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Archive for May, 2010

Friday, May 28th, 2010

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is offering a $98 million pool of loans to investors, according to market sources.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Anyone who believes that housing is on the rebound, and that now is the time to buy, should take a very hard look at the numbers I dredged up for my spring lecture and luncheon tour.

There are 140 million personal residences in the US. Today, there are 26 million homes either directly or indirectly for sale. According to a survey by Zillow.com, a real estate appraisal website, 20 million homeowners plan to sell on any improvement in prices. Add to that 4 million existing homes now on the market, 1 million new homes flogged by companies like Lennar (LEN) and Pulte Homes (PHM), and 1 million bank owned properties. Another 8 million mortgage owners are late on their payments and are on the verge of foreclosure, bringing the total overhang to 34 million homes.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

This sounds so 2007 … but it is today.

From David Bracken at the Newobserver.com:

Hue, the multicolor building that is the largest condo project ever attempted in downtown Raleigh, closed its sales office without ever selling a unit.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

The latest look at credit-related news, courtesy of Bill Coppedge. Always worth a read.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Buyers started the week nervous, a lasting sentiment reflected in the largely volatile credit spreads, corporates, financials, Treasuries and asset-backed securities (ABS).

On Thursday the announcement that China does not intend to sell its European bonds, saw some pricing recover. The KBW Bank Index rose 3.99% to 51.09 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.85%; the S&P 500 Index rose 3.29%. By the close of the market today at 2pm, stocks had fallen again on the news that Fitch Ratings downgraded Spain’s credit grade to double-A+ from triple-A.

As result, the US long-term treasuries continue to maintain strength.

US treasury yields fell to 10-month lows earlier in the week as investors flocked to the safety of US public securities. Since mid-April, the 10-yr Treasury yield has rallied over 53 basis points (bps) with most movement, driven by the market digesting the gravity of the sovereign crisis in Europe. According to Citi (C: 30.87 +1.61%) analysts the rally has taken the 10-year and 5-year forward 5-year (5y5y) Treasury yields to about 25bps and 65bps, respectively.

The yield on the 10-year note fell 7bps, or 0.07 percentage points, to 3.3% at 2:54 p.m. in New York, according to BGCantor Market Data. The 3.5% security due in May 2020 gained 18/32, or $5.63 per $1,000 face amount, to 101 22/32.

Analysts at Citi said that the very front-end (2-year yields) were already at pretty low levels and this week's rally has brought even some of the near forward rates quite close to historical lows. They add that the longer dated forward rates have more room to decline should the panic in Europe turn into a global financial crisis. "For example, the 1-year forward 2-year rate is close to post-Lehman lows while the 5y5y rate is more than 150bps above the levels seen at that time," explained analysts.

The MBS rate also picked up at by the close of market but opened wider today on the back of a fall in the stock market. The average US rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 4.78% in the week ending Thursday, from 4.84%, Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.00 N/A) said. The record low is 4.71%.

However analysts at Citi said that investor support for new production MBS may wane in a rally as US banks and foreign investors (currently significant sources of demand for agency MBS) are dollar price sensitive.

Further, despite the rally in rates, many MBS investors are concerned about extension protection and in the case of rising rates, 30yr 4.5s could become very long securities. "Currently, the majority of 30yr 4.5s are currently held by the Federal Reserve and with its MBS purchase program over, other investors need to add what could be a growing number of lower coupon MBS," said one analyst.

The Markit iTraxx Senior Financial index also came in nearly 10bps tighter than from the wides seen last week. The index closed early in the week at 175bps and 166bps last Friday. Two weeks ago it was at 129bps and the low 60bps area in January.

The author holds no relevant investments.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Denver-based third-party review firm Allonhill hired 30-year banking and financial services veteran Kathy Ireland as director of securitizations.

Ireland, a former vice president of special projects at bank holding company Fidelity Southern Corp., will manage the firm's core securitization solutions.

"We are very pleased to add yet another industry veteran to our leadership team, to help guide Allonhill's continued growth and fulfill our mission to reinvent the mortgage industry," said Sue Allon, CEO and founder of Allonhill, in a statement.

"Kathy's expertise in the challenges of securitized pools, working with rating agencies, and supervising loan reviews, all with a heightened focus on integrity and independence, will play an instrumental role in the continued success and growth of Allonhill."

Allonhill, which specializes in mortgage due diligence and credit risk management, made the hire after announcing in January a push into residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). The offering helps issuers and underwriters meet the requirements of the major rating agencies.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

After soaring in 2008, the REO total shrank for most of 2009 as foreclosure-prevention efforts slowed the flow of defaulted loans toward resolution and investors rushed to buy what they saw as bargains in hard-hit areas such as Phoenix and Las Vegas. Now, as banks and other loan servicers work their way through the backlog of loan-modification applicants and reject many of them, the REO count is rising again.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Consumer delinquency rates are dropping at US retailers and banks such as American Express and Bank of America, signaling an incipient lending thaw that may spur economic growth.

With fewer tardy borrowers to worry about, banks are more likely to extend fresh credit to American consumers, whose spending makes up 70% of the economy. That may weaken Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s commitment to an "extended period" of low interest rates — once policy makers determine the European debt crisis no longer poses a risk to the recovery, said economist Stephen Stanley.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Barclays Bank, based in London's Canary Wharf (pictured above), agreed to sell HomEq Servicing, its US mortgage servicing business, to Ocwen Loan Servicing, a subsidiary of Ocwen Financial Corp. (OCN: 13.96 +1.53%) for $1.3bn. The deal joins the top two converters of mortgage modifications, from temporary to permanent, under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), into one firm.

The deal is still subject to an adjustment mechanism based on the unpaid principal balance of the servicing portfolio and the value of other assets at the completion of the transaction. As part of the deal, Barclays agreed to provide Ocwen with roughly $1bn in secured financing and would assist with raising additional third party financing.

The sale is expected to be finalized in Q310.

HomEq services roughly $28bn in unpaid principal balances as of March 31, 2010. In the deal, Ocwen gets the mortgage servicing rights and the servicing platform of HomEq, which is based in both Sacramento and Raleigh.

"We are delighted to have reached agreement today with Barclays on definitive transaction documents to acquire its HomEq mortgage servicing business. The acquisition, once closed, will be an important step in the execution of Ocwen’s overall strategic planning to grow our servicing platform and expand revenues," said Paul Koches, executive vice president at Ocwen.

Once the deal is finalized, Barclays said it would have a "small positive impact" to its tier one capital ratio, but it is not expected to have an impact on Barclays earnings per share.

"Barclays Capital is committed to providing first-class products and capabilities to our clients worldwide. We look forward to continuing to serve our issuer and investor clients from our position as a leading underwriter and market maker of securitised products," said Tom Hamilton, head of securitized products trading at Barclays.

Ocwen and HomEq held the top-two conversion rates in HAMP, according to an April report from the Treasury Department.

Both converted 83% of their total trial modifications into permanent status. Ocwen holds more than 27,000 HAMP-eligible loans in its servicing portfolio, and has offered more than 23,000 trial period-plans. Of those, 19,000 trials have started with 12,000 modifications in permanent status. HomEq holds 16,000 HAMP-eligible loans and has extended 5,500 trial offers. The servicer has converted more than 2,200 trials into permanent status.

Ocwen conducted a deal with Saxon Mortgage Services, the servicing arm of Morgan Stanley (MS: 18.56 +2.26%), in April 2010. In that deal, Saxon transferred the mortgage servicing rights of approximately 38,000 predominately subprime loans, with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of about $6.9bn, over to Ocwen.

Write to Jon Prior.

The author holds no relevant investments.

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Though the Democratic leadership likes to emphasize the similarities between the House and Senate bills on sweeping financial reform, the upcoming conference to merge the two has the potential to be both fractious and divisive with a number of minefields to cross.

"They're going to be drowning a lot of puppies," quips one senior Senate aide.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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