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Archive for January, 2010

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

While this report attempts to connect two dots in the headline, it proves to be somewhat of a bait-and-switch, with little proof of a UK home market recovery. Nonetheless, great investor sentiment and indication of upcoming flow:

"Lloyds Banking Group is selling $2.4bn of mortgage-backed bonds at yields less than it offered on debt issued four months ago, tapping investor demand spurred by signs the worst of the UK housing slump is over.

The sale includes 600m euros ($845m) of five- year notes that will yield about 125 basis points more than benchmark rates, said Sara Evans, a London-based spokeswoman at Lloyds. That compares with 170 basis points the bank paid on similar notes issued in September, according to data compiled by Bloomberg."

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

Mortgage activity was mixed in two weekly surveys, with one seeing an uptick in applications to get financing for a new home loan and another seeing a decline in refinancing requests.

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) survey of gross mortgage applications decreased 10.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending January 22, compared to one week ago.

“Refinance activity fell substantially last week,” said Michael Fratantoni, the MBA’s vice president of research and economics. “Although rates remain low, there appears to be a smaller pool of borrowers who are willing and able to refinance at today’s rates.”

The Mortgage Maxx index that’s adjusted to reflect the number of households applying for mortgages increased 17.8% in the same period. The index was adjusted to reflect the shortened holiday week. In its report, the firm warned the adjustment might be overstating strength by approximately 5%.

“With housing still in woeful shape despite Fed intervention a significant increase in the MAX over seasonal expectations appears unlikely,” Mortgage Maxx said.

MBA’s refinance index decreased 15.1% from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted purchase index was also down 3.3%. Refinance applications too a 67.6% share of all applications, down from 71.7% last week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity accounted for 4.7% of applications, up from 4.1% last week.

Write to Austin Kilgore.

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

BlackRock (BLK: 187.49 -0.20%) posted total fourth-quarter net income of $256m, up $204m from the same time in 2008.

The quarterly results reflect BlackRock's acquisition of Barclays Global Investors (BGI) on Dec. 1, 2009, which contributed $94m of Q4 net income. After-tax expenses of $108m related to the integration offset that income.

Net new business in the quarter totaled $82bn. US and Canada-based investors contributed $48bn in net new business funds as well.

"Investors worldwide redeployed assets out of money market accounts yielding near zero to a variety of long-only and alternative investment strategies," said BlackRock chairman and CEO Laurence Fink. "Their renewed risk appetite drove a substantial tightening of credit spreads and a sharp rebound in global equity markets."

Fink said the firm is well-positioned for 2010, although merger integrations like the one of BGI will require time. He said BlackRock still faces some risks, especially as regulators look to restructure financial institutions. Most recently, President Barack Obama proposed limits on banks' size and trading activities.

Fink indicated the firm remains committed to its real estate business in spite of "a bad investment in New York City, which we identified many quarters ago and wrote off."

BlackRock Realty and Tishman Speyer Properties recently said they would pursue a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure on Manhattan's Stuyvesant Town/Peter Cooper Village and surrender ownership back to the creditors. News of the intended ownership transfer comes just weeks after Tishman and BlackRock said they would miss a scheduled repayment to senior lenders on a bond used to finance debt from the joint purchase. It marks the second-largest commercial mortgage default after the Extended Stay Hotel default pushed commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) delinquencies up 85 bps in November.

"We are not alone in the problems of real estate," Fink said in the BlackRock investor call. "We need to be vigorous in rebuilding, rebalancing and restructuring [what] needs to be fixed."

The firm's acquisition of Helix Financial Group will offer "huge opportunities" to analyze commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), down to loan-level data, Fink said.

He added that "too many investors relied too heavily on the rating agencies" pre-crisis. BlackRock's use of Helix will allow investors now to analyze their holdings and understand the base assets. This type of loan-level analysis will likely be the "new fiduciary standard" in order to invest in structured finance products, he said.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Disclaimer: The author holds no relevant investment positions.

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s Corp. won dismissal of a lawsuit seeking to hold them responsible for defrauding investors who bought about $100 billion of mortgage- backed securities.

At a hearing yesterday, U.S. District Judge Lewis Kaplan in New York said he would dismiss claims against the rating companies, spokesmen said. Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., which was alleged to have once owned the bonds that were sold, is bankrupt and isn’t a defendant in the case.

Kaplan’s decision may have implications in other lawsuits pending against S&P and Moody’s in New York, California and other states. The judge said provisions of the securities law at issue in the case have never covered ratings companies, Moody’s lawyer James Coster said in an interview.

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

[Update 1: Adds pricing, trader commentary.]

The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) reportedly priced a covered bond platform backed by a pool of Canadian residential mortgages.

Details of the covered bond offering is still developing, but credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service indicates the bonds will  be US dollar-denominated, with 3- to 5-year bullet repayment maturities and fixed rates on the bonds.

Covered bonds are the oldest structured finance product in the market. The bonds are backed by a dual recourse structure whereas the issuer of the bonds is on the hook to investors to pay-out if the related collateral, in this case mortgages, see widespread defaults. The added "cover" is pricey, but attractive to a risk-averse investor base.

A covered bond issued by a CIBC would benefit from the strength of Canadian banks, according to Alberto Basu, who heads up the US dollar-denominated covered bond JP Morgan (JPM: 37.21 -0.75%) acquired when it bought Washington Mutual.

"The very high quality of the Canadian banks, the collateral and the structure make for a very attractive proposition," Basu tells HousingWire. "A number of the leading banks have issued previously in Euros, Swiss francs, and Canadian Dollars, but the basis swap makes euro issuance expensive at this time." A basis swap is a hedging tool used for the risk mitigation of two floating rate variables in a deal, in this case the various foreign exchange rates of the currency basket.

A new covered bond platform by CIBC would serve as the latest indication of the growing momentum for US dollar-denominated covered bonds, as HousingWire magazine reports. However, market players say they need a stamp of approval from the government via a supporting regulatory structure and a strong legislative framework, in order to support a larger covered bond market.

"I agree that this is extremely positive for the market as a whole, and it will be interesting to see what develops with the other issuers rumored to be considering a US$ transaction," Basu says. "This should encourage momentum in the US towards legislation, to allow US issuers to tap into this pool of private money."

Covered Bond Investor said in a post Tuesday CIBC priced the $2bn covered bond at 30-32 bps over mid-swaps.

The upcoming platform will be issued as a series under the current CIBC €8bn (US$11.27bn) Global Public Sector Covered Bond Programme, according to Moody's.

The credit-rating agency assigned a triple-A provisional long-term rating to the covered bonds — debt instruments covered by a pool of loans that remain on the issuer’s balance sheet.

The bonds will be backed by Canadian mortgages insured by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC), according to Moody's research released Monday.

Moody's told HousingWire that CIBC, rated double-A-2, can issue triple-A covered bonds because the mortgages in the covered pool are insured by the triple-A-rated CMHC. CIBC, for its part, did not return requests for comment on the size and issue date of the covered bonds before this story was published.

However, there is a growing push for covered bonds in the US. Supporters say the structured finance product does not seek to replace securitization, but rather could increase liquidity for new mortgages, industry insiders said during a December teleconference. Heading up the call was Rep. Scott Garrett (R-NJ), who recently introduced covered bond legislation that outlines statutory framework to facilitate the broad domestic use of covered bonds.

Although there are currently only two dollar-denominated Covered Bond platforms in the US — one by Bank of America (BAC: 7.29 -0.14%) and the other by Washington Mutual — Garrett said an increase in investor demand over the last few months of 2009 brought about seven new European issuance totaling around €20bn.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Disclaimer: The author holds no relevant investment positions.

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

Mortgage quality control services firm Quality Mortgage Services (QMS) is entering the servicing industry in order to fill a gap in avaiable firms that provide mortgage quality control outsourcing and compliance services clients.

The announcement comes at a time in the mortgage finance industry where profit margins for servicers remain incredibly tight. QMS, however, believes it can employ a winning business model.

The new servicing division is being called QMS Servicing and will be head-up by Sherrie Reed. Reed is a 20-year veteran of the mortgage industry and is a certified real estate education instructor in Washington State, and has written and instructs four continuing education classes in Tennessee.

“Sherrie has a wealth of knowledge in the industry and is a perfect fit for the position,” said QMS executive vice president Tommy Duncan. “The decision to expand our services was the next step in the evolution of our company. Mortgage servicing will further expand our national presence and solidify [ourselves] in the mortgage industries’ servicing arena.”

It’s an interesting time to enter the servicing industry. Margins are shrinking, and only the leanest, most efficiently operated firms are succeeding in an environment where technology, labor and other operational expenses seem to constantly affect the bottom line.

For her part, Reed is confident the new unit will benefit borrowers and lenders and remain competitive through a streamlined strategy: “What this does, it eliminates the need for the lender to have someone on staff to manage servicing,” Reed said. “We make sure the mortgage payments are maintained, the insurance and taxes paid when due, and if a borrower is late, we send out the late notices.”

Write to Austin Kilgore.

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

According to first estimates from Britain's Office for National Statistics , an 0.1 per cent expansion in the economy between October and December ended six straight quarters of shrinking output. That is well down on predictions by experts, who had forecast growth of 0.4 per cent.

Overall, the economy slumped 4.8 per cent last year, the biggest annual contraction since records began in 1949, and it has lost 6 per cent since the recession began in 2008.

It means the UK is the last of the major G7 economies to leave recession.

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

A third of Americans say Obama pays too much attention to the concerns of banks and financial institutions, the highest percentage for "too much attention" for any group asked about in the latest data from Pew Research Center.

Roughly another third say he's paying the right amount of attention, while 21% say he's paid too little attention to the concerns of banks.

Similarly, Americans are also divided on how much time Obama spends dealing with the concerns of business corporations: 25% say they get too much time, 21% say too little and 35% say about right.

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

On NPR, there's an interesting example of the predicament many homeowners now face. Thad Salter is an underwater homeowner who is actually one of the lucky ones: After swimming through red tape for a year, he was approved for a mortgage modification, which lowered the interest rate from 6.8% to 2% and cut his payment in half, but also extended the mortgage from 30 to 40 years. So what is Salter's current state of mind? He's tentatively staying put, even though he thinks it would be smarter to strategically default.

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

Homeowners face numerous hurdles trying to get their mortgage modified. In some cases, applications are rejected with little or no explanation. It’s impossible to independently verify if a homeowner qualifies because the Treasury has not disclosed the eligibility formula used by lenders — a complex set of calculations that housing counselors and consumer attorneys have dubbed “the black box.” Housing attorneys report that some lenders are ignoring the program’s guidelines altogether and moving to foreclose without properly reviewing mortgages for possible modification.

“It’s been a stubborn challenge," said a Treasury official, who agreed to an interview but requested anonymity. "But this is something that’s never been done before."



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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