Sign of the Times

Officials in Lee County, Florida suggested this week to a source that there are currently 21,000 evictions in the county waiting to be processed. Three judges are coming out of retirement just to help with the backlog, we were told.

Sounds like reason to me

By: PAUL JACKSON
May 22, 2008

An op-ed published by former FDIC chairman William Isaac talks some sense into the current housing and credit crisis; and it’s a viewpoint that I think is being swallowed up by bellowing over Congress’ need to do something about troubled homeowners and rising foreclosures.

On housing, some sanity:

At the risk of being politically incorrect, I’m not sure why we are upset about a 20%-off sale in housing.

After years of double-digit increases, housing prices in the city in which I live, Sarasota, Fla., jumped an astonishing 35% in 2005 – an unsustainable rate of increase that was pushing housing prices beyond the reach of far too many people. We really needed our housing markets to cool down quite substantially.

Millions of people – particularly the young – will benefit from a significant reduction in housing prices. While those who purchased homes in the past couple of years are unhappy if their investment is under water, the housing markets will be back for those who are able to hang on – with help from their lenders where appropriate. Congress’s $300 billion “rescue” plan notwithstanding, the good news is that we have a lot of housing stock at more affordable prices for our growing population.

Which leads me to wonder if Congress is focusing on the whines of Boomers — many of whom over-allocated and over-leveraged themselves into real estate after the stock bubble collapse earlier this decade — at the expense of the Xes and Yes out there.

That matters to a lot to this writer, who just turned 33.

I left Southern California — and all of my immediate family, too, for that matter — behind in 2005 when my daughter was about to be born, because I found that I couldn’t justify paying $800,000 for a junked-up, 1,200 square foot cracker box. I especially couldn’t reconcile how a broker was telling me that we could afford 100 percent financing at that absurd price point, given that I was a PhD student making $17,000 per year at the time, and my wife was making the median for a science geek working in the R&D trenches.

It’s not been easy raising a family in Texas, where we ended up, far away from family members that could otherwise help. But we’ve made do. We’ve found new jobs (obviously, yours truly is now running the most-read news source in the mortgage trade). We’ve managed the middle-of-the-night emergency hospital trips for our sick newborn son, with a 3-year old sister in tow, and no family nearby to help. We’ve managed to teach our kids who their grandparents and aunts and uncles are through pictures we’ve pasted to some posterboard. We’ve saved and bought the house we wanted, and we did all of it because we wanted to provide a stable home for our kids. We’ve paid what I think is a steep personal price.

After what my wife and I have gone through, the mere thought — taxpayer funded or not — that less responsible homeowners in California, duped or not, might get a lifeline that helps them keep their home and their credit intact, just incenses me.

Actually it does more than that. It makes me want to have Barney Frank and Chris Dodd — and any other House or Senate member that talks in broad terms about stopping the downward spiral of housing prices — explain to me personally why the price my family was forced to pay matters less than the housing prices they’re so focused on trying to prop up. I want them to explain to my kids why they’re helping the very people that helped make grandma and grandpa into a picture and a phone call.

A housing price correction is exactly what’s needed to prevent other young families — families like mine — from having to make the same painful choice we were forced to make two and a half years ago. Unfortunately, that viewpoint seems to carry little currency in the current political climate. And that’s a shame for anyone under the age of 40 trying to raise a family in this country.


2 Responses to “Sounds like reason to me”

  • May 23rd, 2008 7:27 am by Stephen Keith

    Here’s a few thoughts:

    A) Texas is not such a bad place;
    B) There are benefits and drawbacks to being close to family. If the benefits were that great, you’d have found a way to make it work closer by them;
    C) You assume that price drops in real estate would not coincide w/ income drops, at least in your personal situation. For markets in aggregate, that has rarely been the case. Your income is dropping even now, but you probably don’t notice it. It’s called “inflation” and unless you are getting better than a 6-7% cost of living adjustment, your income is decreasing, so those lower house prices have further lower yet to go before it helps any of your generational cohorts much.

    I moved back to Birmingham, where my family lived, after my first child was born. I moved from Austin, TX. It was not an economic move as much as a family move, and frankly, it was a mistake. Not economically–I’ve done fine. But a little more distance between me and the family would be nice about now (my kids are now 11 and 14). Their occasional absence might yield a bit more fondness.

  • May 23rd, 2008 11:26 am by Laura Donohoe

    On the subject of declining values, as a Certified Appraiser, in the San Francisco Bay area, I am wholy engulfed in the crisis surrounding the housing market. I can’t even keep up with which of my previous clients (brokers/lenders) are even in business anymore, much less how I will be able to keep the clients that I like after December (thanks Mr. Cuomo).

    Although the large majority of Marin and San Francisco counties have kept fairly stable, the surrounding East Bay/North Bay/South Bay counties are feeling the pain in unforeseen numbers. I agree that the concept of buying a home without money down (who came up with “stated income” anyway???) was a disaster waiting to happen. For the most part, these are the families trying to raise their children in a “starter” home in outlying, more affordable, communities (San Francisco houses more dogs than children) that have now been forced to vacate their homes due to outrageous increases in their mortgage payments. I can recall, as recently as two years ago, homes being listed at a “competitive” sales price specifically to force a bidding war. Many times I was asked to comment on an appraisal report why “someone would be willing to pay $100K+ above list for a property”. The greed factor was out of control!

    Since December, I have been fighting with Indy Mac Bank to “take back” my mother’s house in the Tampa Bay, Florida area (she is a convalescent facility with only Social Security income that is to be paid to them) due to the fact that the home was appraised in 9/06 for $225,000 and is now only worth $125,000 (per an appraisal they ordered), with a mortgage exceeding $165,000. Needless to say, I stopped making payments on the mortgage several months ago, and have had the home listed for sale since December awaiting a “negotiator” to approve a “Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure” or a “Short Sale” so that I can quit paying the monthly utilities/upkeep expenses on the home. I can’t even begin to describe the lack of of customer service and delay tactics that I have endured over the past 5+ months. As of today, I have been advised that I can “expect a call within the next 30 days…” from “someone” assigned to the file that hides behind a wall of “Customer Service” clerks, who are not at liberty to disclose that person’s contact information.

    So you see, it doesn’t really matter how close or far from your family you are in miles — the problems with the housing market has endless boundaries…

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