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Archive for June, 2009

Friday, June 26th, 2009

While mortgage giant and government-sponsored enterprise Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.00 N/A) saw 2.62% of its single-family mortgages seriously delinquent in May, its refinance-loan purchases dropped 7% from the month before.

Freddie's total mortgage portfolio decreased at a 1.6% annualized rate in May, according to a volume summary released today.

The aggregate unpaid principal balance of its mortgage-related investments portfolio fell to $823.4bn as of May 31. The volume of mortgage purchase and sales agreements entered during the month by its mortgage-related investments portfolio totaled $5.3bn, up more than 450% from $956m in April.

The ratio of seriously delinquent mortgages at Freddie continues to increase every month this year; 2.62% of Freddie's single-family mortgages were 90 or more days delinquent in May, up from 2.44% in April and 176 bps above the 0.86% rate seen at the same time last year.

Meanwhile, the rate of serious delinquencies among multifamily mortgages also continued to rise. In 2009 alone, the multifamily 90 plus day delinquency rate quadrupled from 0.03% in January to 0.12% in May.

Freddie's refinance-loan purchase volume totaled $40.3bn in the month, down almost 7% from $43.3bn in April despite publicized refinance programs.

As of June 5, Freddie announced it would alter the terms of its Relief Refinance Mortgage program to allow greater flexibility in financing closing costs. Freddie said it would allow the lesser of either 4% of the new refinance mortgage or $5,000 of closing costs, financing costs and escrows to be rolled into the new refinance mortgage.

The move might encourage more borrowers to use the program and as a result boost the refinance purchase volumes in coming monthly summaries, along with another effort to increase consumers' reach to refinancing options through the administration's Making Home Affordable Program. Currently, the program applies to borrowers with mortgages worth up to 105% of the market value of their homes and whose mortgages are owned or guaranteed by Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.00 N/A).

Federal Housing Finance Agency director James Lockhart, in a press conference last week, acknowledged the administration is considering expanding the loan-to-value range to cover borrowers with more than 105% LTV, although he would give no exact figure for the new LTV target.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Disclosure: The author held no relevant investment positions when this story was published. Indirect holdings may exist via mutual fund investments.

Friday, June 26th, 2009

The Federal Reserve on Thursday shuffled some details around certain liquidity programs, extending the deadlines for a number of facilities through early 2010 in an effort to "promote financial stability and support the flow of credit to households and businesses" as the extent of the contraction continues to unwind.

"Conditions in financial markets have improved in recent months, but market functioning in many areas remains impaired and seems likely to be strained for some time," Fed officials said in a media statement.

The Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) kept its Dec. 31, 2009 deadline, however, and the Fed's announcement was quiet on that particular program.

The Term Auction Facility (TAF), which has no deadline, saw its biweekly funds reduce from $150bn to $125bn as  part of the modification actions. Wholesale funding markets have improved in recent months, and amounts bid at TAF auctions has declined as a result, necessitating an easing back on the program funding, the Fed said.

While the Fed prepared to extend and modify some liquidity programs, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York continued with its agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) purchases. The NY Fed bought up $23.75bn of MBS in the week ending June 24: $8.8bn from Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.00 N/A), $11.4bn from Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.00 N/A) and $3.55bn from Ginnie Mae.

The weekly purchases favored 30-year MBs with 4.5% coupons. Of its $15.2bn purchases of this product, $4.6bn settles on its balance sheet in July and the remaining $10.6bn settles in August.

As an ongoing part of the Fed’s participation in the so-called “dollar roll” market — a purchase agreement where the seller traditionally sells the security now under an agreement to buy it back in the future at a lower price — the NY Fed noted $1.5bn of MBS sales in the same week: $400m of 40-year 4.5s, $1bn of 30-year 5s and $100m of 15-year 4s, all of which settles in June.

The purchases and sales, although constantly rolling on and off the Fed's books, have made a lasting mark on the central bank's balance sheet, which shows a $58.52bn decline in the week ending June 24, to a total $1.99trn. The balance sheet might be down from last week, but it's up $1.12trn from the year-ago week ending June 25, 2008.

The hike from last year's balance reflects the tremendous liquidity efforts out of the Fed, with MBS held outright contributing $467.11bn to the total.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Disclosure: The author held no relevant investment positions when this story was published. Indirect holdings may exist via mutual fund investments.

Friday, June 26th, 2009

[Update 1]

Global investment management company Invesco (IVZ: 22.99 +0.92%) along with real estate investment trust (REIT) Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR: 15.81 -0.25%) today released its pricing of an initial offering of 8.5m shares of Invesco Mortgage at $20 per share as it prepares for its first day of trading.

Invesco Mortgage left underwriters the option to purchase an additional 1.27m common shares to cover any over-allotments — an option that expires after 30 days. In addition the the public offering, the compnay will place 75,000 shares of common stock at $20 per share with its manager and 1.42m limited partner units of its IAS Operating Partnership subsidiary at $20 per unit with a subsidiary of parent company Invesco.

Invesco Mortgage's shares begin trading today on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "IVR." It sold at $19.46 in late-morning trading, slightly below its offering price after this story went to press.

The public offering represents the latest in a series of moves by US REITs to attract public capital over more traditional, private funds. The offerings and placements together will yield an estimated $195.5m in net proceeds after deducting underwriting discounts and assume the underwriters' over-allotment option is not exercised.

Invesco announced plans for the public offering in early May. Its Invesco Mortgage, a newly formed REIT, was set up with a goal to invest in agency and non-agency RMBS, CMBS and mortgage loans in concert with government funding through the Public-Private Investment Program and the Term Asset-Backed Securities Lending Facility.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Disclosure: The author held no relevant investment positions when this story was published. Indirect holdings may exist via mutual fund investments.

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Total mortgage delinquencies are up 50% from the year-ago level and up 5% from the previous month, reaching an 8.49% rate in May, according to a monthly report released by Lender Processing Services.

Foreclosure inventories climbed as May saw a 2.79% increase in the foreclosure rate from April. The foreclosure rate sits 88.3% above the year-ago level.

The roll rate of loans moving from current status into delinquency rose again in the month to 637,822 newly delinquent loans, the fourth highest number on record. Ninety-day delinquencies rolling into foreclosure status edged up again after falling in April on the heels of an influx in foreclosure starts that followed the expiration of the moratorium in place at the agencies.

New delinquencies increased across all product types, spiking among government-insured mortgages — including those insured by the Federal Housing Administration — which  now sits at a level even with option adjustable-rate mortgages and just below Alt-A mortgages.

The percentage of mortgages becoming 30 days delinquent each month this year sat above the corresponding monthly rate in the four preceding years, indicating a greater percentage of borrowers missing payments as the current economic contraction continues to unwind and joblessness increases, slashing income and making monthly payments more challenging to keep up with.

The current-to-30-day-delinquency roll rate seen in May is higher than that seen in the same month in the last four years. It's the fourth-highest current-to-30 roll rate on record, behind September '07, August '08 and November '08.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Come one, come all!

There are bargains out there, and for the right circles, none may represent that more than East Coconut Palm Road in Boca Raton.

The mansion, previously listed for $21.9m, found no buyer. So folks, it's auction time! And the 25,000 square foot mansion may be purchased for a song, as only $250,000 is needed in earnest money.

On July 11 Concierge Auctions are putting 450 East Coconut palm under the hammer in an effort to attract some high-fliers, as Sotheby's International Realty is participating in the sell as well.

The property is on its own peninsula on Fishtail Palm Waterway that offers 475 feet of deep yacht dockage. Handy, considering the local park on Deerfield Island is only accessible via something that floats: That'll keep the gangs of wonky teenagers out!

The mansion also includes seven bedroom suites, seven full and three half baths, elevator, seven fireplaces, wine room, modern theater room, spa retreat, private waterside terrace, indoor lap pool, garages for up to five cars, and ornate ironwork throughout.

The grounds also include a gated entry, a waterfront pool, and formal gardens. However, there is no immediate place to land a helicopter, so make sure your yacht has a helipad (a nearby neighbor has a helipad, but that estate is located on another peninsula…).

"This spectacular estate is located in one of the most exclusive and prestigious communities in the world," states Laura Brady, president of Concierge Auctions. "The upcoming auction, which is open to all qualified bidders, provides a rare opportunity for the right buyer to acquire a preeminent property at a reduced price."

Participation in the auction will be limited to registered bidders and their agents. Bidders must register by 5 p.m. on Thursday, July 9 and present the earnest money deposit via wired or certified funds prior to bidding.

No minimum bid is required.

For a no-holds barred snapshot of the state of the luxury housing market, check out the feature in the primary department of August issue of HousingWire.

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Mortgage rates across the board remained relatively flat, moving up or down only a few basis points (bps) in the week ending June 25, according to a weekly survey released today by mortgage giant Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.00 N/A).

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 5.42% with an average 0.7 point in the week ending June 25, from 5.38% a week earlier. The rate averaged 6.45% at the same time last year, more than a full percentage point above the rates seen this week.

Fifteen-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 4.87% with an average 0.7 point, down from 4.89% last week. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 4.99% with an average 0.7 point — up from 4.97% last week — while one-year ARMs averaged 4.93% with an average 0.7 point,  down from 4.95% last week.

“Mixed economic reports on the state of the housing market helped hold mortgage rates fairly flat this week,” said chief economist Frank Nothaft, citing rising existing home sales despite a median sales price down 16.8%, and lower new home sales despite median prices only 3.4% below the previous year.

A separate rate survey conducted by Bankrate.com similarly found the average 30-year FRM moved to 5.8%, up four bps, while 15-year FRMs averaged 5.16%, down three bps.

The surveys illustrate just how high mortgage rates have rallied from recent historic lows. In May, for example, the average conventional, 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage loan of $417,000 or less saw a 4.88% interest rate, according to a study released today by the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

May's average is a single basis point up from April's average, based on the FHFA's study of loans closed in the month. As the interest rate is usually determined from 30 to 45 days before the loan closing, this average represents the prevailing market conditions in mid- to late-April.

Fees and charges up front represented 0.58% of the loan balance in May, up a single bp from April. So-called "no-point" mortgages accounted for 44% of purchase mortgages originated in May, from 45% in April. May originations totaled 74.1% loan-to-value, down from 75.1% in April, while the average loan amount increased by $4,200 to $221,200.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

The Government National Mortgage Association — or Ginnie Mae — posted $38.98bn in mortgage-backed securities issuance in May, bringing the 2009 total so far to $163bn, more than double the nearly $80bn seen in the first five months of 2008.

"Our MBS program is continuing to experience phenomenal growth," said president Joseph Murin in a statement this week. "Clearly, as the economy continues to find its footing, there is still a strong need for a safe, dependable security like the Ginnie Mae MBS."

Multifamily MBS issuance accounted for $319m of the month's total, while the rest consisted of single-family issuance. By taking loan pools and securitizing on the secondary market, Ginnie provides liquidity for mortgage lenders and, in turn, small mortgage bankers that sell loans to big lenders.

With the full faith and credit of the US government, Ginnie is in the position of taking on loans guaranteed by the Federal Housing Administration, the Department of Veteran Affairs, the Department of Agriculture's Rural Development and Department of Housing, as well as the US Department of Housing and Urban Development's Office of Public and Indian Housing.

Ginnie also participates in the Federal Reserve's MBS purchase program as an ongoing part of the Fed’s role in the so-called “dollar roll” market — a purchase agreement where the seller traditionally sells the security now under an agreement to buy it back in the future at a lower price. The Fed purchased $3.65bn of MBS from Ginnie in the most recent week of transactions, providing a bit of liquidity for other issuance.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

If, as one panel member's testimony supposes, consumer regulation and financial product safety regulation are two distinct sides of the same coin, then the House Committee on Financial Services flipped the coin over on Wednesday to study both sides.

A hearing on regulatory restructuring and, specifically, enhancing consumer financial products regulation featured testimony from both sides of the coin: the side for a separate regulatory entity charged with overseeing more responsible, accountable and transparent financial products for consumers, and the side against complicating an already complex regulatory framework.

The hearing participants largely agreed on the importance of safe and transparent financial products for consumers, but the hot discussion subject of the day — a separate regulatory body proposed by the administration — generated plenty of divergence in viewpoints, beginning with Congressman Bill Delahunt, who helped work on the proposal for a Financial Product Safety Commission.

Delahunt said the commission's role would be to reduce consumer risk and enforce more honest and transparent lending practices.

"Like with other products that are crucial to a healthy life like food and medicine, consumers shouldn't have to worry whether they are being fooled or tricked into buying a subpar product," he said, according to prepared remarks. "By alleviating Americans of this burden, we can help consumers again borrow with confidence, secure in the government's ability to protect them from fraudulent, unsafe products."

But neutering out all the risk — and, possibly, choice — from financial products is not the job of the government, according to Elizabeth Warren, a Harvard law professor and the chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel. Instead, she called for a change in risk-taking behaviors among the consumers themselves.

"The need for personal responsibility is as strong as ever," she said. "If someone goes to the mall and charges thousands of dollars to buy things they can’t afford, they should have to deal with the consequences. And if someone signs on to buy a five-bedroom home with a spa bath and a media room that they can’t afford, they should lose it."

On the regulatory side, Warren argued the credit market itself is broken and in need of an overhaul. She proposed a Consumer Finance Protection Agency to reduce systemic risk in the credit system, reduce regulatory burdens by consolidating some financial regulation powers, foster innovation and level the playing field by "putting someone on the consumer's side."

The way the system used to work was much simpler than today, according to Warren's prepared remarks. Consumers could shop around for goods and services and pick the best prices and offerings, and lenders would shop around for the right creditworthiness of potential borrowers. The system broke somewhere along the rush to make larger profits, as lenders offered riskier and more convoluted loans, the terms of which consumers couldn't understand even if they did wish to shop around, she said.

To top it off, Warren said, complicated regulations in effect allow for — and even encourage — these products, and bad products in the hands of ill-prepared consumers only makes things worse. The issue at stake is not just what the product will do to the consumer's credit, finances and personal life when it explodes. It's about the systemic repercussions felt throughout the economy when the whole minefield goes off.

Leveling the playing field to a more transparent set of operations is the only way to avoid this systemic flaw, according to Warren.

"The invisible hand of the market works well only when buyers and sellers both have full information about the value of the items they exchange," she said.

On the flip side, however, another hearing participant argued the case for better regulation of the lending institutions themselves, not the products they offer. Edward Yingling, president and CEO of the American Bankers Association said there are plenty of consumer protection laws already in place, but consolidating the regulatory authority into one entity will simply complicate an already complex financial regulation system.

He described consumer regulation and financial product safety regulation as two sides of one coin, which cannot be separated.

"We believe that a separate consumer regulator should not be enacted, and, in fact, is in direct contradiction with an integrated, comprehensive approach that recognizes the reality that consumer protection and safety and soundness are inextricably bound," he said in his prepared remarks. "Consumer protection is not just about the financial product, it is also about the financial integrity of the company offering the product. Simply put, it is a mistake to separate the regulation of an institution from the regulation of its products."

Instead, he urged improvements to the existing framework and tighter regulation of lending and underwriting systems. He spoke up for small, independent community banks and credit unions that didn't participate in subprime lending and that are already overburdened by regulatory costs. Instead of punishing community banks and credit unions, Yingling pointed toward the unregulated non-banking sector, which bears much responsibility for the current crisis and which would fall outside any consumer finance safety or financial product regulation.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

A composite index of 25 major US metropolitan markets showed a 1.2% increase in house prices in April.

Radar Logic's 25-MSA (metropolitan statistical area) RPX index showed the largest monthly increase since June 2007. The composite remains 20% below its year-ago level, however, and overall has plunged 32% below its peak.

"The month-over-month increase in the Composite may mark the reemergence of seasonal price gains from February to June, which have not been seen since the onset of the housing bust," officials from the real estate data and analytics provider say in the report today.

House prices across 18 major US metropolitan markets posted month-on-month gains in April, up from only 10 markets in the year-ago period. The Boston MSA posted the largest monthly gain in price, rising 8.1% over March to a total $181.78 per square foot (psf) — the measurement used by Radar Logic to neutralize the effect of house size and location on house prices. Milwaukee followed at a 7.8% monthly gain to $115.86 psf.

Each of the five California MSAs posted their largest monthly price gains since April 2005, according to Radar Logic.

Las Vegas posted the steepest monthly decline of 6.1% to a total $81.28 psf, while Detroit fell into second place with a 4.7% monthly decline to $69.13 psf.

Transaction counts in all MSAs fell 8% in April from the year-ago period, but on a monthly basis, transaction counts increased in 18 MSAs.

Write to Diana Golobay.

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

The refinance branch of the Obama administration's Making Home Affordable Program is currently limited to loans that are worth up to 105% of the property and that are owned or guaranteed by government-sponsored agencies Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.00 N/A) and Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.00 N/A).

As discussion circulated this week that the LTV limit might soon change to open eligibility to more borrowers, one mortgage company is looking at alternatives on its end to facilitate refinance programs.

PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. today expanded its refinance-to-modification program, which can be used with all PMI-insured loans, not just Home Affordable Refinance Program-eligible loans owned or guaranteed by the GSEs.

PMI's coverage percentage and premium rate remain the same under the expanded program, and the existing insurance certificate is modified to cover the new refinanced loan. In an effort to minimize costs to the borrower, PMI said it will not charge fees to modify the existing insurance certificate for either of its new or same lender/servicer programs.

By modifying the existing insurance, PMI allows the extension of coverage to the new refinanced loan, despite the possibility the property value may be lower than when the original loan was insured — even so low as to not qualify for coverage today. PMI believes the program will allow for even more homeowners to participate in refinance.

Write to Diana Golobay.



Origination/Lending
Kenneth Bacon, executive vice president of the Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage business, is retiring after 18 years at the mortgage...

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Servicing/Default
The serious delinquency rate for Federal Housing Administration mortgages reached 9.6% in December, the highest level in more than two...

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