroup, and Chase make the lists of top subprime, alt-A or high interest, mortgage lenders. Also on the lists are the mortgage banks dressed up as thrifts (and subject to Federal supervision) Countrywide, IndyMac, as well as Washington Mutual, until the FDIC seized it, one of the 10 largest depositories in the country.

Nonetheless, the lists are dominated by mortgage banking and consumer finance companies as well as mortgage conduits owned and operated by Wall Street investment banks. In other words, all the other kinds of banks, the entities that perform just a small set of what the man on the street thinks of as banking activities, the ones that will rise again to lay off risky loans on yield hungry investors whenever it becomes profitable again to do so.

This isn’t simply a semantic point. It’s very practical — an unregulated industry has twice risen to make and securitize subprime loans — and pave the way for dodgy lending, both to prime borrowers and at regulated institutions. The first wave began in the early 1990s and was choked off by the Asian liquidity crisis in the late 1990s (the same forces that brought Long Term Capital down). At the time, a number of the most prominent lender/issuers filed for bankruptcy or were closed down by parents. A second, far larger wave of non-bank mortgage lenders and finance companies blossomed in the 2000s. It is impossible to imagine that a third wave will not appear just as soon as it again becomes profitable to securitize weakly underwritten loans and sell them to yield hungry investors.

The Direct Solution

More than anything, I was hoping the FDIC would step back and use its pulpit to attack the root problem: lending standards. Fiddling with securitization rules is like slapping a ragged bandage on the wound, instead of forbidding lenders to play with knives. A far more direct use of its authority to make standards for safety and soundness relating, among other things to loan documentation and credit underwriting.

John Dugan, Comptroller of the Currency, and one of two FDIC Board members who voted against publishing the NPR on May 11, complained that “the NPR does not embrace the concept of directly improving underwriting standards for mortgages by establishing minimum standards by regulation – a concept that I strongly support”.

Dugan has been pressing the case for uniform minimum underwriting standards for some time now in various speeches and in the process of disagreeing with the FDIC’s proposed securitization rule.

On March 19, 2009, Dugan testified before the House banking committee that the lack of consistent regulation for mortgage providers was a fundamental reason why the shoddy loans that brought on the current financial crisis were able to be written. In that testimony, he called on Congress to establish national mortgage standards that would apply to all types of originators and to ensure they are applied and enforced in a comparable manner regardless of originator.

In November 2009, at a Special Seminar on International Banking and Finance in Tokyo, Dugan outlined minimum requirements: (1) underwriters should verify income and assets; (2) borrowers should be required to make meaningful down payments (“real equity or real-skin-in-the-game”); (3) borrowers on nontraditional mortgages with lower initial payments should be qualified at the higher, permanent payment.

Again, on February 2, 2010, Dugan spoke to a conference of the American Securitization Forum on “Securitization, ‘Skin-in-the-Game’ Proposals and Minimum Mortgage Underwriting Standards.” Referencing his Tokyo speech the previous autumn, Dugan argued that skin-in-the-game requirements were an imprecise and uncertain means of improving underwriting practices. Instead, why not do so directly, and establish minimum rules that apply to all mortgages, held or sold.

“We could do this,” he said. “Bank and thrift regulators could establish minimum underwriting standards for all mortgages originated, purchased, or sold by banks, thrifts, and, most importantly, by all of their affiliates.” Congress in turn, in the context of financial reform, could set standards for the part of the mortgage market not subject to direct federal regulation and it could establish an effective enforcement mechanism.

Where There’s a Will, Is There a Way?

True, the bank and thrift regulators could do that. They have the power under the Federal Deposit Insurance Act, both individually and collectively with the other Federal banking agencies, to make safety and soundness regulations for the institutions they supervise. If Dugan feels strongly about it, why hasn’t the OCC taken the lead on this? It is the regulator responsible for banks with national charters?

Or has it? I assume that, if it had, Dugan would be including this fact in his statements on the shortcomings of the FDIC’s NPR. Well then, shouldn’t the FDIC, federal regulator of state banks with deposit insurance? Or the Fed, regulator of bank holding companies, financial holding companies and state chartered banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System. (The possibility of regulatory overlap makes bank regulation sound like a short and tedious version of “Who’s on first?”

Have the regulators stopped working together while Congress redesigns the US financial regulatory system? Waiting to see whose job gets bigger, whose smaller, who gets pitched out for letting a few giant thrifts and the derivatives shop of a big insurer burn themselves down?

Or are the regulators reluctant to put curbs on lenders when in their hearts all they want is to stabilize home prices and stop the credit losses in portfolios, the high cost of servicing bad securities. That’s a trick that requires more, not less housing credit.

Congress Tries

Congress has not been deaf to calls for stiffer, universal mortgage underwriting standards. The regulatory reform bill passed by the House (H.R. 4173, last December) contains as an amendment, the Mortgage Reform and Anti-Predatory Lending Act (originally passed as H.R. 1728 in May 2009). It would establish as minimum mortgage standards under the Truth in Lending Act (TILA) that the lender (1) must make a good faith determination based on verified documentation that the consumer has a reasonable ability to repay the loan and related fees, taxes, insurance and assessments, and (2) use a fully amortizing payment schedule to qualify borrowers for loans that defer repayment of principal or interest. The House standards also require that a refinancing demonstrate a net tangible benefit to the borrower. There is also a risk retention requirement when non-qualified mortgages are transferred or sold to third parties.

In the Senate, Dodd’s regulatory reform bill originally did not include minimum mortgage provisions, but last week, the Senate added a mortgage underwriting standard to the regulatory reform bill currently being debated. The amendment would effectively ban yield-spread premiums and require lenders to verify borrowers’ income and assets. Rules to guarantee a borrower has the ability to repay a mortgage are left to a consumer protection bureau proposed under the bill.

Assuming the Senate can pull together and pass a reform bill (they're set to vote next week or even as early as tomorrow) the differences between House and Senate versions would have to be resolved in conference.

Inertia Creeps

Not deaf, but Congress hasn’t been bold either. Neither the House nor the Senate bill embodies the Comptroller of the Currency’s recommendations. Neither requires borrowers be qualified at a fully-indexed and fully-amortizing payment of principal and interest or that borrowers make a meaningful downpayment out of their own pockets.

It’s disappointing. All Dugan is saying, really, is let’s reinstate the common sense credit standards that underpinned generations of stability in U.S. housing markets. However, a return to the old ways has natural enemies. Opposing lobbies would include the real estate agents and home builders who want housing demand shifted high enough to suck down listed and shadow housing inventories and to revive new home construction. They’ve seen how easy money feeds demand, they won’t relinquish the hope it can return. The mortgage banking lobby would resist as well: the more stringent the minimum, the fewer loans to be made. Then too the home ownership lobby would resist – a significant down payment is a big obstacle to home ownership for low and moderate income buyers. And who knows, perhaps the FDIC is privately cautioning lawmakers that if they tighten housing credit, insured banks will just see more losses for more years.

NOTE: Linda Lowell writes a regular column, called Kitchen Sink, for HousingWire magazine.

Editor’s note: Linda Lowell is a 20-year-plus veteran of MBS and ABS research at a handful of Wall Street firms. She is currently principal of OffStreet Research LLC.

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

Yields on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage securities that guide home-loan rates fell to the lowest in almost six months, as the response of European authorities to the sovereign-debt crisis drove investors to the relative safety of US government-related debt.

Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds tumbled 0.10 percentage point to 4.05%, down from 4.67% on April 5 and the lowest since Nov. 30.

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, sending the S&P 500 index into correction territory on growing fears the euro-zone's handling of its sovereign debt crises could put the global economic recovery in jeopardy.

The inability of euro-zone leaders to agree on policy, highlighted by Germany's unilateral decision Tuesday to ban naked short-selling, has triggered worries about additional regulation and pressured the euro, which shed 0.9% versus the dollar.

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

UK mortgage lenders are offering loans to “almost prime” and “complex prime” borrowers with “minor historic credit issues” who may have experienced financial “blips.” They don’t use the word subprime.

Three years after defaults on US subprime mortgages sparked the worst financial crisis in almost 80 years, General Electric’s GE Money unit and Investec’s Kensington division are once again lending to British customers rejected by mainstream banks. This time, they say they’re offering less money to clients with better credit histories.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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