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Archive for February, 2010

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Housing starts increased from December to start off 2010, the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) said.

In its monthly report (download here) the Census Bureau and HUD said privately owned housing starts were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 591,000 in January, that’s up 2.8% from December’s revised estimate of 575,000 and 21.1% higher than January 2009’s rate of 488,000.

December’s rate was originally estimated at 557,000, a decline of 4% from November’s revised estimate of 580,000.

Single-family housing starts were at a rate of 484,000 in January, up 1.5% from December’s revised rate of 477,000. The January rate for buildings with five units or more was 100,000.

Privately owned housing units authorized by building permits were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 621,000, down 4.9% from December’s unrevised rate of 653,000 and 16.9% above January 2009’s estimate of 531,000.

Building permits in December jumped 10.9% from the revised November rate of 589,000, as builders look to build inventory in preparation of the spring selling months and the looming April 30 deadline for buyers to sign a contract and be eligible for the homebuyer tax credit.

Single-family building permits were at a rate of 507,000 in January, up 0.4% from December’s revised rate of 505,000. Permits for buildings with five or more units were at a rate of 96,000 in January, down 26% from December’s revised rate of 130,000.

Privately owned housing completions were at a rate of 659,000 in January, down 12.4% from December’s revised estimate of 752,000 and 15.3% below the January 2009 rate of 778,000.

The original estimate for December was 768,000, an 11.2% decline from November’s revised estimate of 865,000.

Single-family completions in January were at a rate of 427,000, 12.9% below the revised December rate of 490,000. Completions for buildings with five or more units were 215,000, down 11% from the revised December rate of 242,000.

Write to Austin Kilgore.

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Analysts at JPMorgan have calculated that if the full burden of regulatory and political initiatives to crack down on banks’ risks is implemented, it would cut the average return on equity from a projected 13.3% to 5.4%.

The conclusion is a stark illustration of what might happen if all of the proposals mooted by governments in the US, UK and France were put into effect globally at the same time as the overhaul of capital and liquidity standards being engineered by regulators on the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.

The authors concede that such an extreme scenario, which would also entail the world’s 16 leading banks (excluding JPMorgan itself) having to raise an estimated $221bn, or $14bn apiece on average, is unlikely to occur in practice.

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

When you buy a dishwasher, you know it probably won't explode. When you buy aspirin, you can figure out the side effects without an advanced degree. When you buy zucchini, you can feel confident it won't be toxic. And when you buy movie tickets, you can presume the terms of your purchase won't change after you leave the window.

But when it comes to financial products like mortgages and credit cards, you can't be sure of any of those things. That's the basic case for a Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA), the centerpiece of President Obama's push to reform financial regulation.

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

The Bank of England dashed the hopes of mortgage lenders last week when it firmly closed the door on an extension of its Special Liquidity Scheme through which it provided term funding for mortgage bonds.

Some £287bn of collateral was posted with the Bank during the SLS’s brief life in exchange for £185bn of funding with a term of up to three years. The vast majority of this is believed to comprise mortgage backed securities and covered bonds — some £242bn of which was issued but not placed with investors while the SLS window was open.

So it is understandable that the Council of Mortgage Lenders would respond to the closure with warnings of a huge funding gap, backed up this week by Moody’s.

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Experts fear that a new wave of foreclosures will hit this year as prolonged unemployment makes it difficult for millions of homeowners to pay their mortgages — and many of them aren't likely to get much help from a federal program aimed at keeping them in their houses.

Banks participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program, announced a year ago this week by President Obama, have been slow to turn temporarily reduced mortgage payments into permanent ones.

"The overarching sense is that the mortgage modification process has not worked that well," said Bert Ely, an independent banking consultant.

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Yields on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage securities that guide U.S. home-loan rates fell to the lowest relative to Treasuries in at least 25 years before retracing the move.

The difference between yields on Washington-based Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds and 10- year Treasuries were unchanged at about 0.65 percentage point as of 5 p.m. in New York, after earlier falling to 0.63 percentage point to match the smallest spread since at least 1984…

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

The fund will pay investors of the Colonial First State Mortgage Income Fund at least 10 percent of their accounts in late March while further payments will be made as cash becomes available from mortgage repayments, Colonial said late on Tuesday.

The Colonial First State Mortgage Income Fund, which primarily invests in commercial mortgages, was closed to withdrawals in October 2008, other than for periods when redemptions were allowed, and it may take at least four years to wind up the fund.

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

US consumer satisfaction with goods and services remained strong in Q409, dipping only 0.1% from the previous quarter to a 75.9 score out of 100, according to the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI), a quarterly indicator of consumer mentality.

ACSI noted "very satisfied customers" across many business sectors, with satisfaction rising overall in the finance and insurance sector. Wells Fargo (WFC: 29.60 +1.89%) in particular improved in the quarter and scored the highest ranking among banks.

The direction of customer satisfaction tends to indicate where demand is heading and how freely consumers intend to spend, ACSI said.

“As long as unemployment remains high and credit tight, it is difficult to see how we can get to a sustainable pace of consumer spending growth,” said head of ACSI, Claes Fornell, in a press statement (download here). “But it is not all bad:  the ‘will to spend’ is evidenced by high customer satisfaction. The issue is whether or not consumers have the ‘means to spend.’"

Overall satisfaction with the finance and insurance sector improved 1.4% to 77.1 on a scale of 100.

Banks hold steady at a score of 75, despite "significant" satisfaction drops at Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) and JP Morgan Chase (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%), which both "face challenges" according to ACSI. Smaller banks fared better in satisfaction, with an unchanged aggregate score of 80 in the third consecutive year.

Wells Fargo improved 1% to a score of 73 – highest among the large banks – a year after acquiring the Wachovia brand.

BofA satisfaction dropped 8% to an industry low of 67 after its Merrill Lynch acquisition and cost-cutting measures in the face of higher than expected debt, ACSI said. Chase, on the other hand, fell 7% to a score of 68 following its purchase of the Washington Mutual brand.

The property and casualty insurance industry saw a 1.2% decline in satisfaction, driven by negative reception of higher insurance premiums.

The ACSI findings echo the latest mortgage origination customer satisfaction study conducted by JD Power and Associates. Wells Fargo earned a score of 781 in the JD Power survey, well above the 739 industry average and second only to Branch Banking & Trust (BBT: 26.95 -0.33%), which took the top ranking (783 score) of 23 lenders surveyed.

HousingWire contributor Rick Grant studies the importance of customer relationship management for mortgage finance business in the March magazine issue, going to print now.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Disclosure: The author holds no relevant investment positions.

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

Foreclosure filings on California properties rose daily in January compared with December, according to ForeclosureRadar, which tracks foreclosure activity in the state.

The daily average of Notices of Default filings rose by 9.5%, while Notice of Trustee Sale filings rose by 10.3%.

“With delinquent payments rising, foreclosures slowing, and foreclosure alternatives failing, it appears the foreclosure crisis will be with us for many years to come,” said ForeclosureRadar.com founder and CEO Sean O’Toole.

The news comes as a report from the credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s estimates that the “shadow inventory” of bank-repossessed properties, as well as distressed mortgages facing foreclosure, will take nearly three years to clear at the current sales rate.

The amount of California properties transferred to real estate-owned (REO) status during January soared 11.7% over December (pictured above). Properties sold to third parties rose 40.5%, while cancellations rose by 4.3%.

The month marked a reversal of December's data, which showed foreclosure cancellations outnumbered the amount of foreclosures heading back to bank ownership. In January, properties going to REO status (13,922) once again outnumbered foreclosure cancellations (13,853).

The total number of properties in the foreclosure process remained near record levels in the state, despite declines in the number of default notices over the last year. This trend is largely due to the increase in the foreclosure timeline – the difference between the date of the initial Notice of Default and the date of the successful trustee sale.

This time lag increased from 146 days in August 2008 to 229 days in January 2010, while lenders delay foreclosure in an attempt to work through loan modifications and other alternatives, ForeclosureRadar said. The time to foreclose was up 3.3% in January from December and up 19.6% from a year earlier.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

More than 2,700 Floridians will receive payment from Countrywide Financial Corp. as part of a settlement with the Florida Attorney General on a 2008 lawsuit, alleging Countrywide engaged in deceptive and unfair business practices.

More than $16.9m will be distributed, and each borrower would receive a $6,000 check. In the lawsuit filed in July 2008, the attorney general claimed Countrywide placed borrowers into mortgages they could not afford or had misleading rates and penalties. In October 2008, Countrywide entered into a settlement agreement, which included a foreclosure relief program for qualifying Florida homeowners.

Countrywide, since acquired by Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) entered into a nationwide settlement agreement in October 2008 to provide $8.4bn in foreclosure relief after a slew of AG’s filed similar lawsuits, including California, Connecticut, Illinois, West Virginia, Virginia and Texas.

In July 2009, Countrywide sent $7.46m in restitutions to eligible Texans who lost their homes to foreclosure.

Checks to Florida homeowners must be cashed before May 13, 2010 and could be taxable.

The settlement also includes $4m to fund a foreclosure defense assistance program, provided to organizations over two years. The recipients would provide free legal assistance to eligible homeowners on the verge of foreclosure but cannot afford an attorney.

Florida currently holds the fourth highest foreclosure rate in the country, where one in every 187 homes received a foreclosure notice, according to RealtyTrac.

Write to Jon Prior.

The author holds no relevent investments.



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