Archive for May, 2010
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is offering a $98 million pool of loans to investors, according to market sources.
Anyone who believes that housing is on the rebound, and that now is the time to buy, should take a very hard look at the numbers I dredged up for my spring lecture and luncheon tour.
There are 140 million personal residences in the US. Today, there are 26 million homes either directly or indirectly for sale. According to a survey by Zillow.com, a real estate appraisal website, 20 million homeowners plan to sell on any improvement in prices. Add to that 4 million existing homes now on the market, 1 million new homes flogged by companies like Lennar (LEN) and Pulte Homes (PHM), and 1 million bank owned properties. Another 8 million mortgage owners are late on their payments and are on the verge of foreclosure, bringing the total overhang to 34 million homes.
This sounds so 2007 … but it is today.
From David Bracken at the Newobserver.com:
Hue, the multicolor building that is the largest condo project ever attempted in downtown Raleigh, closed its sales office without ever selling a unit.
The latest look at credit-related news, courtesy of Bill Coppedge. Always worth a read.
After soaring in 2008, the REO total shrank for most of 2009 as foreclosure-prevention efforts slowed the flow of defaulted loans toward resolution and investors rushed to buy what they saw as bargains in hard-hit areas such as Phoenix and Las Vegas. Now, as banks and other loan servicers work their way through the backlog of loan-modification applicants and reject many of them, the REO count is rising again.
Consumer delinquency rates are dropping at US retailers and banks such as American Express and Bank of America, signaling an incipient lending thaw that may spur economic growth.
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With fewer tardy borrowers to worry about, banks are more likely to extend fresh credit to American consumers, whose spending makes up 70% of the economy. That may weaken Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s commitment to an "extended period" of low interest rates — once policy makers determine the European debt crisis no longer poses a risk to the recovery, said economist Stephen Stanley.
Though the Democratic leadership likes to emphasize the similarities between the House and Senate bills on sweeping financial reform, the upcoming conference to merge the two has the potential to be both fractious and divisive with a number of minefields to cross.
"They're going to be drowning a lot of puppies," quips one senior Senate aide.












